1. Introduction
With the rapid increase in the population of the world over the last few decades, it has now become a serious challenge for governments and energy policymakers to fulfil the electricity requirements of the majority of the people. According to the international energy agency (IEA), 1 out of 5 people in the world had no access to electricity until 2010 [
1]. Most of the people having no access to electricity live in remote areas, such as villages and islands. One of the solutions is main grid extensions to such remote areas, but, for locations which are quite a far from main areas, this solution is not a feasible choice, not only from a technical point of view but economically as well. So, one of the best alternatives is to build an independent electricity production unit at such sites consisting of locally available renewable energy resources such as wind and solar [
2,
3,
4,
5,
6].
Starting at now, numerous relevant examinations of presenting HRES at a remote territory have been driven far and wide. For instance, A.P. Navarro et al. [
7] arranged a blend structure involving biomass and wind to plan a power plant with a limit of 40 MW in Spain. Beside the guideline framework, their organized HRES moreover involved various parts, for instance, extra generators, ESS and biogas generators too. H. Borhanazad et al. [
8] completed an examination to analyze the breeze qualities, sun controlled radiations and hydro ability of different territories in Malaysia for commonplace zap. M. Jibran et al. [
9] surveyed the biomass capacity of Pakistan and expressed that biomass can produce 24% of the total electricity demand of the country. They thought about biomasses, for instance, city strong waste (MSW), bagasse and local creatures compost in their assessment. Binayak B. et al. [
10] thought about an extraordinarily commendable model of HRES for town zap, containing wind-PV-hydro as fundamental vitality sources. They showed that presenting such HRESs at remote zones can be monetarily more affordable when contrasted with customary assets of vitality, for example, atomic. Mazzola et al. [
11] organized a PV-biomass based HRES for a network in India and coordinated its money related probability too. The creators referenced that LCOE can be reduced up to 40% at whatever point differentiated and analyzed against power age from diesel generators. Furthermore, Jameel A. et al. [
12] analyzed the HRES involving wind-PV-biomass as fundamental vitality hotspots for a network in Pakistan called the Kallar Kahar. The examination was driven for various conditions and analysts proposed the foundation of HRES near recently referenced site dependent on strong moderate financial outcomes.
South Korea is one of such countries which has a large number of islands within its territory. Most of these islands are connected with a central grid for fulfilling electricity requirements. However, there are also few islands which are situated at quite a large distance from the mainland, making it impossible to connect them with a central grid. One of such islands is Deokjeok-do Island (latitude: 37.22°, longitude: 126.15°), which is situated at a distance of almost 50 km from Incheon seaport. Currently, most of the electricity being generated here comes from fossil fuels but the government intends to make the mentioned island, along with other nearby islands, 100% diesel-free. In the present study, an independent and off-grid hybrid renewable energy system (HRES) is designed and optimized to supply the environmental-friendly energy for the island.
There are a number of studies that have been conducted recently in order to determine the feasibility of installing HRES in remote areas of South Korea. For instance, S. Baek et al. [
13] considered Busan, a large metropolitan city in South Korea, for developing an optimal renewable energy power generation system. The study used the electricity consumption data of Busan City for the year 2013 and performed multiple scenario-based case studies. They considered only wind and solar as primary energy sources and found that the lowest LCOE corresponded to a value of approximately 0.399
$/kWh with 100% renewable energy fraction (REF). In another empirical study, S. Baek et al. [
14] designed renewable energy power systems for the largest international airport of South Korea i.e., Incheon international airport. The authors’ used current load (100% load), 120% load and 140% load as the base input values for three different scenarios, respectively. On the basis of economic parameters such as LCOE and NPC, the authors stated that all the electricity requirements of the mentioned airport can be fully covered by renewable energy only.
Similarly, S. Baek et al. [
15] also designed an optimal HRES for an emerging island of South Korea known as Yeongjong Island. This small island has critical importance in the economy of South Korea as the Incheon international airport is situated on this island. The authors strongly recommended the installation of HRES consisting of 11 Generic 10kW wind turbines and 357kW of PV panels with LCOE of 0.545
$/kWh and NPC corresponded to almost 3.51 million USD. A very similar study was also performed by H. Kim et al. [
16] focusing on Jeju Island, the largest island in South Korea. The authors generated multiple scenarios under two major categories i.e., grid-connected and off-grid power generation systems. They found that a grid-connected HRES will be the most suitable for Jeju Island consisting of PV-wind-battery-converter with the lowest LCOE. E. Park and S. J. Kwon [
17] suggested a novel method to use HRES for powering electric-powered (EP) taxis in Daejeon, South Korea. They came up with the three most suitable (lowest LCOE and highest REF) HRESs for this purpose: most reliable case (grid-connected) with LCOE 0.425
$/kWh and REF 0.82, most optimal case (grid-connected) with LCOE 0.180
$/kWh and REF 0.79, and most optimal off-grid case with LCOE 0.461
$/kWh and REF 1.0. Similarly, E. Park and S. J. Kwon [
18] and K. Yoo et al. [
19] also suggested an optimal, independent HRES for Gadeokdo Island and Ulleungdo Island in South Korea, respectively. Some of the other case studies are also prominent in this regard for South Korea [
20,
21].
1.1. Concept of Hybrid Renewable Energy System (HRES)
Hybrid renewable energy system (HRES) or simply, renewable energy system comprises of at least two types of renewable energy resources such as wind potential and solar potential. The main idea about the concept of HRES is to supply cheap and sustainable electricity to areas especially quite away from mainland. HRES may be connected to the main power station or it can also be a separate electricity generation system, with its own system for dealing with excess electricity.
Figure 1 shows the conceptual design of a typical HRES in which pumped hydro storage (PHS) is being used as an energy storage system (ESS). There are three types of energy sources mentioned in
Figure 1, wind, solar and water stored at a particular height. One of the advantages of such HRES is also that it can utilize rainwater very efficiently to produce electrical power. As shown in
Figure 1 that rainwater can be stored in the upper reservoir (UR) and then it can be allowed to run down to rotate the hydro turbine rotor for producing electrical power. Lower reservoir (LR) collects the water and pump stores it back into the UR [
2,
3,
4,
5,
6].
The main objectives of the current work include:
Studying the feasibility of designing small HRES consisting of wind and solar as primary energy sources. The intended capacity of small HRES is 1 MW.
Designing PHS for storing surplus electricity
Comparing PHS with batteries on economic grounds
Investigating multiple scenario-based cases of HRES on the basis of detailed techno-economic analysis.
1.2. Profile of Deokjeok-Do Island, South Korea
Deokjeok-do is an island in South Korea, situated 45 km away from Incheon City. The total area of Deokjeok-do Island is almost 21 km
2 with a population over 17,000. This island is too far from the mainland of the country, therefore it is not economically feasible to connect this place with a grid in order to supply electricity. Therefore, Deokjeok-do generates its own electricity using diesel fuels, but recently, the local administration has shown its interest to make Deokjeok-do, a green island in terms of electricity generation. This study analyzes the available renewable energy potential at the local site and then suggests an optimal HRES based on economic evaluations.
Figure 2 shows the geographical location of Deokjeok-do Island.
Although small HRES can also integrate other renewable energy resources such as tidal, biomass and food-waste along with just wind-solar nexus. All of these resources are available at the studied site but due to the unavailability of such data, these technologies were not considered in the current study and only wind-solar were investigated.
3. Results and Discussion
This section will present the analysis on the basis of detailed technical and economic calculations and characteristics of the most ideal energy systems best-suited for Deokjeok-do. There were a total of 551,035 systems generated by HOMER pro simulations but the number of feasible systems solutions were limited to only 232,683.
Out of all the feasible system solutions (232,683), two systems (base cases) were selected as the most appropriate choice based on lowest possible net present cost (NPC) and lowest possible levelized cost of energy (LCOE). Both systems are defined as below:
Table 2 shows the values of some variables for base cases (HRES A and HRES B) and for many other sensitivity cases. The values of sensitivity variables are selected in such a way that same numbers have been added and reduced from base values of variables as it is apparent from
Table 2 as well. There can be multiple other combinations of sensitive variables which can be investigated, but that will make this study too lengthy and out of the scope of current purpose.
3.1. Optimum HRESs with Battery as ESS
Table 3 summarizes the essential characteristics of two optimal energy systems with batteries as the only option for energy storage. As batteries are one of the most expensive components of an HRES [
32,
34], so alternate ESS such as pumped hydro storage (PHS) will also be designed for both systems and costs will be compared with each other (
Section 3.2). Net present cost (NPC) of energy system A is 11.3 million USD (lowest) whereas the lowest LCOE is 0.123 USD/kWh in case of energy system B.
Table 3 conjointly displays the values of sensitivity variables at which optimum system solutions are obtained. Project lifetime of system A (15 years) is a smaller time period than that of system B (25 years), that’s conjointly one amongst the explanations for low NPC of system A. Generally speaking, energy systems with low LCOE are preferred because of the fact that governments can support to reduce the overall NPC of the project via different subsidiary schemes related to renewable energy projects. So, relatively high NPC can be acceptable in some cases but high LCOE produces serious drawbacks related to the selection of the project.
Table 4 shows the total capacity of all equipment selected for system A and system B. Each HRES comprises of one wind turbine and almost 1000 kW capacity converter. Solar panel capacity of HRES B (3157 kW) is larger than HRES A (2504 kW), due to which the initial cost of HRES B is more than HRES A. One point must be mentioned here that by choosing a suitable wind turbine according to local wind characteristics, each HRES may have different system architectures as compared to the current scenario [
17]. However, choosing a suitable wind turbine for any site requires a complex analysis involving extreme wind speed (EWS), turbulence intensity (TI) and local geographical characteristics, which are out of the scope of present work, so not performed here [
22,
27].
Adding different renewable energy resources such as biomass, tidal energy and food-waste to both systems, will definitely change the architecture of both systems as it is presented in
Table 4. Doing so, may reduce the LCOE but will definitely increase the overall NPC. Such an investigations have not been performed here due to unavailability of such data at the local site. However, it is highly recommended to integrate as many renewable resources as available on the local site with the basic HRES just consisting of wind and solar energy.
Table 5 shows the summary of electricity production by each component and electricity consumption as well. As it is clear from the Table that PV panels are the main contributors of power generation in both cases. Both systems can independently fulfil all the electricity demand of Deokjeok-do Island, as it is also clear from
Table 5 as well.
One shortcoming of the current study is that the simulated data shows results for only one year of electricity demand (7,296,369 kWh). As the project is planned for 20 years, so it is not known whether the systems selected in
Table 4 be able to fulfil all the electricity demands of the island or not for upcoming years? One way to address this issue will be probably to use the ‘simulated electricity demand’ data of the studied site. However, unfortunately, such data are also not available. So, it is assumed that electricity demand will remain fixed during all next 20 years. Although, the electricity demand selected (7,296,369 kWh/year) in this study was the highest number for the last 20 years.
Figure 7 and
Figure 8 show the NPC and annualized costs of all the equipment of both system solutions, respectively. Both the figures indicate that solar panels are the most expensive equipment and also, their annual maintenance cost is the highest as well for both systems. Capital cost includes different type of costs occurred at the start of the project such as equipment cost, installation cost, labor cost and transportation costs. As it is clear from
Figure 7 and
Figure 8 that capital cost is almost 70% of the total NPC and annual cost. The second type of cost is annually occurring operating and maintenance cost which includes workers’ salaries, annual cleanliness cost, fuel cost and electricity cost to run the auxiliary equipment at the power plant. Replacement cost is used to buy new equipment during the project running time, once the lifetime of any equipment has finished, as shown in
Table 1. Salvage are those benefits which are obtained by selling all the project equipment and other items after the project lifetime of 20 years. In
Figure 7 and
Figure 8, positive cash flow represents costs and negative cash flow (salvage) are benefits.
Figure 9 shows the impact of wind turbine hub height on the economics of both systems i.e., HRES A and HRES B (NPV is the net present value which is the difference between present values of benefits and costs, NPV > 0 is must [
27]). It is important to estimate the appropriate hub height as it has a direct effect on the electricity generated by wind turbine, which subsequently changes the values of NPV and LCOE. As the hub height increases, wind turbine rotor interacts with relatively higher wind speeds as compared to lower heights, which generates more electricity but, at the same time cost of tower increases and VICE VERSA for lower hub heights. So, it is a trade-off between more electricity and the cost of the tower.
Figure 9 determines the optimal hub-height for each case.
Finally,
Table 6 shows the annual amount of pollutant gases emissions due to the operation of both systems.
3.2. Optimum HRESs with PHS as ESS
HOMER Pro software automatically considers batteries as default ESS for storing surplus electricity from HRES. However, batteries are one of the most expensive components of any HRES [
18]. Therefore, it was decided to design an alternate ESS such as PHS and compare the results with batteries on economic grounds.
Table 7 shows the values of all important parameters related to the designed PHS for both optimal HRESs. The technical and economical methodologies for preparing
Table 7 have already been covered in
Section 2.4 respectively and can also be found in reference [
34]. Both systems have equal sizes of hydro turbines, whereas the size of the pump is slightly higher in case of system B.
Table 7 also shows the amount of water that must be put inside UR at t = 0 (even before the start of operation). This is due to the fact that at the start of operation (during few early days) there will always be electricity deficit in case of both systems, therefore, it will require additional electricity from the hydro turbine to successfully fulfil the electricity demand of Deokjeok-do Island. It is also clear from
Table 7 that PHS is slightly cheaper than batteries in terms of initial investment for both optimal system solutions.
Figure 10 shows the amount of water in UR throughout the year for both systems A and B. During the summer season UR is almost fully filled with water for system A whereas it is winter season for system B. On average basis, water level in UR is less than 50% for 252 days in case of system A and it is 298 days for system B. Minimum levels of water in UR for both systems have already been mentioned in
Table 7. One of the reasons for very low water level during winter and summer seasons (in case of HRES A and HRES B respectively) is due to the high consumption of electricity during these days. In South Korea, during the winter season, the minimum temperature passes below -15 °C which requires relatively more electrical energy for heating the indoors of buildings, resulting in high-demand of electricity. Similar conditions can be associated with the summer season in terms of cooling the indoors of buildings. Although
Figure 10 just shows the water level in UR at any time of the year, this behavior can be associated with the demand for electricity during the year. The trends are different in both cases mainly due to the different architecture of both systems as shown in
Table 4.
3.3. Sensitivity Cases
In spite of the fact that the most ideal framework arrangements have just been clarified in detail in the above segments. In any case, it is additionally of basic significance to quickly explain a portion of the other alternate framework arrangements based on economic assessments. So, as to accomplish this objective,
Figure 11 has been readied, which demonstrates numerous framework arrangements acquired by superimposing NPC over LCOE.
Figure 11 demonstrates an aggregate of 81 ideal framework solutions obtained by varying the values of all sensitivity referenced in
Table 2.
4. Conclusions
The current study aimed to design and optimize an off-grid hybrid renewable energy system (HRES) for a remote island of South Korea, where no other means of power generation are available. The study considered two different types of renewable energy resources, namely wind and solar. Two of the most suitable HRESs were recommended based upon the lowest NPC (System A) and LCOE (System B), respectively.
The daily mean AC load was estimated to be 24,720 kWh with 2292 kW as peak load, which occurs typically during the winter season. Annual mean wind speed was measured to be 3.6 m/s (10 m height) with 4.13 kWh/m2 as daily solar radiations. The total net present cost for energy system A was estimated to be 11.3 million $ whereas for energy system B, it corresponds to a slightly higher value i.e., 17.6 million $. However, cost of electricity for energy system A is relatively higher than energy system B as it is 0.159$/kWh for energy system A and 0.122$/kWh for energy system B. Both systems consist of one STX 93/2000 wind turbine and 2504 kW PV panels (System A) and 3157 kW PV panels (System B). The annual electricity demand of the island is 7,296,369 kWh. System A can produce 9,016,674 kWh/year whereas system B can produce 9,812,942 kWh/year. The study also designed the pumped hydro storage (PHS) to deal with the surplus and deficit of electricity for both systems and compared the economics with the battery as well. The analysis showed that PHS can be a cheaper choice as the total capital cost for constructing PHS was estimated to be 1.34 million USD for system A (1.80 million USD for battery) and 1.45 million USD for system B (1.58 million USD for battery). Apart from above-mentioned system solutions, NPC and LCOE of multiple other systems were also estimated by varying the values of input variables such as discount rate, project lifetime and daily load.