Location via proxy:   [ UP ]  
[Report a bug]   [Manage cookies]                
skip to main content
10.1145/3557915.3560986acmconferencesArticle/Chapter ViewAbstractPublication PagesgisConference Proceedingsconference-collections
research-article

MTTPRE: a multi-scale spatial-temporal model for travel time prediction

Published: 22 November 2022 Publication History
  • Get Citation Alerts
  • Abstract

    Travel time prediction is a critical task in intelligent transportation system and location-based service. Existing studies build models based on the features extracted from trajectories, but few of them consider the sparsity of trajectory data from both temporal and spatial dimensions, as well as the spatial structure and heterogeneity. To address these issues, we propose a novel Multi-scale spatial-temporal model for Travel Time Prediction, abbreviated as MTTPRE. Specifically, the study area is represented as a flexible Voronoi graph according to a variable-sized partition scheme and the missing features on it are recovered via a spatial-temporal context-based method. Subsequently, a geospatial network with POI information is established to represent the spatial structure based on the Voronoi graph. Next, the multi-dimensional traffic condition features and graph-trajectory-POI multilevel features are extracted as spatial-temporal features. Finally, these features are fed into a hierarchical multi-task learning layer to complete the travel time prediction task. Extensive experiments on two real-world datasets show that the MTTPRE outperforms all the competitors with significant improvement and remarkable robustness.

    References

    [1]
    Huiting Hong, Yucheng Lin, Xiaoqing Yang, Zang Li, Kung Fu, Zheng Wang, Xiaohu Qie and Jieping Ye. 2020. Heteta: heterogeneous information network embedding for estimating time of arrival. In Proceedings of the 26th ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery & Data Mining. 2444--2454.
    [2]
    Kun Fu, Fanlin Meng, Jieping Ye and Zheng Wang. 2020. Compacteta: A fast inference system for travel time prediction. In Proceedings of the 26th ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery & Data Mining. 3337--3345.
    [3]
    Xiaomin Fang, Jizhou Huang, Fan Wang, Lingke Zeng, Haijin Liang and Haifeng Wang. 2020. Constgat: Contextual spatial-temporal graph attention network for travel time estimation at baidu maps. In Proceedings of the 26th ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery & Data Mining. 2697--2705.
    [4]
    Austin Derrow-Pinion, Jennifer She, David Wong, Oliver Lange, Todd Hester, Luis Perez, Marc Nunkesser, Seongjae Lee, Xueying Guo and Brett Wiltshire. 2021. Eta prediction with graph neural networks in google maps. In Proceedings of the 30th ACM International Conference on Information & Knowledge Management. 3767--3776.
    [5]
    Pouria Amirian, Anahid Basiri and Jeremy Morley. 2016. Predictive analytics for enhancing travel time estimation in navigation apps of Apple, Google, and Microsoft. In Proceedings of the 9th ACM SIGSPATIAL International Workshop on Computational Transportation Science. 31--36.
    [6]
    Zheng Wang, Kun Fu and Jieping Ye. 2018. Learning to estimate the travel time. In Proceedings of the 24th ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery & Data Mining. 858--866.
    [7]
    Xianyuan Zhan, Ruimin Li and Satish V Ukkusuri. 2015. Lane-based real-time queue length estimation using license plate recognition data. Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies 57, (2015), 85--102.
    [8]
    Xiaolei Ma, Zhimin Tao, Yinhai Wang, Haiyang Yu and Yunpeng Wang. 2015. Long short-term memory neural network for traffic speed prediction using remote microwave sensor data. Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies 54, (2015), 187--197.
    [9]
    Erik Jenelius and Haris N Koutsopoulos. 2013. Travel time estimation for urban road networks using low frequency probe vehicle data. Transportation Research Part B: Methodological 53, (2013), 64--81.
    [10]
    Yilun Wang, Yu Zheng and Yexiang Xue. 2014. Travel time estimation of a path using sparse trajectories. In Proceedings of the 20th ACM SIGKDD international conference on Knowledge discovery and data mining. 25--34.
    [11]
    Nikolaos Zygouras, Nikolaos Panagiotou, Yang Li, Dimitrios Gunopulos and Leonidas Guibas. 2019. HTTE: A Hybrid Technique For Travel Time Estimation In Sparse Data Environments. In Proceedings of the 27th ACM SIGSPATIAL International Conference on Advances in Geographic Information Systems. 99--108.
    [12]
    Yang Li, Dimitrios Gunopulos, Cewu Lu and Leonidas Guibas. 2017. Urban travel time prediction using a small number of GPS floating cars. In Proceedings of the 25th ACM SIGSPATIAL International Conference on Advances in Geographic Information Systems. 1--10.
    [13]
    Dong Wang, Junbo Zhang, Wei Cao, Jian Li and Yu Zheng. 2018. When will you arrive? estimating travel time based on deep neural networks. In Thirty-Second AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence.
    [14]
    Hanyuan Zhang, Hao Wu, Weiwei Sun and Baihua Zheng. 2018. Deeptravel: a neural network based travel time estimation model with auxiliary supervision. arXiv preprint arXiv:1802.02147 (2018).
    [15]
    Jie Xu, Yong Zhang, Li Chao and Chunxiao Xing. 2019. STDR: a deep learning method for travel time estimation. In International conference on database systems for advanced applications. 156--172.
    [16]
    Yibin Shen, Cheqing Jin and Jiaxun Hua. 2020. TTPNet: A neural network for travel time prediction based on tensor decomposition and graph embedding. IEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering (2020).
    [17]
    Liqiang Pan and Jianzhong Li. 2010. K-nearest neighbor based missing data estimation algorithm in wireless sensor networks. Wireless Sensor Network 2, 02 (2010), 115.
    [18]
    YuanYuan Li and Lynne E Parker. 2014. Nearest neighbor imputation using spatial-temporal correlations in wireless sensor networks. Information Fusion 15, (2014), 64--79.
    [19]
    Ningrinla Marchang and Rakesh Tripathi. 2020. KNN-ST: Exploiting Spatio-Temporal Correlation for Missing Data Inference in Environmental Crowd Sensing. IEEE Sensors Journal 21, 3 (2020), 3429--3436.
    [20]
    Pan Zhou, Canyi Lu, Zhouchen Lin and Chao Zhang. 2017. Tensor factorization for low-rank tensor completion. IEEE Transactions on Image Processing 27, 3 (2017), 1152--1163.
    [21]
    Xinyu Chen, Zhaocheng He and Jiawei Wang. 2018. Spatial-temporal traffic speed patterns discovery and incomplete data recovery via SVD-combined tensor decomposition. Transportation research part C: emerging technologies 86, (2018), 59--77.
    [22]
    Xinyu Chen, Zhaocheng He, Yixian Chen, Yuhuan Lu and Jiawei Wang. 2019. Missing traffic data imputation and pattern discovery with a Bayesian augmented tensor factorization model. Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies 104, (2019), 66--77.
    [23]
    Tingting Wu and Yingru Li. 2013. Spatial interpolation of temperature in the United States using residual kriging. Applied Geography 44, (2013), 112--120.
    [24]
    Dapeng Zhang and Xiaokun Cara Wang. 2014. Transit ridership estimation with network Kriging: A case study of Second Avenue Subway, NYC. Journal of Transport Geography 41, (2014), 107--115.
    [25]
    Yuankai Wu, Dingyi Zhuang, Aurelie Labbe and Lijun Sun. 2020. Inductive graph neural networks for spatiotemporal kriging. arXiv preprint arXiv:2006.07527 (2020).
    [26]
    Yuankai Wu, Dingyi Zhuang, Mengying Lei, Aurelie Labbe and Lijun Sun. 2021. Spatial Aggregation and Temporal Convolution Networks for Real-time Kriging. arXiv preprint arXiv:2109.12144 (2021).
    [27]
    Jing Yang and Maogui Hu. 2018. Filling the missing data gaps of daily MODIS AOD using spatiotemporal interpolation. Science of the Total Environment 633, (2018), 677--683.
    [28]
    Neema Davis, Gaurav Raina and Krishna Jagannathan. 2018. Taxi demand forecasting: A HEDGE-based tessellation strategy for improved accuracy. IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems 19, 11 (2018), 3686--3697.
    [29]
    Neema Davis, Gaurav Raina and Krishna Jagannathan. 2020. Grids versus graphs: Partitioning space for improved taxi demand-supply forecasts. IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems 22, 10 (2020), 6526--6535.
    [30]
    Will Hamilton, Zhitao Ying and Jure Leskovec. 2017. Inductive representation learning on large graphs. Advances in neural information processing systems 30, (2017).
    [31]
    Jielun Liu, Ghim Ping Ong and Xiqun Chen. 2020. GraphSAGE-based traffic speed forecasting for segment network with sparse data. IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems (2020).
    [32]
    Chun-Hsin Wu, Jan-Ming Ho and Der-Tsai Lee. 2004. Travel-time prediction with support vector regression. IEEE transactions on intelligent transportation systems 5, 4 (2004), 276--281.
    [33]
    Hongjian Wang, Yu-Hsuan Kuo, Daniel Kifer and Zhenhui Li. 2016. A simple baseline for travel time estimation using large-scale trip data. In Proceedings of the 24th ACM SIGSPATIAL International Conference on Advances in Geographic Information Systems. 1--4.
    [34]
    R. Gao, X. Guo, F. Sun, L. Dai and H. Li. 2019. Aggressive Driving Saves More Time? Multi-task Learning for Customized Travel Time Estimation. In Twenty-Eighth International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence {IJCAI-19}.

    Cited By

    View all
    • (2023)A Fundamental Model with Stable Interpretability for Traffic ForecastingProceedings of the 1st ACM SIGSPATIAL International Workshop on Geo-Privacy and Data Utility for Smart Societies10.1145/3615889.3628510(10-13)Online publication date: 13-Nov-2023
    • (2023)HST-GT: Heterogeneous Spatial-Temporal Graph Transformer for Delivery Time Estimation in Warehouse-Distribution Integration E-CommerceProceedings of the 32nd ACM International Conference on Information and Knowledge Management10.1145/3583780.3614918(3402-3411)Online publication date: 21-Oct-2023

    Index Terms

    1. MTTPRE: a multi-scale spatial-temporal model for travel time prediction

        Recommendations

        Comments

        Information & Contributors

        Information

        Published In

        cover image ACM Conferences
        SIGSPATIAL '22: Proceedings of the 30th International Conference on Advances in Geographic Information Systems
        November 2022
        806 pages
        ISBN:9781450395298
        DOI:10.1145/3557915
        Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

        Sponsors

        Publisher

        Association for Computing Machinery

        New York, NY, United States

        Publication History

        Published: 22 November 2022

        Permissions

        Request permissions for this article.

        Check for updates

        Author Tags

        1. GraphSAGE
        2. ST-kriging
        3. spatial-temporal
        4. travel time prediction
        5. voronoi graph

        Qualifiers

        • Research-article

        Conference

        SIGSPATIAL '22
        Sponsor:

        Acceptance Rates

        Overall Acceptance Rate 220 of 1,116 submissions, 20%

        Contributors

        Other Metrics

        Bibliometrics & Citations

        Bibliometrics

        Article Metrics

        • Downloads (Last 12 months)67
        • Downloads (Last 6 weeks)5

        Other Metrics

        Citations

        Cited By

        View all
        • (2023)A Fundamental Model with Stable Interpretability for Traffic ForecastingProceedings of the 1st ACM SIGSPATIAL International Workshop on Geo-Privacy and Data Utility for Smart Societies10.1145/3615889.3628510(10-13)Online publication date: 13-Nov-2023
        • (2023)HST-GT: Heterogeneous Spatial-Temporal Graph Transformer for Delivery Time Estimation in Warehouse-Distribution Integration E-CommerceProceedings of the 32nd ACM International Conference on Information and Knowledge Management10.1145/3583780.3614918(3402-3411)Online publication date: 21-Oct-2023

        View Options

        Get Access

        Login options

        View options

        PDF

        View or Download as a PDF file.

        PDF

        eReader

        View online with eReader.

        eReader

        Media

        Figures

        Other

        Tables

        Share

        Share

        Share this Publication link

        Share on social media