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Analysis of Vulnerable Migration in European Union Countries Using a Gravity Spatial Model: The Syrian Case

Author

Listed:
  • Prada Elena-Maria

    (Bucharest University of Economic Studies, Bucharest, Romania)

  • Vlad Dragoș-Ionuț

    (Bucharest University of Economic Studies, Bucharest, Romania)

  • Varga Francisca-Maria

    (Bucharest University of Economic Studies, Bucharest, Romania)

Abstract

Migration represents a complex phenomenon that, when associated with vulnerability, becomes a theme of particular importance in the current global context. The refugees’ crisis had a direct influence on permanent migrants. The COVID-19 pandemic had an impact on short-term migration, increasing the quantity of short-term migrants while decreasing the number of long-term displacement. In this context, the data presented in our study are from 2019, a year in which the mobility constraints resulting from the pandemics have not yet had an impact on migratory flows. All European Union countries were covered, except Cyprus, where data was unavailable. Our study uses a gravity model of migration Syrian migrant. Through our analysis, we aimed to capture the determinants of migration flows from Syria to EU countries. It also aims to capture a range of spatial effects that may have an impact on the factors influencing the migration flows of Syrian migrants into the European Union countries. The results showed significant influences on Syrian migration flow to European Union countries, distance being a decisive factor in the decision to migrate.

Suggested Citation

  • Prada Elena-Maria & Vlad Dragoș-Ionuț & Varga Francisca-Maria, 2024. "Analysis of Vulnerable Migration in European Union Countries Using a Gravity Spatial Model: The Syrian Case," Journal of Social and Economic Statistics, Sciendo, vol. 13(2), pages 1-13.
  • Handle: RePEc:vrs:jsesro:v:13:y:2024:i:2:p:13:n:1001
    DOI: 10.2478/jses-2024-0006
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    immigration; spatial regression; gravity model; vulnerable migration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models
    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration
    • H56 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - National Security and War
    • O15 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration

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