En un mundo desprovisto de los liderazgos fuertes del pasado, Londres esta descubriendo que conve... more En un mundo desprovisto de los liderazgos fuertes del pasado, Londres esta descubriendo que convertirse en una potencia media y marcar distancias con la politica exterior de Estados Unidos no es un trance traumatico. Antes al contrario, incluso puede resultar conveniente
Juan Linz and Alfred Stepan’s opus on democratic transition and consolidation put Spain and Roman... more Juan Linz and Alfred Stepan’s opus on democratic transition and consolidation put Spain and Romania at the extreme ends of these processes and paid little attention to the domestic and external economic constraints on the transition process. This paper interrogates these claims. It shows that in retrospect Spain looks a lot less exemplary and Romania a lot less hopeless than this iconic contribution suggested at the time. Moreover, while external economic shocks and local attempts to buffer them through social compensation shaped both transitions, Romanian governments faced balance of payments crises and international policy conditionality constraints, while their Spanish counterparts did not. This difference invites a greater appreciation of the role of political economy analyses when comparing the policy options of political elites ruling in times of democratic transition and consolidation.
No esta claro que la politica exterior de Trump resulte menos agresiva que la de Clinton. Institu... more No esta claro que la politica exterior de Trump resulte menos agresiva que la de Clinton. Instituciones como el Pentagono, o los grandes donantes republicanos, modularan el comportamiento del futuro presidente. Pero su capacidad para provocar desastres seguira siendo enorme.
Para detener la ola extremista que se avecina urge entender el malestar que la impulsa, los mecan... more Para detener la ola extremista que se avecina urge entender el malestar que la impulsa, los mecanismos que emplea y las medidas para contenerla, que dificilmente seran cosmeticas. Los canones de agosto, la obra maestra de Barbara Tuchman sobre el estallido de la Primera Guerra Mundial, comienza en 1910 con nueve reyes europeos y una inmensa delegacion diplomatica rindiendo honores postumos a Eduardo VII de Inglaterra. “Juntos representaban a setenta naciones en la concentracion mas grande de realeza y rango que nunca se habia reunido en un mismo lugar y que, en su clase, habia de ser la ultima. La conocida campana del Big Ben dio las nueve cuando el cortejo abandono el palacio, pero en el reloj de la Historia era el crepusculo, y el sol del viejo mundo se estaba poniendo, con un moribundo esplendor que nunca se veria otra vez”. Al funeral de John McCain, celebrado el 29 de agosto en la Catedral Nacional de Washington, acudio la flor y nata del establishment politico estadounidense. ...
Juan Linz and Alfred Stepan’s opus on democratic transition and consolidation put Spain and Roman... more Juan Linz and Alfred Stepan’s opus on democratic transition and consolidation put Spain and Romania at the extreme ends of these processes and paid little attention to the domestic and external economic constraints on the transition process. This paper interrogates these claims. It shows that in retrospect Spain looks a lot less exemplary and Romania a lot less hopeless than this iconic contribution suggested at the time. Moreover, while external economic shocks and local attempts to buffer them through social compensation shaped both transitions, Romanian governments faced balance of payments crises and international policy conditionality constraints, while their Spanish counterparts did not. This difference invites a greater appreciation of the role of political economy analyses when one compares the policy options of political elites ruling in times of democratic transition and consolidation.
En un mundo desprovisto de los liderazgos fuertes del pasado, Londres esta descubriendo que conve... more En un mundo desprovisto de los liderazgos fuertes del pasado, Londres esta descubriendo que convertirse en una potencia media y marcar distancias con la politica exterior de Estados Unidos no es un trance traumatico. Antes al contrario, incluso puede resultar conveniente
Juan Linz and Alfred Stepan’s opus on democratic transition and consolidation put Spain and Roman... more Juan Linz and Alfred Stepan’s opus on democratic transition and consolidation put Spain and Romania at the extreme ends of these processes and paid little attention to the domestic and external economic constraints on the transition process. This paper interrogates these claims. It shows that in retrospect Spain looks a lot less exemplary and Romania a lot less hopeless than this iconic contribution suggested at the time. Moreover, while external economic shocks and local attempts to buffer them through social compensation shaped both transitions, Romanian governments faced balance of payments crises and international policy conditionality constraints, while their Spanish counterparts did not. This difference invites a greater appreciation of the role of political economy analyses when comparing the policy options of political elites ruling in times of democratic transition and consolidation.
No esta claro que la politica exterior de Trump resulte menos agresiva que la de Clinton. Institu... more No esta claro que la politica exterior de Trump resulte menos agresiva que la de Clinton. Instituciones como el Pentagono, o los grandes donantes republicanos, modularan el comportamiento del futuro presidente. Pero su capacidad para provocar desastres seguira siendo enorme.
Para detener la ola extremista que se avecina urge entender el malestar que la impulsa, los mecan... more Para detener la ola extremista que se avecina urge entender el malestar que la impulsa, los mecanismos que emplea y las medidas para contenerla, que dificilmente seran cosmeticas. Los canones de agosto, la obra maestra de Barbara Tuchman sobre el estallido de la Primera Guerra Mundial, comienza en 1910 con nueve reyes europeos y una inmensa delegacion diplomatica rindiendo honores postumos a Eduardo VII de Inglaterra. “Juntos representaban a setenta naciones en la concentracion mas grande de realeza y rango que nunca se habia reunido en un mismo lugar y que, en su clase, habia de ser la ultima. La conocida campana del Big Ben dio las nueve cuando el cortejo abandono el palacio, pero en el reloj de la Historia era el crepusculo, y el sol del viejo mundo se estaba poniendo, con un moribundo esplendor que nunca se veria otra vez”. Al funeral de John McCain, celebrado el 29 de agosto en la Catedral Nacional de Washington, acudio la flor y nata del establishment politico estadounidense. ...
Juan Linz and Alfred Stepan’s opus on democratic transition and consolidation put Spain and Roman... more Juan Linz and Alfred Stepan’s opus on democratic transition and consolidation put Spain and Romania at the extreme ends of these processes and paid little attention to the domestic and external economic constraints on the transition process. This paper interrogates these claims. It shows that in retrospect Spain looks a lot less exemplary and Romania a lot less hopeless than this iconic contribution suggested at the time. Moreover, while external economic shocks and local attempts to buffer them through social compensation shaped both transitions, Romanian governments faced balance of payments crises and international policy conditionality constraints, while their Spanish counterparts did not. This difference invites a greater appreciation of the role of political economy analyses when one compares the policy options of political elites ruling in times of democratic transition and consolidation.
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