Fin440 Project by Group 6 Sec 10
Fin440 Project by Group 6 Sec 10
Fin440 Project by Group 6 Sec 10
Report
Taskin Shakib
Lecturer
Department of Accounting and Finance
North South University
Course: FIN440
Section: 10
Faculty Initial : Tks
Submitted on: 24th November , 2023
Prepared by Group 6:
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Table of Content
Letter of Transmittal.................................................................................................................... 3
Executive Summary.....................................................................................................................4
Olympic Industries Limited.........................................................................................................4
Company Overview................................................................................................................. 4
Ratio Analysis.......................................................................................................................... 5
Unlevered Beta...................................................................................................................... 20
Sustainable Growth Rate (SGR) and Internal Growth Rate (IGR)...................................21
Sustainable Growth Rate:................................................................................................ 21
Internal Growth Rate:.......................................................................................................22
Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC).......................................................................... 23
Enterprise Value.....................................................................................................................25
THE WALT DISNEY COMPANY................................................................................................. 26
Company Overview............................................................................................................... 26
Unlevered Beta...................................................................................................................... 27
Enterprise Value.....................................................................................................................28
SGR and IGR for Walt Disney............................................................................................... 29
Proforma Income Statement..................................................................................................30
Pro Forma Balance Sheet..................................................................................................... 31
Intrinsic Valuation...................................................................................................................35
Investment Decision (Buy or Sell)..........................................................................................37
Explanation............................................................................................................................ 38
Appendix.................................................................................................................................... 39
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Letter of Transmittal
Dear Sir,
With immense joy, we deliver to you our report about Olympic Industries Limited and The Walt
Disney Company. We have made every effort to include all relevant information and
explanations in order to make this report comprehensive and informative. We learned a great deal
of knowledge and experience working on this project.
We want to express our gratitude for providing us with this platform to present our work. Your
lectures and explanations truly helped us finish our work.
Yours Sincerely,
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Executive Summary
In this report, we included the financial information of Olympic Industries Limited and The Walt
Disney Company. We have done a Ratio Analysis for Olympic Industries Limited based on 2022
along with the Internal Growth Rate, Sustainable Growth Rate, Unlevered Beta, Weighted
Average cost of capital, and Enterprise Value. For The Walt Disney Company, we calculated the
Enterprise value, intrinsic value, unlevered beta and a forecasted financial statement from 2022
to 2026. To conclude the report, we provided our evaluation regarding our findings.
Company Overview
Olympic Industries Limited is a dynamic company that dominates the consumer products sector.
It was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Dhaka, Bangladesh. The company is well-known
for its commitment to quality and innovation. Its diverse portfolio comprises food and beverage
products like biscuits, cookies, candies, and dairy products, in addition to batteries.
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Ratio Analysis
Profitability Ratios:
(Gross Profit/Revenue)*100
A financial indicator called gross profit margin indicates how much money a business generates
after deducting its cost of goods sold (COGS) from its revenue. It is given as a proportion of the
total revenue.
For organizations, the gross profit margin is a crucial indicator since it indicates the efficiency
with which revenue is converted into profit. A corporation may make a lot of money from sales
if it has a high gross profit margin. This may be the result of several things, including having an
effective production process, selling high-margin items, and having a great brand. We can see
that in 2022, Olympic generated 22.95% gross profit from its revenue. If this ratio is good or not
depends on the industry benchmark, its competitors and its past performance.
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Year Operating Profit Revenue Operating Margin
For 2022, the Operating Profit generated by Olympic from its revenue is 7.24%. Businesses
should pay close attention to operational profit margin as it indicates how well they are
controlling operating costs and turning income into profit. Even after deducting all of its running
expenses, a business with a high operational profit margin might still make a sizable profit from
sales. If this number is a healthy position for Olympic or not depends on a lot of external factors.
(Net Profit/Revenue)*100
The profitability ratio known as net profit margin, or net margin, indicates how much profit a
business makes from its entire revenue after deducting all costs, such as taxes, interest, and
operational expenditures.
In 2022, Olympic generated 5.62% net profit from its revenue. The most reliable indicator of a
company's profitability is its net profit margin. It includes all of the costs incurred by the
business, such as taxes, interest, and operational costs. Even after deducting all of its costs, a
firm with a high net profit margin can still make a sizable profit on its sales.
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Return on Assets (ROA)
In 2022, Olympic generated 9.16% profit from its assets which might be interpreted as a
reasonable amount yet it depends on other external factors. Because it demonstrates how
successfully a business is managing its assets to create profit, return on assets (ROA) is a crucial
indicator for investors. A high return on assets (ROA) is a sign of a company's productivity and
efficiency. Conversely, a low return on assets (ROA) suggests that a corporation could not be
making the most of its resources or that it might be too indebted.
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In 2022, Olympic generated 12.87% net profit from its shareholder’s equity which could mean it
generated beyond a reasonable amount of profit yet it depends on external factors for how
favourable this is for the company. Because it demonstrates how successfully a business is
managing its shareholders' money to create profit, return on equity (ROE) is a crucial indicator
for investors. A corporation that uses its shareholders' money effectively and profitably is one
that has a high return on equity (ROE). However, a poor return on equity (ROE) suggests that a
firm could not be making the most use of the stock held by its shareholders or that it might be too
indebted.
Revenue/Total Asset
A financial ratio called total asset turnover assesses how well a business uses its assets to
produce income. Net sales are divided by total assets to arrive at this figure.
In 2022, Olympic generated BDT 1.4860 of revenue for each unit BDT of assets it owns. Higher
total asset turnover ratios are generally regarded as preferable since they show that the business
is making better use of its resources to produce income. A lower ratio might mean that the
business is not making the best use of its assets or that it has a large number of non-generating
assets. The efficiency of several businesses within the same industry may be compared using
total asset turnover. Additionally, it may be used to monitor a company's performance over time
to determine if it is increasing or decreasing.
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DuPont Identity:
Profit margin, asset turnover, and equity multiplier are the three main components of return on
equity (ROE), as broken down by the DuPont Identity framework for financial ratio analysis. It
is an effective instrument for comprehending the elements that influence a business's profitability
and pinpointing areas in which the enterprise may enhance its operations. Because it illustrates
how each of these three factors affects a company's return on equity, the DuPont Identity is
helpful.
Year Net Profit Margin Total Asset Turnover Equity Multiplier ROE
Olympic's ROE is driven by its high asset turnover and equity multiplier. Despite having a slim
profit margin, the corporation manages to earn a high return on equity by taking on debt and
leveraging its assets efficiently.
Leverage ratios:
Operating Leverage
Operating leverage measures the sensitivity of a company's operating income, also known as
earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT), to changes in its sales or revenue. It helps businesses
and investors understand how changes in sales volumes affect a company's profitability. Gaining
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operating leverage means using fixed assets to their maximum capacity. If a company has
operating leverage, that means they have economies of scale.
Financial Leverage
Financial leverage reveals the extent to which a company depends on borrowing as well as how
it generates revenue through debt or borrowing. It can be used to evaluate the risks and possible
returns related to the capital structure of a business. Financial leverage can be computed in a
number of ways, but the debt-to-equity ratio is one of the most widely used formulas.
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Financial Leverage of Olympic:
A financial leverage of 0.54 means that for every 1 Taka of equity in the Olympic company, there
is 0.54 Taka of debt. It is relatively low and indicates that Olympic depends more on equity
financing than debt financing. This can be called a conservative approach to capital structure, as
the company is not heavily dependent on debt.
A company's Degree of Financial Leverage helps in determining the right amount of debt to
include in its capital structure. It shows how well the company is using its debt and how much
sales it can increase without having to take additional debt.
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Degree of Financial Leverage (DFL) of Olympic:
A Degree of Financial Leverage (DFL) of 1.055 means that for every 1% change in Earnings
Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT), the company's Net Income will change by approximately
1.055%. Moreover, A DFL of 1.055 indicates that the company's Net income is moderately
sensitive to changes in its EBIT.
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Efficiency Ratios:
Inventory Turnover
Inventory Days
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Receivables Turnover
Receivables Days
Payable Turnover
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Payables Turnover Purchase Average Payables
Payable Days
Liquidity Ratios:
Current Ratio
Current Asset = Current Asset / Current Liability.
Current Ratio measures a firm’s ability to pay off its short term debts/ obligations using its
current assets.
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As we can see, the current ratio of Olympic is 1.97:1 in 2022. This means that Olympic has
$1.97 worth of current assets for every $1 of current liability or short term debts. Thus, it might
be said that they might be able to pay off their short term liabilities easily using their current
assets. However, whether it is a good ratio to have depends on the type of concentration of its
current assets and how the industry works.
Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio= (Current Asset - Inventory) / Current Liability
Quick Ratio calculates the firm’s ability to pay off all its short term debts using just its liquid
short term assets.
Olympic’s Quick (Acid) test ratio is 1.42:1 in 2022, this shows that for every $1 of current
liability, Olympic has $1.42 worth of liquid current assets. This also shows that inventory counts
for almost a quarter of its total current assets, thus they are a bit dependent on inventory,
however they have enough liquid assets to operate smoothly.
Cash Ratio
Cash Ratio= Cash / Current Liability
Cash Ratio measures the firm’s ability to pay all its current liabilities using just its cash balance.
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Olympic’s Cash ratio is 0.13:1, this indicates the company’s ability to pay off their current
liabilities using just its cash and cash equivalents, the value is very low in first viewing.
However, we need to know the industry standards and benchmarks to decide whether the ratio is
in a proper position or improvement is needed.
NWC to Total Asset indicates the liquidity strength of a company, a value of 31% can be said to
be barely good enough for a company to operate under. However, the standards, benchmarks and
past ratio results will be needed to have a better comparison of the data.
Interval Measure
Interval Measure= Current Asset / Average Daily Operating Costs
Interval Measure calculates how many days the company can finance its operating costs using its
current assets.
Olympic’s Interval Measure in 2022 is 987.83 days, which is a very good value as it seems, as
the company will be able to finance its operating expenses for more than 2 and a half years.
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Price–earnings ratio:
The price-to-earnings ratio (P/E ratio) is a ratio that relates a company’s current share price to its
earnings per share. It gives a better sense of the value of the company. The P/E ratio reflects how
much money investors pay for the share of the company and also shows how much money it will
take to recover their investment. Higher P/E shows that investors have more faith in the
company. Hence, they are paying more. On the other hand, higher P/E could also mean that a
company’s stock is overvalued or investors are expecting a high growth rate in the future.
Year Price per share Earnings per share Price to earnings ratio
(P/E ratio)
Olympic’s P/E ratio of 20.57 means investors are willing to pay 20.57 Taka for every 1 Taka of
earnings per share that the company generates. It also indicates that investors have faith in
Olympic and they expect it’s earnings to grow in future. A P/E ratio of 20.57 can be considered
as moderate.
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Earnings per share (EPS):
Earnings per share = Earnings available for common shareholders / Common share Outstanding
In a given period, EPS represents how much earnings the firm generated against each share. It
can help investors to gain an idea of the firm’s financial performance. Also, EPS is the portion of
a company’s net income that is allocated to each outstanding common share.
EPS of Olympic:
An EPS of 6.03 indicates that Olympic is earning 6.03 Taka in profit for each outstanding share
of its common stock. This is a measure of the company's profitability on a per-share basis.
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Unlevered Beta
Beta is a measure that helps investors and other users understand the risk that a company has
compared to the risk involved in the whole company. In other words, beta represents a systematic
risk of a specific company.
There are two types of beta - Levered beta (it measures the exposure to systematic risk of a
company that has debts) and Unlevered beta (it is the beta of a company without any debt).
Also, the average tax rate that Olympic Industries has is 22.5%.
= 0.54
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Sustainable Growth Rate (SGR) and Internal Growth Rate (IGR)
In this context, SGR stands for Sustainable Growth Rate, albeit it can mean many different
things. It's a financial indicator that shows how fast a business can expand without needing to
obtain outside capital.
A company's ability to create profit from its shareholders' stock is gauged by its return on equity
(ROE). The percentage of earnings retained by the business following shareholder dividend
payments is known as the retention ratio. A corporation can develop quicker without needing to
obtain outside investment if its SGR is higher. This is typically viewed as positive as it indicates
that the business can produce enough revenue from its activities to support its expansion.
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Year Retention Rate ROE SGR
The acronym for internal growth rate is IGR. It is a financial indicator that assesses how quickly
an organization may expand using money it generates internally.
IGR is a valuable indicator for businesses as it indicates the rate at which they may expand
without needing to get outside finance. An organization with a high internal growth rate (IGR)
may produce a significant amount of cash from its own activities and is consequently less
dependent on outside funding. There are several reasons why this might be advantageous,
including:
● Lowering the capital cost
● Keeping command of the business
● Mitigating monetary risk
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Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is a method to calculate the average cost of financing
a company’s operations. Moreover, it represents the average rate of return that a company has to
pay to its investors (both debt and equity holders).
WACC = Rd × (1 - T) × Wd + We × Re
Where,
Rd = Cost of Debt
T = Tax rate
Wd = Weight of Debt
We = Weight of Equity
Re = Cost of Equity
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And, Weight of Equity, We = Total Equity / Total Asset
= 9,364,732,683 / 14,426,960,894
= 0.65
= 65%
Calculating WACC:
WACC = Rd × (1 - T) × Wd + We × Re
= 8% × (1- 0.225) × 0.35 + 0.65 × 16.05%
= 2.17 + 10.4325
= 12.60%
Therefore, the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) of Olympic in 2022 is 12.60%. It
means that, on average, Olympic is incurring a cost of 12.60% for the capital it uses to fund its
operations and investments.
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Enterprise Value
Market Cap:
Enterprise Value:
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THE WALT DISNEY COMPANY
Company Overview
Founded in 1923, the Walt Disney Company is headquartered in California and has expanded
into a major force in the global entertainment industry. Among its divisions are Media Networks
(ABC, ESPN), Parks, Experiences, and Products (merchandise, theme parks), Studio
Entertainment (Disney, Pixar, Marvel), and Direct-to-Consumer and international (Disney+).
Disney enthralls audiences with recognizable characters and franchises across a variety of
entertainment mediums, including streaming services and movies. Disney is committed to
sustainability and social responsibility, and it keeps innovating and growing its global reach.
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Unlevered Beta
As mentioned earlier, Beta is used to measure the exposure to undiversified risk of a company.
Unlevered Beta is the beta when the company doesn’t use any debts or loans to leverage its
operations.
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Enterprise Value
Market Cap:
Enterprise Value:
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SGR and IGR for Walt Disney
Walt Disney gave out no dividend in the year 2022 so the dividend payout is 0 and consequently
the retention rate is 1.00
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Proforma Income Statement
Restructuring &
Impairment Charges 237 245.82 254.96 261.90 271.64 281.74
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We will be using the Sustainable Growth Rate (3.72%) as the future growth rate for our
balance sheet, as well. To create our Pro forma Balance Sheet, we will need to consider the
following assumptions:
● Walt Disney is currently operating at full (100%) capacity.
Current Assets
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Parks, Resorts and
other properties
Current Liability
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Deferred revenue and 5,790 6,005.39 6,228.79 6,460.50 6,700.83 6,950.10
other
Equity
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Noncontrolling 3,871 4,015 4,164.36 4,319.27 4,479.95 4,646.60
interests
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Intrinsic Valuation
The return that a firm, asset, or collection of assets can produce throughout the course of their
useful lives must be evaluated in order to determine its value. To achieve this, we will use the
Discounted CF Model to calculate Walt Disney’s intrinsic valuation.
We decided to forecast Walt Disney’s CFs for 5 years and then calculate a terminal value. Here,
● Growth rate: SGR = 3.72%
● WACC = 9.2% (According to Gurufocus.com)
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Terminal Value:
Total Value:
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Intrinsic Value
Fair value of each share = Total Fair Equity Value / Number of CS outstanding
= $7077.45 Million / 1,827 Million
= $3.88
From our assessment, we determined the fair price of Walt Disney to be $3.88. However, the
current market price of Walt Disney is $85.73, which indicates that the firm's share price is
highly overvalued. As a result, we should not invest in the firm's stock because it is overpriced,
and its share price can drop at any time.
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Explanation
Intrinsic value is an estimate of a company's actual value that is unrelated to how the market
perceives it. After analyzing and calculating the intrinsic valuation of Walt Disney, we
recommend against investing in this firm at this time. This valuation shows that the company
should ideally be priced at $3.88 per share. The present market price of $85.73 is, however,
significantly higher than the price suggested by our assessment. This substantial difference
implies that the market is pricing Disney's stock much above its fair value. When a stock's
market price is much higher than its fair value, it is overvalued.
A stock that is overvalued indicates that the market has already priced in positive expectations or
potential for growth that may not happen, leaving limited opportunity for possible gains and
exposing investors to higher risks.
The risk of investing in an overvalued stock like Disney at $85.73 is that if market sentiment
shifts or the company's performance does not meet the high expectations already factored into
the stock price, the stock price could fall significantly to align with its fair value. As a result, the
decision not to buy Disney stock at its present market price of $85.73 is guided by the
assessment that the stock is overpriced in comparison to its fair value of $3.88.
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Appendix
Olympic Industries Ltd
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Walt Disney
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