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Chapter 13: International Trade Patterns: - Learning Objectives in This Chapter

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Chapter 13: International Trade

Patterns
• Learning objectives in this chapter:
– Describing the evolving patterns of
international commerce
– Documenting emerging markets for global
exports
– Examining global trade flows in six major
commodity groups
Backdrop
• Capitalism is in constant political and economic
flux (****key interpenetration of these two
themes*****)
• This chapter complements Chapter 12, with a
largely empirical description of international
trade
• International trade has gradually expanded in
the post WW-II time period, and its growth has
generally outpaced GDP expansion (Figure
13.3)
• Global economic growth has been uneven, and
has reflected global recessions and expansions
– see Figure 13.1, Figure 13.2, Tables 13.1,
13.2
World Economic Growth (%
Change in GDP)
Table 13.1: Shifting Proportions of
World Output
North America
0.3
Share of world output

0.25 Other Western


Hemisphere
0.2 Middle East

0.15 Asia and Oceania

0.1 Western Europe

0.05
E. Europe and
Russia
0
Africa
1980 1990 2000
World Bank GDP % Change
Figure clearly shows
rising rates of
exports compared
to overall production
levels, especially
in manufacturing

? What about services?

All the evidence we have


points to the same trend
Emerging Markets
• Table 13.2 & Figure 13.3 make the point that
globally the developing countries in Asia are the
key points of expansion for export markets

Post 2000?

Text discussion of Impact of shift from natural resources to


differences in trade policy manufactured goods in this bar chart
World Patterns of Trade: The
United States

Note Change in Scale!


The Shifting Geography of U.S.
Merchandise Trade

Scale must be off – high by 1,000


Figure 13.7 – U.S. – Canada Trade, Figure 13.5 updates this to 2000
Table 13.4 indicates how concentrated U.S. trade is with a few nations
U.S. Services Trade
• Unlike merchandise, the U.S. has a big
trade surplus in services
• Exports include quasi-services such as
software
• Intellectual property & multimedia
• Telecommunications
• Travel – business & tourist
• Financial
• ??? Offshoring of services???
U.S. Trade in Key Commodities

Rise of imports from


The rise of Airbus, Japan, Korea, Mexico,
Bombardier (sp?) And Canada
U.S. Trade in Key Commodities

The shift from a net exporter


to a net importer
Canadian Exports: The U.S.
Dependence

Mismatch in size between U.S. and Canadian economies


Canadian Exports: From A Staples-
based economy to diversified products

Most
trade
today is
without
tariffs:
but
lumber
exports to
U.S. are
an
exception
The EU
• The largest trading block of countries in
the world – see Figure 13.10
• Exports are relatively large, given the
population of Europe
• There are several explanations for this:
– The relative wealth of European countries
– The small sizes of the countries and their
relatively strong reliance on neighbors for
markets (like states in the U.S. in many ways)
– Highly developed transportation system
Germany: Europe’s Largest
Exporter

Solid trade surplus


Great Britain: More strongly tied to
Europe than Germany, but this
figures excludes service exports
France: Strong European Ties

A more diversified mix of exports and imports than Germany or the U.K.
Italy: Much more Strongly Integrated with
Europe than Germany, UK, and France

Is a gravity model type relationship evidence in %’s of exports/imports for


Germany, Italy and France?
Western Europe’s Trade Balance
Latin America
• A divergent set of economies – some very
stable, others unstable – some very poor
and others with middle incomes
• Diverse resource endowments
• Diverse historical backgrounds
• Diverse political structures
• The shift in development strategies from
import-substitution to export-led
industrialization
Mexico’s Exports & Imports

Relatively large
staples exports

Ignores services
Huge U.S. Dependence exports / imports

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