Untitled Presentation
Untitled Presentation
Analysis
Bentuk Umum MRE
Ket:
Y = Variabel dependen
a = intercept (konstanta) dari y
b = koefisien variabel bebas
X =variabel bebas
Example
Suppose the selling price of a home is directly
related to the number of rooms and inversely related
to its age, let X1 refer to the number of rooms, X2 to
the age of the home and y topi to the selling price of
the home ($000)
y=21.2 +18.7X1-0.25X2
So, a seven-room house that is 30 years old is
expected to sell for??
y=21.2 +18.7(7)-0.25(30)=$144,600
Salsberry Realty sells homes along the East Coast of the United
States. One question frequently asked by prospective buyers is
“how much can we expect to pay to heat the home in the winter”?
The research department at Salsberry thinks 3 variables relate to
heating costs: the mean daily outside temperature, the number of
inches of insulation, and the age in years of the furnace. They
conduct a random sample of 20 homes. Determine the regression
equation.
y is the dependent variable
X1 is the outside temperature
X2 is inches of insulation
X3 is the age of the furnace
y=a+b1X1+b2X2+b3X3
y is used to estimate the value of y
Once we determine the regression equation, we can calculate the heating costs
for January, given the mean outside temperature is 30 degrees, there are 5 inches
of insulation, and the furnace is 10 years old.
y=a+b1X1+b2X2+b3X3
y=a+427.194X1+4.583X2+6.101X3
y=a+427.194(30)+4.583(5)+6.101(10)=276.56
where:
Y is the actual observation.
Ytopi is the estimated value computed from the regression equation.
n is the number of observations in the sample.
k is the number of independent variables.
SSR is the Residual Sum of Squares from an ANOVA table
MSE
The actual heating cost for the first observation, Y, is $250, the outside
temperature, is 35 degrees, the depth of insulation, is 3 inches, and the age of the
furnace, is 6 years. (subs.kan ke persamaan); Y=258.90.
The actual heating cost was $250, so the residual—which is the difference
between the actual value and the estimated value—is Y-Ytopi=250 - 258.90=
8.90.
This difference of $8.90 is the random or unexplained error for the first home
sampled. Our next step is to square this difference—that is, find (Y-Ytopi)^2= (250
- 258.90)^2= (-8.90)^2 = 79.21.
Fungsi MSE
First, the units are the same as the dependent variable, so the standard error is in
dollars, plusmin $51.05.
If we compare the R^2(0.80) to the adjusted R^2 (0.77), the difference in this
case is small.
Measure of the effectiveness
There are two measures of effectiveness of the regression equation
The multiple standard error of the estimate is similar to the standard deviation
c. What are the estimated monthly sales for a particular region with a population of
796,000, per capita income of $6,940, and an unemployment rate of 6.0 percent?
a. Multiple regression equation
a. Determine the standard error of estimate. About 95 percent of the residuals will
be between what two values?
b. Determine the coefficient of multiple determination. Interpret this value.
c. Determine the coefficient of multiple determination, adjusted for the degrees of
freedom.
Answer