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Fair Prediction with Endogenous Behavior

Published: 13 July 2020 Publication History
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  • Abstract

    There is great interest in whether machine learning algorithms deployed in consequential domains (e.g. in criminal justice) treat different demographic groups "fairly." However, there are several proposed notions of fairness, typically mutually incompatible. Using criminal justice as an example, we study a model in which society chooses an incarceration rule. Agents of different demographic groups differ in their outside options (e.g. opportunity for legal employment) and decide whether to commit crimes. We show that equalizing type I and type II errors across groups is consistent with the goal of minimizing the overall crime rate; other popular notions of fairness are not.

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    Published In

    cover image ACM Conferences
    EC '20: Proceedings of the 21st ACM Conference on Economics and Computation
    July 2020
    937 pages
    ISBN:9781450379755
    DOI:10.1145/3391403
    Permission to make digital or hard copies of part or all of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for third-party components of this work must be honored. For all other uses, contact the Owner/Author.

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    Association for Computing Machinery

    New York, NY, United States

    Publication History

    Published: 13 July 2020

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    Author Tags

    1. calibration
    2. criminal justice
    3. fairness
    4. machine learning
    5. risk score

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    • NSF

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    EC '20
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    EC '20: The 21st ACM Conference on Economics and Computation
    July 13 - 17, 2020
    Virtual Event, Hungary

    Acceptance Rates

    Overall Acceptance Rate 664 of 2,389 submissions, 28%

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    • (2024)Using Property Elicitation to Understand the Impacts of Fairness RegularizersProceedings of the 2024 ACM Conference on Fairness, Accountability, and Transparency10.1145/3630106.3658540(62-73)Online publication date: 3-Jun-2024
    • (2024)Fairness in Machine Learning: A SurveyACM Computing Surveys10.1145/361686556:7(1-38)Online publication date: 9-Apr-2024
    • (2024)Group FairnessInsurance, Biases, Discrimination and Fairness10.1007/978-3-031-49783-4_8(309-355)Online publication date: 14-May-2024
    • (2024)Quantifying Fairness and Discrimination in Predictive ModelsMachine Learning for Econometrics and Related Topics10.1007/978-3-031-43601-7_3(37-77)Online publication date: 2-Jun-2024
    • (2023)Fairness in Recommendation: Foundations, Methods, and ApplicationsACM Transactions on Intelligent Systems and Technology10.1145/361030214:5(1-48)Online publication date: 27-Jul-2023
    • (2023)Wealth Dynamics Over Generations: Analysis and Interventions2023 IEEE Conference on Secure and Trustworthy Machine Learning (SaTML)10.1109/SaTML54575.2023.00013(42-57)Online publication date: Mar-2023
    • (2022)Best vs. All: Equity and Accuracy of Standardized Test Score ReportingProceedings of the 2022 ACM Conference on Fairness, Accountability, and Transparency10.1145/3531146.3533121(574-586)Online publication date: 21-Jun-2022
    • (2022)Algorithmic Fairness and Statistical DiscriminationPhilosophy Compass10.1111/phc3.1289118:1Online publication date: 19-Dec-2022
    • (2021)Bridging Machine Learning and Mechanism Design towards Algorithmic FairnessProceedings of the 2021 ACM Conference on Fairness, Accountability, and Transparency10.1145/3442188.3445912(489-503)Online publication date: 3-Mar-2021
    • (2020)Ethical algorithm designACM SIGecom Exchanges10.1145/3440959.344096618:1(31-36)Online publication date: 2-Dec-2020
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