Near real-time surveillance of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic with incomplete data
Fig 2
Epidemic curves estimated using the data available during the early and intermediate analysis of the initial SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in the regions of Madrid and Murcia, Spain, March 1-April 9, 2020, and comparison with curves obtained in late period of analysis March 1-April 16 (dashed grey line and grey ribbon).
Showing nowcast estimates (orange) in Madrid and Murcia for the early (A and D) and intermediate (B and E) period analysis, observed cases with known date of onset of symptoms for the same period (blue columns), and for comparison with more complete data, those estimated in the late period of analysis (dashed grey line and ribbon); C and F showing cases by date of report back shifted by the mean delay (red line) together with nowcast estimates for the late period analysis and observed cases with known date of onset of symptoms (shadowed blue columns). DOS: date of onset of symptoms; DOR: date of report; Lines are median estimates, ribbons span 2.5 and 97.5 percentiles.