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The Impact of Social Media Text Tone on Stock Prices: Evidence from SeekingAlpha.Com

Published: 27 June 2023 Publication History

Abstract

This paper investigates whether social media text tone impacts financial markets. I collect data from SeekingAlpha.com. I find that social media text tone positively correlates with stock return. User-level analyses indicate that the effect on return is more significant if a user is an influencer, which I define as a person who has many followers and has the power to influence many people through social media, and if the user is more senior, which I define as having extended access to social media platforms. Content analyses indicate that the length of articles negatively correlates with market returns. Additionally, investors overreact to information on social media, and a reversal pattern is observed in the long run. Overall, tone and market returns positively correlate in the short period, but in the long term, it has a reversal.

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      ICMLT '23: Proceedings of the 2023 8th International Conference on Machine Learning Technologies
      March 2023
      293 pages
      ISBN:9781450398329
      DOI:10.1145/3589883
      Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than the author(s) must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected].

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      Published: 27 June 2023

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      Author Tags

      1. capital market
      2. seeking alpha
      3. social media
      4. textual analysis

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