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Epidemic management and control through risk-dependent individual contact interventions

Fig 1

Schematic of the personalized risk assessment platform.

Proximity-tracking data from mobile devices is used to assemble a contact network, in which nodes represent individuals and edges represent close contacts between individuals. An epidemiological model defined on the contact network is then fused with diverse health data, including diagnostic tests, hospitalization status, and possibly data such as body temperature readings. The model spreads risk of infectiousness from a positive individual (red) to others, taking into account knowledge about disease progression, the time and duration of contacts, and the use of personal protective equipment (PPE), among other factors. The result of the network DA is an assessment of individual risks, for example, of being infectious, which then can be used to target contact interventions.

Fig 1

doi: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010171.g001