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Variation Characteristics Analysis and Short-Term Forecasting of Load Based on CEEMDAN

Published: 20 July 2021 Publication History

Abstract

With the development of the economy and the improvement of living standards of people, electricity consumption around the world has increased dramatically. However, the load that contains many components with different characteristics is affected by many factors. How to classify and extract load characteristics and improve the accuracy of load forecasting has become a focus of attention. Based on this, this paper proposes using the Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise (CEEMDAN) to decompose the load and get multiple components of different time scales. The hidden characteristics of each components of load are analyzed with the four characteristic indicators. Then, the Pearson coefficient is used to analyze the multi-scale correlation between the load components and the temperature, and at the same time decompose the temperature to dig deep relationship between the load components and the temperature components. Finally, we use the Least Squares Support Vector Machine Optimized by Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO-LSSVM) to forecasting each component of the load, and select the decomposed temperature as part of the input data of the load forecasting model. The forecasting results verify the advantages of the proposed method in the aspects of load characteristic analysis and improvement of load forecasting accuracy.

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  • (2023)A Deep Learning-Based Model for Human Non-Invasive Vital Sign Signal Monitoring with Optical Fiber Sensor2023 Asia Communications and Photonics Conference/2023 International Photonics and Optoelectronics Meetings (ACP/POEM)10.1109/ACP/POEM59049.2023.10369647(1-4)Online publication date: 4-Nov-2023

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cover image ACM Other conferences
ISEEIE 2021: 2021 International Symposium on Electrical, Electronics and Information Engineering
February 2021
644 pages
ISBN:9781450389839
DOI:10.1145/3459104
Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

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Published: 20 July 2021

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View all
  • (2024)DEMA: A Deep Learning-Enabled Model for Non-Invasive Human Vital Signs Monitoring Based on Optical Fiber SensingSensors10.3390/s2409267224:9(2672)Online publication date: 23-Apr-2024
  • (2024)Research on Virtual Energy Storage Scheduling Strategy for Air Conditioning Based on Adaptive Thermal Comfort ModelEnergies10.3390/en1711267017:11(2670)Online publication date: 30-May-2024
  • (2023)A Deep Learning-Based Model for Human Non-Invasive Vital Sign Signal Monitoring with Optical Fiber Sensor2023 Asia Communications and Photonics Conference/2023 International Photonics and Optoelectronics Meetings (ACP/POEM)10.1109/ACP/POEM59049.2023.10369647(1-4)Online publication date: 4-Nov-2023

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