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THE THIRD REVOLUTION
THE THIRD REVOLUTION
ELIZABETH C. ECONOMY
A Council on Foreign Relations Book
Oxford University Press is a department of the University of Oxford. It furthers the
University’s objective of excellence in research, scholarship, and education by
publishing worldwide. Oxford is a registered trade mark of Oxford University Press
in the UK and certain other countries.
You must not circulate this work in any other form and you must impose this same
condition on any acquirer.
1 Introduction
2 Heart of Darkness
3 Chinanet
4 The Not-So-New Normal
5 Innovation Nation
6 War on Pollution
7 The Lion Awakens
8 The Road Forward
Notes
Index
Map of China and Its Provinces
Writing a book is both a solo and a collective endeavor. For over two
decades, I have been privileged to call the Council on Foreign
Relations a second home. For this, I thank both Leslie A. Gelb, who
hired me as a newly minted PhD and nurtured me through my first
decade, and Richard Haass, who has supported me ever since by
giving me the room to make mistakes, learn from them, and find my
voice in the process. My colleagues have been an integral part of my
intellectual journey as well—Adam Segal, always my best sounding
board, but also Max Boot, Irina Faskianos, Shannon O’Neil, Micah
Zenko, and my terrific Asia Studies colleagues, Alyssa Ayres, Jerome
Cohen, Yanzhong Huang, Josh Kurlantzick, Ely Ratner, Sheila Smith,
and Scott Snyder. All of them set a high standard of quality and
productivity that I strive to meet. Amy Baker, Nancy Bodurtha, and
Patricia Dorff also all provided important support in the process of
writing the book. Outside the Council on Foreign Relations, Winston
Lord and Orville Schell, two outstanding leaders in U.S.‒China
relations, inspire me both for their intellectual integrity and their
generosity of spirit. Arthur Kroeber read part of the manuscript and
provided invaluable advice.
The actual process of writing this book was facilitated by many
people. Certainly, I owe an enormous debt to those Chinese
scholars, activists, businesspeople, and officials who took the time to
meet with me and share their perspectives. In some cases, our
conversations spanned a decade or more. I am fortunate as well
that two outside reviewers, as well as CFR Director of Studies James
Lindsay and President Richard Haass took the time to read the
manuscript carefully and pushed me to make it better. Their
contributions cannot be overstated. I am grateful to David McBride
for his support and guidance throughout the publication process.
The Starr Foundation also has my deepest gratitude for providing
the financial support that enabled me to research and write this
book. My two research associates, Rachel Brown and Gabriel Walker,
provided invaluable research assistance and brought intellectual rigor
and an attention to detail that aided me throughout the process of
research and writing. I was fortunate that when they went off to
graduate school, two more outstanding research associates, Maylin
Meisenheimer and Viola Rothschild, stepped into their shoes and
helped me complete the process of fact-checking and proofreading.
Natalie Au, who interned during the final editing stages, also
provided critical support. All translations and any mistakes, of
course, are my own.
Last, but never least, I would like to thank my family. My parents,
James and Anastasia Economy; my siblings, Peter, Katherine, and
Melissa; and above all my husband, David; and our children,
Alexander, Nicholas, and Eleni. They all remind me on a daily basis
what really matters in life.
Elizabeth C. EconomyNew York City
THE THIRD REVOLUTION
1
Introduction