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Contextual conditional models for smartphone-based human mobility prediction

Published: 05 September 2012 Publication History

Abstract

Human behavior is often complex and context-dependent. This paper presents a general technique to exploit this "multidimensional" contextual variable for human mobility prediction. We use an ensemble method, in which we extract different mobility patterns with multiple models and then combine these models under a probabilistic framework. The key idea lies in the assumption that human mobility can be explained by several mobility patterns that depend on a sub-set of the contextual variables and these can be learned by a simple model. We showed how this idea can be applied to two specific online prediction tasks: what is the next place a user will visit? and how long will he stay in the current place?. Using smartphone data collected from 153 users during 17 months, we show the potential of our method in predicting human mobility in real life.

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cover image ACM Conferences
UbiComp '12: Proceedings of the 2012 ACM Conference on Ubiquitous Computing
September 2012
1268 pages
ISBN:9781450312240
DOI:10.1145/2370216
Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

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Published: 05 September 2012

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Author Tags

  1. mobile context
  2. prediction
  3. smartphone
  4. user mobility

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Ubicomp '12
Ubicomp '12: The 2012 ACM Conference on Ubiquitous Computing
September 5 - 8, 2012
Pennsylvania, Pittsburgh

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UbiComp '12 Paper Acceptance Rate 58 of 301 submissions, 19%;
Overall Acceptance Rate 764 of 2,912 submissions, 26%

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  • (2024)SCFL: Spatio-temporal consistency federated learning for next POI recommendationInformation Processing & Management10.1016/j.ipm.2024.10385261:6(103852)Online publication date: Nov-2024
  • (2024)Human emergency behaviour and psychological stress characteristic mining based on large-scale emergenciesComputational and Mathematical Organization Theory10.1007/s10588-024-09384-z30:4(293-320)Online publication date: 16-Feb-2024
  • (2023)From Modeling to Optimizing Sustainable Public Transport: A New Methodological ApproachSustainability10.3390/su1510817115:10(8171)Online publication date: 17-May-2023
  • (2023)Federated Representation Learning With Data Heterogeneity for Human Mobility PredictionIEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems10.1109/TITS.2023.325202924:6(6111-6122)Online publication date: 16-Mar-2023
  • (2023)PredLife: Predicting Fine-Grained Future Activity PatternsIEEE Transactions on Big Data10.1109/TBDATA.2023.33102419:6(1658-1669)Online publication date: Dec-2023
  • (2022)Survey of Automated Fare Collection Solutions in Public TransportationIEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems10.1109/TITS.2022.316160623:9(14248-14266)Online publication date: Sep-2022
  • (2022)Novel model for predicting individuals’ movements in dynamic regions of interestGIScience & Remote Sensing10.1080/15481603.2022.202663759:1(250-271)Online publication date: 13-Jan-2022
  • (2022)Intelligent Positioning System: Learning Indoor Mobility Behavior and Batch AffiliationsWireless Personal Communications: An International Journal10.1007/s11277-021-09010-0122:3(2521-2542)Online publication date: 1-Feb-2022
  • (2021)WiFiMod: Transformer-based Indoor Human Mobility Modeling using Passive SensingProceedings of the 4th ACM SIGCAS Conference on Computing and Sustainable Societies10.1145/3460112.3471951(126-137)Online publication date: 28-Jun-2021
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