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INTEREST RATES

Interest rates are the cost of borrowing money.

A lender must analyze the creditworthiness of the borrower and the borrower’s industry.

A lender would analyze:


1. Credit or Default Risk – risk firm may default on loan
2. Interest Rate Risk – risk that interest rates may rise and value of loan will fall
3. Market Risk – risk that industry or broad economy slumps

TYPES OF RATES

Discount Rate – the rate that the bank pays to borrow funds

Prime Rate – the rate banks charge their top customers

Real Interest Rate – Interest Rate minus the Inflation Rate

Risk Free Rate – the interest rate without credit risk – U.S. Treasuries are most commonly used

MONETARY POLICY
Tools used to influence monetary policy:

• Open Market (most valuable) – FED buys gov’t securities which lowers interest rates

• Required Reserve Ratio (RRR) – change the level of reserves banks must hold, lower
reserve requirements results in more money to lend

• Discount Rate – lowering discount rate encourages bank to borrow more


The Federal Reserve may choose to tighten or loosen monetary policy depending on
economic conditions:

Loosen Money
• recession coming
• FED buys government securities which puts more money into
circulation
• lower required reserve ratio (more money to lend
• Lower interest rates
Tighten Money
• Inflation coming
• Sell government securities
• Increase required reserve ration
• raise interest rates

MONEY SUPPLY

Money supply consists of M1 + M2

M1-currency (paper money & coins), checking accounts

M2- Savings accounts (including money markets), small time deposits (less than 100K), non-
checking savings, mutual funds

Excess Reserves and the Money Multiplier


A single bank can lend their excess reserves. An entire banking system can lend their excess
reserves X money multiplier.

Money Multiplier:
1 ÷ Reserve ratio
TRADE BARRIERS

Tariffs
• Taxes imposed on imported goods (protect domestic producers and discourage foreign
consumption).
• Results in higher prices for imported goods.

Import quotas
• Set fixed limits on different products (domestic employment and prices ↑).
• Balance of payment ↑ in short run

Embargos
• total ban of imports (extreme)

Voluntary exports
• reduce products available in foreign county (used to avoid official sanctions)
• Trigger price-tariff on unfairly cheap imports
• Prices are driven ↑ for both import quotas & tariffs

Arguments in Favor of Protectionism


• Reduced imports protects against domestic jobs
• Industries essential to national security
• Infant industries need protection in the early stages of development

Economic Cost of Protectionism


• Real wages and world output declines
• Workers are shifted from efficient export industries into less efficient protected
industries

Domestic content rules


• Requires that a portion be made domestically.
• usually applies to capital intensive industries – eg cars

Dumping
• charge an artificially low price to drive out competition
• lower than its home market
• less than the cost to make it

CURRENCY EXCHANGE RATES

There are three main types of exchange rate policies:

Fixed: currency is fixed or allowed to fluctuate in a narrow range.

High degree government


of can
predictability manipulate
the value of
the currency
Freely Floating - determined by market forces of supply and demand

automatically Makes country


correct any vulnerable to
disequilibrium in economic
the balance of conditions in
payments (BOP) other countries

Managed Float (used by major trading nations) - government allows market forces to
determine rate until they move too far in one direction. The government will intervene at that
point.

best of both vulnerable to


worlds (allows exchange rate
free floating with changes and lack
the option of self correcting
govt. mechanism of
intervention) free floating

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