Location via proxy:   [ UP ]  
[Report a bug]   [Manage cookies]                
skip to main content
10.1145/3488838.3488860acmotherconferencesArticle/Chapter ViewAbstractPublication PageswsseConference Proceedingsconference-collections
research-article

Comparative Study on Epidemic Prevention and Control in Taiwan and Guangdong Provinces

Published: 25 February 2022 Publication History

Abstract

Novel Coronavirus Pneumonia (COVID-19) has ravaged the world since 2019, seriously affecting human production and life. Although my country has controlled the epidemic on the whole, there are still local outbreaks. To this end, a classic infectious disease SEIR model was established to study the spread of the new coronavirus pneumonia epidemic. The population was divided into four categories: susceptible population, exposed population, infected population and removed population. After the parameters of the SEIR model were determined, Python was applied to conduct drills on the SEIR model, and simulation analysis was conducted on the epidemic transmission in Taiwan and Guangdong provinces with and without control measures. The results show that there are significant differences in the number of exposed, infected, and removed numbers between the two provinces. It shows that early and timely strict prevention and control measures can effectively control the spread of the new coronavirus pneumonia epidemic.

References

[1]
Li W, Li WJ. Digital transformation of small and medium-sized enterprises from COVID-19 epidemic prevention and control [J]. Corporate Economics,2020,39(07):14-19.
[2]
Zeng Zhechun, ZHAO Dong, LI Yan. [J]. Chinese journal of epidemiology,2005,26(3).
[3]
Liu Hongliang, Jia Hongwen, Wang Yan. Estimation method and evaluation of COVID-19 initial propagation scale based on system dynamics model: A case study of Gansu Province [J]. Journal of University of Electronic Science and Technology of China (Social Science Edition), 2020,22(03):36-45.
[4]
Chong Pengyun, Yin Hui. System Dynamics Simulation of COVID-19 for Transportation Communication [J]. Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, 2020,20(03):100-109.
[5]
Yan Yue, Chen Yu, Liu Keji. Modeling and prediction of COVID-19 outbreak based on a time-delay dynamic system [J]. Science in China: mathematics,2020,50(03):385-392.
[6]
Zhu Lianhua, TAN Yan, XIAO Huiwen. Quantitative evaluation and analysis of COVID-19 prevention and control measures based on stage transmission model [J]. Journal of nanjing university of information science & technology (natural science edition),2020,12(03):364-372.
[7]
Peng L, Yang W, Zhang D, Epidemic analysis of COVID-19 in China by dynamical modeling[J]. arXiv preprint arXiv:2002.06563, 2020.
[8]
Hou C, Chen J, Zhou Y, The effectiveness of quarantine of Wuhan city against the Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID‐19): A well‐mixed SEIR model analysis[J]. Journal of medical virology, 2020, 92(7): 841-848.
[9]
Pandey G, Chaudhary P, Gupta R, SEIR and Regression Model based COVID-19 outbreak predictions in India[J]. arXiv preprint arXiv:2004.00958, 2020.
[10]
Liu PeiYu,He Sha,Rong LiBin, Tang SanYi. The effect of control measures on COVID-19 transmission in Italy: Comparison with Guangdong province in China[J].Infectious diseases of poverty,2020,9(1).
[11]
Xu Conghui, Yu Yongguang, Chen YangQuan, Lu Zhenzhen. Forecast analysis of the epidemics trend of COVID-19 in the USA by a generalized fractional-order SEIR model[J].Nonlinear dynamics,2020:1621-1634.
[12]
Rezapour Shahram; Mohammadi Hakimeh; Samei Mohammad Esmael. SEIR epidemic model for COVID-19 transmission by Caputo derivative of fractional order[J].Advances in difference equations,2020,490.
[13]
Radulescu A, Williams C, Cavanagh K. Management strategies in a SEIR model of COVID 19 community spread[J]. arXiv preprint arXiv:2003.11150, 2020.
[14]
Shi Zhao, Lewi Stone, Daozhou Gao. Imitation dynamics in the mitigation of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak in Wuhan, China from 2019 to 2020[J].Annals of translational medicine,2020,8(7):448.
[15]
Lin Guoji, Jia Xun, Ouyang Qi. Study on the transmission of SARS virus using small-world network model [J]. Journal of Peking University (Medical Sciences),2003(S1):66-69.
[16]
Geng Hui, Xu Anding, Wang Xiaoyan. The role of COVID-19 in the prevention and treatment of infectious diseases [J]. Journal of Jinan University (Natural Science & Medical Edition), 2020,41(02),175-180.
[17]
http://www.stats.gov.cn/tjsj/tjgb/rkpcgb/qgrkpcgb/202106/t20210628_1818822.html
[18]
http://www.stats.gov.cn/tjsj/tjgb/rkpcgb/qgrkpcgb/202106/t20210628_1818821.html

Index Terms

  1. Comparative Study on Epidemic Prevention and Control in Taiwan and Guangdong Provinces
      Index terms have been assigned to the content through auto-classification.

      Recommendations

      Comments

      Information & Contributors

      Information

      Published In

      cover image ACM Other conferences
      WSSE '21: Proceedings of the 3rd World Symposium on Software Engineering
      September 2021
      225 pages
      ISBN:9781450384094
      DOI:10.1145/3488838
      Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

      Publisher

      Association for Computing Machinery

      New York, NY, United States

      Publication History

      Published: 25 February 2022

      Permissions

      Request permissions for this article.

      Check for updates

      Author Tags

      1. SEIR model
      2. epidemic prevention and control
      3. python simulation
      4. system dynamics

      Qualifiers

      • Research-article
      • Research
      • Refereed limited

      Conference

      WSSE 2021

      Contributors

      Other Metrics

      Bibliometrics & Citations

      Bibliometrics

      Article Metrics

      • 0
        Total Citations
      • 17
        Total Downloads
      • Downloads (Last 12 months)0
      • Downloads (Last 6 weeks)0
      Reflects downloads up to 15 Feb 2025

      Other Metrics

      Citations

      View Options

      Login options

      View options

      PDF

      View or Download as a PDF file.

      PDF

      eReader

      View online with eReader.

      eReader

      HTML Format

      View this article in HTML Format.

      HTML Format

      Figures

      Tables

      Media

      Share

      Share

      Share this Publication link

      Share on social media