2024 Wisconsin Republican presidential primary
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| Elections in Wisconsin |
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The 2024 Wisconsin Republican presidential primary was held on April 2, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 41 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a winner-take-all basis.[1]
Campaign
[edit]Debate
[edit]The first Republican primary debate was held at the Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, on August 23, 2023. It was hosted by Fox News and Rumble, and was moderated Bret Baier and Martha MacCallum. The debate featured eight candidates: Doug Burgum, Chris Christie, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Asa Hutchinson, Mike Pence, Vivek Ramaswamy, and Tim Scott. The debate focused on issues relating to the crisis at the border with Mexico, the economy, abortion, and foreign policy.[2]
Candidates
[edit]- Donald Trump
- Chris Christie (withdrew January 10, 2024)
- Ron DeSantis (withdrew January 21, 2024)
- Nikki Haley (withdrew March 6, 2024)
- Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrew January 15, 2024)
Uninstructed Delegates was also an option on the primary ballot.
Endorsements
[edit]Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
State legislators
- John Gard, District 89 (1993–2007) and District 88 (1987–1993)[3]
- Duey Stroebel, District 20 (2015–present)[4]
Tim Scott (withdrawn)
U.S. Representatives
- Reid Ribble, WI-08 (2011–2017)[5]
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)
U.S. Representative
- Paul Ryan, WI-01 (1999–2019); Speaker of the House (2015–2019); Republican nominee for Vice President in 2012[6]
State legislators
- Devin LeMahieu, Majority Leader of the Wisconsin Senate (2021–present) from the 9th district (2015–present) [7]
Donald Trump
U.S. Representatives
- Scott Fitzgerald, WI-05 (2021–present)[8]
- Derrick Van Orden, WI-03 (2023–present)[8]
Notable individual
- Tim Michels, Michels Corporation co-owner, nominee for Senate in 2004 and governor in 2022[9]
Declined to endorse
U.S. senators
- Ron Johnson, (2011–present)[10]
U.S. Representative
- Tom Tiffany, WI-07 (2020–present)[11]
Statewide officials
- Scott Walker (2011–2019); candidate for president in 2016[12]
Endorsed Ron DeSantis (1) (withdrawn)
Endorsed Nikki Haley (1) (withdrawn)
No endorsement (20)
Results
[edit]| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 477,103 | 78.97% | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| Nikki Haley (withdrawn) | 76,841 | 12.72% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 20,124 | 3.33% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Uninstructed | 13,057 | 2.16% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 9,771 | 1.62% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 5,200 | 0.86% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Write-ins | 2,081 | 0.34% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total: | 604,177 | 100.00% | 41 | 0 | 41 |
Polling
[edit]| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Nikki Haley |
Donald Trump |
Other/ Undecided[a] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270ToWin[14] | February 7, 2024 | February 15, 2024 | 22.5% | 71.5% | 6.0% | Trump +49.0 |
| FiveThirtyEight[15] | through February 4, 2024 | February 15, 2024 | 21.1% | 70.9% | 8.0% | Trump +49.8 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Doug Burgum |
Chris Christie |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Asa Hutchinson |
Mike Pence |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[16] | Dec 11–12, 2023 | 503 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | 5% | 16% | 15% | – | – | 4% | – | 54% | – | 6% |
| Morning Consult[17] | Nov 1–30, 2023 | 720 (LV) | – | 1% | 2% | 17% | 13% | 1% | – | 6% | 2% | 56% | – | 2% |
| Marquette University Law School[18] | October 26 – November 2, 2023 | 402 (RV) | ± 6.8% | 1% | 1% | 18% | 11% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 38% | 0%[c] | 24% |
| Morning Consult[17] | Oct 1–31, 2023 | 713 (LV) | – | 0% | 3% | 15% | 12% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 3% | 52% | – | 1% |
| Morning Consult[17] | Sep 1–30, 2023 | 665 (LV) | – | – | 2% | 16% | 9% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 2% | 50% | 0%[d] | 2% |
| Morning Consult[17] | Aug 1–31, 2023 | 681 (LV) | – | – | 3% | 16% | 6% | 2% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 50% | 0%[e] | – |
| Morning Consult[17] | July 1–31, 2023 | 707 (LV) | – | 0% | 2% | 25% | 5% | 1% | 8% | 8% | 4% | 46% | 1%[f] | – |
| Morning Consult[17] | June 1–30, 2023 | 666 (LV) | – | – | 2% | 24% | 3% | 0% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 51% | 1%[g] | – |
| Marquette Law School[19] | June 8–13, 2023 | 419 (RV) | ± 6.5% | 0% | 1% | 30% | 3% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 5% | 31% | 0%[h] | 21% |
| Public Policy Polling[20] | June 5–6, 2023 | 507 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 25% | 5% | – | 8% | 2% | 5% | 41% | – | 14% |
| – | – | 39% | – | – | – | – | – | 43% | – | 18% | ||||
| Morning Consult[17] | May 1–31, 2023 | 728 (LV) | – | – | – | 24% | 4% | 0% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 52% | 4%[i] | – |
| Morning Consult[17] | Apr 1–30, 2023 | 771 (LV) | – | – | – | 31% | 4% | 0% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 45% | 5%[j] | 2% |
| Morning Consult[17] | Mar 1–31, 2023 | 722 (LV) | – | – | – | 35% | 6% | – | 9% | 1% | 2% | 43% | 4%[k] | – |
| Morning Consult[17] | Feb 1–28, 2023 | 626 (LV) | – | – | – | 34% | 4% | – | 9% | 0% | 1% | 44% | 7%[l] | 1% |
| Morning Consult[17] | Jan 1–31, 2023 | 897 (LV) | – | – | – | 32% | 2% | – | 11% | – | 2% | 42% | 10%[m] | 1% |
| Morning Consult[17] | Dec 1–31, 2022 | 558 (LV) | – | – | – | 36% | 4% | – | 9% | – | 1% | 40% | 8%[n] | 2% |
See also
[edit]- 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin
- 2024 United States elections
Notes
[edit]- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Larry Elder with 0%
- ^ Will Hurd with 0%
- ^ Will Hurd with 0%
- ^ Will Hurd with 1%; Francis Suarez with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott with 0%
- ^ Larry Elder with <0.5%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Kristi Noem with 1%; Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 4%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Mike Pompeo and Greg Abbott with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 4%; Ted Cruz, Mike Pompeo, and Greg Abbott with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Ted Cruz and Liz Cheney with 4%; Mike Pompeo and Greg Abbott with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Ted Cruz with 4%; Liz Cheney with 3%; Kristi Noem with 1%; Mike Pompeo and Greg Abbott with 0%
References
[edit]- ^ "Wisconsin Republican Presidential Nominating Process". thegreenpapers.com. January 19, 2023. Retrieved February 7, 2023.
- ^ Layne, Nathan; Ax, Joseph (August 24, 2023). "With Trump absent, Republican rivals trade attacks at first 2024 debate". Reuters. Retrieved August 24, 2023.
- ^ "DeSantis Plans Wisconsin Fundraisers". WisPolitics. July 5, 2023. Retrieved July 28, 2023.
- ^ Chasmar, Jessica (July 6, 2023). "Wisconsin Republicans Say Voters 'Doubting Trump's Ability to Win' After Poll Shows DeSantis Blowout". Fox News. Retrieved July 11, 2023.
- ^ Ribble, Reid (May 25, 2023). "Tim Scott is my choice but on substance DeSantis wasn't bad last night". Twitter. Retrieved June 9, 2023.
- ^ Lizza, Ryan; Daniels, Eugene; Bade, Rachael (December 1, 2023). "Playbook: Steve Scalise unpacks the House GOP". Politico. Retrieved December 1, 2023.
SPOTTED during a flight from Canada to D.C. on Tuesday morning: former Speaker PAUL RYAN attempting to persuade Rep. MIKE GALLAGHER (R-Wis.) via text message to endorse Haley's presidential bid. [. . .] Said a Gallagher spokesperson, "As Congressman Gallagher has repeatedly said, he has no intention to endorse any candidate at this time."
- ^ "Wisconsin Senate leader Devin LeMahieu backs Nikki Haley over Trump in Republican primary". Journal Sentinel. Retrieved December 9, 2023.
- ^ a b Bycoffe, Aaron; Mejía, Elena; Radcliffe, Mary; Burton, Cooper; Groskopf, Christopher; Newman, Alex; Mangan, Andrew; Sweedler, Maya (April 24, 2023). "Which 2024 Republican Presidential Candidate Has The Most Endorsements?". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved April 25, 2023.
- ^ Davis, D.L. (August 12, 2022). "Once on the fence, Michels reconsiders and endorses Donald Trump in 2024 bid". PolitiFact. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
- ^ "Sen. Ron Johnson backing Trump if 2024 GOP nominee". Yahoo! News. April 24, 2023. Retrieved June 9, 2023.
- ^ Andrea, Lawrence (April 4, 2023). "Ron DeSantis to visit Wisconsin in May for Republican fundraiser, continue book tour". Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel. Retrieved June 9, 2023.
- ^ Gomez, Henry (February 17, 2023). "Scott Walker says Ron DeSantis is in a 'better' spot to take on Trump than he was". NBC News. Retrieved January 23, 2024.
- ^ "Wisconsin Presidential Primary". Dave Leip's Atlas. May 7, 2024. Retrieved May 16, 2024.
- ^ 270ToWin
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Morning Consult
- ^ Marquette University Law School
- ^ Marquette Law School
- ^ Public Policy Polling