FM II -Chapter 2
FM II -Chapter 2
FM II -Chapter 2
A Review of Dividends
and Dividends Policy
Introduction
Successful companies earn income. That income can then
be reinvested in operating assets, used to acquire
securities, used to retire debt, or distributed to
stockholders.
If the decision is made to distribute income to
stockholders, three key issues arise:
1. How much should be distributed?
2. Should the distribution be as cash dividends, or should
the cash be passed on to shareholders by buying back
some of the stock they hold?
3. How stable should the distribution be; that is, should the
funds paid out from year to year be stable and
dependable, which stockholders would probably prefer,
or be allowed to vary with the firms’ cash flows and
investment requirements, which would probably be
better from the firm’s standpoint?
Cont…
Dividends are that portion of a firm’s net
earnings paid to the shareholders.
Preference shareholders are entitled to a fixed
rate of dividend irrespective of the firm’s
earnings.
Equity holders’ dividends fluctuate year after
year. It depends on what portion of earnings is to
be retained by the firm and what portion is to be
paid off.
As dividends are distributed out of net profits, the
firm’s decisions on retained earnings have a
bearing on the amount to be distributed.
Retained earnings constitute an important source
of financing investment requirements of a firm.
Cont…
However, such opportunities should have enough
growth potential and sufficient profitability.
There is an inverse relationship between these
two–larger retentions, lesser dividends and vice
versa. Thus two constituents of net profits are
always competitive and conflicting.
Dividend policy has a direct influence on the two
components of shareholders’ return – dividends
and capital gains.
A low payout and high retention may have the
effect of accelerating earnings growth. Investors of
growth companies realize their money in the form
of capital gains. Dividend yield will be low for such
companies.
Cont…
The influence of dividend policy on future capital
gains is to happen in distant future and therefore
by all means uncertain.
Share prices are a reflection of many factors
including dividends. Some investors prefer
current dividends to future gains as prophesied
by an English saying – A bird in hand is worth
two in the bush. Given all these constraints, it is
a major decision of financial management.
Forms of Dividends
Dividends are distributed in cash, but sometimes they may also
declare dividends in other forms which are discussed below.
1. Cash dividends: Most companies pay dividends in cash. The
investors also, especially the old and retired investors depend
on this form of payment for want of current income.
2. Scrip dividend: In this form of dividends, equity shareholders
are issued transferable promissory notes with shorter maturity
periods which may or may not have interest bearing.
3. Bond dividend: Scrip and bond dividend are the same except
that they differ in terms of maturity.
Bond dividends carry longer maturity period and bear interest,
whereas scrip dividends carry shorter maturity and may or may not
carry interest.
4. Stock dividend (Bonus shares): Stock dividend is the
distribution of additional shares to the shareholders at no
additional cost. This has the effect of increasing the
number of outstanding shares of the firm.
Important Dates for Cash Dividend Payments
1. Announcement Date: The corporation’s Board
of Directors announces the dividend decision
2. Ex-Dividend Date: the first day the stock
trades without the right to receive the dividend.
3. Record Date: stockholder’s name must appear
as a valid owner of stock on this date in order to
receive the dividend
4. Payment Date: cash dividend payments are
made on this date
Dividend Theories
In an effort to find out the optimal dividend policy
different theories and models have been
suggested by various scholars.
An Optimal Dividend Policy is the dividend policy
that strikes a balance between current dividends
and future growth and maximizes the firm’s stock
price.
1. Traditional Approach:
Is given by B. Graham and D. L. Dodd.
States that there is a direct relationship between P/E
ratios and dividend pay-out ratio.
High dividend pay-out ratio will increase the P/E ratio
and vice versa.
This may not always be true. A company’s share prices
may rise in spite of low dividends due to other factors.
2. Modern Dividend Theories
I. Dividend Relevance Model
A. Walter Model
Prof. James E. Walter considers dividend pay-outs are
relevant and have a bearing on the share prices of the
firm.
Investment policies of a firm cannot be separated
from its dividend policy and both are interlinked.
The choice of an appropriate dividend policy affects
the value of the firm.
model clearly establishes a relationship between the
firm’s rates of return r, and its cost of capital k, to give
a dividend policy that maximizes shareholders’ wealth.
If r>k, the firm’s earnings can be retained as the firm
has better and profitable investment opportunities and
the firm can earn more than what the shareholders could
by re-investing
Cont…
Firms which have r>k are called ‘growth firms’
and such firms should have a zero payout ratio.
If r < k, the firm should have a 100% pay-out
ratio as the investors have better investment
opportunities than the firm. Such firms are called
declining firms
If a firm has a ROI r=k, the firm’s dividend policy
will have no impact on the firm’s value.
The dividend payouts can range between zero
and 100% and the firm value will remain constant
in all cases. Such firms are called ‘normal
firms’.
Cont..
Assumptions of Walter’s Model
1. Retained earnings is the only source of finance available
and the firm does not use any external source.
2. Constant rate of return and cost of capital.
3. 100% pay-out or retention.
4. Constant EPS and DPS
5. The firm has a perpetual life.
Walter’s formula to determine the market price per share
is:
Where: P is the market price per
share
D is the dividend per share,
Ke is the cost of capital,
g is the growth rate of
earnings,
E is Earnings per share,
r is IRR.
Cont..
Example: The following information relates to
Alpha Ltd.
Equity capitalization rate Ke 11%
Earnings per share $ 10
ROI (r) may be assumed as follows: 15%, 11% and
8%.
Required: Show the effect of the dividend
policies on the share value of the firm for
three different levels of r, taking the DP ratios
as 0%, 25%, 50%, 75% and 100%.
Solution
Cont.
Cont..
Limitations of Walter’s Model
1. Applicable only to all equity firms as no
external financing is used
2. Constant r is not a realistic assumption
3. Constant Ke assumption ignores the
business risk of the firm which has a
direct impact on the firm value.
B. Gordon’s Dividend Capitalization Model
Gordon also contends that dividends are relevant to
the share prices of a firm.
Myron Gordon uses the Dividend Capitalization
Model to study the effect of the firm’s dividend policy
on the stock price.
Assumptions:
An all equity firm:
No external financing is used (only retained earnings
are used)
Constant return r
Constant cost of capital Ke T
The life of the firm is indefinite.
Constant retention ratio (b)
Cost of capital greater than br (growth rate in rate of
return), i.e. Ke>br
Cont…
Gordon’s model assumes investors are rational and
riskaverse. They prefer certain returns to uncertain
returns and therefore give a premium to the constant
returns and discount uncertain returns. The
shareholders therefore prefer current dividends to avoid
risk. In other words, they discount future dividends.
Investors prefer to pay higher price for stocks which
fetch them current dividend income.
Gordon’s model can be symbolically expressed as:
Where: P is the price of the share,
E is Earnings Per Share,
b is Retention ratio,
(1 – b) is dividend payout ratio
Ke is cost of equity capital,
br is growth rate in the rate of
return on investment.
Cont..
Example: Given Ke as 11%, E is $ 10, calculate
the stock value of Mahindra Tech. for (a) r=12%,
(b) r=11% and (c) r=10% given the following
dividend pay out ratios
Cont..
Solutions: Case I r>ke ( r=12%, Ke=11%)
Cont…
Cont..
Cont…
Interpretation: Gordon is of the opinion that
dividend decision does have a bearing on the
market price of the share.
1. When r>k, the firm’s value decreases with an
increase in payout ratio. Market value of share
is highest when DP is least and retention
highest.
2. When r=k, the market value of share is
constant irrespective of the DP ratio. It is not
affected whether the firm retains the profits or
distributes them.
3. When r<k, market value of share increases with
an increase in DP ratio.
II. Dividend Irrelevance Model
Miller and Modigliani Model.
The MM hypothesis seeks to explain that a firm’s
dividend policy is irrelevant and has no effect on the
share prices of the firm.
This model advocates that it is the investment policy
through which the firm can increase its share value and
hence this should be given more importance.
Assumptions of the Model
a. Existence of perfect capital markets: All investors are
rational and have access to all information free of cost
b. No taxes: There are no taxes, implying there is no
difference between capital gains and dividends.
c. Constant investment policy: The investment policy of the
company does not change. The implication is that there is
no change in the business risk position and the rate of
return.
d. No floatation costs: These costs ordinarily account to around
10%-15% of the total issue and they cannot be ignored.
Cont..
e. No transaction costs
f. Under-pricing of shares: If the company has to
raise funds from the market it should sell shares
at a price lesser than the prevailing market price
to attract new shareholders. This follows that at
lower prices, the firm should sell more shares to
replace the dividend amount.
Factors Influencing Dividend Policy
Factors that affect the dividend policy may be
grouped into four categories
a. constraints on dividends payments,
b. investment opportunities,
c. availability and cost of alternative sources of
capital, and
d. effects of dividend policy on the cost of capital.
1. Bond indentures (agreements): debt contracts
often limit dividends payment to earnings
generated after the loan was granted.
2. Preferred stock restrictions: typically, common
dividends cannot be paid if the company has
omitted its preferred dividend.
The preferred rearranges must be satisfied before
common dividends can be resumed.
Cont..