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Biostatistical Analysis
Jerrold H. Zar
Fifth Edition
Pearson Education Limited
Edinburgh Gate
Harlow
Essex CM20 2JE
England and Associated Companies throughout the world
All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted
in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, without either the
prior written permission of the publisher or a licence permitting restricted copying in the United Kingdom
issued by the Copyright Licensing Agency Ltd, Saffron House, 6–10 Kirby Street, London EC1N 8TS.
All trademarks used herein are the property of their respective owners. The use of any trademark
in this text does not vest in the author or publisher any trademark ownership rights in such
trademarks, nor does the use of such trademarks imply any affiliation with or endorsement of this
book by such owners.
Table of Contents
I
14. Multiway Factorial Analysis of Variance
Jerrold H. Zar 313
15. Nested (Hierarchical) Analysis of Variance
Jerrold H. Zar 327
16. Multivariate Analysis of Variance
Jerrold H. Zar 337
17. Simple Linear Regression
Jerrold H. Zar 351
18. Comparing Simple Linear Regression Equations
Jerrold H. Zar 387
19. Simple Linear Correlation
Jerrold H. Zar 405
20. Multiple Regression and Correlation
Jerrold H. Zar 447
21. Polynomial Regression
Jerrold H. Zar 487
22. Testing for Goodness of Fit
Jerrold H. Zar 497
23. Contingency Tables
Jerrold H. Zar 523
24. Dichotomous Variables
Jerrold H. Zar 553
25. Testing for Randomness
Jerrold H. Zar 623
26. Circular Distributions: Descriptive Statistics
Jerrold H. Zar 645
27. Circular Distributions: Hypothesis Testing
Jerrold H. Zar 665
Literature Cited
Jerrold H. Zar 713
Index 751
II
Data: Types and Presentation
Scientific study involves the systematic collection, organization, analysis, and presen-
tation of knowledge. Many investigations in the biological sciences are quantitative,
where knowledge is in the form of numerical observations called data. (One numeri-
cal observation is a datum.*) In order for the presentation and analysis of data to be
valid and useful, we must use methods appropriate to the type of data obtained, to the
design of the data collection, and to the questions asked of the data; and the limita-
tions of the data, of the data collection, and of the data analysis should be appreciated
when formulating conclusions.
The word statistics is derived from the Latin for “state,” indicating the historical
importance of governmental data gathering, which related principally to demographic
information (including census data and “vital statistics”) and often to their use in
military recruitment and tax collecting.†
The term statistics is often encountered as a synonym for data: One hears of col-
lege enrollment statistics (such as the numbers of newly admitted students, numbers
of senior students, numbers of students from various geographic locations), statistics
of a basketball game (such as how many points were scored by each player, how
many fouls were committed), labor statistics (such as numbers of workers unem-
ployed, numbers employed in various occupations), and so on. Hereafter, this use
of the word statistics will not appear in this text. Instead, it will be used in its other
common manner: to refer to the orderly collection, analysis, and interpretation of data
with a view to objective evaluation of conclusions based on the data.
Statistics applied to biological problems is simply called biostatistics or, sometimes,
biometry‡ (the latter term literally meaning “biological measurement”). Although
*The term data is sometimes seen as a singular noun meaning “numerical information.” This
book refrains from that use.
† Peters (1987: 79) and Walker (1929: 32) attribute the first use of the term statistics to a German
professor, Gottfried Achenwall (1719–1772), who used the German word Statistik in 1749, and the
first published use of the English word to John Sinclair (1754–1835) in 1791.
‡ The word biometry, which literally means “biological measurement,” had, since the nine-
teenth century, been found in several contexts (such as demographics and, later, quantitative genet-
ics; Armitage,1985;Stigler,2000),butusingittomeantheapplicationofstatisticalmethodstobiological
information apparently was conceived between 1892 and 1901 by Karl Pearson, along with the name
Biometrika for the still-important English journal he helped found; and it was first published in the
inaugural issue of this journal in 1901 (Snedecor, 1954). The Biometrics Section of the American
the field of statistics has roots extending back hundreds of years, its development
began in earnest in the late nineteenth century, and a major impetus from early in
this development has been the need to examine biological data.
Statistical considerations can aid in the design of experiments intended to collect
data and in the setting up of hypotheses to be tested. Many biologists attempt the
analysis of their research data only to find that too few data were collected to enable
reliable conclusions to be drawn, or that much extra effort was expended in collecting
data that cannot be of ready use in the analysis of the experiment. Thus, a knowledge
of basic statistical principles and procedures is important as research questions are
formulated before an experiment and data collection are begun.
Once data have been obtained, we may organize and summarize them in such
a way as to arrive at their orderly and informative presentation. Such procedures
are often termed descriptive statistics. For example, measurements might be made
of the heights of all 13-year-old children in a school district, perhaps determining
an average height for each sex. However, perhaps it is desired to make some gen-
eralizations from these data. We might, for example, wish to make a reasonable
estimate of the heights of all 13-year-olds in the state. Or we might wish to con-
clude whether the 13-year-old boys in the state are on the average taller than the girls
of that age. The ability to make such generalized conclusions, inferring characteris-
tics of the whole from characteristics of its parts, lies within the realm of inferential
statistics.
(a) Data on a Ratio Scale. Imagine that we are studying a group of plants, that the
heights of the plants constitute a variable of interest, and that the number of leaves
per plant is another variable under study. It is possible to assign a numerical value
to the height of each plant, and counting the leaves allows a numerical value to be
recorded for the number of leaves on each plant. Regardless of whether the height
measurements are recorded in centimeters, inches, or other units, and regardless of
whether the leaves are counted in a number system using base 10 or any other base,
there are two fundamentally important characteristics of these data.
First, there is a constant size interval between adjacent units on the measurement
scale. That is, the difference in height between a 36-cm and a 37-cm plant is the same
Statistical Association was established in 1938, successor to the Committee on Biometrics of that
organization, and began publishing the Biometrics Bulletin in 1945, which transformed in 1947 into
the journal Biometrics, a journal retaining major importance today. More recently, the term bio-
metrics has become widely used to refer to the study of human physical characteristics (including
facial and hand characteristics, fingerprints, DNA profiles, and retinal patterns) for identification
purposes.
∗ “Variate” was first used by R. A. Fisher (1925: 5; David, 1995).
2
Data: Types and Presentation
as the difference between a 39-cm and a 40-cm plant, and the difference between
eight and ten leaves is equal to the difference between nine and eleven leaves.
Second, it is important that there exists a zero point on the measurement scale
and that there is a physical significance to this zero. This enables us to say something
meaningful about the ratio of measurements. We can say that a 30-cm (11.8-in.) tall
plant is half as tall as a 60-cm (23.6-in.) plant, and that a plant with forty-five leaves
has three times as many leaves as a plant with fifteen.
Measurement scales having a constant interval size and a true zero point are said
to be ratio scales of measurement. Besides lengths and numbers of items, ratio scales
include weights (mg, lb, etc.), volumes (cc, cu ft, etc.), capacities (ml, qt, etc.), rates
(cm/sec, mph, mg/min, etc.), and lengths of time (hr, yr, etc.).
(b) Data on an Interval Scale. Some measurement scales possess a constant interval
size but not a true zero; they are called interval scales. A common example is that
of the two common temperature scales: Celsius (C) and Fahrenheit (F). We can see
that the same difference exists between 20◦ C (68◦ F) and 25◦ C (77◦ F) as between 5◦ C
(41◦ F) and 10◦ C (50◦ F); that is, the measurement scale is composed of equal-sized
intervals. But it cannot be said that a temperature of 40◦ C (104◦ F) is twice as hot
as a temperature of 20◦ C (68◦ F); that is, the zero point is arbitrary.∗ (Temperature
measurements on the absolute, or Kelvin [K], scale can be referred to a physically
meaningful zero and thus constitute a ratio scale.)
Some interval scales encountered in biological data collection are circular scales.
Time of day and time of the year are examples of such scales. The interval between
2:00 p.m. (i.e., 1400 hr) and 3:30 p.m. (1530 hr) is the same as the interval between 8:00
a.m. (0800 hr) and 9:30 a.m. (0930 hr). But one cannot speak of ratios of times of day
because the zero point (midnight) on the scale is arbitrary, in that one could just as
well set up a scale for time of day which would have noon, or 3:00 p.m., or any other
time as the zero point. Circular biological data are occasionally compass points, as
if one records the compass direction in which an animal or plant is oriented. As the
designation of north as 0◦ is arbitrary, this circular scale is a form of interval scale of
measurement.
(c) Data on an Ordinal Scale. The preceding paragraphs on ratio and interval scales
of measurement discussed data between which we know numerical differences. For
example, if man A weighs 90 kg and man B weighs 80 kg, then man A is known
to weigh 10 kg more than B. But our data may, instead, be a record only of the
fact that man A weighs more than man B (with no indication of how much more).
Thus, we may be dealing with relative differences rather than quantitative differences.
Such data consist of an ordering or ranking of measurements and are said to be on
an ordinal scale of measurement (ordinal being from the Latin word for “order”).
We may speak of one biological entity being shorter, darker, faster, or more active
than another; the sizes of five cell types might be labeled 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5, to denote
∗ The German-Dutch physicist Gabriel Daniel Fahrenheit (1686–1736) invented the thermome-
ter in 1714 and in 1724 employed a scale on which salt water froze at zero degrees, pure water froze
at 32 degrees, and pure water boiled at 212 degrees. In 1742 the Swedish astronomer Anders Cel-
sius (1701–1744) devised a temperature scale with 100 degrees between the freezing and boiling
points of water (the so-called “centigrade” scale), first by referring to zero degrees as boiling and
100 degrees as freezing, and later (perhaps at the suggestion of Swedish botanist and taxonomist
Carolus Linnaeus [1707–1778]) reversing these two reference points (Asimov, 1982: 177).
3
Data: Types and Presentation
their magnitudes relative to each other; or success in learning to run a maze may be
recorded as A, B, or C.
It is often true that biological data expressed on the ordinal scale could have been
expressed on the interval or ratio scale had exact measurements been obtained (or
obtainable). Sometimes data that were originally on interval or ratio scales will be
changed to ranks; for example, examination grades of 99, 85, 73, and 66% (ratio scale)
might be recorded as A, B, C, and D (ordinal scale), respectively.
Ordinal-scale data contain and convey less information than ratio or interval data,
for only relative magnitudes are known. Consequently, quantitative comparisons are
impossible (e.g., we cannot speak of a grade of C being half as good as a grade of
A, or of the difference between cell sizes 1 and 2 being the same as the difference
between sizes 3 and 4). However, we will see that many useful statistical procedures
are, in fact, applicable to ordinal data.
(d) Data in Nominal Categories. Sometimes the variable being studied is classified
by some qualitative measure it possesses rather than by a numerical measurement.
In such cases the variable may be called an attribute, and we are said to be dealing
with nominal, or categorical, data. Genetic phenotypes are commonly encountered
biological attributes: The possible manifestations of an animal’s eye color might be
brown or blue; and if human hair color were the attribute of interest, we might
record black, brown, blond, or red. As other examples of nominal data (nominal is
from the Latin word for “name”), people might be classified as male or female, or
right-handed or left-handed. Or, plants might be classified as dead or alive, or as with
or without fertilizer application. Taxonomic categories also form a nominal classi-
fication scheme (for example, plants in a study might be classified as pine, spruce,
or fir).
Sometimes, data that might have been expressed on an ordinal, interval, or ratio
scale of measurement may be recorded in nominal categories. For example, heights
might be recorded as tall or short, or performance on an examination as pass or fail,
where there is an arbitrary cut-off point on the measurement scale to separate tall
from short and pass from fail.
As will be seen, statistical methods useful with ratio, interval, or ordinal data gen-
erally are not applicable to nominal data, and we must, therefore, be able to identify
such situations when they occur.
(e) Continuous and Discrete Data. When we spoke previously of plant heights, we
were dealing with a variable that could be any conceivable value within any observed
range; this is referred to as a continuous variable. That is, if we measure a height of
35 cm and a height of 36 cm, an infinite number of heights is possible in the range
from 35 to 36 cm: a plant might be 35.07 cm tall or 35.988 cm tall, or 35.3263 cm tall,
and so on, although, of course, we do not have devices sensitive enough to detect this
infinity of heights. A continuous variable is one for which there is a possible value
between any other two values.
However, when speaking of the number of leaves on a plant, we are dealing with a
variable that can take on only certain values. It might be possible to observe 27 leaves,
or 28 leaves, but 27.43 leaves and 27.9 leaves are values of the variable that are
impossible to obtain. Such a variable is termed a discrete or discontinuous variable
(also known as a meristic variable). The number of white blood cells in 1 mm3 of
blood, the number of giraffes visiting a water hole, and the number of eggs laid by
a grasshopper are all discrete variables. The possible values of a discrete variable
generally are consecutive integers, but this is not necessarily so. If the leaves on our
4
Data: Types and Presentation
plants are always formed in pairs, then only even integers are possible values of the
variable. And the ratio of number of wings to number of legs of insects is a discrete
variable that may only have the value of 0, 0.3333 . . . , or 0.6666 . . . (i.e., 06 , 26 , or 46 ,
respectively).∗
Ratio-, interval-, and ordinal-scale data may be either continuous or discrete.
Nominal-scale data by their nature are discrete.
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 kg 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 kg
(a) (b)
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 kg 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 kg
(c) (d)
FIGURE 1: Accuracy and precision of measurements. A 3-kilogram animal is weighed 10 times. The 10
measurements shown in sample (a) are relatively accurate and precise; those in sample (b) are relatively
accurate but not precise; those of sample (c) are relatively precise but not accurate; and those of sample
(d) are relatively inaccurate and imprecise.
Human error may exist in the recording of data. For example, a person may mis-
count the number of birds in a tract of land or misread the numbers on a heart-rate
monitor. Or, a person might obtain correct data but record them in such a way (per-
haps with poor handwriting) that a subsequent data analyst makes an error in reading
them. We shall assume that such errors have not occurred, but there are other aspects
of accuracy that should be considered.
Accuracy of measurement can be expressed in numerical reporting. If we report
that the hind leg of a frog is 8 cm long, we are stating the number 8 (a value of a
continuous variable) as an estimate of the frog’s true leg length. This estimate was
made using some sort of a measuring device. Had the device been capable of more
accuracy, we might have declared that the leg was 8.3 cm long, or perhaps 8.32 cm
long. When recording values of continuous variables, it is important to designate the
accuracy with which the measurements have been made. By convention, the value
8 denotes a measurement in the range of 7.50000 . . . to 8.49999 . . . , the value 8.3
designates a range of 8.25000 . . . to 8.34999 . . . , and the value 8.32 implies that the
true value lies within the range of 8.31500 . . . to 8.32499 . . . . That is, the reported
value is the midpoint of the implied range, and the size of this range is designated
by the last decimal place in the measurement. The value of 8 cm implies an ability to
∗ The ellipsis marks (. . .) may be read as “and so on.” Here, they indicate that 2 and 4 are
6 6
repeating decimal fractions, which could just as well have been written as 0.3333333333333 . . . and
0.6666666666666 . . . , respectively.
5
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Data: Types and Presentation
determine length within a range of 1 cm, 8.3 cm implies a range of 0.1 cm, and 8.32 cm
implies a range of 0.01 cm. Thus, to record a value of 8.0 implies greater accuracy of
measurement than does the recording of a value of 8, for in the first instance the
true value is said to lie between 7.95000 . . . and 8.049999 . . . (i.e., within a range of
0.1 cm), whereas 8 implies a value between 7.50000 . . . and 8.49999 . . . (i.e., within a
range of 1 cm). To state 8.00 cm implies a measurement that ascertains the frog’s limb
length to be between 7.99500 . . . and 8.00499 . . . cm (i.e., within a range of 0.01 cm).
Those digits in a number that denote the accuracy of the measurement are referred
to as significant figures. Thus, 8 has one significant figure, 8.0 and 8.3 each have two
significant figures, and 8.00 and 8.32 each have three.
In working with exact values of discrete variables, the preceding considerations do
not apply. That is, it is sufficient to state that our frog has four limbs or that its left
lung contains thirteen flukes. The use of 4.0 or 13.00 would be inappropriate, for as the
numbers involved are exactly 4 and 13, there is no question of accuracy or significant
figures.
But there are instances where significant figures and implied accuracy come into
play with discrete data. An entomologist may report that there are 72,000 moths in
a particular forest area. In doing so, it is probably not being claimed that this is the
exact number but an estimate of the exact number, perhaps accurate to two significant
figures. In such a case, 72,000 would imply a range of accuracy of 1000, so that the true
value might lie anywhere from 71,500 to 72,500. If the entomologist wished to convey
the fact that this estimate is believed to be accurate to the nearest 100 (i.e., to three
significant figures), rather than to the nearest 1000, it would be better to present the
data in the form of scientific notation,∗ as follows: If the number 7.2 × 104 (= 72,000)
is written, a range of accuracy of 0.1 × 104 (= 1000) is implied, and the true value is
assumed to lie between 71,500 and 72,500. But if 7.20 × 104 were written, a range of
accuracy of 0.01 × 104 (= 100) would be implied, and the true value would be assumed
to be in the range of 71,950 to 72,050. Thus, the accuracy of large values (and this
applies to continuous as well as discrete variables) can be expressed succinctly using
scientific notation.
Calculators and computers typically yield results with more significant figures than
are justified by the data. However, it is good practice—to avoid rounding error—to
retain many significant figures until the last step in a sequence of calculations, and on
attaining the result of the final step to round off to the appropriate number of figures.
3 FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTIONS
When collecting and summarizing large amounts of data, it is often helpful to record
the data in the form of a frequency table. Such a table simply involves a listing of all
the observed values of the variable being studied and how many times each value is
observed. Consider the tabulation of the frequency of occurrence of sparrow nests
in each of several different locations. This is illustrated in Example 1, where the
observed kinds of nest sites are listed, and for each kind the number of nests observed
is recorded. The distribution of the total number of observations among the vari-
ous categories is termed a frequency distribution. Example 1 is a frequency table
for nominal data, and these data may also be presented graphically by means of a
bar graph (Figure 2), where the height of each bar is proportional to the frequency
in the class represented. The widths of all bars in a bar graph should be equal so
∗ The use of scientific notation—by physicists—can be traced back to at least the 1860s (Miller,
2004b).
6
Data: Types and Presentation
60
50
Number of Nests
40
30
20
10
0
A B C D
Nest Site
FIGURE 2: A bar graph of the sparrow nest data of Example 1. An example of a bar graph for nominal
data.
that the eye of the reader is not distracted from the differences in bar heights; this
also makes the area of each bar proportional to the frequency it represents. Also,
the frequency scale on the vertical axis should begin at zero to avoid the apparent
differences among bars. If, for example, a bar graph of the data of Example 1 were
constructed with the vertical axis representing frequencies of 45 to 60 rather than 0
to 60, the results would appear as in Figure 3. Huff (1954) illustrates other techniques
that can mislead the readers of graphs. It is good practice to leave space between
the bars of a bar graph of nominal data, to emphasize the distinctness among the
categories represented.
A frequency tabulation of ordinal data might appear as in Example 2, which pre-
sents the observed numbers of sunfish collected in each of five categories, each cate-
gory being a degree of skin pigmentation. A bar graph (Figure 4) can be prepared for
this frequency distribution just as for nominal data.
7
Data: Types and Presentation
60
Number of Nests
55
50
45
A B C D
Nest Site
FIGURE 3: A bar graph of the sparrow nest data of Example 1, drawn with the vertical axis starting at
45. Compare this with Figure 1, where the axis starts at 0.
70
60
Number of Fish
50
40
30
20
10
0
0 1 2 3 4
Pigmentation Class
FIGURE 4: A bar graph of the sunfish pigmentation data of Example 2. An example of a bar graph for
ordinal data.
8
Data: Types and Presentation
In preparing frequency tables of interval- and ratio-scale data, we can make a pro-
cedural distinction between discrete and continuous data. Example 3 shows discrete
data that are frequencies of litter sizes in foxes, and Figure 5 presents this frequency
distribution graphically.
30
25
Number of Litters
20
15
10
0
3 4 5 6 7
Litter Size
FIGURE 5: A bar graph of the fox litter data of Example 3. An example of a bar graph for discrete,
ratio-scale data.
Example 4a shows discrete data that are the numbers of aphids found per clover
plant. These data create quite a lengthy frequency table, and it is not difficult to imag-
ine sets of data whose tabulation would result in an even longer list of frequencies.
Thus, for purposes of preparing bar graphs, we often cast data into a frequency table
by grouping them.
Example 4b is a table of the data from Example 4a arranged by grouping the data
into size classes. The bar graph for this distribution appears as Figure 6. Such group-
ing results in the loss of some information and is generally utilized only to make
frequency tables and bar graphs easier to read, and not for calculations performed on
9
Data: Types and Presentation
the data. There have been several “rules of thumb” proposed to aid in deciding into
how many classes data might reasonably be grouped, for the use of too few groups will
obscure the general shape of the distribution. But such “rules” or recommendations
are only rough guides, and the choice is generally left to good judgment, bearing in
mind that from 10 to 20 groups are useful for most biological work. (See also Doane,
1976.) In general, groups should be established that are equal in the size interval of
the variable being measured. (For example, the group size interval in Example 4b is
four aphids per plant.)
Because continuous data, contrary to discrete data, can take on an infinity of val-
ues, one is essentially always dealing with a frequency distribution tabulated by
groups. If the variable of interest were a weight, measured to the nearest 0.1 mg, a fre-
quency table entry of the number of weights measured to be 48.6 mg would be inter-
preted to mean the number of weights grouped between 48.5500 . . . and 48.6499 . . . mg
(although in a frequency table this class interval is usually written as 48.55–48.65).
Example 5 presents a tabulation of 130 determinations of the amount of phosphorus,
in milligrams per gram, in dried leaves. (Ignore the last two columns of this table until
Section 4.)
10
Data: Types and Presentation
80
70
Frequency of Observations
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
0–3 4–7 8–11 12–15 16–19 20–23 24–27 28–31 32–35 36–39 40–43
Observed Number of Aphids per Plant
FIGURE 6: A bar graph of the aphid data of Example 4b. An example of a bar graph for grouped discrete,
ratio-scale data.
11
Data: Types and Presentation
Cumulative frequency
Frequency
Phosphorus (i.e., number of Starting with Starting with
(mg/g of leaf) determinations) Low Values High Values
8.15–8.25 2 2 130
8.25–8.35 6 8 128
8.35–8.45 8 16 122
8.45–8.55 11 27 114
8.55–8.65 17 44 103
8.65–8.75 17 61 86
8.75–8.85 24 85 69
8.85–8.95 18 103 45
8.95–9.05 13 116 27
9.05–9.15 10 126 14
9.15–9.25 4 130 4
Total frequency = 130 = n
30
25
Frequency
20
15
10
0
8.2 8.3 8.4 8.5 8.6 8.7 8.8 8.9 9.0 9.1 9.2
Phosphorus (mg/g of leaf)
FIGURE 7: A histogram of the leaf phosphorus data of Example 5. An example of a histogram for con-
tinuous data.
∗ The term histogram is from Greek roots (referring to a pole-shaped drawing) and was first
published by Karl Pearson in 1895 (David 1995).
12
Data: Types and Presentation
30
0.20
25
Relative Frequency
Frequency
20 0.15
15
0.10
10
0.05
5
0 0
8.2 8.3 8.4 8.5 8.6 8.7 8.8 8.9 9.0 9.1 9.2
Phosphorus (mg/g of leaf)
13
Data: Types and Presentation
140
1.00
120 0.90
0.80
Relative Cumulative Frequency
100
Cumulative Frequency
0.70
80 0.60
0.50
60
0.40
40 0.30
0.20
20
0.10
0 0
8.2 8.3 8.4 8.5 8.6 8.7 8.8 8.9 9.0 9.1 9.2
Phosphorus (mg/g of leaf)
FIGURE 9: Cumulative frequency polygon of the leaf phosphorus data of Example 5, with cumulation
commencing from the lowest to the highest values of the variable.
14
Data: Types and Presentation
140
1.00
120 0.90
0.80
Cumulative Frequency
0.70
80 0.60
0.50
60
0.40
40 0.30
0.20
20
0.10
0 0
8.2 8.3 8.4 8.5 8.6 8.7 8.8 8.9 9.0 9.1 9.2
Phosphorus (mg/g of leaf)
FIGURE 10: Cumulative frequency polygon of the leaf phosphorus data of Example 5, with cumulation
commencing from the highest to the lowest values of the variable.
15
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Populations and Samples
1 POPULATIONS
2 SAMPLES FROM POPULATIONS
3 RANDOM SAMPLING
4 PARAMETERS AND STATISTICS
5 OUTLIERS
1 POPULATIONS
Basic to statistical analysis is the desire to draw conclusions about a group of mea-
surements of a variable being studied. Biologists often speak of a “population” as a
defined group of humans or of another species of organisms. Statisticians speak of
a population (also called a universe) as a group of measurements (not organisms)
about which one wishes to draw conclusions. It is the latter definition, the statistical
definition of population, that will be used throughout this text. For example, an inves-
tigator may desire to draw conclusions about the tail lengths of bobcats in Montana.
All Montana bobcat tail lengths are, therefore, the population under consideration.
If a study is concerned with the blood-glucose concentration in three-year-old chil-
dren, then the blood-glucose levels in all children of that age are the population of
interest.
Populations are often very large, such as the body weights of all grasshoppers in
Kansas or the eye colors of all female New Zealanders, but occasionally populations
of interest may be relatively small, such as the ages of men who have traveled to the
moon or the heights of women who have swum the English Channel.
18
Populations and Samples
draw conclusions about the characteristics of the populations from which the samples
came.∗
Biologists may sample a population that does not physically exist. Suppose an
experiment is performed in which a food supplement is administered to 40 guinea
pigs, and the sample data consist of the growth rates of these 40 animals. Then the
population about which conclusions might be drawn is the growth rates of all the
guinea pigs that conceivably might have been administered the same food supple-
ment under identical conditions. Such a population is said to be “imaginary” and is
also referred to as “hypothetical” or “potential.”
3 RANDOM SAMPLING
Samples from populations can be obtained in a number of ways; however, for a sam-
ple to be representative of the population from which it came, and to reach valid con-
clusions about populations by induction from samples, statistical procedures typically
assume that the samples are obtained in a random fashion. To sample a population
randomly requires that each member of the population has an equal and independent
chance of being selected. That is, not only must each measurement in the population
have an equal chance of being chosen as a member of the sample, but the selection
of any member of the population must in no way influence the selection of any other
member. Throughout this text, “sample” will always imply “random sample.”†
It is sometimes possible to assign each member of a population a unique number
and to draw a sample by choosing a set of such numbers at random. This is equivalent
to having all members of a population in a hat and drawing a sample from them while
blindfolded. Table 41 from Appendix: Statistical Tables and Graphs provides 10,000
random digits for this purpose. In this table, each digit from 0 to 9 has an equal and
independent chance of appearing anywhere in the table. Similarly, each combination
of two digits, from 00 to 99, is found at random in the table, as is each three-digit
combination, from 000 to 999, and so on.
Assume that a random sample of 200 names is desired from a telephone directory
having 274 pages, three columns of names per page, and 98 names per column. Enter-
ing Table 41 from Appendix: Statistical Tables and Graphs at random (i.e., do not
always enter the table at the same place), one might decide first to arrive at a random
combination of three digits. If this three-digit number is 001 to 274, it can be taken
as a randomly chosen page number (if it is 000 or larger than 274, simply skip it and
choose another three-digit number, e.g., the next one on the table). Then one might
examine the next digit in the table; if it is a 1, 2, or 3, let it denote a page column (if a
digit other than 1, 2, or 3 is encountered, it is ignored, passing to the next digit that is
1, 2, or 3). Then one could look at the next two-digit number in the table; if it is from
01 to 98, let it represent a randomly selected name within that column. This three-
step procedure would be performed a total of 200 times to obtain the desired random
sample. One can proceed in any direction in the random number table: left to right,
right to left, upward, downward, or diagonally; but the direction should be decided
on before looking at the table. Computers are capable of quickly generating random
numbers (sometimes called “pseudorandom” numbers because the number gener-
ation is not perfectly random), and this is how Table 41 from Appendix: Statistical
Tables and Graphs was derived.
∗ This use of the terms population and sample was established by Karl Pearson (1903).
† This concept of random sampling was established by Karl Pearson between 1897 and 1903
(Miller, 2004a).
19
Populations and Samples
∗ This use of the terms parameter and statistic was defined by R. A. Fisher as early as 1922 (Miller,
2004a; Savage, 1976).
† The precision of a sample statistic, as defined here, should not be confused with the precision
of a measurement.
20
Other documents randomly have
different content
Emily Maria, born August 17th, 1847,
died April 13th, 1656.
Phœbe Catharine, born August 10th, 1848,
died April 14th, 1856.
James Bulkley Phillips, born Aug. 7th, 1850,
died April 16th, 1856.
Clara Artemisia, born Oct. 10th, 1852,
died April 21st, 1856.
“The voice said cry, and he said what shall I cry? all flesh is
grass, and all the goodliness thereof is as the flower of the
field. The grass withereth, the flower fadeth, but the word of
our God shall stand for ever.”
Isaiah xl. 6–8.
It is the Lord: let him do what seemeth him good.
I. Samuel iii. 18.
Shall not the Judge of all the earth do right?
Genesis xviii. 25.
In Affectionate Memory of
Richard Cecil Henry,
The second beloved son of
James Henry Gwyther, M.A., Vicar of this Parish,
And Mary Catharine his wife.
Born Sep. 21st, 1851. Died April 4th, 1855.
Yes, Thou art fled and saints a welcome sing,
Thine infant spirit soars on angels’ wing,
Our dark affection might have hop’d thy stay,
The voice of God has called his child away.
Sweet Rose of Sharon, plant of holy ground,
Like Samuel early in the temple found;
Oh; more than Samuel blest, to thee ’tis given,
The God he served on earth, to serve in heaven.
Benefactions.
1706. May 28th, Basil Brooke, Esq. of Madeley gave by will £40, to
which an addition of £60 was made by unknown Benefactors,
wherewith certain Cottages and Premises were purchased and
conveyed to Trustees for the benefit of the Poor of this Parish.
1800. The yearly sum of five shillings was given to the Poor of this
Parish to be paid out of the Rates of the Premises lately belonging to
Mr. Richard Beddoes, but now in the possession of Walter Bowdler,
of Madeley.
1825. Joseph Reynolds, Esq., of the Bank House, presented a
Service of Communion Plate for the use of this Church, of the value
of £100.
1810. Sept. 6th, Mr. William Yate, of this Parish, gave by will to the
Churchwardens for the time being in Trust, four kneelings in his Pew,
No. 13 in the Gallery, for the benefit of the Sunday Schools of this
Parish.
1852. Thomas Lister, Esq., of Broseley, gave £100 to the Sunday
and National Schools connected with the Parish Church of Madeley,
which sum was invested in the three per cent Consolidated
Annuities, on the 19th day of January, 1853, in the names of Rev. J.
H. A. Gwyther, John Anstice, and Thomas Smith, Vicar and
Churchwardens, Managers of the said Schools.
MADELEY MARKET.
Grants of markets and fairs appear to have been made by kings in
former times by way of favour to the holders of manors, rather than
from a wish to accommodate the people who shared the privileges.
Madeley market was granted by the necesstous king, Henry III., to
the Prior of Wenlock, July 6, 1269. He also granted an annual fair,
to be held on three days; namely, on the vigil, the day, and the
morrow of St. Matthew the apostle. The market was to be held on
Tuesdays, but it fell into disuetude, and was either removed to or
revived in another portion of the same manor; and the inhabitants of
the village for many years, had no market nearer than Ironbridge or
Dawley. The old market was at one time held at Cross Hill, in an
open space where a group of cottages now divide the roads. It was
also held at one time in a building which served as a market hall,
now the property of Mr. Legge, adjoining the barn in which king
Charles was lodged. Subsequently it was removed to Madeley
Wood; and afterwards to Ironbridge, which was at that time a rising
place. Ineffectual attempts were made in 1857 to re-establish a
market, but nothing effectual was done till 1869, when an energetic
committee was appointed, of which Mr. Legge was Treasurer and the
writer of this article was Sec., which succeeded in establishing the
market, first in the open street and secondly in treating with the lord
of the manor, through his agent, W. R. Anstice, Esq., for the erection
of a suitable building, on condition that a scale of tolls was adopted
sufficient to cover the outlay. The market has proved of great
advantage to the town; not only to purchasers but to tradesmen, by
causing more ready money to be spent in the town than formerly.
Wenlock
To the Constables of the p sh. of Madeley,
Greeting.
Whereas I have been informed yt. Thomas Richasson doth
endeavour to make a settlement within the s’d p’ish of Madeley,
contrary to the laws &c. I am therefore in the King and Queen’s
Ma’ties names, of England that now are, to will and require you
the said Constables, or one of you that you bring before me or
some other of their Ma’ties Justices of the Peace for the said
Town and lib’ties, the body of the said Thomas Richasson, to
the Serjeant’s House in Much Wenlock, upon Tuesday the tenth
day of this instant month of March, to answer to such matters
as shall be objected against him by the overseers of the poor of
the parish of Madeley. And you, the said constables, are
required to give notice to John York of yo’r p’sh, Smith, that he
be and appear before me &c. at the time and place above said,
by nine o’clock in the morning, to put in sureties for his and his
wife’s good behaviour towards Elinor Alnord, Widdy, and all their
Ma’ties loyal people. And you are to make due returns of this
warrant at the time above stated &c. Given under my hand and
seal this second day of March, Anno domini 1690.
You must give notice to Thomas Cope, Anne Cludd, and
Elizabeth Morris to appear to testify the truth of their
knowledge.
Lan. Stephens.
Probably there were other reasons for these strict enquiries, as the
feudal bondage to which the poor were reduced was closely
interwoven with another evil, the thriving-traffic of Shipping likely
young paupers to American Plantations, as was done by the Bristol
Corporation, which held out to the poor wretches the alternative of
leaving England or being flogged or imprisoned.
It may perhaps be a redeeming feature in the character of that
“ermined iniquity and prince of legal oppressors,” as Judge Jeffreys,
who was not unconnected with Shropshire, was called, to say that as
Lord Chief-Justice he exerted himself successfully to put down this
abomination.
Another summons from Wenlock to the constables requires them by
virtue of an Act of Parliament (fifth of William and Mary) to give
notice to all householders, and to all others they may believe to be
disaffected, inhabiting within their “Constablewick,” being sixteen
years of age and above sixteen, to appear at the house of,
Humphrey Powell, Sergent-at-mace, at Wenlock &c. to take the
oaths of allegiance and supremacy to their Ma’ties, and to subscribe
the declaration in the Act &c. Dated 16th June, 1692.
Signed Thos. Crompton, Bailf.
Chas. Rindar. Recorder.
Lan. Stephens.
John Mason.
This summons does not appear to have brought the parties to book,
for we find a large number charged with contempt, and again
summonsed under a fine of 40s. to appear before the Sergeant-at-
mace.
In 1693, William Hayward, Roger Brooke, Gent., and John
Smytheman, Gent., and others are applied to, as assessors for
Madeley, Beckbury and Little Wenlock, in carrying out the Act passed
in the fifth year of the reign of William and Mary, entitled “an Act for
granting to their Majesties an aid of Four Shillings in ye pound for
one year, for carrying on a vigorous War against France.” After
giving the nature of the property to be taxed, the Bailiff and his
Officers call upon the assessors to levy a double tax upon “every
papist, or reputed papist, of ye age of 16 years or upwards, who
hath not taken the oath mentioned and required to be observed in
an Act of Parliament passed in the first year of that reign, entitled an
Act for abrogating the oaths of Supremacy and allegiance,” unless
they then take the oath they shall administer. The papists however
were not alone in this respect; others who had not taken the oaths,
or who refused to take those tendered, were to be similarly rated or
assessed.
In some cases the Constables were required to look after and to
report upon all young men of a certain age and height, likely to be
of use to his Majesty in war times, &c.
Here is a specimen.
(To the Constables of Madeley.)
“We whose names” &c., His Ma’ties Justices of the Peace,
having received a summons from the Deputy Lieutenant of the
county, together with a copy of a letter from the Lords of the
Privy Council &c., Command you to make diligent search for all
straggling seamen, watermen, or seafaring men, and to impress
all such, giving each one shilling, impressment money, and to
bring the same before us, to the intent that they may be sworn
and provided for, as by the said letter directed; and You, the sd.
Constables are not to impress any very old, crazy, or unhealthy
men, but such as are younge, and of able healthy bodies, fit for
se’vice; and herein you are to use yo’e: best endeavours as you
and any of you will answer the contrary. Given under our hands
&c.
“You are to take notice that what monye you shall lay out of
yo’e: purse upon this service we will take care the same shall be
speedily repaid you according to the order of their Majesties
Privy Council.”
Jas: Lewis, Balf.
Geo: Weld.
Tho: Compton.
Turning back to the period when great political, religious, and moral
changes were taking place in the country, when Royalists and
Republicans had been struggling for the mastery, and the latter were
victorious, to ascertain their reflex and influence upon the little local
parliaments sitting in the Guildhall at Wenlock, we found some
characteristic presentments by those then important officers the
constables, from the several constablewicks within the franchise,
with other matters coming before the bailiffs and Justices of the
Peace, and instructions issued by them such as may be of interest in
shewing the intermeddling spirit of Puritanism in its then rampant
attitude, when the neglect of public worship, and the walking out of
sweethearts, and even husbands and wives, during sermon time,
was punished with fines, imprisonments or the stocks. The stocks in
fact appear to have been in frequent requisition, and fines as
frequently imposed for such trivial offences as hanging out clothes
on a Sunday, being seen in an ale house on the Sabbath, and for the
very mildest form of swearing, or for the least utterance of
disaffection or disrespect of the Commonwealth. Here, for instance,
is the presentment of
“Secondly That the said Edward Jeames doth take abroade wh.
him a Welsh servt. Lad wch. he keepeth, to the end yat if any
neighboure being by him abused by opprobvious and unseemely
language and word of provocation, doe make any answeare or
reply to him, out of which any advantage may be taken, the
said Lad shall verify ye same upon oath on purpose to vex and
molest the same neighboure and to gaine revenge against him.
Thirdly that the said Edward Jeames, in September, 1651, when
the titular king of Scotte invaded yis land wh. an army, saied
openly in ye heareing of divse persons yt he was glad yt ye
kinge was comen into ye land, for if he had not come he
thought yt ye pesent. government would have altered religion &
turned all unto Popery.”
Yours to command,
WILLIAM LEGG, senr.”
“Sworn before the Bailiff, John Warham, gent.”
The above John Thompson appeared, and we find
“Let a warrant issue forth to the officers for the leviing of the
monies forfeited for the said offence, according to the Act of
Parliament in that behalf; signed, John Warham, Bailiff.”
The charter granted by Charles I., in the seventh year of his reign,
added somewhat to the privileges previously possessed, and either
gave or confirmed the right of the burgesses to send one member to
parliament. Originally it seems to have been the prior who had the
right of attending parliament; for we find in 1308 Sir John Weld
holding Willey by doing homage to the prior by “carrying his frock to
parliament.” How the burgesses obtained the further privilege of
sending two members to parliament no one seems to know, and
there is no document, we believe, in the archives of the corporation
tending to throw light on the subject; but they appear to have
enjoyed that privilege as far back as Henry VIII’s time.
The burgesses of Madeley were not numerous, we fancy; some well
known Madeley names, however, occur, both as burgesses and as
bailiffs, like those of Audley Bowdler and Ffosbrooke de Madeley; the
former was “Bailiff of the town and liberties” in 1655 and 1678. In
1661 Thomas Kinnersley de Badger, Armiger, was bailiff, which would
seem to indicate that the burgesses of Badger at that time shared in
the municipal duties and privileges of the borough. In 1732 Mathew
Astley de Madeley, Gent, was bailiff. The Astleys lived in the old hall,
a stone building partly on the site of Madeley Hall, now the
residence of Joseph Yate, Esq., a portion of which building is
supposed now to form the stable. The names of the Smithemans,
one of whom married the co-heir of Cumberford Brooke, Esq., of
Madeley Court and Cumberford in Staffordshire, occur among the
bailiffs. Later on we get that of George Goodwin, of Coalbrookdale
and the Fatlands.
At the passing of the Municipal Reform Act in 1835–6 mayors were
substituted for bailiffs; the last elected under the old title and the
first elected as chief magistrate under the new title was likewise a
Madeley gentleman, William Anstice, Esq., father of the present
William Reynolds Anstice, Esq., of Ironbridge. Mr. Anstice was
elected bailiff in 1834; in 1835 there appears to have been no
election, but in 1836 he was the first gentleman elected, as we have
just said, under the new title. Subsequently the names of other
parishioners, as Henry Dickinson, Charles James Ferriday, John
Anstice, Charles Pugh, John Arthur Anstice, and Richard Edmund
Anstice, Esquires, occur. The present (1879) Aldermen and
Councillors for the Ward are Egerton W. Smith, first elected
Alderman 1871, and John Fox elected Alderman 1879; John Arthur
Anstice first elected Councillor 1869; Alfred Jones 1873; John
Randall 1874; Richard Edmund Anstice 1876; Andrew Beacall Dyas
1878; [235] and William Yate Owen 1879.
The electors for parliamentary purposes prior to the passing of the
Reform Rill in 1832 were few in number so far as Madeley was
concerned. They consisted of freemen, men who acquired the right
to vote for members of parliament either by birth, servitude, or
purchase. Such freemen however could live many miles distant;
they were often brought at a closely contested election even from
the continent, at considerable expense; and the poll was kept open
for weeks.
The Act of 1832, 2 William IV., limited this right to persons resident
within the borough for six calendar months, or within seven statute
miles from the place where the poll was taken, and this was
uniformly taken at Wenlock. It limited the right of making freemen
to those whose fathers were already burgesses, or who were
entitled to become such prior to the 31st March, 1831. The twenty-
seventh clause of the act, which conferred the right to vote upon
ten-pound occupiers of houses or portions of buildings, added
greatly to the franchise in Madeley as compared with other portions
of the borough. The alterations effected by the act of 1867 in the
borough franchise were, of course, very much greater, as it gave the
right of voting to every inhabitant occupier as owner or tenant of
any dwelling house within the borough, subject to the ratings and
payment of poors rates; also to occupiers of parts of houses where
rating was sufficient and separate.
Contests were not very frequent under the old state of things; when
they did occur they arose more out of rivalry or jealousy on the part
of neighbouring families than from anything else. The most fiercely
fought contests that we remember, under the old limited
constituency, were those of 1820 and 1826; when Beilby Lawley and
Beilby Thompson put up. The most memorable under the ten pound
franchise were those when Bridges put up in 1832; and on a
subsequent occasion Sir William Sommerville, in 1835. Bridges and
Sommerville came forward in the liberal interest, and the numbers
polled from Madeley, were—
Sommerville 111
Forester 67
Gaskell 45
PETTY SESSIONS.
Madeley with its two sister wards has Petty Sessions once in six
weeks, which are held in the large room built for that purpose over
the Police Office at Ironbridge. In the lower story are cells for
prisoners, very different indeed as regards cleanliness and
conveniences of all kinds to the old Lock-up, which many may
remember near the potato market. The justices for the borough
generally sit here, the Mayor being chief magistrate presiding. The
first batch of magistrates, in the place of the borough justices, took
place in the 6th year of the reign of William IV., those for Madeley
being William Anstice, Esq., of Madeley Wood, and John Rose, Esq.,
of the Hay. Others have been appointed from time to time as
circumstances seemed to require.
The borough from the first period of incorporation had its General
Sessions, and its Recorder, who, being a lawyer or other fit person,
was chosen by the burgesses to sit with the Bailiff to be justices of
the peace, to hear and determine felonies, trespasses, &c., and to
punish delinquents therein; and King Charles’s Charter fixed this
court to be held once in two weeks. There was also a General
Sessions. The same charter states
Appointed.
John Arthur Anstice, Esq. 1869
William Gregory Norris, Esq. 1869
Charles Pugh, Esq. 1871
Richard Edmund Anstice, Esq. 1877
“That they may have a Court of Record upon Tuesday for ever,
once in two weeks, wherein they may hold by plaint in the same
court all kinds of pleas whatsoever, whether they shall amount
to the sum of forty shillings; the persons against whom the
plaints shall be moved or levied, to be brought into plea by
summons, attachment, or distress.”
MANORIAL COURT.
This court was originally held at the Court House, by the Prior of
Wenlock, as lord of the manor of Madeley, as shewn on page 9,
where the pleas and perquisites of the said court are mentioned as
being entered in 1379 at 2s. The right to hold such court, a Court
Leet, as it was called, was transferred, together with other
privileges, by Henry VIII. to Robert Brooke when he sold the manor.
It passed to John Unett Smitheman, Esq., who married Catherine
Brooke, daughter and co-heir of Cumberford Brooke, Esq., of
Madeley, and Cumberford in Staffordshire. The Smitheman’s sold
the manor to Richard Reynolds, from whom it passed to his son
William. The property belongs now to the devisees of the late
Joseph Gulson Reynolds, and those of his brother William Reynolds,
M.D.. Esq.
The Court Leet has not been held of late years. It had jurisdiction
over various offences, extending from nuisances, eaves dropping,
and various irregularities and offences against the public peace.
THE DISPENSARY.
This useful and valued institution was established in 1828. At its
fiftieth anniversary, held July, 1878, the president was the Right Hon.
Lord Forester. The vice-presidents: the Hon. and Rev. Canon
Forester; W. O. Foster, Esq.; the Rev. G. Edmonds; C. T. W. Forester,
Esq., M.P.; A. H. Brown, Esq., M.P.; C. G. M. Gaskell, Esq.; and the
treasurer, John Pritchard, Esq. The surgeons include E. G. Bartlam,
Esq., Broseley; T. L. Webb, Esq., Ironbridge; C. B. H. Soame, Esq.,
Dawley; J. Procter, Esq., Ironbridge; Dr. Thursfield, Broseley; H.
Stubbs, Esq., Madeley; and J. J. Saville, Esq., Cressage.
At this meeting the following subscribers, together with the
president, vice-presidents, and treasurer, were appointed a
committee for the ensuing year:—
William Reynolds Anstice, Esq.
Mr. Alexander Grant.
Mr. Edward Burton.
Mr. Egerton W. Smith.
W. Gregory Norris, Esq.
Arthur Maw, Esq.
John Arthur Anstice, Esq.
Richard Edmund Anstice, Esq.
Edward Roden, Esq.
Rev. Frederick Robert Ellis.
Rev. George Fleming Lamb.
Mr. Francis G. Yates, (since deceased).
George Burd, Esq.
John Pritchard, Esq., Chairman.
MADELEY UNION.
Prior to the passing of the New Poor Law in 1836 each parish
maintained its own poor, a system which had been acted upon, we
suppose, from the time of Queen Elizabeth. But how the Madeley
poor were housed or treated prior to the erection of the Old “House
of Industry,” or “Workhouse,” which stood on the hill overlooking the
valley of the Severn, now in course of demolition and conversion into
cottages, we are unable to say. [242] In all probability out-door relief
alone was administered. At all times there have been kind and open
hearted men of means who out of their worldly store have taken
care to make some provision for their less fortunate brethren, either
during their lifetime or by way of devise at their death. In this way,
as we have seen on page 217, there were two principal charities,
called the Brooke and Beddow charities which amounted altogether
to £100. At the latter end of the last century the trustees appear to
have invested this in the purchase of several small leasehold
cottages and lands, chiefly at Madeley Wood. When it was resolved
to build a house of industry in 1787 these properties were sold by
the trustees for that purpose. They consisted of two messuages and
15 perches of land situate at the Foxholes, which produced £45.
One messuage and garden containing 6¼ perches in the possession
of Samuel Hodghkiss, which produced £24. An old messuage and
garden in Madeley Wood containing 17 perches and a piece of
garden ground containing 2½ perches, which produced £53 10s. A
stable in Madeley Wood which produced £10. And two messuages
and gardens in Madeley Wood containing a quarter of an acre, and a
piece of garden ground containing five perches, which produced
£83; also another which fetched £23; making a total of £235 10s.
The investment itself seems to have been so far a good one; the
value of the property having increased, owing to the works springing
up in the neighbourhood; and it was resolved to raise a subscription
in the parish to be added to this £235. The further amount of £806
13s. 6d. was thus raised, making altogether £1,042 3s. 6d., which
sum was applied in the erection on a part of the charity land of a
house of industry, the cost of which was £1,086 13s. 7¼d.; and a
lease of that piece of land, with the house so erected upon it,
containing 3r. 12p. or thereabouts, was at the 2nd of January, 1797,
granted by the vicar and the major part of the trustees to the then
churchwardens and overseers for the use of the parish for a term of
999 years, at the yearly rent of £18. The Charity Commissioners say
that the premises described in the leases do not appear to tally
exactly with the parcels contained in the two deeds of purchase; and
add:—
THE CHOLERA.
If some memorable occurrences in local history may be termed ‘red
lettered,’ the fearful visitations of this epidemic in 1832 and 1848
may be said to have been black, and very black lettered events
indeed. The steady march of this dire disease from Asia over the
continent of Europe towards our shores in 1831 created the utmost
alarm of approaching danger, and led to precautionary measures
being taken. Medical science however was at fault; contradictory
advice was given; orders in council were issued and withdrawn; and
people were at their wits’ end what steps to take. A rigid system of
quarantine was at first enforced; and when the enemy did arrive it
was ordered that each infected district or house was to be isolated
and shut up within itself, and the inhabitants cut off from
communication with other parts of the country; and ‘all articles of
food or other necessaries were to be placed in front of the house,
and received by the inhabitants after the person delivering them had
retired.’ It was in fact the exploit over again of the gallant
gentleman who proposed, as Milton says, to ‘pound up the crows by
shutting his park gate.’ Clinging to the belief that the disease was
imported and spread by contagion, few really remedial measures
founded on the hypothesis of the low sanitary condition of the
population—as bad drainage, ill-ventilated and overcrowded
dwellings, offensive sewers, unwholesome water, and the thousand
other kindred abominations which afflict the poor, were suggested.
But feelings and sympathies were naturally with the patient and
against the unchristian edict which said to him—‘Thou art sick, and
we visit thee not; thou art in prison, and we come not unto thee’.
Gradually too it dawned upon the minds of the authorities—as the
result of observation and experience—that it was not so much from
direct communication that persons were affected, as from bad
sanitary conditions;—for persons were not consecutively affected
who lived in the same house or slept in the same bed with the sick;
and that children even suckled by mothers labouring under the
disease escaped. On Wednesday, the 21st of March, 1832, there
was a general fast for deliverance from the plague, as it was called,
but it was pretty much the same as Æsop’s case of the carter who
prayed Jupiter to get his cart wheel out of the rut; and the answer
vouchsafed by Providence was similar—‘put your own shoulder to
the wheel’, do what you can first to make the people clean and
wholesome. We have no statistics or recorded facts to fall back
upon, but so far as our knowledge and experience serves us we
should say that the first victims in this neighbourhood were among
men and women who led irregular lives, and who lived in dirty ill-
ventilated homes, and in the decks and cabins of barges going long
voyages, in which men slept and ate their meals; and persons on the
banks of the Severn, who drank the polluted water of the river. A
case occurred at Coalport, on the 21st of July, 1832, on board a
barge on the Severn, which belonged to owner Jones; and it was
thought prudent to sink the vessel to destroy the contagion. A man
named Richard Evans also was taken with the cholera on board a
Shrewsbury barge, and was removed to the “Big House,” as it was
called, at the Calcutts, which had been hired and set apart by Mr.
George Pritchard and others for the reception of victims. On the
23rd, Thomas Oakes, son of John Oakes, died on board Dillon
Lloyd’s vessel, and during that month and the next the plague
continued its ravages by the Severn. From an old diary we learn
that a man named Goosetree, his wife, and three children, were
seized on the 14th of August at the Coalport Manufactory, and died
the same day; as also did a Mrs. Baugh and her mother.
The more ignorant of the people were suspicious of the doctors; Mr.
Thursfield on the 23rd of July visited a house at Coalford, and
offered a draught to a woman whom he suspected of shewing
symptoms of the disease, but was beaten off by her daughter Kitty,
who said her mother wanted food and not medicine. The doctor
does not appear to have been popular judging from doggrel lines in
circulation at the time—