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Personalized human mobility prediction for HuMob challenge

Published: 13 November 2023 Publication History

Abstract

We explain the methodology used to create the data submitted to HuMob Challenge, a data analysis competition for human mobility prediction. We adopted a personalized model to predict the individual's movement trajectory from their data, instead of predicting from the overall movement, based on the hypothesis that human movement is unique to each person. We devised the features such as the date and time, activity time, days of the week, time of day, and frequency of visits to POI (Point of Interest). As additional features, we incorporated the movement of other individuals with similar behavior patterns through the employment of clustering. The machine learning model we adopted was the Support Vector Regression (SVR). We performed accuracy through offline assessment and carried out feature selection and parameter tuning. Although overall dataset provided consists of 100,000 users trajectory, our method use only 20,000 target users data, and do not need to use other 80,000 data. Despite the personalized model's traditional feature engineering approach, this model yields reasonably good accuracy with lower computational cost.

References

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S. Ishiguro, S. Kawasaki and Y. Fukazawa: Taxi Demand Forecast Using Real-Time Population Generated from Cellular Networks. UbiComp/ISWC Adjunct 2018: 1024--1032, 2018.
[2]
T. Mimura, S. Ishiguro, S. Kawasaki, Y. Fukazawa: Bike-Share Demand Prediction using Attention based Sequence to Sequence and Conditional Variational AutoEncoder, PredictGIS workshop SIGSPATIAL, 41--44, 2019.
[3]
MIT Connection Science:HuMob Challenge 2023, 2023.
[4]
T. Yabe, K. Tsubouchi, T. Shimizu, Y. Sekimoto, K. Sezaki, E. Moro, and A. Pentland: Metropolitan Scale and Longitudinal Dataset of Anonymized Human Mobility Trajectories, arXiv preprint arXiv:2307.03401, 2023.

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cover image ACM Conferences
HuMob-Challenge '23: Proceedings of the 1st International Workshop on the Human Mobility Prediction Challenge
November 2023
55 pages
ISBN:9798400703560
DOI:10.1145/3615894
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Association for Computing Machinery

New York, NY, United States

Publication History

Published: 13 November 2023

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Author Tags

  1. HuMob
  2. SVR
  3. machine learning
  4. human mobility prediction
  5. personalized model
  6. ACM SIGSPATIAL
  7. sophia university

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  • Short-paper

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  • Sophia University Special Grant for Academic Research

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HuMob-Challenge '23
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