Magellan LA 0320B

For Immediate Release March 19, 2012 Contact John Diez 225-647-7557
Baton Rouge, LA Magellan Strategies BR today released the survey results of an autodial survey of 2,018 likely Republican Primary voters in Louisiana. The survey was conducted March 19th, 2012 and has a margin of error of +/-2.18%. This survey was not paid for by any campaign or political organization. The survey finds former U.S. Senator Rick Santorum leading his closest opponent by 13 points (Santorum 37%/Romney 24%/Gingrich 21%/Paul 3%/others 9%/undecided 6%). With only 5 days until the primary, Santorums strong image (72% favorable/20% unfavorable) and relatively few undecided voters (6%) puts him in a strong position to win a plurality in the Louisiana GOP Primary. Santorum leads among both men and women, among all age groups and in all 6 congressional districts. Though currently running second, Romneys struggling image could potentially hinder any growth potential. Currently, Romneys image is 49% favorable to 41% unfavorable. Though Gingrich appears to be in the Republican primary race until the convention, his candidacy clearly hurts Santorums position in Louisiana. In a two person race, Santorum leads Romney by 21 points (55% Santorum/34% Romney/11% undecided). Sixty-one percent of Gingrichs support on the multi candidate ballot moves to Santorum on the two candidate ballot. Only 22% of Gingrichs support goes to Romney.
Magellan ID#: LA GOP PRIMARY-031912 Field Dates: March 19, 2012 MOE +/-2.18, 2018N
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LOUISIANA GOP PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY SURVEY TOPLINES MAGELLAN ID#: LASTW-031912 Field Date: 03/19/12 Sample Size = 2018N MoE +/- 2.18%
Hello, this is ________________ of a political research firm. Were conducting a quick survey with people in LOUISIANA this evening and would like to ask you a few questions on a confidential basis. If at any time you need a question or the options repeated, just press the star key. Let's get started.
1. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, Democrat or independent? REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT/OTHER 100% - -
2. Thinking about THIS SATURDAYS Republican Presidential primary election in Louisiana, how likely are you to vote in the REPUBLICAN primary for president? VERY LIKELY SOMEWHAT LIKELY DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE NOT REGISTERED TO VOTE 93% 7% - -
3. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of NEWT GINGRICH? FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION NEVER HEARD 61% 28% 11% -
4. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of MITT ROMNEY? FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION NEVER HEARD 49% 41% 10% -
Polling Redistricting Voter Files Phone (225) 647-7557 Fax (225) 647-7555
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5. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of RICK SANTORUM? FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION NEVER HEARD 72% 20% 8% -
6. If the election were being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Michele Bachmann, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, Charles "Buddy" Roemer, Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum? RICK SANTORUM MITT ROMNEY NEWT GINGRICH CHARLES BUDDY ROEMER RON PAUL RICK PERRY MICHELE BACHMANN JON HUNTSMAN UNDECIDED 37% 24% 21% 3% 3% 3% 2% 1% 6%
7. And if the Republican primary were being held today and the only candidates were, Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum, for whom would you vote?
RICK SANTORUM MITT ROMNEY UNDECIDED
55% 34% 11%
8. When making your choice to vote for the Republican candidate for President, are you more likely to vote for the candidate who best shares your position on the issues or the candidate who has the best chance of defeating Barack Obama? CANDIDATE SHARES YOUR POSITION ON ISSUES CANDIDATE HAS BEST CHANCE DEFEATING BARACK OBAMA UNDECIDED 45% 49% 6%
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9. Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party? YES NO NOT SURE 10. Are you a male or a female? MALE FEMALE 46% 54% 36% 46% 18%
11. Which of the following age group applies to you? 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ 2% 11% 21% 25% 41%
12. For statistical purposes only, what is your race? WHITE BLACK HISPANIC ASIAN ANOTHER ETHNIC GROUP 98% 1% - - 1%
Louisiana GOP Presidential Primary Survey Conducted March 19th, 2012 Sample Size = 2,018 MoE +/- 2.18%
Santorum leads Romney by 13 points and Gingrich by 16 points.

If the election were being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Michele Bachmann, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, Charles "Buddy" Roemer, Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum?
3% 3% 21%
3% 2% 1% 6% 37%
24%
RICK SANTORUM CHARLES BUDDY ROEMER MICHELE BACHMANN
MITT ROMNEY RON PAUL JON HUNTSMAN
NEWT GINGRICH RICK PERRY UND
Santorum does well among both men and women. Romney closes the gap among seniors.
46% 39% 39%
36%
38%
31% 29% 24% 22% 24% 20% 14% 10% 4% 8% 5% 21% 19% 16% 19% 18% 25% 22% 22%
10% 7%
10% 4%
10% 8%
MALE
FEMALE
18-44
45-54
55-64
65+
GENDER
RICK SANTORUM MITT ROMNEY NEWT GINGRICH OTHERS UNDECIDED RICK SANTORUM MITT ROMNEY
AGE
NEWT GINGRICH OTHERS UNDECIDED
Regionally, Santorum leads in all six congressional districts.

43%
42% 39%
33%
33% 28%
34%
25% 22%
26% 23% 21% 22% 19% 22%
25%
20% 16%
17% 11% 7% 13% 6%
12% 8% 3%
CD1
RICK SANTORUM
8% 5%
10% 7%
CD 2
MITT ROMNEY
CD 3
CD 4
NEWT GINGRICH
CD 5
OTHERS
CD 6
UNDECIDED
CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT
Santorum also does better among Tea Party voters and voters looking for a candidate who shares their position on the issues. Romney leads among voters looking for a candidate that has the best chance of beating Obama.
51%
40% 36% 30% 25% 20% 17% 10% 5% 11% 6% 14% 19% 12% 4%
SHARE POSITION DEFEAT OBAMA
34% 25% 24%
10% 7%
YES
NO
Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?
When making your choice to vote for the Republican candidate for President, are you more likely to vote for the candidate who best Shares your position on the issues or the candidate who has the best chance of defeating Barack Obama? UNDECIDED RICK SANTORUM MITT ROMNEY NEWT GINGRICH OTHERS UNDECIDED
RICK SANTORUM
MITT ROMNEY
NEWT GINGRICH
OTHERS
Santorums solid image among likely GOP Primary voters, and specifically among undecided voters provides his campaign with the most growth potential.
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of
72% 68% 61% 58% 54% 49% 41%
28% 20% 11% 10% 22% 20%
28% 18% 19% 11% 8%
GINGRICH
ROMNEY
SANTORUM
GINGRICH
ROMNEY
SANTORUM
ALL VOTERS
FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION NEVER HEARD FAVORABLE
UNDECIDED VOTERS
UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION NEVER HEARD
In a two person race, Santorum leads by 21 points.

And if the Republican primary were being held today and the only candidates were, Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum, for whom would you vote?
11% 34% 55%
RICK SANTORUM
MITT ROMNEY
UNDECIDED
Sixty-one percent of Gingrichs initial support moved to Santorum in a two person race. Only twenty-two percent of Gingrichs initial support moved to Romney.
And if the Republican primary were being held today and the only candidates were, Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum, for whom would you vote?
61% 53% 47%
30% 22% 17% 23% 20%
27%
GINGRICH
OTHERS
UNDECIDED
BY INITIAL BALLOT
MITT ROMNEY RICK SANTORUM UNDECIDED

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For Immediate Release March 19, 2012 Contact John Diez 225-647-7557

RICK SANTORUM MITT ROMNEY UNDECIDED

55% 34% 11%

Santorum leads Romney by 13 points and Gingrich by 16 points.

RICK SANTORUM CHARLES BUDDY ROEMER MICHELE BACHMANN

MITT ROMNEY RON PAUL JON HUNTSMAN

NEWT GINGRICH RICK PERRY UND

46% 39% 39%

Regionally, Santorum leads in all six congressional districts.

26% 23% 21% 22% 19% 22%

17% 11% 7% 13% 6%

34% 25% 24%

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

72% 68% 61% 58% 54% 49% 41%

28% 20% 11% 10% 22% 20%

28% 18% 19% 11% 8%

In a two person race, Santorum leads by 21 points.

11% 34% 55%

61% 53% 47%

30% 22% 17% 23% 20%

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