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Meta-learning over time for destination prediction tasks

Published: 22 November 2022 Publication History
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  • Abstract

    A need to understand and predict vehicles' behavior underlies both public and private goals in the transportation domain, including urban planning and management, ride-sharing services, and intelligent transportation systems. Individuals' preferences and intended destinations vary throughout the day, week, and year: for example, bars are most popular in the evenings, and beaches are most popular in the summer. Despite this principle, we note that recent studies on a popular benchmark dataset from Porto, Portugal have found, at best, only marginal improvements in predictive performance from incorporating temporal information. We propose an approach based on hypernetworks, a variant of meta-learning ("learning to learn") in which a neural network learns to change its own weights in response to an input. In our case, the weights responsible for destination prediction vary with the metadata, in particular the time, of the input trajectory. The time-conditioned weights notably improve the model's error relative to ablation studies and comparable prior work, and we confirm our hypothesis that knowledge of time should improve prediction of a vehicle's intended destination.

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    cover image ACM Conferences
    SIGSPATIAL '22: Proceedings of the 30th International Conference on Advances in Geographic Information Systems
    November 2022
    806 pages
    ISBN:9781450395298
    DOI:10.1145/3557915
    Publication rights licensed to ACM. ACM acknowledges that this contribution was authored or co-authored by an employee, contractor or affiliate of the United States government. As such, the Government retains a nonexclusive, royalty-free right to publish or reproduce this article, or to allow others to do so, for Government purposes only.

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    Published: 22 November 2022

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    Author Tags

    1. destination prediction
    2. hyper-network
    3. temporal reasoning
    4. transportation

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    • (2024)TTSR: A Transformer-Based Topography Neural Network for Digital Elevation Model Super-ResolutionIEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing10.1109/TGRS.2024.336048962(1-19)Online publication date: 2024
    • (2024)MobilityDL: a review of deep learning from trajectory dataGeoInformatica10.1007/s10707-024-00518-8Online publication date: 28-May-2024
    • (2022) Symbolic and subsymbolic GeoAI : Geospatial knowledge graphs and spatially explicit machine learning Transactions in GIS10.1111/tgis.1301226:8(3118-3124)Online publication date: 18-Dec-2022

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