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Enhancement of Epidemiological Models for Dengue Fever Based on Twitter Data

Published: 02 July 2017 Publication History

Abstract

Epidemiological early warning systems for dengue fever rely on up-to-date epidemiological data to forecast future incidence. However, epidemiological data typically requires time to be available, due to the application of time-consuming laboratorial tests. This implies that epidemiological models need to issue predictions with larger antecedence, making their task even more difficult. On the other hand, online platforms, such as Twitter or Google, allow us to obtain samples of users' interaction in near real-time and can be used as sensors to monitor current incidence. In this work, we propose a framework to exploit online data sources to mitigate the lack of up-to-date epidemiological data by obtaining estimates of current incidence, which are then explored by traditional epidemiological models. We show that the proposed framework obtains more accurate predictions than alternative approaches, with statistically better results for delays greater or equal to 4 weeks.

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  • (2024)Use of Digital Tools in Arbovirus Surveillance: Scoping ReviewJournal of Medical Internet Research10.2196/5747626(e57476)Online publication date: 18-Nov-2024
  • (2022)Data-driven methods for dengue prediction and surveillance using real-world and Big Data: A systematic reviewPLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases10.1371/journal.pntd.001005616:1(e0010056)Online publication date: 7-Jan-2022
  • (2022)Political polarization on Twitter during the COVID-19 pandemic: a case study in BrazilSocial Network Analysis and Mining10.1007/s13278-022-00949-x12:1Online publication date: 23-Sep-2022
  • Show More Cited By

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cover image ACM Other conferences
DH '17: Proceedings of the 2017 International Conference on Digital Health
July 2017
256 pages
ISBN:9781450352499
DOI:10.1145/3079452
Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

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Publication History

Published: 02 July 2017

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Author Tags

  1. dengue fever
  2. early warning systems
  3. epidemiology
  4. gaussian processes
  5. twitter

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DH '17
DH '17: International Conference on Digital Health
July 2 - 5, 2017
London, United Kingdom

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Cited By

View all
  • (2024)Use of Digital Tools in Arbovirus Surveillance: Scoping ReviewJournal of Medical Internet Research10.2196/5747626(e57476)Online publication date: 18-Nov-2024
  • (2022)Data-driven methods for dengue prediction and surveillance using real-world and Big Data: A systematic reviewPLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases10.1371/journal.pntd.001005616:1(e0010056)Online publication date: 7-Jan-2022
  • (2022)Political polarization on Twitter during the COVID-19 pandemic: a case study in BrazilSocial Network Analysis and Mining10.1007/s13278-022-00949-x12:1Online publication date: 23-Sep-2022
  • (2021)Spatiotemporal Patterns of Human Mobility and Its Association with Land Use Types during COVID-19 in New York CityISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information10.3390/ijgi1005034410:5(344)Online publication date: 18-May-2021
  • (2020)Learning from Tweets: Opportunities and Challenges to Inform Policy Making During Dengue EpidemicProceedings of the ACM on Human-Computer Interaction10.1145/33928754:CSCW1(1-27)Online publication date: 29-May-2020
  • (2020)Detecting Dengue/Flu Infections Based on Tweets Using LSTM and Word EmbeddingIEEE Access10.1109/ACCESS.2020.30311748(189054-189068)Online publication date: 2020
  • (2019)Internet-Based Sources of Health Information: A Systematic Literature Review (Preprint)Journal of Medical Internet Research10.2196/13680Online publication date: 24-Feb-2019
  • (2019)LaNa2Proceedings of the XV Brazilian Symposium on Information Systems10.1145/3330204.3330281(1-8)Online publication date: 20-May-2019
  • (2018)Disease surveillance data sharing for public health: the next ethical frontiersLife Sciences, Society and Policy10.1186/s40504-018-0078-x14:1Online publication date: 4-Jul-2018

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