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Introduction To Macroeconomics: © 2002 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair

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1

CHAPTER 16

Introduction to
Macroeconomics

Prepared by: Fernando Quijano


and Yvonn Quijano

© 2002 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair
Macroeconomics

• Macro economics deals with the


economy as a whole. It studies the
behavior of economic aggregates
such as aggregate income,
consumption, investment, and the
overall level of prices.
• Aggregate behavior refers to the behavior
of all households and firms together.

© 2002 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair 2
The Roots of Macroeconomics

• The Great Depression


was a period of severe
economic contraction and
high unemployment that
began in 1929 and
continued throughout the
1930s.

© 2002 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair 3
The Roots of Macroeconomics

• Classical economists applied


microeconomic models, or “market
clearing” models, to economy-wide
problems.

• The failure of simple classical models


to explain the prolonged existence of
high unemployment during the Great
Depression provided the impetus for
the development of macroeconomics.

© 2002 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair 4
Recent Macroeconomic History

• In 1936, John Maynard Keynes


published The General Theory of
Employment, Interest, and Money.
• Keynes believed governments could
intervene in the economy and affect
the level of output and employment.
• Fine tuning was the phrase used by
Walter Heller to refer to the
government’s role in regulating
inflation and unemployment.
© 2002 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair 5
Recent Macroeconomic History

• The use of Keynesian policy to fine-


tune the economy in the 1960s, led
to disillusionment in the 1970s and
early 1980s.

• Stagflation occurs when the overall


price level rises rapidly (inflation)
during periods of recession or high
and persistent unemployment
(stagnation).

© 2002 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair 6
Macroeconomic Concerns

• Three of the major concerns of


macroeconomics are:
• Inflation

• Output growth
• Unemployment

© 2002 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair 7
Inflation

• Inflation is an increase in the overall


price level.

• Hyperinflation is a period of very


rapid increases in the overall price
level. Hyperinflations are rare, but
have been used to study the costs
and consequences of even moderate
inflation.

© 2002 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair 8
Output Growth

• The business cycle is the cycle of


short-term ups and downs in the
economy.

• The main measure of how an


economy is doing is aggregate
output:
• Aggregate output is the total quantity
of goods and services produced in an
economy in a given period.

© 2002 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair 9
Output Growth

• A recession is a period during which


aggregate output declines. Two
consecutive quarters of decrease in
output signal a recession.

• A prolonged and deep recession


becomes a depression.

• The size of the growth rate of output


over a long period is also a concern of
macroeconomists and policy makers.
© 2002 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair 10
Unemployment

• The unemployment rate is the


percentage of the labor force that is
unemployed.
• The unemployment rate is a key
indicator of the economy’s health.
• The existence of unemployment
seems to imply that the aggregate
labor market is not in equilibrium.
Why do labor markets not clear
when other markets do?
© 2002 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair 11
Government in the Macroeconomy

• There are three kinds of policy


that the government has used to
influence the macroeconomy:
1. Fiscal policy
2. Monetary policy

3. Growth or supply-side policies

© 2002 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair 12
Government in the Macroeconomy

• Fiscal policy refers to government


policies concerning taxes and
expenditures.

• Monetary policy consists of tools used


by the Federal Reserve to control the
money supply.

• Growth policies are government policies


that focus on stimulating aggregate
supply instead of aggregate demand.
© 2002 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair 13
The Components of the Macroeconomy

• The circular flow


diagram shows the
income received and
payments made by
each sector of the
economy.

© 2002 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair 14
The Components of the Macroeconomy

• Everyone’s
expenditures go
somewhere. Every
transaction must
have two sides.

© 2002 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair 15
The Three Market Arenas

• Households, firms, the government, and the rest of the


world all interact in the goods-and-services, labor, and
money markets.

© 2002 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair 16
The Three Market Arenas

• Households and the government purchase


goods and services (demand) from firms in
the goods and services market, and firms
supply to the goods and services market.

• In the labor market, firms and government


purchase (demand) labor from households
(supply).
• The total supply of labor in the economy
depends on the sum of decisions made by
households.
© 2002 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair 17
The Three Market Arenas

• In the money market—sometimes called


the financial market—households purchase
stocks and bonds from firms.

• Households supply funds to this market in


the expectation of earning income, and also
demand (borrow) funds from this market.

• Firms, government, and the rest of the world


also engage in borrowing and lending,
coordinated by financial institutions.
© 2002 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair 18
Financial Instruments

• Treasury bonds, notes, and bills


are promissory notes issued by the
federal government when it borrows
money.

• Corporate bonds are promissory


notes issued by corporations when
they borrow money.

© 2002 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair 19
Financial Instruments

• Shares of stock are financial


instruments that give to the holder a
share in the firm’s ownership and
therefore the right to share in the
firm’s profits.

• Dividends are the portion of a


corporation’s profits that the firm
pays out each period to its
shareholders.

© 2002 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair 20
The Methodology of Macroeconomics

• Connections to microeconomics:
• Macroeconomic behavior is the
sum of all the microeconomic
decisions made by individual
households and firms. We cannot
understand the former without
some knowledge of the factors
that influence the latter.

© 2002 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair 21
Aggregate Supply and
Aggregate Demand

• Aggregate demand is the


total demand for goods and
services in an economy.

• Aggregate supply is the


total supply of goods and
services in an economy.
• Aggregate supply and
demand curves are more
complex than simple
market supply and demand
curves.
© 2002 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair 22
Expansion and Contraction:
The Business Cycle

• An expansion, or boom, is
the period in the business
cycle from a trough up to a
peak, during which output
and employment rise.
• A contraction, recession,
or slump is the period in
the business cycle from a
peak down to a trough,
during which output and
employment fall.

© 2002 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair 23
Real GDP, 1900-2000

© 2002 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair 24
Real GDP, 1970 I-1997 II

© 2002 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair 25
Unemployment Rate, 1970 I-1997 II

© 2002 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair 26
Percentage Change in the GDP Price Index
(Four-Quarter Average), 1970 I-1997 II

© 2002 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics, 6/e Karl Case, Ray Fair 27

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