The document discusses why studying financial markets and institutions is important. It covers several key areas:
1) The importance of debt markets, stock markets, and foreign exchange markets. Fluctuations in exchange rates can impact both consumers and businesses.
2) The role of financial institutions like banks in connecting savers and investors. They help facilitate the flow of funds through the economy.
3) How monetary policy and money supply impact macroeconomic variables like GDP, inflation, and interest rates. Central banks use tools like interest rates to achieve economic goals.
The document discusses why studying financial markets and institutions is important. It covers several key areas:
1) The importance of debt markets, stock markets, and foreign exchange markets. Fluctuations in exchange rates can impact both consumers and businesses.
2) The role of financial institutions like banks in connecting savers and investors. They help facilitate the flow of funds through the economy.
3) How monetary policy and money supply impact macroeconomic variables like GDP, inflation, and interest rates. Central banks use tools like interest rates to achieve economic goals.
The document discusses why studying financial markets and institutions is important. It covers several key areas:
1) The importance of debt markets, stock markets, and foreign exchange markets. Fluctuations in exchange rates can impact both consumers and businesses.
2) The role of financial institutions like banks in connecting savers and investors. They help facilitate the flow of funds through the economy.
3) How monetary policy and money supply impact macroeconomic variables like GDP, inflation, and interest rates. Central banks use tools like interest rates to achieve economic goals.
The document discusses why studying financial markets and institutions is important. It covers several key areas:
1) The importance of debt markets, stock markets, and foreign exchange markets. Fluctuations in exchange rates can impact both consumers and businesses.
2) The role of financial institutions like banks in connecting savers and investors. They help facilitate the flow of funds through the economy.
3) How monetary policy and money supply impact macroeconomic variables like GDP, inflation, and interest rates. Central banks use tools like interest rates to achieve economic goals.
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Part – I : Introduction
Chapter 1: Why Study Financial
Markets and Institutions? BITS Pilani Recapitulation of the Last Class on 21st August, 2020
• Why Study Financial Markets and Institutions?
– Debt Market and Interest rates – The Stock Market • Importance of interest rate in financial market • Fluctuations and trend of interest rate • Relationship between interest rate and economic growth • Stock market trends and economic growth in India • Supply leading and demand following hypothesis.
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Why Study Financial Markets and Institutions? Why Study Financial Markets? – Debt Market and Interest rates – The Stock Market – The Foreign Exchange market
• The Foreign exchange market is more volatile than the
Stock market. • The causes of these volatility are many domestic and international factors.
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Why Study Financial Markets and Institutions? The Foreign Exchange Market • What have these fluctuations in exchange rate mean to the public and business? • A change in the exchange rate have a direct effect on the consumer as it affect the cost of imports. • When rupee depreciates, Indian consumer purchase from foreign countries reduces, purchases of domestic produced goods increases and various other direct effects. • Conversely, a strong rupee (rupee appreciation) means exports reduces (as foreign consumer purchase from India reduces) and hurts Indian business, reduces production and employment.
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Trend in Exchange rate wit US Dollar (2003 to 2020)
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Trend in Exchange rate wit US Dollar (2003 to 2020)
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Trend in Exchange rate wit US Dollar (Last 5 Years)
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Why Study Financial Markets and Institutions? The Foreign Exchange Market • The above figures states that rupee has depreciated over these years with volatility. • When rupee depreciates, it is expected that export increases due to more demand from foreigners (foreign imports increases) and hence export leading hypothesis proved. • When we look at the economic growth of India in past decades, it is supporting the hypothesis at large. • But both producer and consumer are not happy in the short run.
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Why Study Financial Markets and Institutions? The Foreign Exchange Market • But when rupee appreciates, Indian imports for foreign goods become cheaper. • Hence, parts and raw materials imports for the business become affordable. • Production of goods increases and possibly cost of production decreases and hence price should become cheaper ceteris paribus. • In the long run both producer and consumer become happy. • As the foreign exchange market is becoming popular both for Academics and financial investors, we will study this in details in chapter 14 and 15
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Why Study Financial Markets and Institutions? Financial Institutions • The second major focus of the course in Financial Institutions. • Financial institutions are what make financial markets work. • Without them, financial markets would not able to move such a huge amount of funds from people who save to people who have productive investment opportunities. • Thus they play a crucial role in improving the productivity and efficiency of the economy.
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Why Study Financial Markets and Institutions? Financial Institutions • What we are dealing is the subject matter of Financial Economics which studies; 1. Money and Banking 2. Financial Markets and Institutions 3. Monetary System
• Hence, Financial Economics studies The financial
System.
• What is Financial System?
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Why Study Financial Markets and Institutions? Financial Institutions
• Financial Economics deals with how financial system
affects the economy (macro economy).
• What is all about Macro Economy?
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Why Study Financial Markets and Institutions? Financial Institutions • We are going to study how Financial Institutions affect the macroeconomic variables / system. They includes; • GDP (Output) • Employment (Jobs) • Wages (salary) • Government Expenditures and Taxes • Imports and Exports • Interest rates
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Structure of the Financial System – The financial system is complex comprising with many different types of institutions. – All are heavily regulated by the Government. – Financial intermediaries are connecting institution between savers and investors. – Why are financial intermediaries are so crucial? – Why do they give credit to one party and not to others? – Why do they have complicated legal documents? – Why are they so heavily regulated?
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Financial Institutions
• Financial institutions (intermediaries) that borrow funds
from people who have saved and make loans to other people • Banks—institutions that accept deposits and make loans. • Many Indian keep their savings in the form of saving account and other types of bank deposits. • Because banks are largest financial intermediaries in the country, then deserve careful study.
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Financial Institutions
• However, Banks are not only important financial
institutions. • Indeed, in recent years, other financial institutions such as insurance companies, financial companies, pension funds,, mutual funds and investment banks have been growing at the equal speed. • Hence, they also needs careful study. We will study both banks and other financial institutions in part 6 and 7 of the book.
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Monetary System
• Money referred as money supply is defined as anything that
is generally accepted as medium of exchange or means of payment. • Money is linked to changes in economic variables that effects all of us and are important to the health of the economy. • Evidence suggests that money plays an important role in generating business cycles • Recessions (unemployment) and booms (inflation) affect all of us • Monetary Theory ties changes in the money supply to changes in aggregate economic activity and the price level
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Money growth and business cycle
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GDP and Inflation
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Money and Inflation
• The aggregate price level is the
average price of goods and services in an economy • A continual rise in the price level (inflation) affects all economic players • Data shows a connection between the money supply and the price level
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BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus Macroeconomic Variables interrelationships • Interest rates are the price of money • Prior to 1980, the rate of money growth and the interest rate on long-term Treasure bonds were closely tied • Since then, the relationship is less clear but still an important determinant of interest rates
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Macroeconomic Variables interrelationships
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What is the link between growth, inflation and interest rates? • In a fast-growing economy, incomes go up quickly and more and more people have the money to buy the existing bunch of goods. As more and more money chases the existing set of goods, prices of such goods rise. In other words, inflation (which is nothing but the rate of increase in prices) spikes. • To contain inflation, a country’s central bank typically nudges up the interest rates in the economy. By doing so, it incentivizes people to spend less and save more because saving becomes more profitable as interest rates go up. As more and more people choose to save, money is sucked out of the market and inflation rate moderates.
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What happens when growth rate decelerates or contracts? • When growth contracts, as is happening in the current financial year, or when its growth rate decelerates, as was happening right through 2019, then typically, people’s incomes also get hit. As a result, less and less money is chasing the same quantity of goods. This results in either the inflation rate decelerating (that is, prices grow at 1% instead of 5%; also called “disinflation”) or it actually contracts (also called “deflation”; that is, prices reduce by 1% instead of growing at 5%). • In such situations, a central bank nudges down the interest rates so as to incentivize spending and by that route boost economic activity in the economy. Lower interest rates imply that it is less profitable to keep one’s money in the bank or any similar saving instrument. As a result, more and more money comes into the market, thus boosting growth and inflation.