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Environmental Models in Spatial Science

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Environmental Models in Spatial

Science
Module 2

Reference text: Environmental Modeling with GIS and


Remote Sensing, Edt. By Andrew Skidmore

1
Environmental Models and their
types
 Environmental model
◦ Simulate the functioning of environmental
processes
◦ Better understanding of complexity
◦ Scale
 Local
 Regional
 Global
◦ GIS = allows change of scale, extrapolation,
etc.
2
Model types (Taxonomy of the
models)
Environmental
Model

Models based on
Models of logic
processing method

Inductive Deductive Deterministic Stochastic

A model has to be a combination of logic and process


3
Deductive models
 Draw conclusion from a set general
proposition (premises).
 One can not deny the conclusion if the
premises are assumed true. (Self-
contradiction)
 Example of deductive models
◦ Pythagoras’ theorem (assumes lines as true
identity)

4
◦ Three types of vegetation
 Grass
 Herb
 Shrub
◦ Rainfall and grazing intensity - control factors
◦ Using assumptions/literature
 Combination of grazing intensity and rainfall
amount will determine the change of one
vegetation category to other
 Deductive models are based on plausible
physical laws.
5
Inductive models
 Derive conclusion from facts
 A series of facts may be used to prove a
general statement
 May lead to understanding of patterns
 Most of the times, conclusion and the
factors contributing to it are known well.
The causal process may not be
understood.

6
 Steps in inductive models
◦ Define the problem and formulate a research
questions out of it
◦ Develop a hypothesis
◦ Collect data
◦ Exploratory analysis
◦ Confirmatory analysis - accept/reject
hypothesis

7
 In reality, a model can also be a mixed one
◦ Inductive and deductive
◦ Example, Global Climate Model
 Inductive
 Components of models depicting interaction between
atmosphere and biosphere
 Deductive
 Measurement of components such as Absorbed
Photosynthetically Active Radiation (APAR), Day length,
interpolated weather data, etc.

8
Deterministic models
 Empirical models
◦ A fixed input and fixed output
◦ Hence, empirical environmental models are
site-specific
 Example,
◦ Universal Soil Loss Equation
 Regression based
 Has multiple criteria to estimate soil loss
 Developed empirically using plot data

9
 Knowledge driven models
◦ Dependent and independent variables
◦ Establishment of rules to depict relationships
◦ Expert’s opinion used for formulating rules
 Combination of observations and expert’s
conclusion
◦ Expert system has:
 Knowledge base (rules)
 A method for processing those rules
 User interface to handle spatial data and interpret
results
 For example, land use land cover classification using
expert system

10
 Process Driven Models
◦ Also known as conceptual models
◦ White box (process underlying is understood)
◦ Process based models describe process based on
understanding and established concepts
 Many types
 Lumped
 Distributed, etc.
 Example, Hortonian Overland Flow model
 Q = (I-F)A
 Where, Q is overland flow, I rainfall intensity, F is infiltration
rate, and A is catchment area

11
Stochastic Models
 Input data parameters are variable/random
 Therefore, the output is also variable
 Uses back propagation method (BP)
 Multiple layers to connect input
data/variables to output
◦ BP works first in the forward direction to
calculate output
◦ Then in backward direction to compare the
calculated values to the target
◦ Errors are estimated to readjust the connectivity
◦ Example, Neural Network for digital classification
of satellite data

12
Structure of Neural Network

13

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