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    Problems

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    faizan
    This document contains 8 examples of probability word problems. The problems involve calculating probabilities related to medical diagnoses, traffic stops, factory production errors, phone network failures, lie detector tests, and patient allergies. Formulas or step-by-step workings are not shown, only the probability questions.

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    Problems

    Uploaded by

    faizan
    255 views20 pages
    This document contains 8 examples of probability word problems. The problems involve calculating probabilities related to medical diagnoses, traffic stops, factory production errors, phone network failures, lie detector tests, and patient allergies. Formulas or step-by-step workings are not shown, only the probability questions.

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    4b

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    This document contains 8 examples of probability word problems. The problems involve calculating probabilities related to medical diagnoses, traffic stops, factory production errors, phone network failures, lie detector tests, and patient allergies. Formulas or step-by-step workings are not shown, only the probability questions.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PPTX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pptx, pdf, or txt
    255 views20 pages

    Problems

    Uploaded by

    faizan
    This document contains 8 examples of probability word problems. The problems involve calculating probabilities related to medical diagnoses, traffic stops, factory production errors, phone network failures, lie detector tests, and patient allergies. Formulas or step-by-step workings are not shown, only the probability questions.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PPTX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pptx, pdf, or txt
    of 20

    Problems

    Chapter 2
    Example 1
    • In a certain region of the country it is known from past experience
    that the probability of selecting an adult over 40 years of age with
    cancer is 0.05. If the probability of a doctor correctly diagnosing a
    person with cancer as having the disease is 0.78 and the probability of
    incorrectly diagnosing a person without cancer as having the disease
    is 0.06, what is the probability that an adult over 40 years of age is
    diagnosed as having cancer?
    Example 2
    • Police plan to enforce speed limits by using radar traps at four
    different locations within the city limits.
    • The radar traps at each of the locations L1, L2, L3,and L4 will be
    operated 40%, 30%, 20%, and 30% of the time. If a person who is
    speeding on her way to work has probabilities of 0.2, 0.1, 0.5, and 0.2,
    respectively, of passing through these locations, what is the
    probability that she will receive a speeding ticket?
    Example 3
    • Referring to Example 1, what is the probability that a person
    diagnosed as having cancer actually has the disease?
    Example 4
    • If the person in Exercise 2.96 received a speeding ticket on her way to
    work, what is the probability that she passed through the radar trap
    located at L2?
    Example 5
    • Suppose that the four inspectors at a film factory are supposed to
    stamp the expiration date on each package of film at the end of the
    assembly line. John, who stamps 20% of the packages, fails to stamp
    the expiration date once in every 200 packages; Tom, who stamps
    60% of the packages, fails to stamp the expiration date once in every
    100 packages; Jeff, who stamps 15% of the packages, fails to stamp
    the expiration date once in every 90 packages; and Pat, who stamps
    5% of the packages, fails to stamp the expiration date once in every
    200 packages. If a customer complains that her package of film does
    not show the expiration date, what is the probability that it was
    inspected by John?
    Example 6
    • A regional telephone company operates three identical relay stations at
    different locations. During a one-year period, the number of malfunctions
    reported by each station and the causes are shown below.

    • Suppose that a malfunction was reported and it was found to be caused


    by other human errors. What is the probability that it came from station
    C?
    Example 7
    • A truth serum has the property that 90% of the guilty suspects are
    properly judged while, of course, 10% of the guilty suspects are
    improperly found innocent. On the other hand, innocent suspects are
    misjudged 1% of the time.
    • If the suspect was selected from a group of suspects of which only
    5% have ever committed a crime, and the serum indicates that he is
    guilty, what is the probability that he is innocent?.
    Example 8
    • An allergist claims that 50% of the patients she tests are allergic to
    some type of weed. What is the probability that
    • (a) exactly 3 of her next 4 patients are allergic to weeds?
    • (b) none of her next 4 patients is allergic to weeds?

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