Forward Market
Forward Market
Forward Market
Forward Market
When MNCs anticipate future need or
future receipt of a foreign currency, they
can set up forward contracts to lock in the
exchange rate.
Forward contracts are often valued at $1
million or more, and are not normally used
by consumers or small firms.
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Forward Market
As with the case of spot rates, there is a
bid/ask spread on forward rates.
Forward rates may also contain a premium
or discount.
If the forward rate exceeds the existing
spot rate, it contains a premium.
If the forward rate is less than the existing
spot rate, it contains a discount.
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Forward Market
annualized forward premium/discount
forward rate spot rate 360
spot rate n
where n is the number of days to maturity
Example: Suppose spot rate = $1.681,
90-day forward rate =
$1.677.
=
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Example 1: Hedging
With an FX Forward
Hedged Item
Company must pay EUR
1,000,000 to a eurozone
supplier in 3 months
Spot rate HRK/EUR: 7.3000.
Treasurer believes HRK will
depreciate during next 3
months
Exposure to FX risk:
What will be exchange rate
HRK/EUR in three
months??
Hedging Instrument
Bank buys 1,000,000 EUR
forward at forward rate of
7.3750
FX risk: Company is
protected against large
adverse FX rate
movements
If FX rate is unfavorable in 3
months (ie, > 7.3750),
Company pays just
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Example 1: Hedging
With an FX Forward
Hedged Item
Company must pay EUR
1,000,000 to a eurozone
supplier in 3 months
Spot rate HRK/EUR: 7.3000.
Treasurer believes HRK will
depreciate during next 3
months
Advantages of Hedge:
Company knows its costs and
can plan its finances
accordingly
Cost of the hedge is zero - No money is exchanged at
inception of the forward FX
agreement
Hedging Instrument
Bank buys 1,000,000 EUR
forward at forward rate of
7.3750
Disadvantage of Hedge:
Company is still exposed to FX
risk if the HRK/EUR spot rate
is less than 7.3750 in 3
months
Effect of hedge is same as
buying EUR today and
holding in an interestbearing account
(Forward FX agreement is
NOT a simple speculation)
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Example 1: Hedging
With an FX Forward
Unhedged Company
If in 3 months, spot
rate is 7.4500
Effect of Hedging
Hedged Company has
already bought EUR
forward
Unhedged Company
must pay:
7.45 x 1,000,000 =
HRK 7,450,000
Money saved by
hedging: 7,450,000
7,375,000 =
HRK 75,000
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1% on the euro
3% on the kuna
13
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OPTION 2
Forward Market
The forward premium/discount reflects the
difference between the home interest rate
and the foreign interest rate, so as to
prevent arbitrage.
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Forward Market
A non-deliverable forward contract (NDF)
is a forward contract whereby there is no
actual exchange of currencies. Instead, a
net payment is made by one party to the
other based on the contracted rate and the
market rate on the day of settlement.
Although NDFs do not involve actual
delivery, they can effectively hedge
expected foreign currency cash flows.
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settlements
to market
Marketplace Worldwide Central exchange
prices.
telephone floor with global
network.communications.
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Forward Markets
Self-regulating.
Futures Markets
Commodity
Futures Trading
Commission,
National
Futures
Association.
Liquidation Mostly settled by Mostly settled
by
actual delivery. offset.
Transaction Banks bid/ask Negotiated
Costsspread. brokerage fees.
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