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Real-Time Optimization of Web Publisher RTB Revenues

Published: 13 August 2017 Publication History

Abstract

This paper describes an engine to optimize web publisher revenues from second-price auctions. These auctions are widely used to sell online ad spaces in a mechanism called real-time bidding (RTB). Optimization within these auctions is crucial for web publishers, because setting appropriate reserve prices can significantly increase revenue. We consider a practical real-world setting where the only available information before an auction occurs consists of a user identifier and an ad placement identifier. The real-world challenges we had to tackle consist mainly of tracking the dependencies on both the user and placement in an highly non-stationary environment and of dealing with censored bid observations. These challenges led us to make the following design choices: (i) we adopted a relatively simple non-parametric regression model of auction revenue based on an incremental time-weighted matrix factorization which implicitly builds adaptive users' and placements' profiles; (ii) we jointly used a non-parametric model to estimate the first and second bids' distribution when they are censored, based on an on-line extension of the Aalen's Additive model.
Our engine is a component of a deployed system handling hundreds of web publishers across the world, serving billions of ads a day to hundreds of millions of visitors. The engine is able to predict, for each auction, an optimal reserve price in approximately one millisecond and yields a significant revenue increase for the web publishers.

References

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N. Cesa-Bianchi, C. Gentile, and Y. Mansour. Regret minimization for reserve prices in second-price auctions. IEEE Trans. Information Theory, 61(1):549--564, 2015.
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Y. Cui, R. Zhang, W. Li, and J. Mao. Bid landscape forecasting in online ad exchange marketplace. In ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining, KDD '11, 2011.
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E. Ikonomovska, S. Jafarpour, and A. Dasdan. Real-time bid prediction using thompson sampling-based expert selection. In ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining, KDD '15, 2015.
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L. Li, W. Chu, J. Langford, and R. E. Schapire. A contextual-bandit approach to personalized news article recommendation. In Proceedings of the 19th International Conference on World Wide Web, WWW '10, 2010.
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M. Mohri and A. M. Medina. Learning theory and algorithms for revenue op- timization in second price auctions with reserve. In Proceedings of the 31th International Conference on Machine Learning, ICML 2014, Beijing, China, 21--26 June 2014, pages 262--270, 2014.
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M. R. Rudolph, J. G. Ellis, and D. M. Blei. Objective variables for probabilistic revenue maximization in second-price auctions with reserve. In International Conference on World Wide Web, WWW '16, 2016.
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W. C.-H. Wu, M.-Y. Yeh, and M.-S. Chen. Predicting winning price in real time bid- ding with censored data. In ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining, KDD '15, 2015.
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Cited By

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  • (2025)Adapting Constrained Markov Decision Process for OCPC Bidding with Delayed ConversionsACM Transactions on Information Systems10.1145/370642043:2(1-29)Online publication date: 18-Jan-2025
  • (2023)Reserve Price optimization in First-Price Auctions via Multi-Task Learning2023 IEEE International Conference on Data Mining (ICDM)10.1109/ICDM58522.2023.00029(200-209)Online publication date: 1-Dec-2023
  • (2022)Empirical Analysis of Machine Learning Algorithms for Multiclass PredictionWireless Communications & Mobile Computing10.1155/2022/74511522022Online publication date: 30-Mar-2022
  • Show More Cited By

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Published In

cover image ACM Conferences
KDD '17: Proceedings of the 23rd ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining
August 2017
2240 pages
ISBN:9781450348874
DOI:10.1145/3097983
Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

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Publication History

Published: 13 August 2017

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Author Tags

  1. ad-tech
  2. auctions
  3. big-data
  4. online learning
  5. real-time

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  • Research-article

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  • ANR (Agence Nationale de la Recherche)

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KDD '17
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KDD '17 Paper Acceptance Rate 64 of 748 submissions, 9%;
Overall Acceptance Rate 1,133 of 8,635 submissions, 13%

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Cited By

View all
  • (2025)Adapting Constrained Markov Decision Process for OCPC Bidding with Delayed ConversionsACM Transactions on Information Systems10.1145/370642043:2(1-29)Online publication date: 18-Jan-2025
  • (2023)Reserve Price optimization in First-Price Auctions via Multi-Task Learning2023 IEEE International Conference on Data Mining (ICDM)10.1109/ICDM58522.2023.00029(200-209)Online publication date: 1-Dec-2023
  • (2022)Empirical Analysis of Machine Learning Algorithms for Multiclass PredictionWireless Communications & Mobile Computing10.1155/2022/74511522022Online publication date: 30-Mar-2022
  • (2019)Reserve Price Failure Rate Prediction with Header Bidding in Display AdvertisingProceedings of the 25th ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery & Data Mining10.1145/3292500.3330729(2819-2827)Online publication date: 25-Jul-2019
  • (2019)Fuzzy Logic based Pricing combined with Adaptive Search for Reserve Price Optimization in Online Ad Auctions2019 IEEE International Conference on Fuzzy Systems (FUZZ-IEEE)10.1109/FUZZ-IEEE.2019.8858975(1-8)Online publication date: 23-Jun-2019
  • (2019)Optimizing reserve prices for publishers in online ad auctions2019 IEEE Conference on Computational Intelligence for Financial Engineering & Economics (CIFEr)10.1109/CIFEr.2019.8759123(1-8)Online publication date: May-2019
  • (2019)A PSO-based Algorithm for Reserve Price Optimization in Online Ad Auctions2019 IEEE Congress on Evolutionary Computation (CEC)10.1109/CEC.2019.8789915(2611-2619)Online publication date: 10-Jun-2019
  • (2018)Optimal Allocation of Real-Time-Bidding and Direct CampaignsProceedings of the 24th ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery & Data Mining10.1145/3219819.3219877(416-424)Online publication date: 19-Jul-2018

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