FSD Jun95
FSD Jun95
FSD Jun95
JUNE 1995
FLIGHT SAFETY
D I G E S T
FINANCIAL
Brigette Adkins
U.S. Commercial Aviation Fatal-accident
Rate Remains Lower Than Worldwide
8
Accountant Rate in 1994
TECHNICAL Long-term trends in Boeing study show higher
Robert H. Vandel fatal-accident rates in early years of service
Director of Technical Projects for new aircraft types.
Millicent J. Singh
Secretary
MEMBERSHIP
FAA Issues Guidance to Air Carriers
For First-aid Training Programs
13
J. Edward Peery
Director of Membership and Development A recently published book describes current
airline training methods, while considering the
Ahlam Wahdan
Administrative Assistant
influence of technology on future training
methods.
PUBLICATIONS
Roger Rozelle
Director of Publications
Girard Steichen
B-737 Descent with Engines at Idle in
Thunderstorm Results in Flameout
18
Assistant Director of Publications
Gust, wet runway result in runway excursion
Rick Darby by Saab turboprop.
Senior Editor
Karen K. Bostick
Production Coodinator
Kathryn Ramage Flight Safety Foundation (FSF) is an international membership
Librarian, Jerry Lederer Aviation Safety Library organization dedicated to the continuous improvement of flight safety.
Nonprofit and independent, FSF was launched in 1945 in response to
the aviation industry’s need for a neutral clearinghouse to disseminate
objective safety information, and for a credible and knowledgeable
Jerome Lederer body that would identify threats to safety, analyze the problems and
President/Emeritus recommend practical solutions to them. Since its beginning, the
Foundation has acted in the public interest to produce positive influence
on aviation safety. Today, the Foundation provides leadership to more
than 660 member organizations in 77 countries.
Comparing Accident Reports: Looking Beyond
Causes to Identify Recurrent Factors
Individual accident reports show what went wrong on a particular occasion.
But comparing reports can reveal recurrent factors that need attention.
A review of several accident reports raises questions about crew fatigue,
the “hurry-up” syndrome and crew interaction.
John A. Pope
Aviation Consultant
From May 1994 to January 1995, Flight Safety Foundation Safety Digest. Finally, some findings and recommendations
published nine issues of Accident Prevention. Each issue from a 1994 NTSB safety study of 37 flight crew–involved
contained a concise article, without editorial comment, about accidents1 are included because they are relevant to the
a U.S. National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) accident recurrent factors that were identified in this article.
investigation final report on one specific aircraft accident. Read
thoughtfully as a group, eight of the issues presented an Accident Prevention Vol. 51, No. 7 (July 1994) concerns a Cessna
opportunity to determine if causal factors common to two or 402B, operated by Tropic Air, that crashed near San Pedro
more accidents suggested recurrent factors and — more Airport, Ambergris Cay, Belize, on April 1, 1991, while
important — to determine if actions could be taken to prevent maneuvering for another approach after a go-around that had
them from recurring. been caused by congestion on the airport ramp. The accident
report was prepared by the Belize civil aviation department and
Ascertaining the causal factors in any individual accident can stated that while “there is no evidence which permits the
suggest problems that need to be addressed. But studying investigation to determine with certainty the actual cause of the
causal factors that appear as common denominators in multiple accident, it is considered a reasonable deduction that the pilot
accidents helps us to advance one further step — namely, to was unfit for flight due to fatigue, [that] he stalled the aircraft
set priorities when formulating regulations and procedures to while flying a very low downwind with the landing gear down
enhance aviation safety. When themes emerge from the and [that] the aircraft was much too low to recover from the
background, we know better how to concentrate resources. stall.” Accident investigation authorities noted that in the 28 days
before the accident, the pilot had flown more than 41 hours
This article examines the accidents reported in those eight beyond the maximum duty time allowed by law, and had been
issues and the ways that they are similar to each other, to on duty more than 30 hours in the 2.5 days before the accident.
identify any recurrent factors. Moreover, accidents are also
discussed that involved similar factors and were reported in Accident Prevention Vol. 51, No. 10 (October 1994) discusses
earlier issues of Accident Prevention and in two issues of Flight the August 1993 crash of an American International Airways
The NTSB cited three background factors that are normally Methods for predicting or measuring fatigue — such as
examined during accident investigations for evidence of calculating hours flown, type of weather, day or night flights,
fatigue: cumulative sleep loss, continuous hours of wakefulness the number of instrument approaches, landings and takeoffs
and time of day. It went on to say, “The Safety Board’s within the hours flown, rest time vs. duty time, etc. — continue
examination of the flight and duty time revealed the captain to provoke discussion. All of these objective factors have a
had been awake for 23.5 hours at the time of the accident, the significant relation to fatigue, but we are less sure about the
first officer for 19 hours and the flight engineer for 21 hours. effects of other, more subjective, factors (such as pilot
The crew had been on duty about 18 hours and had flown psychology or physiology). How stress can affect a person’s
approximately nine hours at the time of the fatigue has always been very difficult to
accident. The accident occurred at 1656, at measure, because each person has a
the end of the afternoon physiological low
period. The crew members had been awake
“ … in this accident … different capacity to withstand stress.
for the preceding two nights and had the flight-crew members Further complicating fatigue assessment is
attempted to sleep during the day, further how a pilot spends rest time between
complicating their circadian sleep disorders. met all three of the scheduled flights, or between unscheduled
Therefore, the evidence in this accident “pop-up” flights. Flying for a U.S.-
shows that the flight-crew members met all
scientific criteria for certificated air carrier is usually performed
three of the scientific criteria for susceptibility to the according to a monthly schedule based on
susceptibility to the debilitating effects of flight-time and duty-time regulations that
fatigue.” debilitating effects of should allow sufficient rest time before the
next flight. What an airline, regulation or
In a DC-10 accident described on page 5,
fatigue.” flight schedule cannot dictate is how the
the NTSB report observed: “Finally, in light pilot spends his rest time. That time, of
of the captain’s improper control during the course, can be spent on any number of
landing roll, the relatively long duration of his overnight flight, nonrestful activities, even though the implied requirement is
and the fact that the captain’s sleep periods were disrupted in that a pilot should report for duty rested and physically fit.
the 48 hours prior to the accident, the Safety Board considered
the possibility that fatigue adversely affected his performance. One circumstance that is frequently overlooked is how a pilot’s
These factors and the captain’s age of 59 years led the Safety duty day may begin. Many pilots must commute some distance
Board to believe that the captain might have been fatigued to to an airport and it is common for a pilot to report one to two
some extent. Even though the circumstances surrounding the hours before departure to prepare for the flight. Assume that the
flight crew’s activities from April 12 through 14 could have first flight of the day is scheduled to depart at 0700 hours. If the
led to a deterioration of his judgment and piloting skills, there plan is to report 1.5 hours before takeoff time, that makes the
is no information available regarding the captain’s ability to reporting time for that flight 0530. Assume that the pilot needs
perform under either long-term or short-term fatigue. at least one hour for the commute to the airport. So, departing
Therefore, a finding that his performance on the accident flight the resting place should be at no later than 0430. That means
was the result of fatigue could not be supported, nor could it that the pilot should leave a wake-up call for 0330 (leaving time
be dismissed.” to shower, breakfast, etc.). The duty day will not officially start
until the pilot reports at the airport, but the pilot has already
In an Embraer accident described on page 7, NTSB begun to accumulate some degree of fatigue. How much high-
investigators found that “for the two nights before the accident, quality rest should the pilot have had to arrive physically fit and
the pilots averaged only about five to 5.5 hours of sleep per ready for the flight? At what point during the duty day does the
night. The accident occurred after a long and relatively difficult pilot reach the fatigue saturation point?
Data from the accident flights were compared with a sample The NTSB report noted that several pilots who had flown with
of on-time performance statistics for nonaccident flights the captain had observed him performing what they considered
during each December, 1987 through 1992, which were questionable practices. The NTSB report said, “One pilot noted
compiled by the U.S. Department of Transportation (DOT). that the captain did not conduct departure briefings and, on
“Compared to the sample of nonaccident flights,” the report occasion, would fly through or very close to thunderstorms.
said, “a larger proportion (55 percent) of accident flights were
The captain was also observed to fly below decision height
running late. This held true whether considering nonaccident without having the runway or its associated lights or markings
flights that departed late” (between 17 in sight.” A pilot who had flown as first
percent and 28 percent of the flights) “or officer with the captain believed that the
arrived late” (between 21 percent and 35 … the first officer … captain “did not have a complete
percent). understanding of U.S. Federal Aviation
had complained to … Regulations (FARs). He saw the captain
“Flight delays can be a source of perceived
time pressure for flight crews,” the NTSB
the company “that the cancel his IFR flight clearance and descend
through clouds to locate an airport and, on
safety study said. “The Safety Board notes captain was operating another occasion, he saw the captain
that the difference in flight delay status descend below decision height before
between the 31 accident flights for which the airplane in violation identifying the runway.”
data were available and the nonaccident
sample is not inconsistent with anecdotal
of FARs and in NTSB investigators were told that the first
evidence of a relationship between time disregard of good officer on the Beechcraft accident flight had
pressure and flight-crew errors in the air complained to an executive of the company
carrier environment.”4 operating practices.” “that the captain was operating the airplane
in violation of FARs and in disregard of
Another similarity exists in the attitudes of good operating practices.” When questioned
the captains and their relationships with their first officers or by the NTSB, the executive denied receiving complaints from
second-in-command pilots. the first officer.
The NTSB report on the King Air accident said: “The The captains in the King Air and Beechcraft accidents seem
[captain’s] supervisor … stated that there were significant to have had much in common. Both tended to disregard FARs
objections to his selection for the PIC [pilot-in-command] and good operating practices, and believed that departing under
position. Several of the SICs [second-in-command pilots] VFR in marginal weather conditions on the assumption that
expressed a desire not to fly with him at that time.” ATC would issue an IFR clearance without delay would not
only save time but would be acceptably safe.
The NTSB report continued: “During interviews at the Atlantic
City FIAO [Flight Inspection Area Office], Safety Board Both captains were flying with first officers who disapproved
investigators were told by flight crewmembers that the PIC of their respective captains’ operating practices, and whose
involved in the accident had demonstrated poor judgment on complaints about the captains to management had been
previous flights. It was alleged that he had: continued on a disregarded or denied. That raises the question as to what action
VFR positioning flight into IMC; conducted VFR flight below would be appropriate for a first officer/SIC who finds the safety
clouds at less than 1,000 feet [305 meters] above the ground of his or her flight being compromised by a captain who has
in marginal weather conditions; replied to an ATC query that little regard for or knowledge of the FARs, or has contempt
the flight was in VMC when it was in IMC; [and] disregarded for checklists. Whether it be a government operation, such as
checklist discipline on numerous occasions.” the FAA flight, or a corporate business aircraft operation, how
Coupling the lack of crew discipline, coordination and CRM 6. Ibid., p. 75, p. 60.
training with any other poorly judged action — unapproved
practice during instrument approaches, selection of improper About the Author
autoflight vertical mode, flight crew’s inappropriate actions
from loss of control or improper response to a stall warning John A. Pope established John A. Pope & Associates, an
— would almost guarantee the path to an accident. aviation consulting firm located in Arlington, Virginia, U.S.,
after retiring in 1984 as vice president of the U.S. National
There is no excuse for a crew’s use of an unapproved procedure, Business Aircraft Association. He has assisted more than 60
no matter how much that unapproved procedure may appear corporations in developing their operations manuals. He has
to benefit a flight. Those responsible for monitoring crew also conducted more than 20 workshops dedicated to
performance must ensure that crews routinely use approved developing corporate aviation operations manuals.
procedures.
He served as a command pilot in the U.S. Air Force and the
Increased procedural training, preferably in simulators, should Air National Guard. He retired as a colonel from the U.S. Air
aid in preventing accidents caused by incorrectly performed Force Reserve after 33 years of service.
Editorial Staff
The worldwide fatal-accident rate for commercial jet aircraft was dramatic, but the rate has continued on a plateau —
in 1994 remained within a range that has varied little since the although at a relatively low rate — since the late 1970s.
mid-1970s, according to statistics released by Boeing. 1
Although the fatal-accident rate for U.S. carriers continued to The lower graph in Figure 1 shows the annual numbers of on-
be lower than the fatal-accident rate for non-U.S. carriers, the board fatalities in commercial jet aviation, starting in 1959.
gap narrowed slightly, with an increase in the rate for U.S.
operators and a decrease in the rate for non-U.S. operators. The influence of changes in aircraft types in the worldwide jet
fleet is apparent in Figure 2 (page 11). Airplanes have been
Boeing’s statistics, which covered the years 1959 through 1994, categorized into three groups: “second generation” jet
showed a steep reduction in the overall commercial jet fatal- transports that began to be incorporated into fleets in the early
accident rate since the beginning of the period. Nevertheless, 1960s; the first generation of widebody transports, which
there were clearly defined “spikes” in the fatal-accident rates entered service beginning in the late 1960s; and more recent
for statistical groupings of new types of aircraft in the years types, introduced in the 1980s and 1990s. In each group, the
following their introduction to fleets. accident rate peaks in the early years of introduction to service.
The study defined fatal accidents as those “with on-board Figure 3 (page 12) compares fatal-accident rates for U.S. and
[fatalities] or those where persons other than aircraft occupants non-U.S. operators. A long-term pattern is visible in which the
are fatally injured,” but counted as fatalities only aircraft rate for non-U.S. operators exceeds that of U.S. operators,
occupants. Fatal accidents involving turboprop aircraft were although generally only to a small degree. But the trend lines
excluded from the study. The statistics also ignored accidents for U.S. and non-U.S. carriers parallel one another fairly closely,
stemming from sabotage, hijacking, suicide, military action or especially in the early years of commercial jets.♦
test flying.
Reference
Figure 1 (page 10) shows the overall fatal-accident rate graphed
for the 1959–1994 period according to rates per million 1. Boeing Commercial Airplane Group. Statistical Summary
departures and numbers of fatalities. The decline in the fatal- of Commercial Jet Aircraft Accidents: Worldwide
accident rate during the first decade of commercial jet operation Operations, 1959–1994. March 1995.
20
Excludes
• Sabotage
• Military action
• Suicide
Accidents • Test flying
per million 10
departures
0
15
0
60 62 64 66 68 70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94
Year
Source: Boeing Commercial Airplane Group
Figure 1
20
Excludes: Second Wide body New
• Sabotage generation (early) types
• Military action
• Suicide 727 747-100/200/300 MD80
• Test flying Trident DC-10 MD11
VC-10 L-1011 737-300/400/500
15
BAC 111 A300 747-400
DC-9 757
737-100/200 767
F28 A310
Accidents A320/A321
A330
per million
A340
departures 10 BAe146
New Types F100
0
60 62 64 66 68 70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94
Year
Source: Boeing Commercial Airplane Group
Figure 2
11
12
Worldwide Commercial Jet Fleet Fatal Accidents, U.S. and Non-U.S.
30
Excludes:
• Sabotage
• Military action
• Suicide
• Test flying
20
Accidents
per million
departures Non-U.S.
operators
10
U.S.
operators
0
60 62 64 66 68 70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94
Year
Source: Boeing Commercial Airplane Group
Figure 3
Editorial Staff
Advisory Circulars (ACs) controls.” The AC recommends that a visual check be made
during this exchange.
Air Carrier First Aid Program. U.S. Federal Aviation
Announcement of Availability: FAA-S-8081-11, Flight
Administration (FAA) Advisory Circular (AC) No. 120-44A.
Instructor — Lighter-Than-Air (Balloon-Airship) Practical
March 1995. 7 p.; appendix.
Test Standards. U.S. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA)
Advisory Circular (AC) No. 61-116. March 1995. 2 p.
This AC guides air carriers about resources, topics, equipment
and regulations for first-aid training programs. According to
This AC announces the availability of FAA-S-8081-11,
the AC, air carrier crew-member first-aid training programs
practical test standards for the certification of flight instructors
should include first-aid and emergency medical equipment;
for lighter-than-air aircraft (e.g., balloons and airships).
use of emergency and first-aid oxygen; handling of illness and
Instructions for ordering FAA-S-8081-11, pricing and a
injury (including information about protection of crew
Superintendent of Documents publications order form are
members from blood-borne pathogens); assistance from people
included with this announcement.
on board and on the ground; and medical emergency landings.
The appendix discusses blood-borne pathogens.
This report is the official explanation of the crash of a Jetstream Michael Gryszkowiec, director, Planning and Reporting,
4101 about 1.4 miles (2.25 kilometers) east of Runway 28L at Resources, Community and Economic Development Division,
Port Columbus International Airport, Columbus, Ohio, U.S. U.S. General Accounting Office (GAO) testified before the
The aircraft was operated by Atlantic Coast Airlines, Sterling, U.S. House of Representatives on the current state of Denver
Virginia, U.S., and doing business as United Express Flight International Airport (DIA), addressing in particular three
6291. The NTSB determined that the factors contributing to previously discussed issues: DIA’s development; the automated
or causing the accident were: an aerodynamic stall; improper baggage handling system; and airfield construction.
pilot response to the stall warning; flight crew inexperience in Gryszkowiec pointed out that, in spite of repeated delays in
a “glass-cockpit” aircraft; the failure of the company to provide DIA’s opening date and various construction problems, the
adequate stabilized approach criteria (and the U.S. Federal airport was designed and built in just over five years. The
Aviation Administration’s [FAA’s] failure to require it); testimony concluded with several suggestions as to how future
company failure to provide adequate crew resource airport construction projects can avoid similar difficulties,
management (CRM) training and the FAA’s failure to require including minimalizing changes in design, providing alternate
such training; and the unavailability of suitable training or backup systems for new and untested technology, and
simulators, which precluded effective flight crew training. implementing a vigorous quality control program.
150/5000-3R 3/13/95 Address List for Regional Airports Divisions and Airports District/Field
Offices (cancels 150/1500-3Q, Address List for Regional Airports Divisions
and Airports District/Field Offices, dated 9/29/93).
150/5360-12A 12/23/94 Airport Signing and Graphics (cancels 150/5360-12, Airport Signing and
Graphics, dated 12/23/85).
Editorial Staff
The following information provides an awareness of problems from previous flights of the departure procedure. The airline
through which such occurrences may be prevented in the fu- recommended that the incident be used in training to emphasize
ture. Accident/incident briefs are based on preliminary infor- the importance of a thorough review of departure procedures
mation from government agencies, aviation organizations, and a departure briefing.
press information and other sources. This information may
not be entirely accurate.
Heavy Rain, Failure to Follow
Procedure Cause Flameout
Boeing 737-300. Minor damage. No injuries.
Ground Agent Injured by Propeller An investigation determined that the pilots had failed to follow
proper instrument flight rules (IFR) and had failed to maintain
BAe Jetstream 31. Minor damage. One serious injury. a safe altitude on the approach.
Mountain Cuts Short Night Approach The Hiller, engaged in aerial application work, struck a wire
while maneuvering and impacted terrain. The helicopter was
Piper PA-31. Aircraft destroyed. Four fatalities. destroyed and the pilot was killed.
The twin-engine Piper encountered strong winds over the Weather at the time of the daylight flight was reported as visual
mountains during a night flight under visual flight rules (VFR) meteorological conditions (VMC) with 5,000 feet (1,525
and the pilot diverted to a nearby airport to refuel. meters) scattered, 8,000 feet (2,440 meters) broken and nine
miles (14.4 kilometers) visibility.
The pilot contacted air traffic control and reported that he
intended to make an unscheduled fuel stop. The pilot requested,
and was issued, radar vectors to the diversion airport. Although Mechanical Failure Leads to
it was a dark night and the pilot-controlled airport lighting Hard Landing
was never activated, the pilot reported the airport in sight and
was cleared for the visual approach. Radar contact was lost Bell 47G. Substantial damage. No injuries.
about three minutes later.
The helicopter was flying at 50 feet (15.3 meters) above ground
The aircraft wreckage was found the following morning on a level (AGL) and was in the initial phase of a turnaround
mountainside east of the airport. Impact had occurred at 9,100 maneuver when the engine failed. The aircraft landed hard
feet (2,776 meters) about six miles (9.7 kilometers) east of the and the main rotor blades severed the tail boom.
5,622-foot (1,715-meter) elevation airport. Minimum safe
altitude was 12,400 feet (3,782 meters). A subsequent investigation determined that the power loss was
caused by the failure of the oil-pump drive gear in the accessory
case. Weather at the time was reported as visual meteorological
Twin Strikes Truck in conditions (VMC) with clear skies, 10 miles (16 kilometers)
Low-pass Maneuver visibility and winds at three knots.
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