PROPIEDADE

(Yi-prom y)^2 (Y-prom y)^2 (Y-Yi) Yi ESTIMDO Ventas

4015982720.41225 5281274088.14063 86501035.06 559300.593263866 550000
2572527647.69518 1067484088.14063 325720058.74 571952.283835894 590000
9818119612.27105 12695064088.1406 184578038.36 523585.950035371 510000
400594007.33941 312312838.140625 5487164.1754 602657.530325624 605000
3511092929.67916 4312860838.14063 41189427.179 563417.898969246 557000
5071937890.71866 2774379088.14063 343923115.47 551454.835792873 570000
45921762.0141731 1067484088.14063 1556218452.7 629448.934747702 590000
918800587.903836 509512113.140625 59897516.829 592360.651395034 600100
11812707.2523036 1374463.140625 21245986.859 626109.336921858 621500
1879732571.97136 367579963.140625 584842048.73 579316.492216099 603500
2198832927.50062 12695064088.1406 4327095241.5 575780.660086802 510000
3372526238.69273 1995621088.14063 179588959.72 564598.919457104 578000
23086860.5054334 160589088.140625 61897496.092 617867.496176821 610000
325838439.567025 1013061369.39063 189823073.86 640723.37052842 654501
4568070942.34491 7626114088.14063 389672305.42 690259.880815387 710000
4554573633.78563 4024459141.89063 16394047.363 690159.956330091 686111
177935955.786739 21870821.390625 324572245.28 609333.111310173 627349
252568955.939626 785267511.890625 147141917.24 638564.793190434 650695
22616411546.9771 15707013588.1406 627999233.11 773059.912871251 748000
140880608.836511 720164.390625 161745965.99 610803.061252503 623521
12815725083.8419 16143131844.1406 191796618.89 735878.934367564 749728
157482563.636963 9924862.640625 246476834.08 635221.580697452 619522
138568160.877179 685791703.140625 207824722.93 634443.872817915 648860
11059586277.0475 11680773025.6406 8485903.4558 727836.942593118 730750
90648610632.5972 100938728041.625 10290117409 14944136.9999986 14944137

prom y 622672.375 BO

24
634
48465

MATRIZ INVER
9.3063492257
0.1580115131
-0.0066549403
 PROPIEDADES
Arancel ($/uni) TRM ($/USD) X1^2 X2^2
33 2214 1089 4901796
30 2208 900 4875264
33 2396 1089 5740816
27 2110 729 4452100
31 2232 961 4981824
35 2215 1225 4906225
30 1915 900 3667225
30 2104 900 4426816
28 1971 784 3884841
33 2112 1089 4460544
31 2169 961 4704561
33 2187 1089 4782969
28 2013 784 4052169
25 1955 625 3822025
18 1839 324 3381921
17 1859 289 3455881
29 2037 841 4149369
25 1966 625 3865156
12 1534 144 2353156
28 2049 784 4198401
15 1665 225 2772225
21 2061 441 4247721
25 1987 625 3948169
17 1667 289 2778889
634 48465 17712 98810063

B1 B2 X*Y

634 48465 14944137

17712 1307138 385818128
1307138 98810063 29890438548

MATRIZ INVERSA BETAS

0.1580115131 -0.0066549403 B0 1119980.4733738
0.0050630182 -0.0001444801 B1 -3824.7615837697
-0.0001444801 5.18557668475053E-06 B2 -196.2343034533
 X1*Y X2*Y X1*X2 PRONOSTICO RESIDUO
18150000 1217700000 73062 559300.593263866 -9300.593263866
17700000 1302720000 66240 571952.283835894 18047.716164106
16830000 1221960000 79068 523585.950035371 -13585.95003537
16335000 1276550000 56970 602657.530325624 2342.4696743763
17267000 1243224000 69192 563417.898969246 -6417.898969246
19950000 1262550000 77525 551454.835792873 18545.164207127
17700000 1129850000 57450 629448.934747702 -39448.9347477
18003000 1262610400 63120 592360.651395034 7739.3486049657
17402000 1224976500 55188 626109.336921858 -4609.336921858
19915500 1274592000 69696 579316.492216099 24183.507783901
15810000 1106190000 67239 575780.660086802 -65780.6600868
19074000 1264086000 72171 564598.919457104 13401.080542896
17080000 1227930000 56364 617867.496176821 -7867.496176821
16362525 1279549455 48875 640723.37052842 13777.62947158
12780000 1305690000 33102 690259.880815387 19740.119184614
11663887 1275480349 31603 690159.956330091 -4048.956330091
18193121 1277909913 59073 609333.111310173 18015.888689827
16267375 1279266370 49150 638564.793190434 12130.206809566
8976000 1147432000 18408 773059.912871251 -25059.91287125
17458588 1277594529 57372 610803.061252503 12717.938747497
11245920 1248297120 24975 735878.934367564 13849.065632436
13009962 1276834842 43281 635221.580697452 -15699.58069745
16221500 1289284820 49675 634443.872817915 14416.127182085
12422750 1218160250 28339 727836.942593118 2913.0574068817
385818128 29890438548 1307138

ANOVA

SUMA DE CUADRADOSGRADOS DE Estadistico de

E cuadratico medio
LIBERTAD Prueba
490005590.906 SCR 90648610632.597 2 45324305316.2986 92.4975268803
4388640349.64 SCE 10290117409.025 21 490005590.905969
SCT 100938728041.63 23

ERROR

Y= 1119980,473+(-3824,761584)(X1)+(
Y= 1119980,473+(-3824,761584)(X1)+(
 R^2 0.8883468337

valor P
R 0.9425215296

R^2 JUS 0.8980558047

R JUS 0.9476580632

22136.0699065116

4,761584)(X1)+(-196,2343035)(X2)
4,761584)(X1)+(-196,2343035)(X2)
 DATOS DE INFORMACION
VARIABLES INDEPENDIENTES VARIABLDE DEPENDIENTE
Arancel ($/uni) TRM ($/USD) Ventas
1 33 2214 550000
1 30 2208 590000
1 33 2396 510000
1 27 2110 605000
1 31 2232 557000
1 35 2215 570000
1 30 1915 590000
1 30 2104 600100
1 28 1971 621500
1 33 2112 603500
1 31 2169 510000
1 33 2187 578000
1 28 2013 610000
1 25 1955 654501
1 18 1839 710000
1 17 1859 686111
1 29 2037 627349
1 25 1966 650695
1 12 1534 748000
1 28 2049 623521
1 15 1665 749728
1 21 2061 619522
1 25 1987 648860
1 17 1667 730750
24 634 48465 14944137
 1 1
X1*Y1 X2*Y 33 30
18150000 1217700000 2214 2208
17700000 1302720000 550000 590000
16830000 1221960000
16335000 1276550000
17267000 1243224000 MATRIZX*X
19950000 1262550000 24 634
17700000 1129850000 634 17712
18003000 1262610400 48465 1307138
17402000 1224976500
19915500 1274592000
15810000 1106190000 MATRIZ INVERSA (X*X)^-1
19074000 1264086000 9.3063492257 0.1580115131
17080000 1227930000 0.1580115131 0.0050630182
16362525 1279549455 -0.0066549403 -0.0001444801
12780000 1305690000
11663887 1275480349
18193121 1277909913
16267375 1279266370
8976000 1147432000 Y= 1119980,473+(-3
17458588 1277594529
11245920 1248297120
13009962 1276834842
16221500 1289284820
12422750 1218160250
385818128 29890438548
 M
1 1 1 1 1 1 1
33 27 31 35 30 30 28
2396 2110 2232 2215 1915 2104 1971
510000 605000 557000 570000 590000 600100 621500

TRIZX*X XY
48465 14944137
1307138 385818128
98810063 29890438548

VERSA (X*X)^-1 BETAS

-0.0066549403 1119980.473 B0
-0.0001444801 -3824.761584 B1
5.185576685E-06 -196.2343035 B2

119980,473+(-3824,761584)(X1)+(-196,2343035)(X2)
 Matriz transpuesta
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
33 31 33 28 25 18 17 29
2112 2169 2187 2013 1955 1839 1859 2037
603500 510000 578000 610000 654501 710000 686111 627349
 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
25 12 28 15 21 25 17
1966 1534 2049 1665 2061 1987 1667
650695 748000 623521 749728 619522 648860 730750
Resumen

Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de correlacin mltiple 0.94765806
Coeficiente de determinacin R^2 0.8980558
R^2 ajustado 0.88834683
Error tpico 22136.0699
Observaciones 24

ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crtico de F
Regresin 2 9.0649E+10 4.5324E+10 92.4975269 3.8708E-11
Residuos 21 1.029E+10 490005591
Total 23 1.0094E+11

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t Probabilidad Inferior 95%

Intercepcin 1119980.47 67528.9801 16.5851827 1.5272E-13 979546.271
Variable X 1 -3824.7616 1575.0896 -2.4282819 0.02424102 -7100.3397
Variable X 2 -196.2343 50.4079514 -3.8929236 0.00083897 -301.06338
or crtico de F

Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%

Superior 95,0%
1260414.68 979546.271 1260414.68
-549.18345 -7100.3397 -549.18345
-91.40523 -301.06338 -91.40523