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Improving Ad Click Prediction by Considering Non-displayed Events

Published: 03 November 2019 Publication History
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  • Abstract

    Click-through rate (CTR) prediction is the core problem of building advertising systems. Most existing state-of-the-art approaches model CTR prediction as binary classification problems, where displayed events with and without click feedbacks are respectively considered as positive and negative instances for training and offline validation. However, due to the selection mechanism applied in most advertising systems, a selection bias exists between distributions of displayed and non-displayed events. Conventional CTR models ignoring the bias may have inaccurate predictions and cause a loss of the revenue. To alleviate the bias, we need to conduct counterfactual learning by considering not only displayed events but also non-displayed events. In this paper, through a review of existing approaches of counterfactual learning, we point out some difficulties for applying these approaches for CTR prediction in a real-world advertising system. To overcome these difficulties, we propose a novel framework for counterfactual CTR prediction. In experiments, we compare our proposed framework against state-of-the-art conventional CTR models and existing counterfactual learning approaches. Experimental results show significant improvements.

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    • (2024)Counterfactual Graph Convolutional Learning for Personalized RecommendationACM Transactions on Intelligent Systems and Technology10.1145/365563215:4(1-20)Online publication date: 1-Apr-2024
    • (2024)CausalTAD: Causal Implicit Generative Model for Debiased Online Trajectory Anomaly Detection2024 IEEE 40th International Conference on Data Engineering (ICDE)10.1109/ICDE60146.2024.00341(4477-4490)Online publication date: 13-May-2024
    • (2024)Uncovering the Propensity Identification Problem in Debiased Recommendations2024 IEEE 40th International Conference on Data Engineering (ICDE)10.1109/ICDE60146.2024.00056(653-666)Online publication date: 13-May-2024
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      cover image ACM Conferences
      CIKM '19: Proceedings of the 28th ACM International Conference on Information and Knowledge Management
      November 2019
      3373 pages
      ISBN:9781450369763
      DOI:10.1145/3357384
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      Published: 03 November 2019

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      Author Tags

      1. counterfactual learning
      2. ctr prediction
      3. missing not at random
      4. recommender system
      5. selection bias

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      CIKM '19 Paper Acceptance Rate 202 of 1,031 submissions, 20%;
      Overall Acceptance Rate 1,861 of 8,427 submissions, 22%

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      Cited By

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      • (2024)Counterfactual Graph Convolutional Learning for Personalized RecommendationACM Transactions on Intelligent Systems and Technology10.1145/365563215:4(1-20)Online publication date: 1-Apr-2024
      • (2024)CausalTAD: Causal Implicit Generative Model for Debiased Online Trajectory Anomaly Detection2024 IEEE 40th International Conference on Data Engineering (ICDE)10.1109/ICDE60146.2024.00341(4477-4490)Online publication date: 13-May-2024
      • (2024)Uncovering the Propensity Identification Problem in Debiased Recommendations2024 IEEE 40th International Conference on Data Engineering (ICDE)10.1109/ICDE60146.2024.00056(653-666)Online publication date: 13-May-2024
      • (2024)Modeling question difficulty for unbiased cognitive diagnosis: A causal perspectiveKnowledge-Based Systems10.1016/j.knosys.2024.111750294(111750)Online publication date: Jun-2024
      • (2024)Disentangled causal representation learning for debiasing recommendation with uniform dataApplied Intelligence10.1007/s10489-024-05497-954:8(6760-6775)Online publication date: 24-May-2024
      • (2023)Propensity mattersProceedings of the 40th International Conference on Machine Learning10.5555/3618408.3619239(20182-20194)Online publication date: 23-Jul-2023
      • (2023)Deconfounded Causal Collaborative FilteringACM Transactions on Recommender Systems10.1145/36060351:4(1-25)Online publication date: 3-Oct-2023
      • (2023)Data-free Knowledge Distillation for Reusing Recommendation ModelsProceedings of the 17th ACM Conference on Recommender Systems10.1145/3604915.3608789(386-395)Online publication date: 14-Sep-2023
      • (2023)Rec4Ad: A Free Lunch to Mitigate Sample Selection Bias for Ads CTR Prediction in TaobaoProceedings of the 32nd ACM International Conference on Information and Knowledge Management10.1145/3583780.3615496(4574-4580)Online publication date: 21-Oct-2023
      • (2023)COPR: Consistency-Oriented Pre-Ranking for Online AdvertisingProceedings of the 32nd ACM International Conference on Information and Knowledge Management10.1145/3583780.3615465(4974-4980)Online publication date: 21-Oct-2023
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