If independent :

P(A-B) = P(A) P(B)

. P(AuB) =
P(A) + P(B) -
P(A-B)
#
# /

Union (AuB)
If dependent : Intersection
random phenomena
#

P(A -B) = P(A) P(B/A)

· = P(B) P(A/B)
·

(AnB)

Likelihood P(A)
n° favourable outcomes

AnB)
=
-
no possible

Probability
outcomes
P(ANBIC) = PLA P(BA)
. .
PIC
#

P(A) = 1 -
P(A)
Complement (A) *

range from O to 1

O
#

If independent Conditional probability Total Probability

↓

P(AnB)
P(BA) =

P(A) Theorem

#
If dependent :

E
P(AB) P(B)
P(BA) P(ACR) P(K)
·

⑪ =
P(A) =
P(A() P(() .
+
...
+ .

P(A)

Bayes' Theorem