A Hybrid Model for Enhancing Risk Management and Operational Performance of AEC (Architectural, Engineering, and Construction) Consultants: An Integrated Partial Least Squares–Artificial Neural Network (PLS–ANN) Approach
Abstract
:1. Introduction
1.1. The Model and Hypotheses Development
1.1.1. G01-Project Governance and Start-Up
1.1.2. G02-Team Management
1.1.3. G03-Communication and Relationship
1.1.4. G04-Quality and Acceptance
1.1.5. G05-Performance Monitoring and Reporting
1.1.6. G06-Document and Record
1.1.7. G07-Financial Management
1.1.8. G08-Changes and Changes Control
1.1.9. G09-Claims and Disputes Resolution
1.1.10. G10-Contract Risk Management
1.1.11. G11-Contract Close-Out
2. Methods and Models
2.1. Subsection
2.1.1. Sampling and Collection of Data
2.1.2. Analytic Methods and Results
2.1.3. The Measurement Model
2.1.4. The Structural Model
2.1.5. Neural Network Analysis
3. Discussion of Results
4. Assessment of Performance Through KPIs (Key Performance Indıcators)
5. Conclusions and Limitations
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A. Sample Survey
Appendix A.1. Post-Award Construction Contract Administration Performance Measures in Design–Bid–Build Projects
Appendix A.2. Construction Contract Administration Performance Model
Probability of event | Impact of event | |
Low | Low | |
Medium | Medium | |
High | High |
Sn | Factor | Probability | Impact |
1 | Assignment of technically competent CCA team. | ||
2 | Early assignment of CCA team including all relevant disciplines. | ||
3 | Clear identification of roles and responsibilities within the CCA team. | ||
4 | Training programs for CCA team. | ||
5 | Regular assessment of CCA team performance. | ||
6 | Set Performance Dialogue for CCA Team |
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Research | RS (AM) | Brief of Study |
---|---|---|
[9] | Qualitative | This research discussed efficient and effective administration of payment clauses by the client and consultant under the different standard forms of contract though content analysis of contract clauses, comparison between different forms of contract and graphical presentations of payment administration. It developed a guideline and a checklist related to the employer’s and consultant payment obligations. |
[17] | Qualitative | This study covered the methods used by consultants to administer variations, labor and material claims, delays and disruptions, planning, and cost control during the construction phase of building contracts. It recommended an appropriate contingency for proper control of project cost and identified factors affecting it. |
[18] | Survey Method (EFA) | This research determined 23 performance factors and 7 groups of construction consultants performance affecting achievement of time and quality targets on construction project of Samarinda Baru Airport, Indonesia. It emphasized the importance of having qualified and experienced consultant’s staff. |
[11] | Survey Method (Relative Weighting) | This study, which had a sample size of 80, looked at the effectiveness of construction consultants on common fund projects in Ghana using a list of 29 jobs that the Hong Kong Housing Authority had developed to cover the various project phases. The results revealed that the average overall performance of the consultants was around 62% of the maximum score. This indicates the needs for continual improvement and regular performance evaluation of consultant roles. |
[19] | Survey Method (RII) | With 72 factors sorted into 10 groups, this study assessed the consultant practices in construction projects. With the input of 42 Ghanaian’s construction practitioners, the findings pointed to the importance of setting policies, rules, and procedures, the importance of effective performance monitoring and implement enterprise resource planning systems to support consultant practices. |
[20] | Survey Method (Comparative Analysis) | This study investigated the contract administration practices in the United Nations (UN) system using the inputs from 262 UN employees. The contract management–process assessment model (CM–PAM) was utilized to address the degree of implementation of 10 key contract management categories and 112 associated processes. The study findings reveal different level of implementing contract management in the UN. |
[7] | Survey Method (RII) | This study identified six groups and 36 characteristics that have an impact on how well consultants execute on government projects in Ghana, and it ranked those elements in order of importance. They were divided into groups for management, quality, time, cost, environmental considerations, and other reasons. The most important factors included the project’s urgency, the length of time required to complete it, political pressure from higher authorities that affected project delivery, the consultancy team’s ability to make prompt decisions, and the team’s prior project experience. |
[21] | Survey Method (SEM) | In order to investigate factors impacting delays in Indian building projects, this study’s SEM model, which was developed, has 19 components and 5 constructs. The SEM results using data from 77 questionnaires found that increased commitment among participants, including consultants, and clear roles and duties can improve performance. |
[12] | Pilot and Survey Studies (MR) | Using 62 criteria and 6 groups, this study examined contract administration methods, including consultant roles on federal and state DOT projects in the United States. The study suggested that monthly performance reviews be conducted with the questions from the research questionnaire serving as a starting point. |
[23] | Qualitative Survey (APH) | This study defined the contract management process based on a literature review and then assessed the contract management capabilities in Korea through 92 experts using the AHP technique. The results revealed the importance of employing experts with engineering skills to manage the project and properly administrate the contract. |
[15] | Interview and Case Studies (CA) | This study comprises a model for contract setting up, document management, risk management, change management, relationship management, and contract closing concerns in the Netherlands wastewater construction sector. It has 93 elements and 7 categories. The study’s 13 interviews highlighted the significance of assigning defined duties and responsibilities, scheduling a kick-off meeting, and thoroughly discussing the contract with the parties. It also revealed the relevance of monitoring measures, developing and maintaining a document management system, and updating records. |
[3] | Mixed Methods (CNA&SEM) | By enhancing capacity integration and responsibility delegation in client–consultant collaboration using 13 factor and 4 groups, this study examined the growth of the consulting industry. The findings suggest that consultant capabilities contribute to project process and more delegating of responsibilities increase the consultant control over the project success. |
[6] | Mixed Methods (EFA) | This study examined 47 overall factors that contributed to delays in the Portuguese construction industry at various project phases. The delay in reviewing/approving drawings, the delay in quality control, the consultant’s inflexibility, and the wait for test and inspection approval were identified as the poor performance factors of the consultant causing project delay by the consultant through the collection of 94 survey responses, exploratory factor analysis, and focus group discussions. The author suggested seven mitigation measures, including choosing consultants with the right expertise and experience for the project; paying them appropriately; improving the consultant working environment; establishing an effective and efficient communication protocol; establishing change management protocols prior to the project’s start; and developing a supply chain management framework. |
[25] | Mixed Methods (AHP) | In this study, 8 groups and 37 delay factors that affect the implementation of sports projects globally were identified and evaluated. The Analytical Hierarchy Process of the multi-criteria decision-making approaches was used to generate the Relative Importance index (RII) of each element from the 101 replies to an online questionnaire. A low level of experience, delays in inspecting, rewriting, and approving papers, errors in the consultant’s issued documentations, and poor communication and coordination were the causes that contributed to consultant delays in that order. After the delays related to the contractor, the delays factors for the consultant came next. The research’s findings were summarized by a recommendation to form a team of technical consultants who are appropriate and knowledgeable for the project type and to use a professional document management system to cut down on the amount of time needed to review or approve the contractor’s submissions. |
Category | Sub-Category | Total | Respondents (%) |
---|---|---|---|
Orgnization | Employer | 49 | 14.6 |
Consultant/Designer | 164 | 48.8 | |
Contractor | 117 | 34.8 | |
Others | 6 | 1.8 | |
Sector | Private | 187 | 55.7 |
Public | 125 | 37.2 | |
Mix | 24 | 7.1 | |
Exprience (years) | <10 | 74 | 22.0 |
10–15 | 57 | 17.0 | |
15–20 | 69 | 20.5 | |
20–25 | 66 | 19.6 | |
>25 | 70 | 20.8 | |
Working Position | Executive Manager | 14 | 4.2 |
Department Manager | 62 | 18.5 | |
Project Manager | 71 | 21.1 | |
Senior Engineer or Architect | 75 | 22.3 | |
Quantity Surveyor | 30 | 8.9 | |
Engineer/Supervisor | 73 | 21.7 | |
Others | 11 | 3.3 | |
Professional Registration | Not Registered | 87 | 25.9 |
Registered | 249 | 74.1 |
Group | Code | Load | p-Value | α | rho_A | CR | AVE |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
G01 | F01_02 | 0.796 | 0.000 | 0.846 | 0.848 | 0.847 | 0.580 |
F01_03 | 0.781 | 0.000 | |||||
F01_04 | 0.741 | 0.000 | |||||
F01_10 | 0.726 | 0.000 | |||||
G02 | F02_01 | 0.764 | 0.000 | 0.844 | 0.846 | 0.845 | 0.577 |
F02_02 | 0.772 | 0.000 | |||||
F02_03 | 0.779 | 0.000 | |||||
F02_05 | 0.721 | 0.000 | |||||
G03 | F03_01 | 0.764 | 0.000 | 0.845 | 0.845 | 0.845 | 0.576 |
F03_06 | 0.783 | 0.000 | |||||
F03_07 | 0.740 | 0.000 | |||||
F03_09 | 0.750 | 0.000 | |||||
G04 | F04_04 | 0.774 | 0.000 | 0.863 | 0.863 | 0.863 | 0.611 |
F04_05 | 0.810 | 0.000 | |||||
F04_06 | 0.786 | 0.000 | |||||
F04_08 | 0.756 | 0.000 | |||||
G05 | F05_03 | 0.801 | 0.000 | 0.868 | 0.868 | 0.868 | 0.621 |
F05_04 | 0.780 | 0.000 | |||||
F05_07 | 0.785 | 0.000 | |||||
F05_10 | 0.787 | 0.000 | |||||
G06 | F06_01 | 0.806 | 0.000 | 0.853 | 0.855 | 0.853 | 0.593 |
F06_02 | 0.800 | 0.000 | |||||
F06_03 | 0.727 | 0.000 | |||||
F06_04 | 0.743 | 0.000 | |||||
G07 | F07_01 | 0.754 | 0.000 | 0.855 | 0.857 | 0.855 | 0.597 |
F07_03 | 0.744 | 0.000 | |||||
F07_04 | 0.770 | 0.000 | |||||
F07_05 | 0.820 | 0.000 | |||||
G08 | F08_02 | 0.791 | 0.000 | 0.872 | 0.872 | 0.872 | 0.629 |
F08_03 | 0.774 | 0.000 | |||||
F08_04 | 0.811 | 0.000 | |||||
F08_05 | 0.796 | 0.000 | |||||
G09 | F09_02 | 0.752 | 0.000 | 0.854 | 0.855 | 0.855 | 0.595 |
F09_03 | 0.778 | 0.000 | |||||
F09_04 | 0.805 | 0.000 | |||||
F09_06 | 0.749 | 0.000 | |||||
G10 | F10_01 | 0.648 | 0.000 | 0.840 | 0.857 | 0.843 | 0.577 |
F10_02 | 0.849 | 0.000 | |||||
F10_03 | 0.851 | 0.000 | |||||
F10_04 | 0.665 | 0.000 | |||||
G11 | F11_03 | 0.817 | 0.000 | 0.894 | 0.894 | 0.894 | 0.679 |
F11_04 | 0.841 | 0.000 | |||||
F11_08 | 0.838 | 0.000 | |||||
F11_11 | 0.798 | 0.000 |
Group | Description | Path Coefficient (PC) | R-Square | T-Value | Hypotheses |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
G01 | Project Governance and Start-up | 0.951 | 0.904 | 77.822 | Accepted |
G02 | CA Team Management | 0.955 | 0.912 | 69.140 | Accepted |
G03 | Communication and Relationship | 0.982 | 0.965 | 88.082 | Accepted |
G04 | Quality and Acceptance | 0.965 | 0.931 | 91.010 | Accepted |
G05 | Performance Monitoring and Reporting | 0.966 | 0.933 | 87.002 | Accepted |
G06 | Document and Record | 0.971 | 0.943 | 89.672 | Accepted |
G07 | Financial Management | 0.935 | 0.875 | 59.791 | Accepted |
G08 | Changes and Changes Control | 0.951 | 0.905 | 85.322 | Accepted |
G09 | Claims and Disputes Resolution | 0.939 | 0.881 | 59.526 | Accepted |
G10 | Contract Risk Management | 0.916 | 0.839 | 59.833 | Accepted |
G11 | Contract Close-Out | 0.909 | 0.827 | 60.830 | Accepted |
Network Layer | RMSE | |
---|---|---|
Training | Testing | |
1 | 0.151 | 0.122 |
2 | 0.163 | 0.161 |
3 | 0.116 | 0.125 |
4 | 0.127 | 0.130 |
5 | 0.102 | 0.101 |
6 | 0.145 | 0.145 |
7 | 0.168 | 0.184 |
8 | 0.096 | 0.115 |
9 | 0.072 | 0.076 |
10 | 0.137 | 0.112 |
Average | 0.128 | 0.127 |
Standard Deviation | 0.031 | 0.031 |
Net | Independent Variable Importance | RMSE | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
G01 | G02 | G03 | G04 | G05 | G06 | G07 | G08 | G09 | G10 | G11 | Training | Test | |
NN1 | 0.109 | 0.131 | 0.136 | 0.094 | 0.102 | 0.137 | 0.025 | 0.130 | 0.066 | 0.043 | 0.026 | 0.056 | 0.053 |
NN2 | 0.060 | 0.101 | 0.156 | 0.092 | 0.117 | 0.113 | 0.074 | 0.088 | 0.087 | 0.057 | 0.055 | 0.045 | 0.041 |
NN3 | 0.067 | 0.109 | 0.153 | 0.089 | 0.110 | 0.122 | 0.072 | 0.091 | 0.083 | 0.047 | 0.057 | 0.045 | 0.035 |
NN4 | 0.066 | 0.104 | 0.157 | 0.092 | 0.114 | 0.121 | 0.070 | 0.089 | 0.081 | 0.046 | 0.058 | 0.045 | 0.040 |
NN5 | 0.066 | 0.104 | 0.157 | 0.092 | 0.114 | 0.121 | 0.070 | 0.089 | 0.081 | 0.046 | 0.058 | 0.043 | 0.046 |
NN6 | 0.066 | 0.104 | 0.157 | 0.092 | 0.114 | 0.121 | 0.070 | 0.089 | 0.081 | 0.046 | 0.058 | 0.061 | 0.051 |
NN7 | 0.106 | 0.140 | 0.126 | 0.084 | 0.078 | 0.145 | 0.036 | 0.126 | 0.068 | 0.076 | 0.015 | 0.073 | 0.063 |
NN8 | 0.044 | 0.100 | 0.152 | 0.087 | 0.121 | 0.118 | 0.087 | 0.086 | 0.088 | 0.054 | 0.063 | 0.045 | 0.037 |
NN9 | 0.112 | 0.128 | 0.139 | 0.092 | 0.096 | 0.139 | 0.027 | 0.125 | 0.065 | 0.062 | 0.016 | 0.058 | 0.056 |
NN10 | 0.164 | 0.012 | 0.126 | 0.127 | 0.058 | 0.120 | 0.095 | 0.165 | 0.057 | 0.037 | 0.039 | 0.095 | 0.094 |
Mean | 0.086 | 0.103 | 0.146 | 0.094 | 0.102 | 0.126 | 0.063 | 0.108 | 0.076 | 0.051 | 0.045 | 0.057 | 0.052 |
ST DV | 0.036 | 0.035 | 0.013 | 0.012 | 0.020 | 0.011 | 0.025 | 0.027 | 0.011 | 0.011 | 0.019 | 0.017 | 0.017 |
NI | 59% | 71% | 100% | 64% | 70% | 86% | 43% | 74% | 52% | 35% | 31% | ||
Rank | 7 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 11 |
Group | ANN | PLS–SEM | d2 | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Importance | Ranking | Load | Ranking | ||
G03 | 0.146 | 1 | 0.982 | 1 | 0 |
G06 | 0.126 | 2 | 0.971 | 2 | 0 |
G08 | 0.108 | 3 | 0.951 | 7 | 16 |
G02 | 0.103 | 4 | 0.955 | 5 | 1 |
G05 | 0.102 | 5 | 0.966 | 3 | 4 |
G04 | 0.094 | 6 | 0.965 | 4 | 4 |
G01 | 0.086 | 7 | 0.951 | 6 | 1 |
G09 | 0.076 | 8 | 0.939 | 8 | 0 |
G07 | 0.063 | 9 | 0.935 | 9 | 0 |
G10 | 0.051 | 10 | 0.916 | 10 | 0 |
G11 | 0.045 | 11 | 0.909 | 11 | 0 |
∑d2= | 26 | ||||
r= | 0.882 | ||||
p-value= | 0.000 |
KPI | KPI Definition | KPI Formula |
---|---|---|
Time Performance Indicator | The difference between the delayed task completion time () and the contract’s or agreement’s specified completion time () for this task for variable i. | |
Compliance Performance Indicator | The ratio of a variable i’s complied tasks (Na) to overall task count (Nt). | |
The ratio of the total number of tasks (Nt) of a variable i to the number of tasks that were not completed because of CCA culpability (Ni). | ||
Customer Satisfaction Indicator | The maximum score rating (Rmax) of a variable i vs. the employers’ rating for CCA services. | |
Value (Cost) Performance Indicator | The value of tasks completed within budget (Va) in comparison to the total value of tasks (Vt) for a particular variable i. | |
The value of tasks that were performed outside of budget (Vi) because of CCA culpability versus the overall value of tasks (Vt) for a variable i. |
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Elsherbeny, H.A.; Gunduz, M.; Ugur, L.O. A Hybrid Model for Enhancing Risk Management and Operational Performance of AEC (Architectural, Engineering, and Construction) Consultants: An Integrated Partial Least Squares–Artificial Neural Network (PLS–ANN) Approach. Sustainability 2025, 17, 1467. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17041467
Elsherbeny HA, Gunduz M, Ugur LO. A Hybrid Model for Enhancing Risk Management and Operational Performance of AEC (Architectural, Engineering, and Construction) Consultants: An Integrated Partial Least Squares–Artificial Neural Network (PLS–ANN) Approach. Sustainability. 2025; 17(4):1467. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17041467
Chicago/Turabian StyleElsherbeny, Hesham Ahmed, Murat Gunduz, and Latif Onur Ugur. 2025. "A Hybrid Model for Enhancing Risk Management and Operational Performance of AEC (Architectural, Engineering, and Construction) Consultants: An Integrated Partial Least Squares–Artificial Neural Network (PLS–ANN) Approach" Sustainability 17, no. 4: 1467. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17041467
APA StyleElsherbeny, H. A., Gunduz, M., & Ugur, L. O. (2025). A Hybrid Model for Enhancing Risk Management and Operational Performance of AEC (Architectural, Engineering, and Construction) Consultants: An Integrated Partial Least Squares–Artificial Neural Network (PLS–ANN) Approach. Sustainability, 17(4), 1467. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17041467