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2024 Sardinian regional election

The 2024 Sardinian regional election took place in Italy's Sardinia region on 25 February 2024. The election was for all 60 elected seats of the Regional Council of Sardinia, as well as the president of Sardinia, who automatically became a member of the Regional Council. The election was won by Alessandra Todde, who also became the first female president of Sardina. It was the first election of the 2024 Italian regional elections.

2024 Sardinian regional election

← 2019 25 February 2024 2029 →

All 60 seats to the Regional Council of Sardinia
Turnout52.4% (Decrease 1.4%)
  Majority party Minority party
 
Alessandra Todde daticamera.jpg
PaoloTruzzuRAS (cropped).jpg
Candidate Alessandra Todde Paolo Truzzu
Party Five Star Movement Brothers of Italy
Alliance Centre-left Centre-right
Seats won 36 24
Seat change Increase12 Decrease12
Popular vote 334,160 331,009
Percentage 45.4% 45.0%
Swing Increase1.3% Decrease2.8%


President before election

Christian Solinas
PSd'Az

Elected President

Alessandra Todde
M5S

A member of the Five Star Movement, Todde led the centre-left coalition to a narrow win at 45.5% over the centre-right coalition and Brothers of Italy candidate Paolo Truzzu at 45.0%, with Renato Soru finishing a distant third at 8.7%. It was the first time since the 2015 Campania regional election that the centre-left coalition unseated a centre-right coalition regional president. Although Truzzu was not the incumbent president, having taken the place of Christian Solinas, the incumbent president since 2019 and member of the Sardinian Action Party, which is nationally allied with the League and affiliated to the centre-right coalition, it was still the centre-left coalition's first regional gain since 2015. It was the first election since the 2018 Lazio regional election where the winner of the presidential election did not win the plurality in the party vote due to split-ticket voting.

Background

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The election in Sardinia was called for 25 February 2024.[1] In November 2023, the Democratic Party (PD) and the Five Star Movement (M5S) announced Alessandra Todde, former undersecretary at the Ministry for Economic Development during the second Conte government, as joint candidate for the centre-left coalition.[2] Disappointment regarding the agreement between PD and M5S emerged among potential coalition partners, such Italia Viva and More Europe, who had always been sceptical about cooperation with M5S;[2] dissent also came from within the party, with Renato Soru, former president of Sardinia, criticising the decision to not hold an internal primary to choose the candidate.[3] These disagreements led Soru to formalize his candidacy as independent less than a week later, immediately obtaining the support of More Europe and Christian Popular Union,[4] and later joined also by Action,[5] the Communist Refoundation Party,[6] a list of PD dissidents,[7] and a coalition of independentist movements.[8]

The centre-right coalition faced internal divisions, with the incumbent president Christian Solinas seeking re-election with the support of the Sardinian Action Party (PSd'Az) and the League (Lega) but without the support of Brothers of Italy (FdI), whose regional coordinator had urging for a change of direction.[9] During a meeting on 4 January 2024, a majority of the coalition members opted for Paolo Truzzu (FdI), the incumbent mayor of Cagliari, as candidate for the presidency, resulting in Solinas and the parties supporting his bid considering to break away from the coalition.[10]

Coalition talks to reach a deal over a unitary candidacy went on unsuccessfully for a couple of weeks; the sudden news of Solinas being under investigation for corruption decreased significantly his chances of being a feasible candidate.[11] The corruption charges, together with the other coalition partner's will to compromise with the League on other regional candidacies and on the introduction of a third mandate for regional governors, ultimately led the party to announcing its support to Truzzu's candidacy on 19 January 2014.[12] Shortly after Lega's announcement, Solinas officially withdrew himself from the race, with PSd'Az choosing to endorse Truzzu.[13]

The fourth candidate to join the race was Lucia Chessa, leader of the regionalist party Red Moors.[14] Interest in running for the presidency was also expressed by Maria Rosaria Randaccio, with the support of the two Eurosceptic and anti-establishment movements Force of the People and Sardinia Free Zone;[15] her bid was rejected by the electoral authority due to failing to gather the necessary signatures to take part in the election.[16]

Election system

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The candidate who obtains a plurality of the votes is elected president of Sardinia. If the elected candidate obtains at least 25% of the votes, the majority of the seats on the board are guaranteed on the lists who support them.[17] The Sardinian electoral law provides for a single round, with a list vote, the possibility of expressing a preference within the chosen list, and voting for the presidential candidate, on a single card. It is possible to vote for a list and for a candidate who is not connected to each other (Article 9). The candidate who has obtained the relative majority is elected president (Article 1, paragraph 4). To the lists connected to the president-elect, a majority prize may be awarded in the following measure: 60% of the seats if the president-elect obtained a percentage of preference above 40%; 55% of the seats if the elected president has obtained a percentage of preferences between 25% and 40%, while no majority prize is awarded if the president is elected with less than 25% (Article 13). The law provides for a 10% threshold for coalitions, and 5% for non-coalitized lists (Article 1, paragraph 7). No barriers are foreseen for the lists within the coalitions that have exceeded 10%.[18]

Parties and candidates

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Political party or alliance Constituent lists Previous result Candidate
Votes (%) Seats
Centre-right coalition Lega Sardegna (Lega) 11.4 8 Paolo Truzzu
Sardinian Action Party (PSd'Az) 9.9 8
Forza Italia (FI) 8.0 5
Sardinian Reformers (RS) 5.1 4
Brothers of Italy (FdI) 4.7 3
Sardinia in the Centre 2020 (incl. IaCNM, S20V) 4.1 3
Union of the Centre (UdC) 3.8 3
Sardinia AlliancePLI
Christian Democracy with Rotondi (DCR)
Centre-left coalition Democratic Party (PD) 13.5 8 Alessandra Todde
Five Star Movement (M5S) (incl. AI! and GP) 9.7 6
ProgressivesThe Base (P–LB) 3.2 2
Fortza Paris (FP) 1.6 1
Italian Socialist PartySiE (PSI–SiE) 1.2 0
Solidary Democracy (DemoS) (incl. S50)
Future Left (SF) (incl. OS)
Greens and Left Alliance (incl. EV, SI, Pos, SS)
Shared Horizon (OC)
United Civic List for Todde President
Sardinian Coalition ActionMore EuropeLDEUPC (incl. IV) Renato Soru
Communist Refoundation Party (PRC)
Vote Sardinia (incl. IRS, ProgReS, ScS)
Sardinia Project (PS)
Liberu
Sardigna R-Esiste (incl. Red Moors) Lucia Chessa

Debates

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2024 Sardinian election debates
Date Organizers Moderators  P  Present  N  Not present Sources
Truzzu Todde Soru Chessa
1 February 2024 Rai 3 Maria Spigonardo P P P P [19]
7 February 2024 Diocese of Nuoro Antonio Mura P P P P [20]
9 February 2024 Coldiretti Battista Cualbu P P P N [21]

Opinion polls

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Political parties

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Approval ratings

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Christian Solinas
Date Polling firm Approve Disapprove Undecided
Lab2101 8–13 Dec 2023 50 50
Lab2101 Aug 2023 49.8 50.2
Noto Jul 2023 35 65
SWG May 2023 20 80
Lab2101 10–23 Aug 2022 53.6 46.4
Noto Jul 2022 39.5 60.5
SWG May 2022 28 72
Lab2101 25-29 Apr 2022 54.3 45.7
Lab2101 19-22 Dec 2021 57.9 42.1
Noto Jul 2021 43 57
Noto Jul 2020 48 52

Results

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25 February 2024 Sardinia regional election results
 
 
Candidates Votes % Seats Parties Votes % Seats
Alessandra Todde 334,160 45.4 1 Democratic Party 95,285 13.8 11
Five Star Movement 53,613 7.8 7
Greens and Left Alliance (Incl. SI, EV, Pos) 32,145 4.7 4
United for Alessandra Todde 27,422 4.0 3
Shared Horizon (Incl. ScN) 20,984 3.0 3
Progressive Party 20,868 3.0 3
Future Left 20,574 3.0 3
Italian Socialist Party – SIE 11,637 1.7 1
Fortza Paris 6,068 0.9
Solidary Democracy 4,692 0.7
Total 293,288 42.5 36
Paolo Truzzu 331,099 45.0 1 Brothers of Italy 93,921 13.6 7
Sardinian Reformers 49,629 7.2 3
Forza Italia 43,892 6.4 3
Sardinia in the Centre 2020 37,950 5.5 3
Sardinian Action Party 37,341 5.4 3
Sardinia AlliancePLI 28,203 4.1 2
League 25,957 3.8 2
Union of the Centre 19,237 2.8 1
Christian Democracy with Rotondi 2,110 0.3
Total 333,873 48.4 23
Renato Soru 63,666 8.7 Sardinia Project 23,872 3.5
Vote Sardinia 10,830 1.6
ActionMore EuropeLDEUPC 10,577 1.5
Liberu 4,993 0.7
Communist Refoundation Party 4,534 0.7
Total 54,569 7.9
Lucia Chessa 7,261 1.0 Sardigna R-Esiste 4,067 0.6
Invalid votes 21,412
Total candidates 736,186 100.00 2 Total parties 690.401 100.00 58
Registered voters 1.447.753
Source: Autonomous Region of Sardinia – Results


Popular vote
PD
13.8%
FdI
13.6%
M5S
7.8%
RS
7.2%
FI
6.4%
SaC
5.5%
PSd'Az
5.4%
AVS
4.7%
ASPLI
4.1%
UpT
4.0%
Lega
3.8%
PS
3.5%
OC
3.0%
PP
3.0%
SF
3.0%
UDC
2.8%
Others
8.7%
President
Todde
45.4%
Truzzu
45.0%
Soru
8.6%
Chessa
1.0%

Voter turnout

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Region Time
12:00 19:00 22:00
Sardinia 18.4% 44.1% 52.4%
Province Time
12:00 19:00 22:00
Cagliari 19.4% 43.8% 52.5%
Nuoro 19.5% 47.9% 56.4%
Oristano 17% 43.1% 51.1%
Sassari 17.9% 45.5% 53.8%
Medio Campidano 16.4% 39.9% 48%
Carbonia Iglesias 18% 42.2% 49.6%
Ogliastra 17.5% 43.6% 53%
Olbia Tempio 17.9% 43.5% 51.2%
Source: Intenzioni di voto

References

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  1. ^ "Elezioni regionali 2024. Convocazione dei comizi". Elezioni Sardegna (in Italian). Archived from the original on 15 January 2024. Retrieved 26 March 2024.
  2. ^ a b "Regionali in Sardegna, Pd e M5s candidano Alessandra Todde ma sfuma il campo largo: no da Iv, +Europa. E si fa avanti Soru". La Repubblica. 9 November 2023. Retrieved 8 January 2024.
  3. ^ Piccolillo, Virginia (31 December 2023). "Regionali in Sardegna, Soru: «No a candidature imposte dall'alto». E trenta dirigenti Pd lo appoggiano". Corriere della Sera. Retrieved 8 January 2024.
  4. ^ "Sardegna, Regionali 2024: Renato Soru ufficializza la sua candidatura a governatore". Agenzia Nova. 13 November 2023. Retrieved 8 January 2024.
  5. ^ "Azione sceglie Soru per le regionali di febbraio in Sardegna". ANSA. 30 December 2023. Retrieved 8 January 2024.
  6. ^ "Rifondazione comunista sceglie Soru in vista voto di febbraio". ANSA. 21 December 2023. Retrieved 8 January 2024.
  7. ^ "Regionali, Soru allarga la sua coalizione. E Todde lavora a 11 liste a suo sostegno". Sardinia Post. 4 January 2024. Retrieved 8 January 2024.
  8. ^ "Nuovo ingresso nella coalizione guidata da Renato Soru: lista animata da Sardegna Chiama Sardegna e dai movimenti indipendentisti iRS e ProgReS". Il Manifesto Sardo. 6 December 2023. Retrieved 8 January 2024.
  9. ^ Madeddu, Davide (2 December 2023). "Sardegna, è strappo fra Lega e Fdi alle elezioni regionali". Il Sole 24 Ore. Retrieved 8 January 2024.
  10. ^ Pons, Luca (4 January 2024). "Il centrodestra si spacca sulle Regionali in Sardegna, Solinas non ricandidato ma la Lega si dissocia". Fanpage. Retrieved 8 January 2024.
  11. ^ "Solinas indagato per corruzione, disposto il sequestro dei beni del governatore della Sardegna". ANSA. 17 January 2024. Retrieved 19 January 2024.
  12. ^ "Lega cede sulla Sardegna, sfida sulla Basilicata e sui mandati". ANSA. 19 January 2024. Retrieved 19 January 2024.
  13. ^ Ruggiero, Giovanni (19 January 2024). "Christian Solinas si ritira, il passo indietro ufficiale: anche il Partito sardo d'azione con il meloniano Truzzu". Open. Retrieved 20 January 2024.
  14. ^ "Regionali 2024, Lucia Chessa candidata Presidente con Sardigna R-Esiste". Cagliaripad. 15 January 2024. Retrieved 17 January 2024.
  15. ^ "Elezioni regionali, in campo anche Maria Rosaria Randaccio leader di "Sardegna Zona franca"". La Nuova Sardegna. 3 January 2024. Retrieved 8 January 2024.
  16. ^ "Regionali: esclusa Randaccio, scendono a 4 candidati in Sardegna". Ansa. 24 January 2024. Retrieved 10 February 2024.
  17. ^ "I voti decisivi del candidato presidente: come funziona la legge elettorale sarda". Sardiniapost.it. 7 January 2019.
  18. ^ "Guida alle elezioni in Sardegna". Il Post. 24 February 2019.
  19. ^ Aime, Umberto (1 February 2024). "Elezioni regionali, va in scena il primo confronto pubblico tra i quattro candidati presidenti". La Nuova Sardegna. Retrieved 10 February 2024.
  20. ^ "Il vescovo interroga i candidati alle Regionali, grande folla a Nuoro". L'Unione Sarda. 7 February 2024. Retrieved 10 February 2024.
  21. ^ "La crisi delle campagne, confronto tra i candidati". Rai News. 9 February 2024. Retrieved 10 February 2024.