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Open AccessThe Imperial College Storm Model (IRIS) Dataset
Assessing tropical cyclone risk on a global scale given the infrequency of landfalling tropical cyclones (TC) and the short period of reliable observations remains a challenge. Synthetic tropical cyclone datas...
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Open AccessPublisher Correction: Global increase in tropical cyclone ocean surface waves
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Open AccessGlobal increase in tropical cyclone ocean surface waves
The long-term changes of ocean surface waves associated with tropical cyclones (TCs) are poorly observed and understood. Here, we present the global trend analysis of TC waves for 1979–2022 based on the ERA5 w...
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Article
Open AccessRecent increases in tropical cyclone rapid intensification events in global offshore regions
Rapid intensification (RI) is an essential process in the development of strong tropical cyclones and a major challenge in prediction. RI in offshore regions is more threatening to coastal populations and econ...
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Open AccessImportance of Air-Sea Coupling in Simulating Tropical Cyclone Intensity at Landfall
An atmosphere-only model system for making seasonal prediction and projecting future intensities of landfalling tropical cyclones (TCs) along the South China coast is upgraded by including ocean and wave model...
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Open AccessAn analytic model of the tropical cyclone outer size
There are simple conceptual models of tropical cyclone intensification and potential intensity. However, such a framework has been lacking to describe the evolution of the outer circulation. An analytic growth...
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Open AccessRecent tropical cyclone changes inferred from ocean surface temperature cold wakes
It has been challenging to detect trends of tropical cyclone (TC) properties due to temporal heterogeneities and short duration of the direct observations. TCs impact the ocean surface temperature by creating ...
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Article
Correction to: An integrated framework of coastal flood modelling under the failures of sea dikes: a case study in Shanghai
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Open AccessAn integrated framework of coastal flood modelling under the failures of sea dikes: a case study in Shanghai
Climate change leads to sea level rise worldwide, as well as increases in the intensity and frequency of tropical cyclones (TCs). Storm surge induced by TC’s, together with spring tides, threatens to cause fai...
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Open AccessTropical cyclones near landfall can induce their own intensification through feedbacks on radiative forcing
Rapid intensification of near-landfall tropical cyclones is very difficult to predict, and yet has far-reaching consequences due to their disastrous impact to the coastal areas. The focus for improving predict...
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Open AccessHurricanes as an enabler of Amazon fires
A teleconnection between North Atlantic tropical storms and Amazon fires is investigated as a possible case of compound remote extreme events. The seasonal cycles of the storms and fires are in phase with a ma...
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Reply to: Concerns over calculating injury-related deaths associated with temperature
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Open AccessPacific subsurface ocean temperature as a long-range predictor of South China tropical cyclone landfall
Seasonal forecasts of the tropical cyclones which frequently make landfall along the densely populated South China coast are highly desirable. Here, we analyse observations of landfalling tropical cyclones in ...
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Article
Open AccessAnomalously warm temperatures are associated with increased injury deaths
Temperatures that deviate from the long-term local norm affect human health, and are projected to become more frequent as the global climate changes1. There are limited data on how such anomalies affect deaths fr...
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Open AccessReduced Sensitivity of Tropical Cyclone Intensity and Size to Sea Surface Temperature in a Radiative-Convective Equilibrium Environment
It has been challenging to project the tropical cyclone (TC) intensity, structure and destructive potential changes in a warming climate. Here, we compare the sensitivities of TC intensity, size and destructiv...
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Open AccessPublisher Correction: Impact of wave whitecapping on land falling tropical cyclones
A correction to this article has been published and is linked from the HTML and PDF versions of this paper. The error has not been fixed in the paper.
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Open AccessIMAGE: a multivariate multi-site stochastic weather generator for European weather and climate
Capturing the spatial and temporal correlation of multiple variables in a weather generator is challenging. A new massively multi-site, multivariate daily stochastic weather generator called IMAGE is presented...
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Open AccessImpact of wave whitecapping on land falling tropical cyclones
Predicting tropical cyclone structure and evolution remains challenging. Particularly, the surface wave interactions with the continental shelf and their impact on tropical cyclones have received very little a...
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Chapter and Conference Paper
Performance Assessment of the Incremental Strong Constraints 4DVAR Algorithm in ROMS
We consider the Incremental Strong constraint 4D VARiational (IS4DVAR) algorithm for data assimilation implemented in ROMS with the aim to study its performance in terms of strong scaling scalability on comput...
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Open AccessMechanisms of bottom boundary fluxes in a numerical model of the Shetland shelf
Across-slope bottom boundary layer (BBL) fluxes on the shelf-edge connect this region to deeper waters. Two proposed ways in which across-slope BBL fluxes can occur, in regions that have a slope current aligne...