Primer Parcial Finanzas
Primer Parcial Finanzas
Primer Parcial Finanzas
PORTAFOLIO
T 262 262 262 262
Promedio 0.21% 0.84% 0.27% 0.53%
Minimo (MIN) -45.92% -29.92% -13.51% -21.95%
P10 = PERCENTIL.EXC -6.02% -10.82% -3.58% -6.83%
P25 -2.55% -5.01% -1.58% -3.40%
Mediana (MEDIANA) 0.25% 1.42% 0.38% 0.30%
P75 3.62% 6.52% 2.23% 4.49%
P90 6.18% 12.23% 3.60% 7.80%
maximo (MAX) 23.03% 28.77% 10.06% 20.31%
rango (MAX-MIN) 68.95% 58.70% 23.58% 42.26%
RIP (P90-P10) 12.20% 23.05% 7.18% 14.63%
RIQ (P75-P25) 6.17% 11.52% 3.81% 7.89%
Desv.Est (DESVEST.M) 6.18% 9.08% 3.11% 6.26%
SDM 4.77% 6.40% 2.27% 4.43%
Asimetria (COEFICIENTE.ASIMETRIA) -1.67 0.04 -0.36 -0.08
Curtosis (CURTOSIS) 13.25 0.83 2.00 1.03
Jarque Bera 2,038 8 49 12
p valor (DISTR.CHICUAD.CD) 0.00% 2.28% 0.00% 0.27%
Confianza 95% 95% 95% 95%
Error muestral (INTERVALO.CONFIANZA.T) 0.75% 1.10% 0.38% 0.76%
LI (PROM - ERROR) -0.54% -0.27% -0.10% -0.24%
LS (PROM + ERROR) 0.96% 1.94% 0.65% 1.29%
VaR10 Hist (-PERCENTIL.EXC) 6.02% 10.82% 3.58% 6.83%
VaR5 Hist (-PERCENTIL.EXC) 8.40% 14.45% 4.62% 8.39%
VaR1 Hist (-PERCENTIL.EXC) 21.01% 24.82% 9.49% 18.00%
CVaR10 Hist 11.06% 15.38% 5.40% 10.49%
CVaR5 Hist 14.98% 18.59% 6.81% 13.37%
CVaR1 Hist 36.94% 27.58% 12.32% 20.62%
Probabilidad 10% 10% 10% 10%
Probabilidad 5% 5% 5% 5%
Probabilidad 1% 1% 1% 1%
valor t 10% INV.T(Prob 10%;T-1) -1.28 -1.28 -1.28 -1.28
valor t 5% INV.T(Prob 5%;T-1) -1.65 -1.65 -1.65 -1.65
valor t 1% INV.T(Prob 1%;T-1) -2.34 -2.34 -2.34 -2.34
VaR10 Param (-Valor T * Desv.Est) 7.95% 11.67% 3.99% 8.04%
VaR5 Param 10.21% 14.99% 5.13% 10.33%
VaR1 Param 14.48% 21.25% 7.27% 14.64%
BETA (PENDIENTE) 1.12 1.93 1.00 1.53
ALFA (+INTERSECCION.EJE) -0.09% 0.31% 0.00% 0.11%
Error Estándar de Regresión (ERROR.TIPICO.X 0.0512 0.0683 0.0409
Error Estándar de Beta 0.1021 0.1361 0.0815
Error Estándar de Alfa 0.0514 0.0686 0.0411
Ho: BETA = 1
valor t (BETA-1)/Error Beta 1.19 6.84 6.45
p-valor 24% 0% 0%
Regla de Decisión No Rechazo Ho Rechazo Ho Rechazo Ho
Ho: ALFA = 0
valor t (ALFA-0)/Error Alfa -0.02 0.05
p-valor 99% 96%
Regla de Decisión No Rechazo Ho No Rechazo Ho Rechazo Ho
PONDERACION DE INVERSION 50% 50% 100%
ORTAFOLIO
se esta trabajando con 262 datos
Se tiene un promedio de datos 0,21% , 0,84% y 0,27%, respectivamente
El 10% de los datos tienen un valor menor a -6,02%, -10,82% y -3,58% respectivamente.
El 25% de los datos tienen un valor menor a -2,25%, -5,01% y -1,58% respectivamente.
El 50% de los datos tienen un valor menor a 0,253%, 1,42% y 0,38% respectivamente.
El 75% de los datos tienen un valor menor a 3,62%, 6,52% y 2,23% respectivamente.
El 90% de los datos tienen un valor menor a 6,18%, 12,23% y 3,60% respectivamente.
El dato mas grande indica que los datos estan mas dispoersos alrededor de la mediana, es decir que hay una mayor variabilidad
La perdida maxima se que podria esperar con una probabilidad del 10% es de 7,95% , 11,67% y 3,99% respectivamente
La perdida maxima se que podria esperar con una probabilidad del 5% es de 10,21% , 14,99% y 5,13% respectivamente
La perdida maxima se que podria esperar con una probabilidad del 1% es de 14% , 21% y 7% respectivamente
Si el mercado sube 1, la rentabilidad sube a 1,12 y 1,93 respectivamente
Si la rentabilidad del mercado es 0, entonces la rentabilidad es de netflix baja -0,09% y la de TSLA Sube 0,31%
Un error estándar de beta indica que la estimación de beta tiene un margen de error de +/- 0.1021 y 0,1361
PORTAFOLIO-p<0
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
dice, esto indica que hay una mayor probabilidad de ocurrencia de eventos extremos y que los precios pueden fluctuar de manera más brusc
PORTAFOLIO
T 262 262 262 262
Promedio 0.21% 0.84% 0.27% 0.47%
Minimo (MIN) -45.92% -29.92% -13.51% -25.93%
P10 = PERCENTIL.EXC -6.02% -10.82% -3.58% -6.60%
P25 -2.55% -5.01% -1.58% -3.12%
Mediana (MEDIANA) 0.25% 1.42% 0.38% 0.38%
P75 3.62% 6.52% 2.23% 3.95%
P90 6.18% 12.23% 3.60% 7.57%
maximo (MAX) 23.03% 28.77% 10.06% 19.13%
rango (MAX-MIN) 68.95% 58.70% 23.58% 45.06%
RIP (P90-P10) 12.20% 23.05% 7.18% 14.17%
RIQ (P75-P25) 6.17% 11.52% 3.81% 7.07%
Desv.Est (DESVEST.M) 6.18% 9.08% 3.11% 6.00%
SDM 4.77% 6.40% 2.27% 4.32%
Asimetria (COEFICIENTE.ASIMETRIA) -1.67 0.04 -0.36 -0.26
Curtosis (CURTOSIS) 13.25 0.83 2.00 1.83
Jarque Bera 2,038 8 49 39
p valor (DISTR.CHICUAD.CD) 0.00% 2.28% 0.00% 0.00%
Confianza 95% 95% 95% 95%
Error muestral (INTERVALO.CONFIANZA.T) 0.75% 1.10% 0.38% 0.73%
LI (PROM - ERROR) -0.54% -0.27% -0.10% -0.26%
LS (PROM + ERROR) 0.96% 1.94% 0.65% 1.20%
VaR10 Hist (-PERCENTIL.EXC) 6.02% 10.82% 3.58% 6.60%
VaR5 Hist (-PERCENTIL.EXC) 8.40% 14.45% 4.62% 7.75%
VaR1 Hist (-PERCENTIL.EXC) 21.01% 24.82% 9.49% 17.70%
CVaR10 Hist 11.06% 15.38% 5.40% 10.15%
CVaR5 Hist 14.98% 18.59% 6.81% 13.07%
CVaR1 Hist 36.94% 27.58% 12.32% 23.33%
Probabilidad 10% 10% 10% 10%
Probabilidad 5% 5% 5% 5%
Probabilidad 1% 1% 1% 1%
valor t 10% INV.T(Prob 10%;T-1) -1.28 -1.28 -1.28 -1.28
valor t 5% INV.T(Prob 5%;T-1) -1.65 -1.65 -1.65 -1.65
valor t 1% INV.T(Prob 1%;T-1) -2.34 -2.34 -2.34 -2.34
VaR10 Param (-Valor T * Desv.Est) 7.95% 11.67% 3.99% 7.71%
VaR5 Param 10.21% 14.99% 5.13% 9.91%
VaR1 Param 14.48% 21.25% 7.27% 14.05%
BETA (PENDIENTE) 1.12 1.93 1.00 1.46
ALFA (+INTERSECCION.EJE) -0.09% 0.31% 0.00% 0.07%
Error Estándar de Regresión (ERROR.TIPICO.X 0.0512 0.0683 0.0395
Error Estándar de Beta 0.1021 0.1361 0.0787
Error Estándar de Alfa 0.0514 0.0686 0.0396
Ho: BETA = 1
valor t (BETA-1)/Error Beta 1.19 6.84 5.83
p-valor 24% 0% 0%
Regla de Decisión No Rechazo Ho Rechazo Ho Rechazo Ho
Ho: ALFA = 0
valor t (ALFA-0)/Error Alfa -0.02 0.05
p-valor 99% 96%
Regla de Decisión No Rechazo Ho No Rechazo Ho Rechazo Ho
PONDERACION DE INVERSION 58% 42% 100%
MAXIMIZAR LA UTILIDAD
Lambda (l) 0.25
𝑢_𝑝=𝑟_𝑝−𝜆𝜎_𝑝 Utilidad -1.03%
ORTAFOLIO
El 10% de los datos tienen un valor menor a -6,02%, -10,82% y -3,58% respectivamente.
El 25% de los datos tienen un valor menor a -2,25%, -5,01% y -1,58% respectivamente.
El 50% de los datos tienen un valor menor a 0,253%, 1,42% y 0,38% respectivamente.
El 75% de los datos tienen un valor menor a 3,62%, 6,52% y 2,23% respectivamente.
El 90% de los datos tienen un valor menor a 6,18%, 12,23% y 10,06% respectivamente.
El dato mas grande indica que los datos estan mas dispoersos alrededor de la mediana, es decir que hay una mayor variabilidad
dice, esto indica que hay una mayor probabilidad de ocurrencia de eventos extremos y que los precios pueden fluctuar de manera más brusc
PORTAFOLIO
T 262 262 262 262
Promedio 0.21% 0.84% 0.27% 0.81%
Minimo (MIN) -45.92% -29.92% -13.51% -28.57%
P10 = PERCENTIL.EXC -6.02% -10.82% -3.58% -10.82%
P25 -2.55% -5.01% -1.58% -4.83%
Mediana (MEDIANA) 0.25% 1.42% 0.38% 1.32%
P75 3.62% 6.52% 2.23% 6.32%
P90 6.18% 12.23% 3.60% 11.80%
maximo (MAX) 23.03% 28.77% 10.06% 27.59%
rango (MAX-MIN) 68.95% 58.70% 23.58% 56.17%
RIP (P90-P10) 12.20% 23.05% 7.18% 22.62%
RIQ (P75-P25) 6.17% 11.52% 3.81% 11.15%
Desv.Est (DESVEST.M) 6.18% 9.08% 3.11% 8.73%
SDM 4.77% 6.40% 2.27% 6.14%
Asimetria (COEFICIENTE.ASIMETRIA) -1.67 0.04 -0.36 0.06
Curtosis (CURTOSIS) 13.25 0.83 2.00 0.80
Jarque Bera 2,038 8 49 7
p valor (DISTR.CHICUAD.CD) 0.00% 2.28% 0.00% 2.88%
Confianza 95% 95% 95% 95%
Error muestral (INTERVALO.CONFIANZA.T) 0.75% 1.10% 0.38% 1.06%
LI (PROM - ERROR) -0.54% -0.27% -0.10% -0.25%
LS (PROM + ERROR) 0.96% 1.94% 0.65% 1.87%
VaR10 Hist (-PERCENTIL.EXC) 6.02% 10.82% 3.58% 10.82%
VaR5 Hist (-PERCENTIL.EXC) 8.40% 14.45% 4.62% 13.73%
VaR1 Hist (-PERCENTIL.EXC) 21.01% 24.82% 9.49% 23.78%
CVaR10 Hist 11.06% 15.38% 5.40% 14.71%
CVaR5 Hist 14.98% 18.59% 6.81% 17.71%
CVaR1 Hist 36.94% 27.58% 12.32% 26.50%
Probabilidad 10% 10% 10% 10%
Probabilidad 5% 5% 5% 5%
Probabilidad 1% 1% 1% 1%
valor t 10% INV.T(Prob 10%;T-1) -1.28 -1.28 -1.28 -1.28
valor t 5% INV.T(Prob 5%;T-1) -1.65 -1.65 -1.65 -1.65
valor t 1% INV.T(Prob 1%;T-1) -2.34 -2.34 -2.34 -2.34
VaR10 Param (-Valor T * Desv.Est) 7.95% 11.67% 3.99% 11.22%
VaR5 Param 10.21% 14.99% 5.13% 14.41%
VaR1 Param 14.48% 21.25% 7.27% 20.43%
BETA (PENDIENTE) 1.12 1.93 1.00 1.89
ALFA (+INTERSECCION.EJE) -0.09% 0.31% 0.00% 0.29%
Error Estándar de Regresión (ERROR.TIPICO.X 0.0512 0.0683 0.0647
Error Estándar de Beta 0.1021 0.1361 0.1290
Error Estándar de Alfa 0.0514 0.0686 0.0650
Ho: BETA = 1
valor t (BETA-1)/Error Beta 1.19 6.84 6.91
p-valor 24% 0% 0%
Regla de Decisión No Rechazo Ho Rechazo Ho Rechazo Ho
Ho: ALFA = 0
valor t (ALFA-0)/Error Alfa -0.02 0.05
p-valor 99% 96%
Regla de Decisión No Rechazo Ho No Rechazo Ho Rechazo Ho
PONDERACION DE INVERSION 5% 95% 100%
Por cada incremento de 1% en el riesgo del portafolio, la rentabilidad de portafolio por encima de
la tasa libre de riesgo se incrementa en 0.089
rNFLX-p rTSLA-p rNASDAQ-pPORTAFOLIO-rNFLX-p<0 rTSLA-p<0 rNASDAQ-p<0
-4.22% -3.51% 0.30% -3.55% 1 1 0
2.38% 1.22% -0.10% 1.28% 0 0 1
3.73% -15.86% 1.56% -14.88% 0 1 0
2.47% 7.28% -0.06% 7.04% 0 0 1
-6.64% -7.11% -3.35% -7.09% 1 1 1
-2.05% -13.50% -1.55% -12.93% 1 1 1
-0.23% -11.01% -2.59% -10.47% 1 1 1
-3.40% -3.75% -2.71% -3.73% 1 1 1
4.79% 9.10% 3.53% 8.88% 0 0 0
-6.25% 4.13% 0.43% 3.61% 1 0 0
8.11% 2.34% 2.70% 2.63% 0 0 0
-0.72% -0.12% -0.59% -0.15% 1 1 1
3.33% 3.39% 1.65% 3.38% 0 0 0
-2.15% 4.17% 0.73% 3.86% 1 0 0
-17.15% 4.37% -1.46% 3.29% 1 0 1
6.15% -13.25% 1.96% -12.28% 0 1 0
-5.39% 1.89% -4.27% 1.52% 1 0 1
-3.37% -0.55% -0.84% -0.69% 1 1 1
-2.22% -7.47% -1.07% -7.20% 1 1 1
-4.04% -4.80% -2.12% -4.76% 1 1 1
0.58% 5.67% 2.41% 5.41% 0 0 0
-1.44% -0.03% 1.47% -0.10% 1 1 0
1.15% 6.68% 0.63% 6.40% 0 0 0
-8.50% -2.72% -1.00% -3.01% 1 1 1
-3.09% -0.21% -2.49% -0.36% 1 1 1
3.41% -5.36% 0.26% -4.92% 0 1 0
3.44% 6.03% 0.66% 5.90% 0 0 0
-2.95% 2.75% 0.13% 2.47% 1 0 0
0.34% 23.61% 1.61% 22.45% 0 0 0
3.33% -5.46% 1.45% -5.02% 0 1 0
1.43% 6.49% 0.78% 6.24% 0 0 0
0.97% 3.52% 0.50% 3.40% 0 0 0
4.89% -6.42% -0.52% -5.86% 0 1 1
1.13% -1.77% 1.42% -1.63% 0 1 0
-2.56% 0.95% -0.38% 0.77% 1 0 1
-3.13% 5.65% 0.63% 5.21% 1 0 0
11.89% 11.53% 1.88% 11.55% 0 0 0
-2.56% 5.09% 0.64% 4.71% 1 0 0
-1.19% 2.05% -0.12% 1.89% 1 0 1
0.75% 6.79% 1.46% 6.49% 0 0 0
2.96% 5.71% 1.99% 5.57% 0 0 0
3.68% 9.27% -1.06% 8.99% 0 0 1
-2.52% 13.30% -2.05% 12.50% 1 0 1
5.88% 13.13% 3.69% 12.76% 0 0 0
3.44% 5.88% 1.92% 5.75% 0 0 0
-0.30% 11.05% -1.87% 10.48% 1 0 1
-3.16% -30.76% -11.41% -29.38% 1 1 1
-0.23% 4.34% -0.18% 4.11% 1 0 1
-9.48% -26.07% -8.80% -25.24% 1 1 1
-1.25% -25.41% -13.79% -24.20% 1 1 1
6.83% 17.65% 8.39% 17.11% 0 0 0
1.08% -7.75% -2.01% -7.31% 0 1 1
2.24% 16.87% 9.79% 16.14% 0 0 0
12.97% 26.60% 5.64% 25.92% 0 0 0
0.27% -4.73% -0.45% -4.48% 0 1 1
-2.53% -4.18% -0.62% -4.10% 1 1 1
4.56% 14.72% 5.55% 14.22% 0 0 0
3.98% -3.34% -1.45% -2.97% 0 1 1
-5.84% 1.35% 3.11% 0.99% 1 0 0
-2.47% 1.36% 1.48% 1.16% 1 0 0
-0.24% 5.05% 3.09% 4.79% 1 0 0
-0.58% 4.61% -2.60% 4.35% 1 0 1
7.97% 5.94% 3.39% 6.04% 0 0 0
-2.51% -5.04% -2.19% -4.91% 1 1 1
7.07% 22.22% 4.24% 21.46% 0 0 0
13.82% 23.69% 3.66% 23.20% 0 0 0
-10.92% -3.72% -1.36% -4.08% 1 1 1
-2.79% -6.59% -1.62% -6.40% 1 1 1
1.53% 0.13% 3.35% 0.20% 0 0 0
0.98% 0.68% 2.17% 0.70% 0 0 0
-2.68% 11.94% -0.20% 11.21% 1 0 1
1.76% 20.82% 2.35% 19.87% 0 0 0
6.01% 6.83% 3.06% 6.79% 0 0 0
-1.72% -6.50% -3.60% -6.26% 1 1 1
-7.03% -12.38% -4.42% -12.11% 1 1 1
-2.75% 16.24% -0.83% 15.29% 1 0 1
2.50% -9.04% 0.83% -8.46% 0 1 0
3.88% 1.05% 1.20% 1.19% 0 0 0
6.77% 3.62% 4.18% 3.77% 0 0 0
-1.83% 0.46% 0.51% 0.35% 1 0 0
-8.56% -5.27% -1.34% -5.43% 1 1 1
-2.81% -8.90% -5.94% -8.60% 1 1 1
7.67% 9.42% 8.36% 9.33% 0 0 0
-6.61% -5.96% -0.83% -5.99% 1 1 1
0.90% 17.27% -0.06% 16.45% 0 0 1
0.43% 17.09% 2.64% 16.26% 0 0 0
1.19% 1.40% 1.82% 1.39% 0 0 0
0.77% 0.97% -0.97% 0.96% 0 0 1
5.81% 12.21% 2.73% 11.89% 0 0 0
-4.12% -5.74% 0.11% -5.66% 1 1 0
4.86% 5.58% 0.38% 5.55% 0 0 0
-5.98% 21.24% 2.13% 19.88% 1 0 0
-2.68% -7.15% -1.83% -6.93% 1 1 1
12.45% 1.61% 3.83% 2.15% 0 0 0
-6.19% -7.32% -3.82% -7.26% 1 1 1
3.19% 6.30% 5.56% 6.14% 0 0 0
0.82% -5.17% 1.44% -4.87% 0 1 0
-3.18% -5.20% -1.85% -5.10% 1 1 1
-0.47% -15.39% -5.31% -14.64% 1 1 1
-4.47% -13.03% -2.36% -12.60% 1 1 1
0.10% 14.02% 2.77% 13.32% 0 0 0
-1.35% -6.60% -1.06% -6.34% 1 1 1
-1.02% -6.52% -0.85% -6.24% 1 1 1
5.78% 5.89% 2.29% 5.88% 0 0 0
2.69% 1.44% 2.80% 1.51% 0 0 0
-1.80% 8.03% 0.82% 7.54% 1 0 0
-8.01% -2.25% -0.53% -2.54% 1 1 1
1.34% -3.61% -0.66% -3.37% 0 1 1
-2.10% -6.21% -1.79% -6.00% 1 1 1
-2.31% -13.95% -2.64% -13.37% 1 1 1
0.70% -2.35% 0.03% -2.20% 0 1 0
0.77% 6.52% 1.77% 6.23% 0 0 0
-1.83% -5.11% 0.20% -4.95% 1 1 0
-1.43% 0.95% 1.56% 0.84% 1 0 0
2.21% 1.34% -0.55% 1.38% 0 0 1
4.91% 6.66% 2.05% 6.58% 0 0 0
1.09% 0.20% 1.65% 0.25% 0 0 0
0.16% -4.13% 0.15% -3.91% 0 1 0
-1.28% -2.80% -2.16% -2.72% 1 1 1
-3.06% -0.97% 2.53% -1.07% 1 1 0
0.21% 5.75% -1.39% 5.47% 0 0 1
0.36% 0.88% 0.83% 0.85% 0 0 0
-1.10% 1.71% -0.36% 1.57% 1 0 1
5.62% -6.12% -1.01% -5.54% 0 1 1
1.97% 3.71% 2.51% 3.62% 0 0 0
5.29% 2.16% 1.26% 2.31% 0 0 0
1.17% -0.47% -1.90% -0.39% 0 1 1
-1.79% 2.27% -0.75% 2.06% 1 0 1
0.30% 1.10% -0.25% 1.06% 0 0 1
3.23% -0.73% -3.52% -0.53% 0 1 1
2.92% 0.48% -0.19% 0.60% 0 0 1
-0.90% 6.23% 1.88% 5.87% 1 0 0
5.43% 6.77% 1.01% 6.70% 0 0 0
3.56% 19.42% 2.40% 18.63% 0 0 0
-6.89% 8.42% 2.73% 7.66% 1 0 0
5.34% -17.61% -0.97% -16.46% 0 1 1
-0.77% 8.72% 0.96% 8.24% 1 0 0
-2.17% -5.81% -3.86% -5.63% 1 1 1
-10.24% -7.23% -2.93% -7.38% 1 1 1
1.36% -0.64% 3.28% -0.54% 0 1 0
-4.37% -9.51% -3.27% -9.25% 1 1 1
4.35% 12.63% 2.87% 12.21% 0 0 0
-2.13% -1.80% -0.33% -1.82% 1 1 1
-10.96% -3.70% -4.91% -4.06% 1 1 1
-3.09% 1.34% -0.56% 1.12% 1 0 1
-28.16% -11.45% -8.13% -12.29% 1 1 1
-3.57% -11.75% -0.26% -11.34% 1 1 1
6.29% 7.87% 2.08% 7.79% 0 0 0
-4.92% -7.94% -2.47% -7.79% 1 1 1
-0.22% -1.19% -2.05% -1.14% 1 1 1
-0.34% -6.49% 0.80% -6.18% 1 1 0
-7.94% 2.61% -3.10% 2.08% 1 0 1
-6.31% -6.10% -3.86% -6.11% 1 1 1
10.97% 12.12% 7.58% 12.06% 0 0 0
-2.00% 10.16% 1.69% 9.55% 1 0 0
-0.31% 6.22% 0.38% 5.90% 1 0 0
-5.04% -6.44% -4.21% -6.37% 1 1 1
-4.44% -4.87% -2.93% -4.85% 1 1 1
-46.13% 1.18% -4.18% -1.19% 1 0 1
-12.63% -15.18% -4.28% -15.05% 1 1 1
-5.27% -1.43% -1.83% -1.62% 1 1 1
3.41% -12.60% -3.11% -11.80% 0 1 1
-0.90% -15.61% -4.16% -14.88% 1 1 1
4.42% 12.63% 6.34% 12.22% 0 0 0
1.71% -8.51% -1.25% -8.00% 0 1 1
-8.62% -1.82% -6.04% -2.16% 1 1 1
-4.36% -7.73% -5.17% -7.56% 1 1 1
8.17% 11.70% 6.95% 11.52% 0 0 0
-6.09% -8.64% -4.49% -8.51% 1 1 1
3.62% 9.00% 4.19% 8.73% 0 0 0
0.92% -5.20% -1.86% -4.89% 0 1 1
15.12% 11.74% 3.01% 11.91% 0 0 0
1.79% 7.92% 4.32% 7.61% 0 0 0
0.62% -3.91% 1.86% -3.68% 0 1 0
9.26% 3.19% 2.76% 3.50% 0 0 0
-3.53% -1.97% -2.93% -2.04% 1 1 1
-7.91% -3.77% -4.81% -3.98% 1 1 1
1.05% -7.25% -4.57% -6.83% 0 1 1
3.03% 9.51% 3.78% 9.19% 0 0 0
2.56% 0.38% -5.91% 0.49% 0 0 1
-6.09% -10.53% -5.48% -10.31% 1 1 1
3.70% -4.57% -3.00% -4.15% 0 1 1
-4.86% -18.16% 0.45% -17.49% 1 1 0
2.10% -9.29% -3.43% -8.72% 0 1 1
22.82% 3.67% 4.81% 4.63% 0 0 0
1.89% 5.52% 1.94% 5.34% 0 0 0
-12.78% -10.50% -6.09% -10.62% 1 1 1
10.45% -6.54% 7.51% -5.69% 0 1 0
-0.96% -9.23% -1.85% -8.82% 1 1 1
-1.06% 0.63% 0.44% 0.55% 1 0 0
11.31% 5.52% 1.80% 5.81% 0 0 0
-0.34% -9.30% -4.34% -8.85% 1 1 1
-9.81% -18.39% -3.03% -17.96% 1 1 1
1.24% -20.71% -2.23% -19.62% 0 1 1
-0.24% -0.81% -0.57% -0.79% 1 1 1
6.56% -9.41% 0.70% -8.61% 0 1 0
5.12% 7.10% 4.44% 7.00% 0 0 0
2.66% 7.78% 0.28% 7.53% 0 0 0
4.99% 27.93% 3.96% 26.79% 0 0 0
1.20% 5.73% 2.99% 5.50% 0 0 0
-5.41% 2.73% -2.71% 2.33% 1 0 1
-0.04% 4.80% 0.31% 4.56% 1 0 0
-9.48% -6.48% -3.66% -6.63% 1 1 1
-0.83% -0.38% 2.27% -0.40% 1 1 0
-7.59% -13.98% -5.09% -13.66% 1 1 1
3.39% 2.95% 4.05% 2.97% 0 0 0
7.67% 4.71% 1.38% 4.86% 0 0 0
4.86% 7.74% 3.04% 7.59% 0 0 0
-2.01% -12.26% -1.38% -11.75% 1 1 1
-0.42% -0.87% 0.02% -0.85% 1 1 0
-3.41% -12.23% -0.70% -11.79% 1 1 1
0.38% -1.31% 1.00% -1.22% 0 1 0
-2.41% 2.60% -0.20% 2.35% 1 0 1
4.96% -2.07% 0.13% -1.72% 0 1 0
7.01% 6.15% 2.72% 6.19% 0 0 0
3.42% 6.15% 2.21% 6.01% 0 0 0
5.33% 9.39% 1.75% 9.19% 0 0 0
4.55% 12.46% -0.13% 12.06% 0 0 1
2.59% 5.56% 2.92% 5.41% 0 0 0
-2.07% -2.36% -1.72% -2.35% 1 1 1
3.60% 1.16% 1.89% 1.28% 0 0 0
-0.76% 3.88% -1.20% 3.65% 1 0 1
0.65% 1.66% 2.99% 1.61% 0 0 0
-3.53% -8.73% -0.85% -8.47% 1 1 1
-0.61% 1.60% 1.73% 1.49% 1 0 0
1.15% -5.68% -3.16% -5.33% 0 1 1
-2.54% -5.35% -2.19% -5.21% 1 1 1
-4.36% -12.71% -2.90% -12.29% 1 1 1
2.59% 9.34% 1.96% 9.01% 0 0 0
5.36% 1.82% 2.92% 1.99% 0 0 0
0.45% 0.58% -2.22% 0.57% 0 0 1
-11.14% 9.07% -0.66% 8.06% 1 0 1
-4.62% -12.22% -3.96% -11.84% 1 1 1
-0.80% 1.32% -0.22% 1.21% 1 0 1
0.82% 3.20% 1.32% 3.08% 0 0 0
-7.22% -4.52% -0.45% -4.65% 1 1 1
11.77% -17.78% -3.48% -16.30% 0 1 1
-0.99% -3.08% -2.93% -2.97% 1 1 1
8.10% 5.09% 6.12% 5.24% 0 0 0
3.17% -3.28% 2.07% -2.96% 0 1 0
3.88% 7.92% 2.07% 7.72% 0 0 0
2.68% -0.35% 0.61% -0.20% 0 1 0
-3.14% 0.59% 0.11% 0.40% 1 0 0
-2.82% 1.24% 0.42% 1.03% 1 0 0
3.74% 3.05% 2.53% 3.08% 0 0 0
2.85% -1.22% 0.93% -1.01% 0 1 0
-0.19% -2.46% -0.15% -2.35% 1 1 1
-2.88% -5.36% -3.57% -5.24% 1 1 1
3.54% -8.99% 2.77% -8.37% 0 1 0
-2.10% -3.95% 1.96% -3.85% 1 1 0
16.43% -15.50% 0.67% -13.90% 0 1 0
-1.23% 1.67% 0.84% 1.53% 1 0 0
-0.80% 2.13% 2.01% 1.98% 1 0 0
3.74% 2.40% -1.63% 2.47% 0 0 1
-0.28% -4.91% 1.12% -4.68% 1 1 0
5.74% 4.57% 1.45% 4.63% 0 0 0
-2.58% -15.31% -1.45% -14.67% 1 1 1
-0.04% -7.79% -0.97% -7.40% 1 1 1
3.38% 3.50% 2.54% 3.50% 0 0 0
-3.56% 2.02% -0.57% 1.74% 1 0 1
4.43% -7.23% -1.08% -6.65% 0 1 1
-0.21% -0.84% -0.27% -0.81% 1 1 1
ORTAFOLIO
El 10% de los datos tienen un valor menor a -6,02%, -10,82% y -3,58% respectivamente.
El 25% de los datos tienen un valor menor a -2,25%, -5,01% y -1,58% respectivamente.
El 50% de los datos tienen un valor menor a 0,253%, 1,42% y 0,38% respectivamente.
El 75% de los datos tienen un valor menor a 3,62%, 6,52% y 2,23% respectivamente.
El 90% de los datos tienen un valor menor a 6,18%, 12,23% y 10,06% respectivamente.
El dato mas grande indica que los datos estan mas dispoersos alrededor de la mediana, es decir que hay una mayor variabilidad
dice, esto indica que hay una mayor probabilidad de ocurrencia de eventos extremos y que los precios pueden fluctuar de manera más brusc
PORTAFOLIO
T 262 262 262 262
Promedio 0.21% 0.84% 0.27% 0.78%
Minimo (MIN) -45.92% -29.92% -13.51% -27.33%
P10 = PERCENTIL.EXC -6.02% -10.82% -3.58% -10.26%
P25 -2.55% -5.01% -1.58% -4.59%
Mediana (MEDIANA) 0.25% 1.42% 0.38% 1.30%
P75 3.62% 6.52% 2.23% 6.24%
P90 6.18% 12.23% 3.60% 11.14%
maximo (MAX) 23.03% 28.77% 10.06% 26.51%
rango (MAX-MIN) 68.95% 58.70% 23.58% 53.84%
RIP (P90-P10) 12.20% 23.05% 7.18% 21.40%
RIQ (P75-P25) 6.17% 11.52% 3.81% 10.83%
Desv.Est (DESVEST.M) 6.18% 9.08% 3.11% 8.42%
SDM 4.77% 6.40% 2.27% 5.91%
Asimetria (COEFICIENTE.ASIMETRIA) -1.67 0.04 -0.36 0.07
Curtosis (CURTOSIS) 13.25 0.83 2.00 0.77
Jarque Bera 2,038 8 49 7
p valor (DISTR.CHICUAD.CD) 0.00% 2.28% 0.00% 3.67%
Confianza 95% 95% 95% 95%
Error muestral (INTERVALO.CONFIANZA.T) 0.75% 1.10% 0.38% 1.02%
LI (PROM - ERROR) -0.54% -0.27% -0.10% -0.25%
LS (PROM + ERROR) 0.96% 1.94% 0.65% 1.80%
VaR10 Hist (-PERCENTIL.EXC) 6.02% 10.82% 3.58% 10.26%
VaR5 Hist (-PERCENTIL.EXC) 8.40% 14.45% 4.62% 13.09%
VaR1 Hist (-PERCENTIL.EXC) 21.01% 24.82% 9.49% 22.83%
CVaR10 Hist 11.06% 15.38% 5.40% 14.10%
CVaR5 Hist 14.98% 18.59% 6.81% 16.93%
CVaR1 Hist 36.94% 27.58% 12.32% 25.52%
Probabilidad 10% 10% 10% 10%
Probabilidad 5% 5% 5% 5%
Probabilidad 1% 1% 1% 1%
valor t 10% INV.T(Prob 10%;T-1) -1.28 -1.28 -1.28 -1.28
valor t 5% INV.T(Prob 5%;T-1) -1.65 -1.65 -1.65 -1.65
valor t 1% INV.T(Prob 1%;T-1) -2.34 -2.34 -2.34 -2.34
VaR10 Param (-Valor T * Desv.Est) 7.95% 11.67% 3.99% 10.81%
VaR5 Param 10.21% 14.99% 5.13% 13.89%
VaR1 Param 14.48% 21.25% 7.27% 19.70%
BETA (PENDIENTE) 1.12 1.93 1.00 1.85
ALFA (+INTERSECCION.EJE) -0.09% 0.31% 0.00% 0.27%
Error Estándar de Regresión (ERROR.TIPICO.X 0.0512 0.0683 0.0615
Error Estándar de Beta 0.1021 0.1361 0.1226
Error Estándar de Alfa 0.0514 0.0686 0.0618
Ho: BETA = 1
valor t (BETA-1)/Error Beta 1.19 6.84 6.96
p-valor 24% 0% 0%
Regla de Decisión No Rechazo Ho Rechazo Ho Rechazo Ho
Ho: ALFA = 0
valor t (ALFA-0)/Error Alfa -0.02 0.05
p-valor 99% 96%
Regla de Decisión No Rechazo Ho No Rechazo Ho Rechazo Ho
PONDERACION DE INVERSION 10% 90% 100%
ORTAFOLIO
El 10% de los datos tienen un valor menor a -6,02%, -10,82% y -3,58% respectivamente.
El 25% de los datos tienen un valor menor a -2,25%, -5,01% y -1,58% respectivamente.
El 50% de los datos tienen un valor menor a 0,253%, 1,42% y 0,38% respectivamente.
El 75% de los datos tienen un valor menor a 3,62%, 6,52% y 2,23% respectivamente.
El 90% de los datos tienen un valor menor a 6,18%, 12,23% y 10,06% respectivamente.
El dato mas grande indica que los datos estan mas dispoersos alrededor de la mediana, es decir que hay una mayor variabilidad
dice, esto indica que hay una mayor probabilidad de ocurrencia de eventos extremos y que los precios pueden fluctuar de manera más brusc
PORTAFOLIO
T 262 262 262 262
Promedio 0.21% 0.84% 0.27% 0.81%
Minimo (MIN) -45.92% -29.92% -13.51% -28.57%
P10 = PERCENTIL.EXC -6.02% -10.82% -3.58% -10.82%
P25 -2.55% -5.01% -1.58% -4.83%
Mediana (MEDIANA) 0.25% 1.42% 0.38% 1.32%
P75 3.62% 6.52% 2.23% 6.32%
P90 6.18% 12.23% 3.60% 11.80%
maximo (MAX) 23.03% 28.77% 10.06% 27.59%
rango (MAX-MIN) 68.95% 58.70% 23.58% 56.17%
RIP (P90-P10) 12.20% 23.05% 7.18% 22.62%
RIQ (P75-P25) 6.17% 11.52% 3.81% 11.15%
Desv.Est (DESVEST.M) 6.18% 9.08% 3.11% 8.73%
SDM 4.77% 6.40% 2.27% 6.14%
Asimetria (COEFICIENTE.ASIMETRIA) -1.67 0.04 -0.36 0.06
Curtosis (CURTOSIS) 13.25 0.83 2.00 0.80
Jarque Bera 2,038 8 49 7
p valor (DISTR.CHICUAD.CD) 0.00% 2.28% 0.00% 2.88%
Confianza 95% 95% 95% 95%
Error muestral (INTERVALO.CONFIANZA.T) 0.75% 1.10% 0.38% 1.06%
LI (PROM - ERROR) -0.54% -0.27% -0.10% -0.25%
LS (PROM + ERROR) 0.96% 1.94% 0.65% 1.87%
VaR10 Hist (-PERCENTIL.EXC) 6.02% 10.82% 3.58% 10.82%
VaR5 Hist (-PERCENTIL.EXC) 8.40% 14.45% 4.62% 13.73%
VaR1 Hist (-PERCENTIL.EXC) 21.01% 24.82% 9.49% 23.78%
CVaR10 Hist 11.06% 15.38% 5.40% 14.71%
CVaR5 Hist 14.98% 18.59% 6.81% 17.71%
CVaR1 Hist 36.94% 27.58% 12.32% 26.50%
Probabilidad 10% 10% 10% 10%
Probabilidad 5% 5% 5% 5%
Probabilidad 1% 1% 1% 1%
valor t 10% INV.T(Prob 10%;T-1) -1.28 -1.28 -1.28 -1.28
valor t 5% INV.T(Prob 5%;T-1) -1.65 -1.65 -1.65 -1.65
valor t 1% INV.T(Prob 1%;T-1) -2.34 -2.34 -2.34 -2.34
VaR10 Param (-Valor T * Desv.Est) 7.95% 11.67% 3.99% 11.22%
VaR5 Param 10.21% 14.99% 5.13% 14.41%
VaR1 Param 14.48% 21.25% 7.27% 20.43%
BETA (PENDIENTE) 1.12 1.93 1.00 1.89
ALFA (+INTERSECCION.EJE) -0.09% 0.31% 0.00% 0.29%
Error Estándar de Regresión (ERROR.TIPICO.X 0.0512 0.0683 0.0647
Error Estándar de Beta 0.1021 0.1361 0.1290
Error Estándar de Alfa 0.0514 0.0686 0.0650
Ho: BETA = 1
valor t (BETA-1)/Error Beta 1.19 6.84 6.91
p-valor 24% 0% 0%
Regla de Decisión No Rechazo Ho Rechazo Ho Rechazo Ho
Ho: ALFA = 0
valor t (ALFA-0)/Error Alfa -0.02 0.05
p-valor 99% 96%
Regla de Decisión No Rechazo Ho No Rechazo Ho Rechazo Ho
PONDERACION DE INVERSION 5% 95% 100%
ORTAFOLIO
El 10% de los datos tienen un valor menor a -6,02%, -10,82% y -3,58% respectivamente.
El 25% de los datos tienen un valor menor a -2,25%, -5,01% y -1,58% respectivamente.
El 50% de los datos tienen un valor menor a 0,253%, 1,42% y 0,38% respectivamente.
El 75% de los datos tienen un valor menor a 3,62%, 6,52% y 2,23% respectivamente.
El 90% de los datos tienen un valor menor a 6,18%, 12,23% y 10,06% respectivamente.
El dato mas grande indica que los datos estan mas dispoersos alrededor de la mediana, es decir que hay una mayor variabilidad
dice, esto indica que hay una mayor probabilidad de ocurrencia de eventos extremos y que los precios pueden fluctuar de manera más brusc
PORTAFOLIO
T 262 262 262 262
Promedio 0.21% 0.84% 0.27% 0.53%
Minimo (MIN) -45.92% -29.92% -13.51% -21.95%
P10 = PERCENTIL.EXC -6.02% -10.82% -3.58% -6.83%
P25 -2.55% -5.01% -1.58% -3.40%
Mediana (MEDIANA) 0.25% 1.42% 0.38% 0.30%
P75 3.62% 6.52% 2.23% 4.49%
P90 6.18% 12.23% 3.60% 7.80%
maximo (MAX) 23.03% 28.77% 10.06% 20.31%
rango (MAX-MIN) 68.95% 58.70% 23.58% 42.26%
RIP (P90-P10) 12.20% 23.05% 7.18% 14.63%
RIQ (P75-P25) 6.17% 11.52% 3.81% 7.89%
Desv.Est (DESVEST.M) 6.18% 9.08% 3.11% 6.26%
SDM 4.77% 6.40% 2.27% 4.43%
Asimetria (COEFICIENTE.ASIMETRIA) -1.67 0.04 -0.36 -0.08
Curtosis (CURTOSIS) 13.25 0.83 2.00 1.03
Jarque Bera 2,038 8 49 12
p valor (DISTR.CHICUAD.CD) 0.00% 2.28% 0.00% 0.27%
Confianza 95% 95% 95% 95%
Error muestral (INTERVALO.CONFIANZA.T) 0.75% 1.10% 0.38% 0.76%
LI (PROM - ERROR) -0.54% -0.27% -0.10% -0.24%
LS (PROM + ERROR) 0.96% 1.94% 0.65% 1.29%
VaR10 Hist (-PERCENTIL.EXC) 6.02% 10.82% 3.58% 6.83%
VaR5 Hist (-PERCENTIL.EXC) 8.40% 14.45% 4.62% 8.39%
VaR1 Hist (-PERCENTIL.EXC) 21.01% 24.82% 9.49% 18.00%
CVaR10 Hist 11.06% 15.38% 5.40% 10.49%
CVaR5 Hist 14.98% 18.59% 6.81% 13.37%
CVaR1 Hist 36.94% 27.58% 12.32% 20.62%
Probabilidad 10% 10% 10% 10%
Probabilidad 5% 5% 5% 5%
Probabilidad 1% 1% 1% 1%
valor t 10% INV.T(Prob 10%;T-1) -1.28 -1.28 -1.28 -1.28
valor t 5% INV.T(Prob 5%;T-1) -1.65 -1.65 -1.65 -1.65
valor t 1% INV.T(Prob 1%;T-1) -2.34 -2.34 -2.34 -2.34
VaR10 Param (-Valor T * Desv.Est) 7.95% 11.67% 3.99% 8.04%
VaR5 Param 10.21% 14.99% 5.13% 10.33%
VaR1 Param 14.48% 21.25% 7.27% 14.64%
BETA (PENDIENTE) 1.12 1.93 1.00 1.53
ALFA (+INTERSECCION.EJE) -0.09% 0.31% 0.00% 0.11%
Error Estándar de Regresión (ERROR.TIPICO.X 0.0512 0.0683 0.0409
Error Estándar de Beta 0.1021 0.1361 0.0815
Error Estándar de Alfa 0.0514 0.0686 0.0411
Ho: BETA = 1
valor t (BETA-1)/Error Beta 1.19 6.84 6.45
p-valor 24% 0% 0%
Regla de Decisión No Rechazo Ho Rechazo Ho Rechazo Ho
Ho: ALFA = 0
valor t (ALFA-0)/Error Alfa -0.02 0.05
p-valor 99% 96%
Regla de Decisión No Rechazo Ho No Rechazo Ho Rechazo Ho
PONDERACION DE INVERSION 50% 50% 100%
EJ 3 MAXIMIZAR LA UTILIDAD
Lambda (l) 1.5
𝑢_𝑝=𝑟_𝑝−𝜆𝜎_𝑝 Utilidad -8.86%
0.00%
0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20 1.40 1.60
-2.00%
UTILIDAD
-4.00%
-6.00%
-8.00%
-10.00%
ORTAFOLIO
El 10% de los datos tienen un valor menor a -6,02%, -10,82% y -3,58% respectivamente.
El 25% de los datos tienen un valor menor a -2,25%, -5,01% y -1,58% respectivamente.
El 50% de los datos tienen un valor menor a 0,253%, 1,42% y 0,38% respectivamente.
El 75% de los datos tienen un valor menor a 3,62%, 6,52% y 2,23% respectivamente.
El 90% de los datos tienen un valor menor a 6,18%, 12,23% y 10,06% respectivamente.
El dato mas grande indica que los datos estan mas dispoersos alrededor de la mediana, es decir que hay una mayor variabilidad
1.50
-8.30%
PORTAFOLIO-p<0
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
dice, esto indica que hay una mayor probabilidad de ocurrencia de eventos extremos y que los precios pueden fluctuar de manera más brusc