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ISLAMIA COLLEGE OF SCIENCE

& COMMERCE SRINAGAR


NAME: Owais Ahmad Malik

CLASS: Economics (4th Sem)

ROLL NO. : 21870024

SUBJECT : Econometrics

TOPIC : Classical Linear Regression Model & Its Assumptions

INCHARGE : Dr. Umer


ECONOMETRICS

The term ‘Econometrics’ was coined


by “Ragnar Frisch”, and he was one
of the founder of the Econometric
Society.
It deals with the measurement of
economic relationships.
“According to Koutsoyiannis, Econometrics is a
Social Science that is a combination of
Economic theory , Mathematics and
Statistics for the purpose of providing
numerical values, for the parameters of
economic relationships and thereby
verifying economic theories.”
CLASSICAL LINEAR REGRESSION MODEL
 In Regression analysis , our objective is not only to obtain b1^ andb2^
but also to draw inferences about the true b1 and b2. For this we must
not only specify the functional form of the model, but also make
certain assumptions about the manner in which Yi are generated .
The PRF: Yi = β1 + β2 Xi + ui
It shows that Yi depends on both Xi and ui
Therefore , unless we specific about how Xi an ui are generated,
there is no way we can make any statistical inferences about the true Yi
and even β1 & β2 .
Thus , the Assumptions made about the Xi variable and the error term are
extremely critical to the valid interpretation of the Regression estimates.
THIS GAUSSIAN , STANDARD , OR CLASSICAL
LINEAR REGRESSION MODEL (CLRM) WHICH IS
THE CORNERSTONE OF THE MOST
ECONOMETRIC THEORIES
Assumptions of CLRM
ASSUMPTION 1
 Linear egression Model : The regression model is
linear in parameters, where the regressand (y) and
regressor(x) themselves may be linear or non
linear .That is the regression model as shown in
equation:
 Yi = β1 + β2 Xi + ui
ASSUMPTION 2

 X values are fixed in repeated sampling :Values taken by the


regressor X are considered fixed in repeated samples .
Technically , X is assumed as non-stochastic that is fixed.

ASSUMPTION 3

 Zero Mean Value of Disturbance ui: Given the value of Xi, the
mean, or expected, value of the random disturbance term ui is
zero. Symbolically, we have E(ui/ Xi) =0.
ASSUMPTION 4

Homoscedasticity or Constant Variance or equal variance of ui:


Given the value of x,the variance of ui is the
same for all observations.
ASSUMPTION 5
 No Autocorrelation between the Disturbances:
Given any two X values, Xi and Xj(i j), the correlation
between any two ui and uj(I is not equal to j) is zero.
 Cov (ui,uj/xi)=0
ASSUMPTION 6

 The Number of Observations n Must Be Greater than


the Number of Parameters to Be Estimated:
Alternatively, the number of observations must be
greater than the number of explanatory variables.
Since from this single observation there is no way to
estimate the two unknowns, β1 and β2.
ASSUMPTION 7

 Variability in X values: The X values in a given


sample must not all be the same. Technically,
var (X) must be a positive finite number.
ASSUMPTION 8

 No specification bias: the regression model is


correctly specified. Leaving out important
explanatory variables, including unnecessary
variables, or choosing the wrong functional
form of the relationship between the Y and X
variables are some examples of specification
error.
ASSUMPTION 9
 Zero covariance between ui and Xi: The disturbance term u
and the explanatory variable(s) X are
uncorrelated .otherwise if Xi an ui are correlated it is not
possible to access there individual effects on y. If x and u
are positively correlated than when x increases u also
increases and vice versa. So it is always difficult to isolate
the influences of x and u on Y.
ASSUMPTION 10

 There is no perfect multicolinearity : That


is there is no perfect linear relationship
among the explanatory variables.
( this assumption is valid in Multiple
regression model).

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