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Zu den Auswirkungen des jüngsten Anstiegs der globalen wirtschaftspolitischen Unsicherheit

Author

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  • Ademmer, Martin
  • Beckmann, Joscha
  • Jannsen, Nils

Abstract

Seit Beginn des Jahres 2018 ist die globale wirtschaftspolitische Unsicherheit deutlich gestiegen. Dazu beigetragen haben nicht zuletzt die zunehmende Sorge vor einer Eskalation der internationalen Handelskonflikte und die ungeklärte Situation über den Austritt des Vereinigten Königreichs aus der Europäischen Union. Auch in der Vergangenheit kam es immer wieder zu merklichen Unsicherheitsschüben. Ein so hohes Niveau wie zum Jahreswechsel 2019 wurde für die globale wirtschaftspolitische Unsicherheit zuvor allerdings noch nicht verzeichnet. Zwar ist bislang in einzelnen Studien gezeigt worden, dass ein Anstieg der wirtschaftspolitischen Unsicherheit in einem Land die Konjunktur belasten kann. Demgegenüber ist bislang noch nicht untersucht worden, wie sich ein Anstieg der globalen Unsicherheit auf die Weltwirtschaft auswirkt. Im Folgenden soll dies anhand eines globalen Modells geschehen.

Suggested Citation

  • Ademmer, Martin & Beckmann, Joscha & Jannsen, Nils, 2019. "Zu den Auswirkungen des jüngsten Anstiegs der globalen wirtschaftspolitischen Unsicherheit," Kiel Insight 2019.7, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwbox:20197
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Ademmer, Martin & Beckmann, Joscha & Bode, Eckhardt & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Funke, Manuel & Hauber, Philipp & Heidland, Tobias & Hinz, Julian & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Söder, Mareike & Stame, 2021. "Big Data in der makroökonomischen Analyse," Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik 32, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).

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