Om 1
Om 1
Om 1
Management
MGMT 3191
CHAPTER ONE
INTRODUCTION
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What is Operations Management?
• Is responsible for the design, operation, and improvement of productive
systems that is responsible for producing goods and/or services.
• Operations is more than planning and controlling; it’s doing.
• Operations managers are found in banks, hospitals, factories, and gov’t
offices.
- They work with customers and suppliers, the latest technology, and global
partners.
• Operations management is responsible for orchestrating all the resources
needed to produce the final product
What is operations?
– a function or system that transforms inputs into outputs of greater value.
– defined as transformation process.
• It is core business function whether an organization
large or small,
Provides a physical good or a service
Domestic or International
Profit or not-for-profit
Three Major Functions
• Every business is managed through three major functions:
finance, marketing, and operations management.
• Operations is at the heart and all the other functions are support
functions
Transformation Process
What is a transformation process?
– a series of activities along a value chain extending from supplier to
customer.
• activities that do not add value are superfluous and should be
eliminated
• OM tries to ensure that the transformation process is performed
efficiently and that the out put is of greater value than the sum of
inputs.
– Thus, the role of operations is value creation throughout the supply chain.
• Supply chain - a sequence of activities and organizations involved
in producing and delivering a good or service
Transformation Process can take the form of :
– Physical: as in manufacturing operations
– Locational: as in transportation operations
– Exchange: as in retail operations
– Physiological: as in health care
– Psychological: as in entertainment
– Informational: as in communication
Operations as a System
Requirements
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Historical Milestones in OM
• The Industrial Revolution
• Post-Civil War Period
• Scientific Management
• Human Relations and Behaviorism
• Operations Research (1960’s and 70’s)
• The Service Revolution (1970’s and 80’s)
• Supply Chain Integration and Management
(1990’s)
• E-Commerce (late 1990’s)
• CR (early 2000)
The Industrial Revolution
• The industrial revolution developed in England in the 1700s.
• The steam engine, invented by James Watt in 1764, largely replaced
human and water power for factories.
• Adam Smith’s The Wealth of Nations in 1776 touted the economic
benefits of the specialization of labor.
• Thus the late-1700s factories had not only machine power but also
ways of planning and controlling the tasks of workers.
• The industrial revolution spread from England to other European
countries and to the United Sates.
• In 1790 an American, Eli Whitney, developed the concept of
interchangeable parts.
• The first great industry in the US was the textile industry.
• In the 1800s the development of the gasoline engine and electricity
further advanced the revolution.
• By the mid-1800s, the old cottage system of production had been
replaced by the factory system.
• 1700s Cottage Industry.... Machine power for human power.... factory system
try.
• which resulted in greater productivity. 1790 Eli Whitney invented concept of
interchangeable parts. Forced consistent production of parts. Variation evil.
• 1865 -1900 Joint stock companies formed changing capital structure of
companies. Expansion into West created demand for products, development of
rail lines provided quick, cheap transportation of goods. Also influx of labor from
farm to urban centers.
• Early 1900s Frederick Taylor developed the concept of Shop System. Henry
Ford put concepts into practice with assembly lines that used modern scientific
management concepts: Standardized product design, mass production for low
manufacturing. costs, mechanized the lines, specialization of labor, and
interchangeable parts.
• 1927-32 Hawthorne studies at Western Electric plant demonstrated human
factors also impacted production.
• World War II required enormous quantities of supplies, people, etc. Operations
Research teams formed to develop models to manage the complex logistics.
Linear programming, PERT/CPM, forecasting developed/refined.
• Accelerated after WWII, 2/3’s workforce in service and 2/3’s GDP generated by
service indus 8
Post-Civil War Period
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Characteristics of Service
Intangible product
Produced and consumed at same
time
Often unique
High customer interaction
Inconsistent product definition
Often knowledge-based
Frequently dispersed
Shorter response time
Labor intensive
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Two major dimensions: Degree of tangibility & Degree of customer contact
Goods Versus Services
Attributes of Goods Attributes of Services
(Tangible Product) (Intangible Product)
Can be resold Reselling unusual
Can be inventoried Difficult to inventory
Some aspects of quality Quality difficult to measure
measurable
Selling is distinct from Selling is part of service
production
Product is transportable Provider, not product, is
often transportable
Site of facility important for cost Site of facility important for
customer contact
Often easy to automate Often difficult to automate
Revenue generated primarily Revenue generated primarily
from tangible product from the intangible service
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Similarities
• Despite many differences, there are a lot of similarities
between manufacturing & service operations.
• There is an interdependency of products & services, for ex:
customers want both good food as well as good service at a
restaurant.
• Again though service providers cannot inventoried their
outputs, but must have inventory of their inputs, for ex:
hospitals must maintain an adequate supply of medications,
nurses & doctors.
• While buying a car we not only buy a product but also a
guarantee. Hospital cares involves medication, bandages & x-
ray films & so on, so despite a lot of differences both product &
service are part of each other.
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Cont…d
– Both use technology
– Both have quality, productivity, & response issues
– Both must forecast demand
– Both will have capacity, layout, and location issues
– Both have customers, suppliers, scheduling and
staffing issues
– Manufacturing often provides services
– Services often provides tangible goods
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Operations Decision Making
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Decision analysis techniques
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State of nature
Decision Good competitive condition Poor competitive condition
Expand $ 800,000 $ 500,000
Maintain status quo 1,300,000 -150,000
Sell now 320,000 320, 000
Determine the best decision using each of the decision criteria.
1.Maximax 2.Maximin3.Minimax regret 4.Hurwicz 5. Equal likelihood
1. Maximax
• The decision is selected that will result in the maximum of the
maximum payoffs. This is how this criterion derives its name—the
maximum of the maxima.
• The maximax criterion is very optimistic. The decision maker
assumes that the most favorable state of nature for each decision
alternative will occur.
• Thus, for this example, the company would optimistically assume
that good competitive conditions will prevail in the future,
resulting in the following maximum payoffs and decisions:
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Expand: $800,000
Status quo: 1,300,000 ← Maximum
Sell: 320,000
• Decision: Maintain status quo
2. Maximin
• The maximin criterion is pessimistic. With the maximin criterion,
the decision maker selects the decision that will reflect the
maximum of the minimum payoffs.
• For each decision alternative, the decision maker assumes that the
minimum payoff will occur; of these, the maximum is selected as
follows:
Expand: $500,000 ← Maximum
Status quo: -150,000
Sell: 320,000
Decision: Expand
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3. Minimax Regret Criterion
• The decision maker attempts to avoid regret by selecting the decision
alternative that minimizes the maximum regret.
• A decision maker first selects the maximum payoff under each state of
nature; then all other payoffs under the respective states of nature are
subtracted from these amounts, as follows:
Good competitive conditions Poor competitive conditions
$1,300,000-800,000=500,000 500,000-500,000=0
1,300,000-1,300,000=0 500,000-(-150,000)=650,000
1,300,000-320,000=980,000 500,000-320,000=180,000
• These values represent the regret for each decision that would be experienced
by the decision maker if a decision were made that resulted in less than the
maximum payoff.
• The maximum regret for each decision must be determined, and the decision
corresponding to the minimum of these regret values is selected as follows:
Expand: $500,000 ← Minimum
Status quo: 650,000
Sell: 980,000 Decision: Expand 31
4. Hurwicz
• A compromise is made between the maximax and maximin criteria. The
decision maker is neither totally optimistic (as the maximax criterion
assumes) nor totally pessimistic (as the maximin criterion assumes).
• With the Hurwicz criterion, the decision payoffs are weighted by a
coefficient of optimism, a measure of the decision maker’s optimism.
• The coefficient of optimism, defined as α, is between 0 and 1 (i.e., 0 < α
<1). If α= 1, the decision maker is completely optimistic; if α = 0, the
decision maker is completely pessimistic.
• (Given this definition, 1 - α is the coefficient of pessimism.) For each
decision alternative, the maximum payoff is multiplied by α and the
minimum payoff is multiplied by 1 – α
• For our investment example, if α equals 0.3 (i.e., the company is slightly
optimistic) and 1 – α= 0.7, the following decision will result:
Expand: $800,000(0.3) + 500,000(0.7) =$590,000 ← Maximum
Status quo: 1,300,000(0.3) _ 150,000(0.7) = 285,000
Sell: 320,000(0.3) +320,000(0.7) = 320,000 Decision: Expand
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5. Equal Likelihood
• The equal likelihood criterion weights each state of nature
equally, thus assuming that the states of nature are equally likely
to occur. Since there are two states of nature in our example, we
assign a weight of 0.50 to each one. Next, we multiply these
weights by each payoff for each decision and select the alternative
with the maximum of these weighted values.
Expand: $800,000(0.50) + 500,000(0.50) = $650,000 ← Maximum
Status quo: 1,300,000(0.50) _ 150,000(0.50) = 575,000
Sell: 320,000(0.50) + 320,000(0.50) = 320,000
Decision: Expand
• The decision to expand the plant was designated most often by
four of the five decision criteria. The decision to sell was never
indicated by any criterion. This is because the payoffs for
expansion, under either set of future economic conditions, are
always better than the payoffs for selling.
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• Given any situation with these two alternatives, the decision to
expand will always be made over the decision to sell. The sell
decision alternative could have been eliminated from
consideration under each of our criteria. The alternative of
selling is said to be dominated by the alternative of expanding.
In general, dominated decision alternatives can be removed
from the payoff table and not considered when the various
decision-making criteria are applied, which reduces the
complexity of the decision analysis.
• Different decision criteria often result in a mix of decisions. The
criteria used and the resulting decisions depend on the decision
maker. For example, the extremely optimistic decision maker
might disregard the preceding results and make the decision to
maintain the status quo, because the maximax criterion reflects
his or her personal decision-making philosophy.
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Decision making with probabilities/ under risk
• When probabilities can be assigned to the occurrence of states of
nature in the future, the situation is referred to as decision
making under risk.
• This happens when it is possible for the decision maker to know
enough about the future states of nature to assign probabilities
that each will occur.
• The most widely used decision-making criterion under risk is
expected value, computed by multiplying each outcome by the
probability of its occurrence and then summing these products
according to the following formula:
EV(x) =
• Where
p (xi) = probability of outcome i
Xi = outcome i
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• Assume that it is now possible for the Southern Textile
Company to estimate a probability of 0.70 that good foreign
competitive conditions will exist and a probability of 0.30
that poor conditions will exist in the future. Determine the
best decision using expected value.
Solution
• The expected values for each decision alternative are
computed as follows.
EV (expand) =$800,000(0.70) + 500,000(0.30) = $710,000
EV (status quo) = 1,300,000(0.70) _ 150,000(0.30) =865,000 ←
Maximum
EV (sell) = 320,000(0.70) +320,000(0.30) = 320,000
• The decision according to this criterion is to maintain the
status quo, since it has the highest expected value.
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Using Decision Trees for Decision Making
A decision tree is a graphic display of the decision process that
indicates decision alternatives, states of nature and their respective
probabilities, and payoffs for each combination of decision alternative
and state of nature
Information in decision tables can be displayed as decision trees
Appropriate for showing sequential decisions
Fundamentals of Decision Making
1. Terms:
a. Alternative – a course of action or strategy that may be chosen by
the decision maker
b. State of nature – an occurrence or a situation over which the
decision maker has little or no control
2. Symbols used in a decision tree:
a. – decision node from which one of several alternatives may be
selected
b. – a state-of-nature node out of which one state of nature will
occur
Decision Tree Example
ru ct Unfavorable market
on st lant
C ep
larg Favorable market
Construct
small plant
Do Unfavorable market
no
thi
ng
Steps in Decision Trees
1. Define the problem
2. Structure or draw the decision tree
3. Assign probabilities to the states of nature
4. Estimate payoffs for each possible combination of
decision alternatives and states of nature
5. Solve the problem by working backward through
the tree computing the EMV for each state-of-
nature node
Decision Tree Example
EMV for node 1
= $710,000 = (.7)($800,000) + (.3)($500,000)
Payoffs
Favorable market (.7)
$800,000
1
Unfavorable market (.3)
x pan d EMV for node 2 Favorable market (.7)
$500,000
e
= $865,000 $1,300,000
Status = (.7)($1,300,000) + (.3)(-$150,000)
2
Unfavorable market (.3)
quo -$150,000
se Favorable market (.7)
ll $320,000
3
Unfavorable market (.3)
$320,000
EMV for node 3 = (.7)($320,000)+(.3)($320,000)
= $320,000
Complex
Decision
Tree
Example
Decision Trees in Ethical Decision
Making
Don’t do
it
Exercise on Decision Making Under Risk
States of Nature
Favorable Unfavorable
Alternatives Market Market
Construct large plant (A1) $200,000 -$180,000
Construct small plant (A2) $100,000 -$90,000
Do nothing (A3) $0 $0
Probabilities 0.2 0.8