2024 United States presidential election in Georgia
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| Elections in Georgia |
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The 2024 United States presidential election in Georgia is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Georgia voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Georgia has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which it neither gained nor lost a seat.[1] Georgia is considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024.[2]
Despite being located in the conservative Bible Belt and Deep South regions, Georgia has become competitive since the start of the 2020s and is considered a purple to slightly red state in the election, after having been a moderately red state in the late 2000s going through the 2010s. The last Republican presidential candidate to win Georgia by double digits, and the only one to win the state more than once, was fellow Southerner George W. Bush. This leftward shift is mainly attributed to the rapid population growth that the progressive and diverse Atlanta metro, which holds much of the state's population, has experienced in the 21st century, including an influx of African Americans, Asian Americans, Latinos and progressive Whites. In 2020, Joe Biden very narrowly carried the state by 0.23%, making Georgia the closest state that election and making Biden the first Democrat since Southerner Bill Clinton in 1992 to win the state's electoral votes, and the first non-Southern Democrat to do so since John F. Kennedy in 1960.
Incumbent Democratic President Joe Biden initially ran for re-election and became the party's presumptive nominee.[3] However, following what was widely viewed as a poor performance in the June 2024 presidential debate and amid increasing age and health concerns from within his party, he withdrew from the race on July 21 and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, who launched her presidential campaign the same day.[4] Biden's withdrawal from the race makes him the first eligible president not to stand for re-election since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1968.
Former President and Republican nominee Donald Trump is running for re-election to a second non-consecutive term after losing in 2020.[5] Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. gathered the required signatures to qualify for the ballot, as he announced in late February.[6]
If the Democratic presidential candidate wins the state, it will be the first time since favorite son Jimmy Carter in 1980 that the Democrats have carried the state in two consecutive presidential elections. This race is considered to be a tossup or leaning towards Trump given that the state still leans toward the GOP at the state level. However, Kamala Harris has narrowed Trump's lead since becoming the Democrats' presumptive nominee, with some polls showing an even split or slightly favoring the vice president.
Primary elections
[edit]Democratic primary
[edit]The Georgia Democratic primary was held on March 12, 2024.[7]
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 272,363 | 93.1% | 108 | ||
| Marianne Williamson | 8,569 | 2.9% | |||
| Dean Phillips (withdrawn) | 5,205 | 1.8% | |||
| Blank ballots | 6,429 | 2.2% | |||
| Overvotes | 2 | <0.1% | |||
| Total: | 292,568 | 100.00% | 108 | 16 | 124 |
Republican primary
[edit]The Georgia Republican primary was held on March 12, 2024.[9]
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 497,594 | 84.49% | 59 | 0 | 59 |
| Nikki Haley (withdrawn) | 77,902 | 13.23% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 7,457 | 1.27% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 2,054 | 0.35% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tim Scott (withdrawn) | 1,398 | 0.24% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 1,244 | 0.21% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) | 383 | 0.07% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 377 | 0.06% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| David Stuckenberg | 243 | 0.04% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Doug Burgum (withdrawn) | 161 | 0.03% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Perry Johnson (withdrawn) | 134 | 0.02% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total: | 588,947 | 100.00% | 59 | 0 | 59 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[11] | Tossup | August 8, 2024 |
| Inside Elections[12] | Tossup | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Tossup | August 7, 2024 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[14] | Tossup | December 14, 2023 |
| CNalysis[15] | Tossup | August 5, 2024 |
| CNN[16] | Lean R (flip) | January 14, 2024 |
| The Economist[17] | Lean R (flip) | August 14, 2024 |
| 538[18] | Tossup | July 20, 2024 |
| RCP[19] | Tossup | August 15, 2024 |
Polling
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
As of August 15, the RealClearPolitics polling average shows Trump leading in Georgia with a spread of +0.6. The average shows Trump with 47.9%, compared with Harris at 47.3%, in the state.[a][20]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Focaldata[21] | August 6–16, 2024 | 651 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 52% | – |
| New York Times/Siena College[22] | August 9–14, 2024 | 661 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 51% | 5% |
| 661 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 50% | 4% | ||
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[23] | July 26–August 8, 2024 | 405 (LV) | – | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[A] | July 24–31, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Trafalgar Group (R)/InsiderAdvantage (R) | July 29–30, 2024 | – (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[B] | July 29–30, 2024 | 662 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | July 24–28, 2024 | 799 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 47% | 5% |
| SoCal Research (R)[C] | July 25–26, 2024 | 505 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 50% | 4% |
| Emerson College | July 22–23, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 49%[c] | 51% | – | ||
| Landmark Communications | July 22, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
| University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[D] | July 9–18, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 51% | 3% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[d] | July 15–16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 37% | 47% | 16% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | July 12–15, 2024 | 640 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
| 549 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 43% | 49% | 8% | ||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | May 7–13, 2024 | 795 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 49% | 10% |
| Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 51% | 8% |
| New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 629 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| 629 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 44% | 47% | 9% | ||
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Focaldata[24] | August 6–16, 2024 | 651 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 49% | 2% | – | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 651 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 47% | 3% | – | 0% | 0% | 4% | ||
| 651 (A) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 47% | 3% | – | 0% | 0% | 4% | ||
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[25] | August 12–15, 2024 | 692 (LV) | – | 46% | 46% | 2% | – | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| New York Times/Siena College[26] | August 9–14, 2024 | 661 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 47% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 5% |
| 661 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 47% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 3% | ||
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[27] | July 26–August 8, 2024 | 405 (LV) | – | 46% | 46% | 4% | 1% | 1% | – | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | July 31–August 3, 2024 | 1,128 (LV) | – | 44% | 46% | 3% | – | 1% | 0% | 6% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[A] | July 24–31, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 46% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 3% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | July 24–28, 2024 | 799 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 45% | 4% | – | 0% | 4% | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,180 (LV) | – | 42% | 47% | 3% | – | 1% | 0% | 7% |
| Emerson College | July 22–23, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 46% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 5% |
| Landmark Communications | July 22, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 46% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | July 12–15, 2024 | 640 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 37% | 46% | 8% | 9% |
| 549 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 38% | 49% | 6% | 7% |
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[D] | July 9–18, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Emerson College[E] | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 47% | 12% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[d] | July 15–16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | July 12–15, 2024 | 981 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[F] | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,015 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | July 1–5, 2024 | 790 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Emerson College[E] | June 30 – July 2, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 47% | 11% |
| Emerson College | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 45% | 14% |
| 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48%[c] | 52% | – | ||
| Quinnipiac University | May 30 – June 3, 2024 | 1,203 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 44% | 49% | 7% |
| Prime Group[G] | May 9–16, 2024 | 470 (RV) | – | 49% | 51% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | May 7–13, 2024 | 795 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | May 6–13, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| New York Times/Siena College | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 604 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 39% | 49% | 12% |
| 604 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 41% | 50% | 9% | ||
| North Star Opinion Research[H] | May 1–5, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 49% | 12% |
| Emerson College | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49%[c] | 51% | – | ||
| Fox News | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,128 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 51% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | April 8–15, 2024 | 802 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
| Wall Street Journal | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 44% | 13% |
| Echelon Insights[I] | March 12–19, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 42% | 52% | 6% |
| Marist College | March 11–14, 2024 | 1,177 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 51% | 2% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | March 8–12, 2024 | 788 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 49% | 9% |
| CBS News/YouGov | March 4–11, 2024 | 1,133 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 48% | 51% | 1% |
| Emerson College | March 5–7, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
| 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48%[c] | 52% | – | ||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
| Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 48% | 10% |
| Fox News | January 26–30, 2024 | 1,119 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 51% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 798 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 49% | 10% |
| Atlanta Journal-Constitution | January 3–11, 2024 | 1,007 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 37% | 45% | 18% |
| CNN/SSRS | November 30 – December 7, 2023 | 1,068 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 49% | 7% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
| J.L. Partners | November 27 – December 1, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 48% | 11% |
| Emerson College | October 30 – November 4, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 47% | 14% |
| University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[D] | October 30 – November 3, 2023 | 1,002 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 629 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
| Zogby Analytics | October 9–12, 2023 | 628 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 49% | 51% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 5–10, 2023 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7–9, 2023 | 761 (LV) | – | 40% | 43% | 17% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R) | September 8–11, 2023 | 1,061 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 47% | 15% |
| Prime Group[J] | June 14–28, 2023 | 500 (RV) | – | 48% | 52% | – |
| 500 (RV) | – | 36% | 45% | 19%[e] | ||
| Cygnal (R)[K] | June 5–7, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 42% | 17% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) | May 15–17, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) | April 25–27, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
| Emerson College | November 28–30, 2022 | 888 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell | November 18–28, 2022 | 1,300 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 43% | 7% |
| Targoz Market Research | November 2–6, 2022 | 579 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 52% | 5% |
| Emerson College | October 28–31, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R) | October 23–24, 2022 | 1,053 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 47% | 14% |
| Emerson College | October 6–7, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
| Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 751 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
| Emerson College | August 28–29, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 51% | 3% |
| PEM Management Corporation (R)[L] | July 22–24, 2022 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 40% | 48% | 12% |
| East Carolina University | June 6–9, 2022 | 868 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 40% | 47% | 13% |
| Blueprint Polling (D) | March 2–8, 2022 | 662 (V) | ± 3.9% | 36% | 50% | 14% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[M] | November 11–16, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[E] | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 44% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 8% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[F] | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,015 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 44% | 10% | 1% | 0% | 6% |
| YouGov[N] | July 4–12, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 40% | 44% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 14% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | July 1–5, 2024 | 790 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 44% | 7% | 1% | 0% | 6% |
| Emerson College | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 45% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
| Quinnipiac University | May 30 – June 3, 2024 | 1,203 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 37% | 43% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 7%[f] |
| Prime Group[G] | May 9–16, 2024 | 470 (RV) | – | 41% | 42% | 11% | 5% | 1% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | May 7–13, 2024 | 795 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 44% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | May 6–13, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 42% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 7% |
| New York Times/Siena College | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 604 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 31% | 39% | 9% | 0% | 1% | 20%[g] |
| 604 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 34% | 42% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 16%[h] | ||
| Emerson College | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 45% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 8% |
| Fox News | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,128 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 46% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | April 8–15, 2024 | 802 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 45% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 6% |
| Wall Street Journal | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 38% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 16% |
| Emerson College | March 5–7, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 44% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 11% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | March 8–12, 2024 | 788 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 45% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 8% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 45% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
| Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 45% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
| Fox News | January 26–30, 2024 | 1,119 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 45% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 798 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 44% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 44% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 10% |
| J.L. Partners/Daily Mail | November 27 – December 1, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 41% | 45% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 10%[i] |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 Insights[O] | June 11–20, 2024 | 650 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 35% | 45% | 6% | 14% |
| University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[D] | June 11–20, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 38% | 43% | 9% | 10%[j] |
| North Star Opinion Research[H] | May 1–5, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 33% | 41% | 13% | 13% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | May 2–4, 2024 | 610 (LV) | – | 38% | 43% | 5% | 14% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | March 14–17, 2024 | 760 (LV) | – | 41% | 44% | 6% | 9% |
| Marist College | March 11–14, 2024 | 1,177 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 40% | 45% | 14% | 1% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | December 28–30, 2023 | 953 (LV) | – | 34% | 42% | 8% | 16% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 746 (LV) | – | 35% | 45% | 7% | 14% |
| New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 629 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 29% | 36% | 24% | 1% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7–9, 2023 | 761 (LV) | – | 38% | 41% | 8% | 13% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNN/SSRS | November 30 – December 7, 2023 | 1068 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 34% | 42% | 15% | 6% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 34% | 43% | 10% | 1% | 12% |
| Zogby Analytics | October 9–12, 2023 | 628 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 36% | 44% | 15% | 5% | – |
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNN/SSRS | November 30 – December 7, 2023 | 1,068 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
| University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[D] | October 30 – November 3, 2023 | 1,002 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 43% | 16% |
| New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 629 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 40% | 45% | 15% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 746 (LV) | – | 35% | 27% | 17% | 5% | 15% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNN/SSRS | November 30 – December 7, 2023 | 1,068 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 48% | 45% | 7% |
| University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[D] | October 30 – November 3, 2023 | 1,002 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 42% | 15% |
| New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 629 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) | May 15–17, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 45% | – |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) | April 25–27, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 47% | 11% |
| Emerson College | November 28–30, 2022 | 888 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 47% | 10% |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell | November 18–28, 2022 | 1,300 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 751 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 42% | 11% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 746 (LV) | – | 36% | 34% | 14% | 4% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Mike Pence
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Mike Pence Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) | May 15–17, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 43% | – |
Joe Biden vs. generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Generic Republican |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cygnal (R)[K] | June 5–7, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 38% | 48% | 14% |
Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Gavin Newsom Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 32% | 51% | 17% |
See also
[edit]- United States presidential elections in Georgia
- 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2024 United States elections
Notes
[edit]- ^ As of 8/15/24, the RCP polling average for the race in Georgia was calculated from polls taken between July 22 - August 2 from pollsters Cook Political Report, Trafalgar/InsiderAdvantage, PPP, Fabrizio/Anzalone, Bloomberg/MrnConsult, The Hill/Emerson and Landmark Communications.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ a b c d With voters who lean towards a given candidate
- ^ a b Poll conducted for WAGA-TV
- ^ No Labels candidate
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 3%
- ^ Lars Mapstead (L) with 1%
- ^ Lars Mapstead (L) with 2%
- ^ "Someone else" with 10%
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
Partisan clients
- ^ a b Poll commissioned by AARP
- ^ Poll conducted for Progress Action Fund, which supports Democratic candidates
- ^ Poll sponsored by On Point Politics
- ^ a b c d e f Poll sponsored by The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Democrats for the Next Generation PAC
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by The Heartland Institute
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC, which opposes Trump
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by League of American Workers
- ^ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
- ^ Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Hardworking Americans PAC
- ^ Poll conducted for the John Bolton Super PAC
- ^ Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
- ^ Poll conducted for The Times, Stanford University, Arizona State University, and Yale University
- ^ Poll sponsored by Building America's Future, which supports Republican candidates
References
[edit]- ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
- ^ Gellman, Barton (July 29, 2022). "How Six States Could Overturn the 2024 Election". The Atlantic. Retrieved August 6, 2022.
- ^ Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC. Archived from the original on April 25, 2023. Retrieved April 25, 2023.
- ^ "Harris says she'll 'earn' nomination as Biden steps aside". The Washington Post. Retrieved July 21, 2024.
- ^ Orr, Gabby (November 16, 2022). "Former President Donald Trump announces a White House bid for 2024". CNN.com. Retrieved October 8, 2023.
- ^ Pellish, Aaron (February 27, 2024). "Super PAC supporting RFK Jr. says it has gathered enough signatures to put him on ballot in Arizona, Georgia | CNN Politics". CNN. Retrieved February 27, 2024.
- ^ "Georgia Democratic Delegation 2024". www.thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved May 5, 2023.
- ^ "2024 PRES PREF PRIMARY ELECTIO". Varun's Live Election Maps. Retrieved March 12, 2024.
- ^ "Georgia Republican Delegation 2024". www.thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved May 5, 2023.
- ^ "Georgia Presidential Primary". The AP. Retrieved April 5, 2024.
- ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved August 6, 2024.
- ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
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- ^ Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved July 28, 2024.
- ^ "2024 RCP Electoral College Map". RealClearPolitics. June 26, 2024. Retrieved June 26, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Georgia: Trump vs. Harris | RealClearPolling". www.realclearpolling.com. Retrieved August 15, 2024.
- ^ Chalfant, Morgan; Sarlin, Benjy (August 19, 2024). "Harris leads Trump in five of seven battlegrounds: poll". Semafor.
- ^ "Toplines: August 2024 Times/Siena Poll of Registered Voters in Georgia". The New York Times. August 17, 2024 – via NYTimes.com.
- ^ Walter, Amy (August 14, 2024). "The Fight To Redefine the 2024 Race for President". Cook Political Report.
- ^ Chalfant, Morgan; Sarlin, Benjy (August 19, 2024). "Harris leads Trump in five of seven battlegrounds: poll". Semafor.
- ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (12 – 15 August 2024)". August 19, 2024.
- ^ "Toplines: August 2024 Times/Siena Poll of Registered Voters in Georgia". The New York Times. August 17, 2024 – via NYTimes.com.
- ^ Walter, Amy (August 14, 2024). "The Fight To Redefine the 2024 Race for President". Cook Political Report.
