Topic 1 - How To Calculate Present Values
Topic 1 - How To Calculate Present Values
2º ADEB
Curs0 2022-23
Profesor: Andrés Mesa Toro
Texto de referencia.1 Principles of Corporate Finance,
Brealey, Myers y Allen . McGraw Hill (2020, 13 Ed.)*
CORPORATE FINANCE
Financing Shareholders
Investment
decisions retribution
decisions
Invest in projects
Find the optimal Decide whether to
that maximize the
capital structure of remunerate
value of the firm.
the firm: Debt vs shareholders or
Equity. Long vs reinvest benefits in
Projects with
short term debt. the firm.
expected return
Bonds vs bank
higher than the cost
loans.
of capital of the firm.
2-4
1-‐2 INTRODUCTION.-‐ FLOW OF CASH BETWEEN
FINANCIAL MARKETS AND THE FIRMS OPERATIONS.
Financial manager rol
(2) (1)
(3) (4b)
2-6
1-‐3 INTRODUCTION.-‐ INVESTMENT DECISIONS
2-7
1-‐3 INTRODUCTION.-‐ INVESTMENT DECISIONS
• Present value
Value today of a future cash flow.
2-9
2-‐1 INTRODUCTION TO PRESENT VALUE
• Future value (VF) of $100 =
FV $100 (1
r)
• Example: FV
t
2-11
2-‐1 INTRODUCTION TO PRESENT VALUE
Present value = PV
PV discount factor C1
2-12
2-‐1 INTRODUCTION TO PRESENT VALUE
Discount factor = DF = PV of $1
1
DF
1 r t
2-13
2-‐1 INTRODUCTION TO PRESENT VALUE
The PV formula has many applications. Given any
variables in the equation, you can solve for the
remaining variable. Also, you can reverse the prior
example.
PV DF2 C2
1
PV $114.49 $100
1 .07 2
FIGURE 2.2 PRESENT VALUES
WITH COMPOUNDING
2-15
2-‐1 INTRODUCTION TO PRESENT VALUE
Step 1: Forecast cash flows.
Cost of building = C0 = 700,000
Sale price in Year 1 = C1 = 800,000
C1 800,000
PV 747,664
1 r 1 .07
Step 4: Go ahead if PV of payoff exceeds
investment.
C1
NPV C0
1 r
2-‐1 INTRODUCTION TO PRESENT VALUE
• Risk and present value
• Higher risk projects require higher rates of
return.
• Higher rates of return cause lower present
values
PV of C1 $800,000 at
7%
1
$8 00,00 0
PV .07 $747,664
2-21
2-‐1 INTRODUCTION TO PRESENT VALUE
NPV = PV required
investment NPV = $747,664
$700,000
$47,664
2-22
2-‐1 INTRODUCTION TO PRESENT VALUE
• NPV rule:
• Accept investments that have positive net
present value.
Example
Use the original example. Should we accept the project
given a 10% expected return?
800,000
NPV 700,000 $27,273
1.10
2-23
2-‐1 INTRODUCTION TO PRESENT VALUE
If r=7%
C $800,00
PV (1r
1 0
) (1.07) $747,664
NPV -700,000 + 747,664 =
47,664
2-‐1 INTRODUCTION TO PRESENT VALUE
If r=12%
C $800,00
PV (1r
1 0 $714,286
) (1.12)
Example
In the project listed below, the foregone investment opportunity is 12%. Should we do
the project?
C1 C2 Ct
PV ...
1 r
1
1 r 2
1 r T
T
Ct
NPV C0
t 1 1 r t
FIGURE 2.5 NET PRESENT VALUES
2-28
2-‐2 HOW TO VALUE PERPETUITIES
cash flow
Return
present value
C
r
PV
2-‐2 HOW TO VALUE PERPETUITIES
2-30
2-‐2 HOW TO VALUE PERPETUITIES
Example
What is the present value of $1 billion every year, for
all eternity, if you estimate the perpetual discount rate
to be 10%?
$1 bil
PV $10 billion
0.10
2-31
2-‐2 HOW TO VALUE PERPETUITIES
Example continued
What if the investment does not start making money
for 3 years?
$1 bil 1
PV 3
$7.51 billion
0.10 1.10
2-32
2-‐3 HOW TO VALUE ANNUITIES
1 1
PV of annuity C t
r r 1 r
2-‐3 HOW TO VALUE ANNUITIES
1 1
PVAF t
r r 1 r
2-‐3 HOW TO VALUE ANNUITIES
Suppose that Tiburon Autos offers an “easy payment” scheme on a
new Toyota of $5,000 a year, paid at the end of each of the next five
years, with no cash down. What is the car really costing to you?
2-36
2-‐3 HOW TO VALUE ANNUITIES
• Example: The national lottery would pay a
prize of $365 millions to be paid in 30 years.
The lottery Will pay 12.167 millions at the end
of each year. What would be the PV of this
prize if we use a discount rate of 6%?
2-‐3 HOW TO VALUE ANNUITIES
1 r t 1
FV of annuity C
r
2-‐3 HOW TO VALUE ANNUITIES
• Suppose you invest $20,000 annually
at the end of each year at 8% interest.
After 5 years, how much would your
investment be worth?
1 .085 1
FV 20,000
.08
$117,332
2-‐4 GROWING PEPETUITIES
Present value of growing perpetuity
C1
PV0
r g
g = the annual growth rate of the cash flow
2-43
2-‐4 GROWING PEPETUITIES
Example
What is the present value of $1 billion paid at the
end of every year in perpetuity, assuming a rate of
return of 10% and a constant growth rate of 4%?
1
PV0
.10 .04
$16.667 billion
2-44
2-‐5 GROWING ANNUITIES
• Growing annuitie
• To have a membresy of Golf club you need to pay a fee
of $5,000 during 3 years (at the end of each year) the
fee Will increase at a rate of 6% annualy. You have the
alternative option of making a single $12,750 payment
today. What would you do?
=13,147
2-45
SHORTCUTS FORMULAS
2-6 INTEREST RATES
Effective Annual Interest Rate*:
Interest rate that is annualized using
compound interest.
2-47
2-6 INTEREST RATES
Annual Percentage Rate (APR)*:
APR MR 12
Effective Annual Interest Rate (EAR):
EAR
2-48
2-6 INTEREST RATES
Example:
Given a monthly rate of 1%, what is the effective
annual rate (EAR)? What is the annual percentage
rate (APR)?
EAR (1 .01)12 1 r
EAR (1 .01)12 1 .1268 or 12.68%
2-49
2-6 INTEREST RATES
If you invest $100 in a bond where the interest rate is 10%
compunded semiannually.
AF = = 97.218
PV = C*AF C= PV/AF
C = 200.000/97.218 = 2572 EUROS.
2-6 INTEREST RATES
If you invest $1 at a rate r per year compounded m
times a year your investment at the end of the year
will be worth: [1 + (r/m)]^m
2-6 INTEREST RATES
Interest rate can be compounded annually (m = 1),
semiannually (m = 2), monthly (m = 12), weekly
(m = 52), daily (m = 365),...
If m 1 then [1 + (r/m)]^m
• End-year value
• 2 years:
2-6 INTEREST RATES
Evenly-spread cash flows.
If is continuous compounding
(What is the value of r continuous compounding equivalent
to 18,5% EAR?)
= 17%
PV = 100/0.17 = 588.24
2-6 INTEREST RATES
Example annuity:
vaccination program during 20 years. 1000 million
annually.
10% continuously compounded
= 9.53%
PV = C ; VP = C
PV = 1000= 8932 million