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Predicting the popularity of online content

Published: 01 August 2010 Publication History

Abstract

Early patterns of Digg diggs and YouTube views reflect long-term user interest.

References

[1]
Alexa Web Information service; http://www.alexa.com
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Cha, M., Kwak, H., Rodriguez, P., Ahn, Y.-Y., and Moon, S. I tube, you tube, everybody tubes: analyzing the world's largest user-generated content video system. In Proceedings of the Seventh ACM SIGCOMM Conference on Internet Measurement (San Diego, Oct. 24--26). ACM Press, New York, 2007, 1--14.
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Cheng, X., Dale, C., and Liu, J. Statistics and social network of YouTube videos. In Proceedings of the 16th International Workshop on Quality of Service (Enschede, The Netherlands, June 2--4, 2008), 229--238.
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Digg API; http://digg.com/api/docs/overview
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Feller. W. An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications, Vol. 1. John Wiley & Sons, Inc., New York, 1968.
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Gill, P., Arlitt, M., Li, Z., and Mahanti, A. YouTube traffic characterization: A view from the edge. In Proceedings of the Seventh ACM SIGCOMM Conference on Internet Measurement (San Diego, Oct. 24--26). ACM Press, New York, 2007, 15--28.
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Lerman, K. Social information processing in news aggregation. IEEE Internet Computing (Special Issue on Social Search) 11, 6 (Nov. 2007), 16--28.
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Richardson, M., Dominowska, E., and Ragno, R. Predicting clicks: Estimating the click-through rate for new ads. In Proceedings of the 16th International Conference on the World Wide Web (Banff, Alberta, Canada, May 8--12). ACM Press, New York, 2007, 521--530.
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Wu, F. and Huberman, B.A. Novelty and collective attention. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 104, 45 (Nov. 2007).
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YouTube API; http://code.google.com/apis/youtube/overview.html

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Published In

cover image Communications of the ACM
Communications of the ACM  Volume 53, Issue 8
August 2010
136 pages
ISSN:0001-0782
EISSN:1557-7317
DOI:10.1145/1787234
Issue’s Table of Contents
Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

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Association for Computing Machinery

New York, NY, United States

Publication History

Published: 01 August 2010
Published in CACM Volume 53, Issue 8

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Cited By

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  • (2024)Modeling personalized retweeting behaviors for multi-stage cascade popularity predictionProceedings of the Thirty-Third International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence10.24963/ijcai.2024/287(2598-2606)Online publication date: 3-Aug-2024
  • (2024)Can Lawyers’ Facial Attractiveness Increase the Popularity or Customer Satisfaction? An Example of Expert Q&A ServicesService Science10.1287/serv.2022.004016:4(332-348)Online publication date: 1-Dec-2024
  • (2024)SMP Challenge Summary: Social Media Prediction ChallengeProceedings of the 32nd ACM International Conference on Multimedia10.1145/3664647.3688996(11442-11444)Online publication date: 28-Oct-2024
  • (2024)Retrieval-Augmented Hypergraph for Multimodal Social Media Popularity PredictionProceedings of the 30th ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining10.1145/3637528.3672041(445-455)Online publication date: 25-Aug-2024
  • (2024)Unbiased Identification of Broadly Appealing Content Using a Pure Exploration Infinitely Armed Bandit StrategyACM Transactions on Recommender Systems10.1145/36263243:1(1-22)Online publication date: 2-Aug-2024
  • (2024)RD-GCN: A Role-Based Dynamic Graph Convolutional Network for Information Diffusion PredictionIEEE Transactions on Network Science and Engineering10.1109/TNSE.2024.340365211:5(4923-4937)Online publication date: Sep-2024
  • (2024)Epidemic Spreading on Directed Networks and Twitter CascadesIEEE Transactions on Network Science and Engineering10.1109/TNSE.2023.334847411:3(2742-2756)Online publication date: May-2024
  • (2024)Information Cascade Popularity Prediction via Probabilistic DiffusionIEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering10.1109/TKDE.2024.346524136:12(8541-8555)Online publication date: 1-Dec-2024
  • (2024)Popularity Prediction via Modeling Temporal Dependencies on Dynamic Evolution ProcessIEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering10.1109/TKDE.2024.340973736:11(6828-6838)Online publication date: 1-Nov-2024
  • (2024)Predictive Caching in Non-Stationary Environments: A Time Series Prediction and Survival Analysis ApproachIEEE Open Journal of the Communications Society10.1109/OJCOMS.2024.34492415(5377-5391)Online publication date: 2024
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