My life is a long journey from natural science to social studies. I had been widely pursued literary criticism before I selected mechanical engineering as my academic area. Then, when I changed my field from engineering to media studies, I had begun to use that experience in cultural & ethnographic aspects of media & communication studies. But I felt that my tendency toward natural science methods like statistics or computational analysis remains yet. Hence, I came back to survey studies, statistical modeling etc. but this internal duality has stayed with me. Discovery of Futures Studies as an interdisciplinary field was a crucial opportunity because I could Integrate various academic interests into a universal package. Now, I can follow several (maybe) heterogeneous clues to answer a homogenous question. Now, my time has been highly dedicated to futures studies for almost 3 years. Since FS is an ontological & methodological umbrella more than anything, I anticipate getting rigorous knowledge in various fields not only as a theoretical framework but also as a practical perspective.
‘Iran’s futures studies’ research is accomplished to examine trends, challenges and probable vari... more ‘Iran’s futures studies’ research is accomplished to examine trends, challenges and probable variables ahead, by gathering and organizing citizens and experts’ viewpoints, then, representing it in order to make readiness for a variety of possible, probable and desirable futures ahead of Iran’s society. To achieve this purpose, four steps is took including of 1) general polls to identify variables, 2) rating variables by selected experts, 3) holding expert panels to identify cross impacts among variables, 4) software and statistical analyses of cross impact matrix. After identifying the first 100 variables, it is used ‘structural analysis’ method and MICMAC software considered one of the ‘Strategic Foresight’ tools, in order to integrated analysis of cross impacts among variables. Finding of this research indicate that the most significant variables of Iran in 1394sh (March 2015 – March 2016) having the most effectiveness and dependencies over the other variables simultaneously, include ‘Social Capital’, ‘Policital Conflicts of Power Flows’ and ‘Islamic Consultative Assembly Election’, though ‘the Destination of Nuclear File’ is the most paramount one ahead.
This text is studying one of 'Elyas Alavi's poems-the contemporary Persian poet from Afghanistan.... more This text is studying one of 'Elyas Alavi's poems-the contemporary Persian poet from Afghanistan. The method of this study is using functional linguistic approach, which is recognized as a natural system that is the outgrowth of society and adequate to social and human needs. In this study, three language metafuntions is considered: textual, interpersonal and identical metafictions. Then, the poem is examined according to textual cohesion methods, theme-rheme structure and language transivity system. This study indicate that in Alavi's poem, a polarized universe is represented but thoroughly systematic in which the events are protractedly repeated regardless of time and place.
This study attempted to understand the features and factors associated with representation of pri... more This study attempted to understand the features and factors associated with representation of privacy among the Facebook users and its cultural consequences. To achieve this goal, first, we studied the cultural and semantic perceptions of the users about the concept of privacy in order to provide a basis for the study of representation, concealment and protection of privacy among the users. In order to understand cultural patterns, we used virtual ethnography. Through the fieldwork we performed online and offline ethnographical interviews with 21 active Facebook users in different intervals. The findings of this study indicated a core feature to be the diversity of the cultural definitions of the users of the concept of privacy. It is based on two factors of “tendency to represent” and “tendency to hide”. The synonyms of these concepts in social interactions are “tendency to view” and “tendency to review”.
‘Iran’s futures studies’ research is accomplished to examine trends, challenges and probable vari... more ‘Iran’s futures studies’ research is accomplished to examine trends, challenges and probable variables ahead, by gathering and organizing citizens and experts’ viewpoints, then, representing it in order to make readiness for a variety of possible, probable and desirable futures ahead of Iran’s society. To achieve this purpose, four steps is took including of 1) general polls to identify variables, 2) rating variables by selected experts, 3) holding expert panels to identify cross impacts among variables, 4) software and statistical analyses of cross impact matrix. After identifying the first 100 variables, it is used ‘structural analysis’ method and MICMAC software considered one of the ‘Strategic Foresight’ tools, in order to integrated analysis of cross impacts among variables. Finding of this research indicate that the most significant variables of Iran in 1394sh (March 2015 – March 2016) having the most effectiveness and dependencies over the other variables simultaneously, include ‘Social Capital’, ‘Policital Conflicts of Power Flows’ and ‘Islamic Consultative Assembly Election’, though ‘the Destination of Nuclear File’ is the most paramount one ahead.
"My Stealthy Freedom" is the name of a Facebook page that demands to protest against compulsory H... more "My Stealthy Freedom" is the name of a Facebook page that demands to protest against compulsory Hijab and demonstrate willing of clothing freedom for women in Iran. The foundation and activity of the page had been described as a "social movement". Some western media claimed that this would be a successful social movement for Iranian women and some others asserted that this page would be a new platform in which Iranian women represent a new image of their identity. In this paper, analyzing qualitatively a purposive sample of photos with their captions, we are questioning these claims again. Our findings indicate that despite some excitements about a new social movement for Iranian women in western media and western human rights association, "My Stealthy Freedom" cannot be considered as a new applicable social movement against Iran's government and the law of compulsory hijab in Iran. Finally, we conclude that this Facebook page is, not only incapable of organizing a real social movement against hijab but also can be a well-suited example for the concept of slacktivism.
In this article, we will present some scenarios for Iran’s cyberspace issues in 1395sh (equal 20... more In this article, we will present some scenarios for Iran’s cyberspace issues in 1395sh (equal 20 March 2016 – 20 March 2017 in Gregorian calendar). Scanning of Iran’s environment, showed 195 variables have higher priority than average. These variables are recognized by gathering data from different methods and getting expert viewpoints in various fields, in '1395sh Iran’ Futures Studies’ project. Among them there are seven variables defined in cyberspace and some other variables set in relation with cyberspace. In this article, we constructed seven hypotheses for Iran, based on seven key variables and other related variables, then, probabilistic cross impact analysis method is used to create scenarios. To do so, we measured the occurrence probability of each hypothesis by expert opinion firstly, and we estimate the cross impact of each hypothesis on others in the condition of occurrence or failure secondly, until conditional probability matrixes are formed. To analysis of data, ‘Smic-Prob Expert’ software which is a tool in French school of strategic foresight (La Prospective) is used. 64 possible scenarios for Iran’s cyberspace along with occurrence probability of each are estimated with software. The Findings indicate that scenarios based on status quo with the most probabilities do not draw a desirable future for Iran’s cyberspace in forthcoming year.
‘Iran’s futures studies’ research is accomplished to examine trends, challenges and probable vari... more ‘Iran’s futures studies’ research is accomplished to examine trends, challenges and probable variables ahead, by gathering and organizing citizens and experts’ viewpoints, then, representing it in order to make readiness for a variety of possible, probable and desirable futures ahead of Iran’s society. To achieve this purpose, four steps is took including of 1) general polls to identify variables, 2) rating variables by selected experts, 3) holding expert panels to identify cross impacts among variables, 4) software and statistical analyses of cross impact matrix. After identifying the first 100 variables, it is used ‘structural analysis’ method and MICMAC software considered one of the ‘Strategic Foresight’ tools, in order to integrated analysis of cross impacts among variables. Finding of this research indicate that the most significant variables of Iran in 1394sh (March 2015 – March 2016) having the most effectiveness and dependencies over the other variables simultaneously, include ‘Social Capital’, ‘Policital Conflicts of Power Flows’ and ‘Islamic Consultative Assembly Election’, though ‘the Destination of Nuclear File’ is the most paramount one ahead.
This text is studying one of 'Elyas Alavi's poems-the contemporary Persian poet from Afghanistan.... more This text is studying one of 'Elyas Alavi's poems-the contemporary Persian poet from Afghanistan. The method of this study is using functional linguistic approach, which is recognized as a natural system that is the outgrowth of society and adequate to social and human needs. In this study, three language metafuntions is considered: textual, interpersonal and identical metafictions. Then, the poem is examined according to textual cohesion methods, theme-rheme structure and language transivity system. This study indicate that in Alavi's poem, a polarized universe is represented but thoroughly systematic in which the events are protractedly repeated regardless of time and place.
This study attempted to understand the features and factors associated with representation of pri... more This study attempted to understand the features and factors associated with representation of privacy among the Facebook users and its cultural consequences. To achieve this goal, first, we studied the cultural and semantic perceptions of the users about the concept of privacy in order to provide a basis for the study of representation, concealment and protection of privacy among the users. In order to understand cultural patterns, we used virtual ethnography. Through the fieldwork we performed online and offline ethnographical interviews with 21 active Facebook users in different intervals. The findings of this study indicated a core feature to be the diversity of the cultural definitions of the users of the concept of privacy. It is based on two factors of “tendency to represent” and “tendency to hide”. The synonyms of these concepts in social interactions are “tendency to view” and “tendency to review”.
‘Iran’s futures studies’ research is accomplished to examine trends, challenges and probable vari... more ‘Iran’s futures studies’ research is accomplished to examine trends, challenges and probable variables ahead, by gathering and organizing citizens and experts’ viewpoints, then, representing it in order to make readiness for a variety of possible, probable and desirable futures ahead of Iran’s society. To achieve this purpose, four steps is took including of 1) general polls to identify variables, 2) rating variables by selected experts, 3) holding expert panels to identify cross impacts among variables, 4) software and statistical analyses of cross impact matrix. After identifying the first 100 variables, it is used ‘structural analysis’ method and MICMAC software considered one of the ‘Strategic Foresight’ tools, in order to integrated analysis of cross impacts among variables. Finding of this research indicate that the most significant variables of Iran in 1394sh (March 2015 – March 2016) having the most effectiveness and dependencies over the other variables simultaneously, include ‘Social Capital’, ‘Policital Conflicts of Power Flows’ and ‘Islamic Consultative Assembly Election’, though ‘the Destination of Nuclear File’ is the most paramount one ahead.
"My Stealthy Freedom" is the name of a Facebook page that demands to protest against compulsory H... more "My Stealthy Freedom" is the name of a Facebook page that demands to protest against compulsory Hijab and demonstrate willing of clothing freedom for women in Iran. The foundation and activity of the page had been described as a "social movement". Some western media claimed that this would be a successful social movement for Iranian women and some others asserted that this page would be a new platform in which Iranian women represent a new image of their identity. In this paper, analyzing qualitatively a purposive sample of photos with their captions, we are questioning these claims again. Our findings indicate that despite some excitements about a new social movement for Iranian women in western media and western human rights association, "My Stealthy Freedom" cannot be considered as a new applicable social movement against Iran's government and the law of compulsory hijab in Iran. Finally, we conclude that this Facebook page is, not only incapable of organizing a real social movement against hijab but also can be a well-suited example for the concept of slacktivism.
In this article, we will present some scenarios for Iran’s cyberspace issues in 1395sh (equal 20... more In this article, we will present some scenarios for Iran’s cyberspace issues in 1395sh (equal 20 March 2016 – 20 March 2017 in Gregorian calendar). Scanning of Iran’s environment, showed 195 variables have higher priority than average. These variables are recognized by gathering data from different methods and getting expert viewpoints in various fields, in '1395sh Iran’ Futures Studies’ project. Among them there are seven variables defined in cyberspace and some other variables set in relation with cyberspace. In this article, we constructed seven hypotheses for Iran, based on seven key variables and other related variables, then, probabilistic cross impact analysis method is used to create scenarios. To do so, we measured the occurrence probability of each hypothesis by expert opinion firstly, and we estimate the cross impact of each hypothesis on others in the condition of occurrence or failure secondly, until conditional probability matrixes are formed. To analysis of data, ‘Smic-Prob Expert’ software which is a tool in French school of strategic foresight (La Prospective) is used. 64 possible scenarios for Iran’s cyberspace along with occurrence probability of each are estimated with software. The Findings indicate that scenarios based on status quo with the most probabilities do not draw a desirable future for Iran’s cyberspace in forthcoming year.
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