- A Appendix A.1 Data We estimate our model in Dynare 4.4.3. using Bayesian methods as described by An and Schorfheide (2007). We obtain 2 million draws from the posterior and discard the first 20 percent of them. The vector of observables contains data on inflation, growth rates of real GDP per capita, growth rates of real consumption per capita, growth rates of real investment per capita, growth rates of real wages, nominal interest rate, and deviations of hours worked from the steady-state.
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- The inverse of the Frisch elasticity of labor supply Ä is equal to 1.13, which is smaller than the posterior median reported by Justiniano and Primiceri (2008) and Smets and Wouters (2007) but close to that reported by Christiano, Eichenbaum and Trabandt (2016). The estimates for the parameters governing the frequency of price and wage adjustment νp and νw are 0.82 and 0.58, implying that firms adjust prices approximately once every 16 to 17 months, and wages are adjusted once every 7 to 8 months. Our estimates for νp and νw lie between the values estimated by Justiniano and Primiceri (2008) and the values estimated by Smets and Wouters (2007), respectively. Overall, the structural and the exogenous parameters exhibit good mixing properties. The convergence diagnostics are available upon request from the authors.
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- The parameters describing the persistence of the Taylor rule ÃÂR1 and ÃÂR2 are 1.29 and −0.43, respectively. While our estimates for the response of the federal funds rate to inflation and the degree of monetary policy inertia are in line with Coibion and Gorodnichenko (2011), the response of the federal funds rate to the output gap and output growth is smaller than the findings of Coibion and Gorodnichenko (2011). Even so, our estimates are in line with Coibion and Gorodnichenko (2011) in that both imply a higher response to output growth than to the output gap.
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- Turning to the deep structural parameters, the investment adjustment cost parameter κ is equal to 3.98, which is between the posterior median reported by Justiniano and Primiceri (2008), 2.83, and the posterior mean reported by Smets and Wouters (2007), 6.23. The degree of habit persistence in our model is 0.82, which is slightly larger than the posterior mean reported by Smets and Wouters (2007), i.e., 0.68, and the posterior median reported by Justiniano and Primiceri (2008), 0.77. The markup for intermediate goods (ηp − 1)−1 is equal to 0.26, a tad larger than the value estimated by Justiniano and Primiceri (2008), 0.18. The markup for labor types (ηw − 1)−1 is equal to 0.20, similar to the value estimated by Justiniano and Primiceri (2008).
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