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Just Resource Allocation? How Algorithmic Predictions and Human Notions of Justice Interact

Published: 13 July 2022 Publication History

Abstract

We examine justice in data-aided decisions in the context of a scarce societal resource allocation problem. Non-experts (recruited on Amazon Mechanical Turk) have to determine which homeless households to serve with limited housing assistance. We empirically elicit decision-maker preferences for whether to prioritize more vulnerable households or households who would best take advantage of more intensive interventions. We present three main findings. (1) When vulnerability or outcomes are quantitatively conceptualized and presented, humans (at a single point in time) are remarkably consistent in making either vulnerability- or outcome-oriented decisions. (2) Prior exposure to quantitative outcome predictions has a significant effect and changes the preferences of human decision-makers from vulnerability-oriented to outcome-oriented about one-third of the time. (3) Presenting algorithmically-derived risk predictions in addition to household descriptions reinforces decision-maker preferences. Among the vulnerability-oriented, presenting the risk predictions leads to a significant increase in allocations to the more vulnerable household, whereas among the outcome-oriented it leads to a significant decrease in allocations to the more vulnerable household. These findings emphasize the importance of explicitly aligning data-driven decision aids with system-wide allocation goals.

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  • (2024)After automation: Homelessness prioritization algorithms and the future of care laborBig Data & Society10.1177/2053951724123904311:1Online publication date: 21-Mar-2024
  • (2024)Intermediation: Algorithmic Prioritization in Practice in Homeless ServicesProceedings of the ACM on Human-Computer Interaction10.1145/36869518:CSCW2(1-24)Online publication date: 8-Nov-2024
  • (2024)Beyond Eviction Prediction: Leveraging Local Spatiotemporal Public Records to Inform ActionProceedings of the 2024 ACM Conference on Fairness, Accountability, and Transparency10.1145/3630106.3658978(1383-1394)Online publication date: 3-Jun-2024
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      cover image ACM Conferences
      EC '22: Proceedings of the 23rd ACM Conference on Economics and Computation
      July 2022
      1269 pages
      ISBN:9781450391504
      DOI:10.1145/3490486
      This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution International 4.0 License.

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      Published: 13 July 2022

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      Author Tags

      1. decision-making
      2. fairness
      3. homelessness
      4. justice
      5. scarcity

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      View all
      • (2024)After automation: Homelessness prioritization algorithms and the future of care laborBig Data & Society10.1177/2053951724123904311:1Online publication date: 21-Mar-2024
      • (2024)Intermediation: Algorithmic Prioritization in Practice in Homeless ServicesProceedings of the ACM on Human-Computer Interaction10.1145/36869518:CSCW2(1-24)Online publication date: 8-Nov-2024
      • (2024)Beyond Eviction Prediction: Leveraging Local Spatiotemporal Public Records to Inform ActionProceedings of the 2024 ACM Conference on Fairness, Accountability, and Transparency10.1145/3630106.3658978(1383-1394)Online publication date: 3-Jun-2024
      • (2024)Are We Asking the Right Questions?: Designing for Community Stakeholders’ Interactions with AI in PolicingProceedings of the 2024 CHI Conference on Human Factors in Computing Systems10.1145/3613904.3642738(1-20)Online publication date: 11-May-2024
      • (2024)A Human-Centered Review of Algorithms in Homelessness ResearchProceedings of the 2024 CHI Conference on Human Factors in Computing Systems10.1145/3613904.3642392(1-15)Online publication date: 11-May-2024
      • (2023)“Who is the right homeless client?”: Values in Algorithmic Homelessness Service Provision and Machine Learning ResearchProceedings of the 2023 CHI Conference on Human Factors in Computing Systems10.1145/3544548.3581010(1-21)Online publication date: 19-Apr-2023
      • (2023)Expressiveness, Cost, and Collectivism: How the Design of Preference Languages Shapes Participation in Algorithmic Decision-MakingProceedings of the 2023 CHI Conference on Human Factors in Computing Systems10.1145/3544548.3580996(1-16)Online publication date: 19-Apr-2023

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