The study of machine learning is concerned with the development and analysis of general-purpose programs which receive data as input, extract useful patterns and statistics, and automatically modify their output accordingly.The purpose of many programs is to make consistent, justifiable decisions in a timely manner based on as much relevant information as possible.In this work we will focus particularly on programs that operate online, meaning programs whose output is transformed into more information and fed back in as input to create a sequence of conditional decisions.Online programs are particularly useful for applications involving a great deal of complexity or uncertainty, since they can break down difficult planning problems into easier steps, and can collect additional information as needed.We will discuss techniques to efficiently update specific statistical models on infinite streams of data, coherent data collection strategies to optimize program outputs for arbitrary objectives, and means for turning imperfect models into reliable, trustworthy decisions based on provably valid predictions.In addition to fundamental contributions to the body of machine learning methods, we will also present exemplar applications including public health surveillance, control of mechanical systems, and experimental design for scientific discovery.
Index Terms
- Probabilistic Machine Learning for Online Decision-Making
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