Q3 2022-Final
Q3 2022-Final
Q3 2022-Final
2. Compliance / Operations
3. Macro Outlook
4. Global Equity
5. Canadian Equity
7. Risk
8. ESG
9. Q&A
SIAS Fund Performance
Arun Subbiah | Compliance and Operations Co-Lead
arun_subbiah@sfu.ca
Portfolio Benchmark
Return: -0.46% Return: -0.42%
Active Return: -0.60%
* Tracking Error: 1.82%
* Annualized
4
Trailing 12 Months : SIAS Outperformed by 0.01%
Data: Trailing 12 Months Ending September 30, 2022
20.0%
15.0%
10.0%
5.0%
0.0%
-5.0%
-10.0%
-15.0%
-20.0%
Percentage Difference
1.5%
1.0%
0.5%
0.0%
-0.5%
-1.0%
00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 0 0 00 00 0 0 0 0 00 00 0 0 00 00 00 0 0 00 00 0 0 0 0 00 00 0 0 00 00 00 0 0 00 00 0 0 0 0 00 00
0: 0: 0 : 0 : 0: 0 : 0 : 0 : 0: 0 : 0 : 0 : 0: 0: 0: 0: 0: 0: 0: 0: 0: 0: 0: 0: 0: 0: 0: 0: 0: 0: 0: 0: 0: 0: 0: 0: 0: 0: 0: 0: 0: 0: 0: 0:
2 1 21 2 1 2 1 21 2 1 2 1 2 1 21 2 1 2 1 2 1 22 22 22 2 2 22 22 2 2 2 2 22 22 2 2 22 22 22 2 2 22 22 2 2 2 2 22 22 2 2 22 22 22 2 2 22 22 2 2 2 2 22 22
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
/2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2
/ 3 0 0 /8 /1 8 /2 6 1 /3 /1 1 /1 9 /2 9 2 /7 /1 5 /2 3 /3 1 /1 0 /1 8 /2 6 2 /3 /1 1 /2 1 3 /1 3 /9 /1 7 /2 5 4 /4 /1 2 /2 0 /2 8 5 /6 /1 6 /2 4 6 /1 6 /9 /1 7 /2 7 7 /5 /1 3 /2 1 /2 9 8 /8 /1 6 /2 4 9 /1 9 /9 /1 9 /2 7
9 1 10 10 1 11 11 11 1 12 12 12 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 9 9
5
10-Year Cumulative: SIAS Underperformed by -0.11% (Annualized)
Based on Year-End Values
$5.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Q3
* Units of figures presented are in $CAD millions. 2022 data as of September 30, 2022.
6
Q3 2022 - Breakdown
7
Compliance and Operations Update
Arun Subbiah | Compliance and Operations Co-Lead
arun_subbiah@sfu.ca
9
Macroeconomics Overview & Asset Allocation
Current Economic Stage and Future Expectations
US Canada
Observations Observations
• Decreasing Consumer Spending • Decreasing Consumer Spending
• Decreasing Investing Activities • Decreasing Investing Activities
• Decreasing Manufacturing • Decreasing Manufacturing
Confidence Index Confidence Index
• The unemployment rate has • The unemployment rate has
decreased but higher future rates decreased but higher future rates
• Increasing the Current Account • Decreasing the Current Account
Balance (less negative) Balance
• Increasing the Financial Balance • Reversed Yield Curve
(Less negative)
• Reversed Yield Curve
Conclusion:
Conclusion: • Current: Stagnation Stage
• Current: Recession Stage
11
US & Canada Overnight Rate
US
Canada
12
Asset Allocation of SIAS
Cash
6% Canadian
22% Equity
2% Benchmark (IPS) Allocation
24%
• Global Equity: 50%
Canadian
Fixed
• Cash: 2%
Income
13
Global Equity
Emerging Markets
10%
Pacific
8% 12% • US: Overweight
9%
• Europe & Middle East:
Overweight
17% 17%
Europe & 60% US
Middle East 63% • Emerging Markets: Underweight
3%
2%
Canada
14
PE Analysis
15
Europe & Energy
• Better than
Expectations
• Saving Energy
• China Lockdowns
16
Global Equity Update
US Equity
Macro/ROW Team
18
Volatility of USD GDP and CPI
19
Manufacturing PMI going south
20
Strengthening US Dollar
21
Investment Approach
22
Global Equity at the End of Q3 2022
25
20
15
10
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Portfolio Benchmark
23
Global Equities Return Drivers
24
Canadian Equity Update
Phoebe Wang | Canadian Equity Co-Lead
Xu_wang_9@sfu.ca@sfu.ca
• The bank continues its policy of quantitative tightening. Set its target • Follow a defensive strategy focused on
for overnight lending rate to 3.75%. established companies in defensive sectors.
• Inflation was at 7.6% in July, 7% in August, and 6.9% in September.
• With decreasing inflationary pressure, BOC is starting to ease up • Value oriented approach with focus on low PE
where it increased interest rates by 0.5% as of October in comparison and PB ratios and high dividend yield.
to 0.75% in September and 1% in July.
• Overweighted Financials sector
GDP Growth
• Overweighted Utilities sector
• The Canadian economy is starting to slow down with growth rate from
1.6% in Q4 2021. Expected to fall to 0.5% in Q4 2022 down from 0.8% • Overweighted Communication Services sector
in Q1 and Q2 2022.
• Final consumption expenditure grew by 1.7%. Strong contribution • Decreased underweights on Materials,
from household spending on semi-durable goods of 5.6% and services Consume Staples, Consumer Discretionary and
of 3.9%. Industrials.
Moving Forward
• Overall environment comprises of elevated commodity prices caused by supply chain disruptions and Russia – Ukraine crisis and
high inflation in an increasing interest rates environment.
• Current inversion of the yield curve adds to market fears of looming recession, therefore investors look for low risk securities.
• In such an environment, the Canadian Equity team plans to maintain its value oriented, defensive strategy going forward.
Selection Rationale: Canadian Equity Selection Model
ESG Integrated Selection Model
Value 35%
Factor-based
Quality
Screener
25%
1. Factor-based screener : ESG The top 3 stocks are
Growth selected as filtered by
20%
Select the top 3 stock that score Sentiment the factor-based
positive on Value Quality and ESG screener to move to
15%
the second step
5%
potential
ESG
violations &
3. ESG impact considerations: expected impact of
impact impact of
Conduct a project-by-project past ESG past
ESG-related
qualitative assessment of ESG risks violations & violations or
government
added in the portfolio by adding penalties issues on
resilience to regulations
the stock company’s stock price
the
response to
transition to
past issues
clean energy
Canadian Equity- Return Attribution Summary
Communication Services
0.06 -0.04 0.06
Figures for the Quarter June. 30th, 2022– Sep. 30th, 2022
Proxy Benchmark : iShares Core S&P/TSX Capped Composite Index ETF
FFF Initiative - Energy Sector Divestment
Overview Divestment
• Our aim to make the Canadian Equity portfolio Fossil Fuel Free is Companies
complete.
• Sold 7 companies. Increased stake in 6 new companies and 2 existing, • ENBRIDGE INC 4.27%
BCE Inc and Metro Inc in keeping with a defensive strategy.
• TC ENERGY Corp 2.14%
• ALTAGAS 0.38%
Across 7 sectors – $743,586
-3 -5
-4 -6
Total Return (P) Total Return (B) Total Return (P) Total Return (NB)
-1 -1
-2
-2
-3
-3
-4
-4
-5
-6 -5
-7 -6
Total Return (F3P) Total Return (B) Total Return (F3P) Total Return (NB)
$4,602,624 0.05%
Portfolio vs. Benchmark Total Return(2)
4.5
Total Return (P) Total Return (B)
3.75
2.25
1.5
0.75
0
7/1/2022 7/11/2022 7/21/2022 7/31/2022 8/10/2022 8/20/2022 8/30/2022 9/9/2022 9/19/2022 9/29/2022
-0.75
33
Performance Breakdown: Active Curve Return I
Active Curve Return Components (%) Yield Curve Change
1-Jul-22 30-Sep-22
Portfolio Benchmark Change
4.50
Parallel shift (10.98) (12.79) 1.81 4.00
Non-parallel 3.50
10.48 12.31 (1.83)
shift 3.00
2.50
Carry 0.78 0.76 0.02
2.00
Total 0.28 0.28 0.01 1.50
1.00
0.50
-
3M 6M 1Y 2Y 3Y 4Y 5Y 6Y 7Y 8Y 9Y 10Y 20Y 30Y
30-Jun-22 30-Sep-22
34
Performance Breakdown: Active Spread Return I
Contribution to Active Spread Duration
30-Jun-22 30-Sep-22
Provincial (2.46) (1.69)
Corporate 5.89 5.66
180.00
100.00
160.00
80.00
140.00
60.00 120.00
40.00 100.00
80.00
20.00
60.00
- 40.00
3M 6M 1Y 2Y 3Y 4Y 5Y 7Y 8Y 9Y 10Y 15Y 20Y 25Y 30Y
(20.00) 20.00
-
(40.00) 3M 6M 1Y 2Y 3Y 4Y 5Y 7Y 8Y 9Y 10Y 15Y 20Y 25Y 30Y
35
Portfolio Construction
Income
Selection
Return
Coupon Maturity
payment Bond Feature
Option adjusted
spread
36
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Strategy
Future Strategy
Market Expectation
Under weight short term duration
Inflation is approaching its peak Overweight in Financials
Unemployment has gone down and GDP decline Selection will focus on looking for value and quality
Yield curve inversions suggests probable recession In the interim, invest in money market securities
37
Risk Update
Tong(Cecilia) Hong | Risk Co-Lead
tong_hong@sfu.ca
Active Risk
2.5
2.02 1.97 1.94 1.94
2
1.89 1.89 1.82
1.5
Axis Title
0.5
0
Friday, July 1, 2022 Thursday, July 14, 2022 Monday, August 1, 2022 Monday, August 15, 2022 Thursday, September 1, 2022 Wednesday, September 14, Friday, September 30, 2022
2022
0
US Size US Profit US Growth US Beta US Momentum US Mid-cap US Valuation CA Variability
-0.05 -0.03
-0.04
-0.06 -0.06
-0.1
40
Forecasting Models Fixed Income
41
ESG Update
Mrunal Desai | ESG Co-Lead
mad24@sfu.ca
ESG ratings
• AAA for Canadian Equity
• AA for Global Equity
Proxy Voting
• Completed proxy votes for the current quarter along with
BEAM’s ESG team.
ESG Score Cards
ESG Quality Score
Canadian Equities
High rating Contributors
Global Equities
Way Forward
# of Px Close
Name instruments % Wgt MV Pos (P) (P) Crncy Ticker
› Industrials 3 6.109603751 680290.0921
3M CO 0.795142574 88537.26634 516 125.79 USD MMM US
CATERPILLAR INC 3.01765165 336008.4553 1138 216.46 USD CAT US
EMERSON ELECTRIC CO 2.296809528 255744.3705 2165 86.6 USD EMR US
› Information Technology 7 16.31565229 1816709.733
ADOBE INC 1.170522806 130334.9775 300 318.5 USD ADBE US
ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES 0.96163465 107075.7698 1307 60.06 USD AMD US
APPLE INC 5.346130343 595279.1132 2846 153.34 USD AAPL US
MICROSOFT CORP 3.216200126 358116.3639 1131 232.13 USD MSFT US
PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC 1.344362164 149691.5836 1313 83.58 USD PYPL US
TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR-SP ADR 1.084266729 120730.565 1438 61.55 USD TSM US
VISA INC-CLASS A SHARES 3.192535475 355481.3603 1258 207.16 USD V US
› Real Estate 1 1.586678883 176672.9836
VICI PROPERTIES INC 1.586678883 176672.9836 4045 32.02 USD VICI US
› Not Classified 11 35.44701112 3946941.805
ISHARES ESG MSCI EM LEADERS 6.388129622 711303.2966 13112 39.77 USD LDEM US
ISHARES EUROPE ETF 10.83284421 1206211.873 21626 40.89 USD IEV US
ISHARES MSCI AUSTRALIA ETF 3.820360052 425388.1589 15051 20.72 USD EWA US
ISHARES MSCI CHINA ETF 1.454056138 161905.7511 3336 35.58 USD MCHI US
ISHARES MSCI DENMARK ETF 1.271937135 141627.2259 1259 82.469 USD EDEN US
ISHARES MSCI GERMANY ETF 0.982606058 109410.887 3676 21.82 USD EWG US
ISHARES MSCI JAPAN ETF 3.757661681 418406.8419 6136 49.99 USD EWJ US
ISHARES MSCI SINGAPORE ETF 0.211318874 23529.8625 1000 17.25 USD EWS US
ISHARES MSCI SWEDEN ETF 1.227046011 136628.7042 3400 29.46 USD EWD US
ISHARES MSCI SWITZERLAND ETF 2.108571697 234784.5282 4401 39.11 USD EWL US
ISHARES MSCI WORLD ETF 3.392479636 377744.6751 2578 107.42 USD URTH US
Appendix: Canadian Equity
Portfolio Holdings
As on SEPTEMBER 30, 2022
Company/Sector Name # of Shares Price Market Value % of Total
(1) Shares of BAMR obtained as a result of Spin-Off carried out by BAM/A on 28 th June,
2021 53
Portfolio Holdings
As on SEPTEMBER 30, 2022
Company/Sector Name # of Shares Price Market Value % of Total
54
Portfolio Holdings
As on SEPTEMBER 30, 2022
55
Portfolio Holdings
As on SEPTEMBER 30, 2022
ISHARES CORE S&P/TSX CAPPED COMPOSITE INDEX 8500 $29.29 $248,965 5.67%
56
Canadian Equity Trades
Energy – Divestment
Utilities
57
Canadian Equity Trades
Communication Services
Financials
Consumer Discretionary
Consumer Staples
Industrials
58
Canadian Equity Trades
Utilities
Materials
59
Appendix: Canadian Fixed Income
Total Return Breakdown
Selection
(0.14)
(0.58)
Spread
(0.58)
0.29
Yield curve
0.30
0.73
Income
0.91
Benchmark Portfolio
61
Allocation Breakdown
Sector Allocation (%)
60
46.81 49.31
50
38.54
40
30 25.2 25.11
20 14.23
10
0.26 0.39
0
Corporate Government Related Securitized Treasury
Maturity Allocation (%)
45 39.41
40
35 30.88
30
25 23.52
19.08 17.05 18.92
20
15 13.38 12.99
10.58 9.64
10 4.54
5 0
0
0-1 YR 1-3 YR 3-5 YR 5-7 YR 7-10 YR 10+ YR
Rating Allocation (%)
60
51.43
50
40 35.99 36.89
30
21.72
20 14.67 14.08
9.54 6.74
10 5.61
0.11 0.69 2.53
0
AAA AA AA BBB NR Not Classified
SIAS FI Benchmark
62
Key Rate Duration by Segments
Key Rate Duration (Portfolio – Benchmark)(1)
Corporate KRD
0.40
0.20
0.00
-0.20
-0.40
-0.60
-0.80
-1.00
6M 1Y 2Y 3Y 5Y 7Y 10Y 20Y 30Y
Government-Related
4.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
-1.00
-2.00
6M 1Y 2Y 3Y 5Y 7Y 10Y 20Y 30Y
Treasury
4.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
-1.00
-2.00
6M 1Y 2Y 3Y 5Y 7Y 10Y 20Y 30Y
63
Further Duration Analysis
Duration Weights
7.13 6.93
56.65% 56.31%
54.29% 54.59%
Provincial
19.77% 23.11% 23.89
19.96
Portfolio Benchmark
Portfolio Benchmark
Treasury Jun 30, 2022 September 30, 2022
64
Portfolio Holdings
As on June 30th, 2022
Name % of Total Market value ($) Position Price ($)
ETF
8.23 378,734
BMI HIQ CORP BND
8.23 378,734 14,048.00 26.96
Financial Institutions
14.93 687,249
BANK OF MONTREAL
1.52 69,999 73,000.00 95.49
CAN IMPERIAL BK
1.86 85,793 97,000.00 88.22
CT REIT
1.40 64,602 82,000.00 78.22
INVESTORS GROUP
1.89 87,,021 80,000.00 106.77
ROYAL BK CANADA
2.08 95,877 100,000.00 95.37
ROYAL BK CANADA
1.46 67,241 66,000.00 100.84
TORONTO DOM BANK
2.29 105,219 123,000.00 85.42
TORONTO DOM BANK
1.06 48,688 50,000.00 97.20
WELLS FARGO CO
1.36 62,810 67,000.00 92.65
Industrial
9.12 421,802.89
407 INTL INC
2.43 111,702 100,000.00 109.74
LOBLAW CO LTD
0.45 20,767 20,000.00 102.62
PEMBINA PIPELINE
2.07 95,095 100,000.00 94.58
SAPUTO INC
2.14 98,663 100,000.00 97.63
TELUS CORP
2.03 93,353 100,000.00 91.55
65
Portfolio Holdings
As on June 30th 2022
66
Portfolio Holdings
As on June 30th 2022
67
Appendix: ESG
APPENDIX
APPENDIX
APPENDIX