Altig, David E., Charles T. Carlstrom and Kevin J. Lansing (1995). Computable General Equilibrium Models and Monetary Policy Advice. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 27, Part 2, November, 1472-1493.
Andrews, Donald W. K. (1993). Tests for Parameter Instability and Structural Change with Unknown Change Point. Econometrica 61, July, 821-856.
Bernanke, Ben S. and Ilian Mihov (1998a). The Liquidity Effect and Long-Run Neutrality. In Carnegie Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy 49, Bennett T. McCallum and Charles I. Plosser, eds. (Amsterdam: North Holland): 149-194.
Bernanke, Ben S. and Ilian Mihov (1998b). Measuring Monetary Policy. Quarterly Journal of Economics 113, August, 869-902.
Bernanke, Ben S., Mark Gertler and Mark Watson (1997). Systematic Monetary Policy and the Effects of Oil Price Shocks. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 1, 91-142.
Bernanke, Ben S., Thomas Laubach, Frederic S. Mishkin and Adam S. Posen (1999). Inflation Targeting: Lessons from the International Experience. (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press).
Blinder, Alan S. (1997). What Central Bankers Could Learn from Academics--and Vice Versa. Journal of Economic Perspectives 11, 3-19.
- Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (1990). 77th Annual Report. (Washington, D.C.: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System).
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (1999a). Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee, February 2-3. (Washington, D.C.).
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (1999b). Press Release, May 18.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Brainard, William C. (1967). Uncertainty and the Effectiveness of Policy. American Economic Review 57, Papers and Proceedings, 411-425.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Cagan, Philip (1972). The Channels of Monetary Effects on Interest Rates. (New York: National Bureau of Economic Research).
Cecchetti, Stephen G. (1995). Inflation Indicators and Inflation Policy. In NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1995, Ben S. Bernanke and Julio J. Rotemberg, eds. (Cambridge, MA: MIT Press): 189-219.
- Chib, Siddhartha (1995). Marginal Likelihood from the Gibbs Output. Journal of the American Statistical Association 90, 1313-1321.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Christiano, Lawrence, Martin Eichenbaum and Charles L. Evans (1998). Monetary Policy Shocks: What Have We Learned and to What End'DONE' In Handbook of Macroeconomics, John B. Taylor and Michael Woodford, eds. (Amsterdam: Elsevier Science).
Clarida, Richard, Jordi Gali and Mark Gertler (1998). Monetary Policy Rules and Macroeconomic Stability: Evidence and Some Theory. NBER Working Paper No. 6442, March.
Doan, Thomas A., Robert B. Litterman and Christopher A. Sims (1984). Forecasting and Conditional Projection Using Realistic Prior Distributions. Econometric Reviews 3, 1-100.
Fackler, James S. and W. Douglas McMillin (1999). Evaluating Monetary Policy Options. University of Kentucky mimeo, April.
- Friedman, Milton (1968). The Role of Monetary Policy. American Economic Review 58, March, 1-17.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Geweke, John (1999). Using Simulation Methods for Bayesian Econometric Models: Inference, Development, and Communication. Econometric Reviews 18, 1-73.
Goodfriend, Marvin (1987). Interest Rate Smoothing and Price Level Trend-Stationarity. Journal of Monetary Economics 19, 335-348.
Gordon, David B. and Eric M. Leeper (1994). The Dynamic Impacts of Monetary Policy: An Exercise in Tentative Identification. Journal of Political Economy 102, 1228-1247.
- Hall, Robert E. (1996). Comment on `What Does Monetary Policy Do'DONE' by Leeper, Sims and Zha. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 1, 64-68.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Heckman, James L. (1999). Causal Parameters and Policy Analysis in Economics: A Twentieth Century Retrospective. NBER Working Paper No. 7333, September.
- Hurwicz, Leonid (1962). On the Structural Form of Interdependent Systems. In Logic and Methodology in the Social Sciences, Ernest Nagel, Patrick Suppes and Alfred Tarski, eds.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Ireland, Peter N. (1997). A Small, Structural, Quarterly Model for Monetary Policy Evaluation. In Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy 47, Bennett McCallum and Charles Plosser, eds. (Amsterdam: North-Holland): 83-108.
- Kohn, Donald L. (1995). Comment on `Inflation Indicators and Inflation Policy by Cecchetti. In NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1995, Ben S. Bernanke and Julio J. Rotemberg, eds.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Leeper, Eric M. (1997). `A Small, Structural, Quarterly Model for Monetary Policy Evaluation. A Comment. In Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy 47, Bennett McCallum and Charles Plosser, eds. (Amsterdam: North-Holland): 109-120.
Leeper, Eric M., Christopher A. Sims and Tao Zha (1996). What Does Monetary Policy Do'DONE' Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 2, 1-63.
Litterman, Robert B. (1986). Forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions -- Five Years of Experience. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 4, 25-38.
- Lucas, Robert E., Jr and Thomas J. Sargent (1981). Introduction. In Rational Expectations and Econometric Practice, Robert E. Lucas, Jr and Thomas J. Sargent, eds. (Minneapolis, MN: University of Minnesota Press), 1: xi-xl.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Lucas, Robert E., Jr. (1976). Econometric Policy Evaluation: A Critique. In CarnegieRochester Conference Series on Public Policy 1, Karl Brunner and Allan H. Meltzer, eds.
Lucas, Robert E., Jr. (1980). Methods and Problems in Business Cycle Theory. Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking 12, 696-715.
Lucas, Robert E., Jr. and Thomas J. Sargent (1978). After Keynesian Macroeconomics. In After the Phillips Curve: Persistence of High Inflation and High Unemployment, (Boston: Federal Reserve Bank of Boston): 49-72.
- Marschak, Jacob (1947). Economic Structure, Path, Policy, and Prediction. American Economic Review 37, May, 81-84.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Marschak, Jacob (1953). Economic Measurements for Policy and Prediction. In Studies in Econometric Method, William C. Hood and Tjalling C. Koopmans, eds. (New York: Wiley): 1-26.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Miller, Preston J. and William Roberds (1991). The Quantitative Significance of the Lucas Critique. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 9, 361-387.
Robertson, John C. and Ellis W. Tallman (1999). Vector Autoregressions: Forecasting and Reality. Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Economic Review First Quarter, 4-18.
Sargent, Thomas J. (1984). Vector Autoregressions, Expectations, and Advice. American Economic Review 74, May, 408-415.
Sargent, Thomas J. (1999). The Conquest of American Inflation. (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press).
Sims, Christopher A. (1980). Macroeconomics and Reality. Econometrica 48, January, 1-48.
Sims, Christopher A. (1986). Are Forecasting Models Usable for Policy Analysis'DONE' Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review 10, Winter, 2-16.
- Sims, Christopher A. (1987). A Rational Expectations Framework for Short-Run Policy Analysis. In New Approaches to Monetary Economics, William A. Barnett and Kenneth J.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Sims, Christopher A. (1999a). Drifts and Breaks in Monetary Policy. Princeton University mimeo, July.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Sims, Christopher A. (1999b). The Role of Interest Rate Policy in the Generation and Propagation of Business Cycles: What Has Changed Since the 30s'DONE' In Beyond Shocks: What Causes Business Cycles, Jeffrey C. Fuhrer and Scott Schuh, eds. (Boston: Federal Reserve Bank of Boston): 121-160.
- Sims, Christopher A. (1999c). Testing Restrictions and Comparing Models. Yale University mimeo, Spring.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Sims, Christopher A. and Tao Zha (1998a). Bayesian Methods for Dynamic Multivariate Models. International Economic Review 39, November, 949-968.
Sims, Christopher A. and Tao Zha (1998b). Does Monetary Policy Generate Recessions'DONE' Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Working Paper, 98-12, July.
Sims, Christopher A. and Tao Zha (1999). Error Bands for Impulse Responses. Econometrica 67, September, 1113-1155.
- Singleton, eds. (Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press): 293-308. Sims, Christopher A. (1998). The Role of Interest Rate Policy in the Generation and Propagation of Business Cycles: What Has Changed Since the 30s'DONE' Yale University mimeo, June.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Sveriges Riksbank (1999). Inflation Report, March. (Stockholm).
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Taylor, John B. (1993). Discretion versus Policy Rules in Practice. In Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy 39, Allan H. Meltzer and Charles I. Plosser, eds.
Taylor, John B. (1999). An Historical Analysis of Monetary Policy Rules. In Monetary Policy Rules, John B. Taylor, ed. (Chicago: University of Chicago Press): 319-341.
- Waggoner, Daniel F. and Tao Zha (1998). Does Normalization Matter for Inference'DONE' Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta mimeo.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Zha, Tao (1999). Block Recursion and Structural Vector Autoregressions. Journal of Econometrics 90, 265-289.