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CrowdPT: Summarizing Crowd Opinions as Professional Analyst

Published: 13 May 2019 Publication History

Abstract

This paper demonstrates a novel analytics service, CrowdPT, for capturing the key information, price target (PT), of individual investors on social media. PT, which is mentioned as a conclusion in most of analysts' reports, indicates not only the market sentiment (bullish/bearish) of investors, but also the analysis results. In order to provide the latest opinions of individual investors, we monitor Twitter in real time and update the information in price chart daily. For all component stocks in Dow Jones Industrial Average, textual information from numerous tweets is summarized into a single number, PT, in CrowdPT. Case studies confirm the effectiveness of our analytics service in the financial domain, and show that capturing the PT of individual investors is promising for stock price prediction. The Web API of CrowdPT is also provided for academic purpose.

References

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Chung-Chi Chen, Hen-Hsen Huang, Yow-Ting Shiue, and Hsin-Hsi Chen. 2018. Numeral Understanding in Financial Tweets for Fine-grained Crowd-based Forecasting. In 2018 IEEE/WIC/ACM International Conference on Web Intelligence (WI). IEEE, 136-143.
[2]
Matthew Lamm, Arun Tejasvi Chaganty, Christopher D Manning, Dan Jurafsky, and Percy Liang. 2018. QSRL: A Semantic Role-Labeling Schema for Quantitative Facts. In Proceedings of the 1st Financial Narrative Processing Workshop.
[3]
J Richard Landis and Gary G Koch. 1977. The measurement of observer agreement for categorical data. biometrics (1977), 159-174.
[4]
Soichiro Murakami, Akihiko Watanabe, Akira Miyazawa, Keiichi Goshima, Toshihiko Yanase, Hiroya Takamura, and Yusuke Miyao. 2017. Learning to generate market comments from stock prices. In Proceedings of the 55th Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics (Volume 1: Long Papers), Vol. 1. 1374-1384.
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Yumo Xu and Shay B Cohen. 2018. Stock movement prediction from tweets and historical prices. In Proceedings of the 56th Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics (Volume 1: Long Papers), Vol. 1. 1970-1979.

Cited By

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  • (2021)FinTech ApplicationsFrom Opinion Mining to Financial Argument Mining10.1007/978-981-16-2881-8_6(73-87)Online publication date: 21-May-2021
  • (2019)Final Report of the NTCIR-14 FinNum Task: Challenges and Current Status of Fine-Grained Numeral Understanding in Financial Social Media DataNII Testbeds and Community for Information Access Research10.1007/978-3-030-36805-0_14(183-192)Online publication date: 28-Nov-2019

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cover image ACM Other conferences
WWW '19: The World Wide Web Conference
May 2019
3620 pages
ISBN:9781450366748
DOI:10.1145/3308558
Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

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  • IW3C2: International World Wide Web Conference Committee

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Association for Computing Machinery

New York, NY, United States

Publication History

Published: 13 May 2019

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Author Tags

  1. crowd opinion
  2. financial social media
  3. price target

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  • Research-article
  • Research
  • Refereed limited

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WWW '19
WWW '19: The Web Conference
May 13 - 17, 2019
CA, San Francisco, USA

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Overall Acceptance Rate 1,899 of 8,196 submissions, 23%

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Cited By

View all
  • (2021)FinTech ApplicationsFrom Opinion Mining to Financial Argument Mining10.1007/978-981-16-2881-8_6(73-87)Online publication date: 21-May-2021
  • (2019)Final Report of the NTCIR-14 FinNum Task: Challenges and Current Status of Fine-Grained Numeral Understanding in Financial Social Media DataNII Testbeds and Community for Information Access Research10.1007/978-3-030-36805-0_14(183-192)Online publication date: 28-Nov-2019

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